Madzu Research:

Progress and Way Ahead

Data collection and Entry

• 89 of original households retraced

• In 50 cases original respondents found in 28 spouses found

• In 1989 711 hh members enumerated. In 2002 535 people enumerated out of 89 hh

Data collection and Entry(contd)

• Data collection now complete

• Data entry now complete

• Data cleaning on-going

• Consolidation of data files to be completed in due course– Many files that need merging to facilitate

speedier access and analysis

Preliminary Analyses

• Transition matrices now constructed

• NP-NP (8)

• NP-P (9)

• P-NP(18)

• P-P (54)

Anecdotes

Brief Summary of the Transition Matrix For Madzu Revisit HH

Stylized TransitionCategory

Number out of the 89(retraced)

Mean per capita per hhincome US$ (1989)

Mean per capita per hhincome US$ (2002)

Mean farmsize

Mean hhsize

NonPoor-NonPoor 8 1.54 1.6 2.25 4.4

NonPoor-Poor 9 1.41 0.54 0.97 4.5

Poor-NonPoor 18 0.46 1.4 1.07 5.2

Poor-Poor 54 0.44 0.5 0.8 4.9

Next Steps

• Multinomial analyses of poverty traps to be undertaken

• Profit/production function estimation (maize bean enterprise)

• Results to feed into CLASSES,