Leeds City Region QuaRteRLy eConomiC suRvey QuaRteR 3 ......report growth in the greatest numbers,...
Transcript of Leeds City Region QuaRteRLy eConomiC suRvey QuaRteR 3 ......report growth in the greatest numbers,...
Leeds City Region QuaRteRLy eConomiC suRvey QuaRteR 3 2014
1 intRoduCtion
The Leeds City Region Quarterly Economic Survey (QES) is the product of a partnership between the Local Enterprise Partnership and the Chambers of Commerce within the City Region. The survey is a measure of the City Region’s business health. By analysing trends in business performance, confidence, employment and other key indicators, the QES provides a comprehensive and up to date picture of the City Region’s business community and economy.
methodoLogy
The Quarterly Economic Survey fieldwork was conducted via email and telephone. There were 801 respondents of either business owner or senior manager status, collectively employing 85,781 people. Of these 621 listed themselves as service sector and 180 listed as manufacturing or construction. 293 companies trade internationally, making up 36% of the sample. Businesses were surveyed by telephone and online questionnaires between the periods of 25th August to 15th September.
Net balance figures referred to throughout this report and represented in the graphs are determined by subtracting the percentage of companies reporting decreases in a factor from the percentage of companies reporting increases.
The Chambers that conducted the survey are:
• WestandNorthYorkshireChamberofCommerce(whichcoversBradford,Craven,York,Harrogate,LeedsandSelby).
• Mid-YorkshireChamberofCommerce(whichcoversWakefield,Calderdale and Kirklees).
The remit of the above Chambers does not extend to Barnsley and therefore findings reflect the position in most but not all of the Leeds City Region economy.
Business size CLassifiCation
1–10employees–micro-businesses
11 – 50 employees – small business
51 – 249 employees – medium business
250 + employees – large business
2 foRewoRd By RogeR maRsh
WelcometoourlatestQuarterlyEconomicSurveywiththeChambers of Commerce. Thank you to each of the 800 businesses who have taken the time to complete the survey this quarter. It provides us with an incredibly valuable insight into how businesses across Leeds City Region view their performance and prospects.
This latest Quarterly Economic Survey shows that the pace of growth has slowed from that seen in recent surveys. This is perhaps unsurprisinggiventherecentre-emergenceofthechallengesfacing our largest trading partner, the Eurozone, and other world economies. The fact that businesses in Leeds City Region remain more confident about their prospects than at almost any time since this survey started in 2007 is encouraging and suggests a growing resilience in the local economy. Nevertheless, the slowdown emphasises that there is still work to do to ensure a sustained recovery is felt by all.
This quarter also sees the results of our annual export monitor. This shows that the major markets for City Region businesses remain EuropeandNorthAmerica,buttheMiddleEastandAfrica,aswellas South East Asia and Australia, are key trade destinations for a significant proportion of exporters, particularly manufacturers. This emphasises the scale of opportunity exporting offers.
In spite of the slowdown in overseas sales growth reported this quarter, I remain convinced that increased exporting is a path to future growth for both individual businesses and the Leeds City Region economy as a whole. Our recent events as part of Export Weekwereawaytohelpdemystifytheprocessofexportingforbusinesses, and to highlight the tremendous opportunities on offer inoverseasmarkets.IfyoumissedanyofourExportWeekevents,or you would like more information on how the LEP and its partners cansupportyourbusinesstoexport,visitourWeAreInternationalwebsite at www.exportnetwork.co.uk
WeattheLEP,alongwithbusinessesintheCityRegionandourlocal authority partners, stand ready to meet the challenge of taking controlofoureconomicdestiny.Withtheinvestmentplannedinour infrastructure, and powers devolved to enable us to invest in the priorities that are right for us, we can achieve our ambition of rebalancing the UK economy.
RogerMarsh,ChairofLEPBoard
3 summaRy
Business Performance -Thepaceofgrowthslowedoverthelastthree months, with the number of companies reporting increases in salesbothathomeandabroadfalling.Manufacturersinparticularreport sharp declines, especially for exports with net balance down 30 points to +9%, its lowest level since Q3 2012. The service sector home sales balance slowed in the last quarter, falling 8 points, but remains historically high.
Business Confidence and indicators – Despite the slow downs, service sector confidence remains high, just dropping slightly from lastquarter’stenyearpeak.Manufacturerstooremainconfident,although the impact of global events appears to be eating into sales activity and profitability. This quarter also saw a rise in concerns over exchange rates, due no doubt to the appreciation of sterling.
employment – Employment continues to grow across Leeds City Region with overall net balance up 4%. 53% of companies reported recruitment activity in the last three months; just under half of companies recruiting (49%) were manufacturers or professional services companies, although seasonal influences saw a rise in the number of hotel and leisure operators reporting recruitment activities. Likewise construction companies reported an increasing share of recruitment this quarter.
4 Business PeRfoRmanCe
over the past three months in your uK market…
1) Sales have: increased / remained constant / decreased
2) Orders & advance bookings have: increased / remained constant / decreased
over the past three months in your overseas market…
1) Sales have: increased / remained constant / decreased
2) Orders & advance bookings have: increased / remained constant / decreased
uK maRKet
home saLes
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
Q4
07Q
1 08
Q2
08Q
3 08
Q4
08Q
1 09
Q2
09Q
3 09
Q4
09Q
1 10
Q2
10Q
3 10
Q4
10Q
1 11
Q2
11Q
3 11
Q4
11Q
1 12
Q2
12Q
3 12
Q4
12Q
1 13
Q2
13Q
3 13
Q4
13Q
1 14
Q2
14Q
3 14
Net
bal
ance
(%)
Home Sales
home saLes and oRdeRs
Companies reported a slowdown in the pace of growth over the last three months with the sales net balance falling 8 points to +33%. It was a similar story for forward orders which fell 9 points. Despite the slowdown the pace of growth remains at historically high levels across Leeds City Region.
seCtoR PeRfoRmanCe
home saLes By seCtoR
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14N
et b
alan
ce (%
)
Home sales by sector
Service Manufacturing
Manufacturersrecordedthesharpestslowdownasnetbalancesforsalesandordersfell-13and-23pointsrespectively.Servicesectorsalesalsoslowed,andwhilsthighbypost-recessionlevelsthisistheweakest quarter’s growth during 2014.
4 Business PeRfoRmanCe
Leeds City Region PeRfoRmanCe
CompaniesacrossYork,HarrogateandNorthYorkshirereportedthe highest levels of growth this quarter, followed closely by Leeds. Forward orders remain in positive territory but did fall across the City Region.
home saLes & oRdeRs
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
Bradford Leeds Mid-Yorkshire York Leeds CityRegion
Domestic sales & orders - regional view
UK sales UK orders
PeRfoRmanCe By size
The pace of growth is reported as slowest within the micro business sector. This size band accounts for the vast majority of of companies in our City Region so it is important that they feel the effects of economicgrowth.However,thesectorisabletoflexveryquicklytorespondtodemand.Elsewheremid-sizedcompaniesreportgrowth in the highest numbers with 38% more companies seeing increasing sales than decreasing.
home saLes By ComPany size
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Micro Small Medium Large Leeds CityRegion
Home sales by company size
Sales Orders
summaRy
Although the pace of growth slowed across our City Region for domestic sales and orders, companies continue to report growth at historically high levels. Net balances remain strong and we have to gobacktopre-recessiondaystoseesimilarresults.
5 exPoRt maRKets
exPoRt saLes
-£600,000
-£400,000
-£200,000
£0
£200,000
£400,000
£600,000
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
Q2
08Q
3 08
Q4
08Q
1 09
Q2
09Q
3 09
Q4
09Q
1 10
Q2
10Q
3 10
Q4
10Q
1 11
Q2
11Q
3 11
Q4
11Q
1 12
Q2
12Q
3 12
Q4
12Q
1 13
Q2
13Q
3 13
Q4
13Q
1 14
Q2
14Q
3 14
Qua
rter
ly C
hang
e in
Exp
ort V
alue
s (£)
Net
Bal
ance
(%)
Export Sales
Change in value of exports (Y&H) All business
Source:LCRChambersandHMRevenue&Customs
exPoRt saLes and oRdeRs
As with domestic order books there was a marked decline in the pace of growth of exports this quarter as the overall net balance fell 21 points to +17%.
Leeds City Region PeRfoRmanCe
OnceagaincompaniesinYork,HarrogateandNorthYorkshirereport growth in the greatest numbers, followed by Leeds. For the first time in over two years, companies in Bradford reported a net balance in negative territory, i.e. more companies reporting decreases than increases.
exPoRt saLes & oRdeRs By LoCation
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Bradford Leeds Mid-Yorkshire York Leeds City Region
Export sales & orders - regional view
Overseas sales Overseas orders
Source:LCRChambersandHMRevenue&Customs
Business seCtoR and size
exPoRt saLes By seCtoR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14
Exports sales by sector
Services Manufacturing
Source:LCRChambersandHMRevenue&Customs
There is a stark difference in the performance across sectors with manufacturing showing a steep slowdown in export sales, although there is still growth with just under 10% more companies reporting increases.
5 exPoRt maRKets
exPoRt destinations
This quarter we carried out our annual export destinations monitor. Once again, our biggest trading partners are Europe and North America. 64% of service sector companies and 75% of manufacturers who export list the western EU as one of their markets. Other EU destinations remain a strong market for the Leeds City Region and are perhaps at the heart of the current slowdown. The BRIC economies remain less appealing than those more traditional markets closer to home, as well as Africa and the MiddleEast.
exPoRt destinations
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Western EU(including
ROI)
Other EU USA &Canada
Africa &Middle East
Other SEAsia &
Australasia
India &South Asia
China Russia South &CentralAmerica
Export destinations
Services Manufacturing
summaRy
The pace of growth has slowed for exporters this quarter, symptomatic perhaps of a flat lining Eurozone and strengthening of thepoundagainstothermajorcurrencies.Manufacturersreportthesteepest declines, although as they are more likely to export than theirservicesectorcounterpartsthisshouldnotbeasurprise.Worldtrade has slowed and this is reflected in our figures. Our reliance on Europe as our largest trading partner is a cause for concern given the low growth rate in the Eurozone.
we are international!
21st CentuRy Business oPPoRtunities aRe gLoBaL. if you have a maRKet in the uK, you CouLd have maRKets eveRywheRe.
There is a company in Barnsley exporting
sushi products to Japan. There is an
agencyinYorkbrandingaParisianand
Dubai oil company. There are businesses
acrossYorkshireservicingandsupplying
companies across the world.
TheWeAreInternationalExportNetwork
is the core element of a new campaign to
increase exports from Leeds City Region
companies by £2.6bn by 2018. The Export
Network brings together experienced
exporters from a wide range of industry
sectors who will act as ambassadors,
champions and mentors for businesses
looking to start trading internationally or
enter new markets. The Chamber’s own
research shows that exporting businesses
are generally more successful and resilient
than those who do not yet two thirds of
businesses do not even have exporting
aspartoftheirgrowthstrategy.More
information can be found at
www.exportnetwork.co.uk
6 emPLoyment
over the past three months has your workforce:
Increased / remained constant / decreased
over the next three months will your workforce:
Increase / remain constant / decrease
have you experienced any difficulties recruiting staff?
Yes/No
which of the following categories of staff did you have difficulties recruiting?
Skilled manual or technical/ professional or managerial/ clerical/ semi-skilledorunskilled
emPLoyment oveR the Last 3 months has woRKfoRCe inCReased / Remained Constant / deCReased
1,280,000.00
1,300,000.00
1,320,000.00
1,340,000.00
1,360,000.00
1,380,000.00
1,400,000.00
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
Q108
Q308
Q109
Q309
Q110
Q310
Q111
Q311
Q112
Q312
Q113
Q313
Q114
Q314
Tota
l em
ploy
men
t Lee
ds C
ity R
egio
n
Net
bal
ance
(%)
Over the last three months has your workforce increased / remained constant / decreased?
Total employment (LCR) Net Balance
Source: LCR Chambers & ONS
woRKfoRCe LeveLs
Despite slowdowns in trade, companies continue to create jobs in Leeds City Region, with the latest results setting a new high.
Leeds City Region PeRfoRmanCe
Positive contributions were made to employment growth right across Leeds City Region over the last three months and this looks settocontinueintothenextquarter.CompaniesinYork,HarrogateandNorthYorkshireareforecastinggrowthabovetheCityRegionaverage.
Changes in woRKfoRCe - RegionaL oveRview
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Bradford Leeds Mid-Yorkshire York Leeds City Region
Changes in workforce
last quarter next quarter
emPLoyment By ComPany size
Whilstallpartsofthesizespectrumareincreasingheadcount,thestandoutresponseisthatofmid-sizedcompanieswhosignificantlyoutperform the City Region average.
emPLoyment By ComPany size
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
Micro Small Medium Large Leeds City Region
Changes in workforce
Last quarter Next quarter
6 emPLoyment
JoB CReation
53% of companies attempted to recruit staff over the last quarter. Professional & Financial Services (24%) along with manufacturing (25%)accountedfornearlyhalfofallofthisactivity.Hotelandcatering companies took a larger share of recruitment activity, up 3% due to seasonal factors. Similarly construction increased its share of recruitment activity, up 2%
ReCRuitment Last QuaRteR
4% 3%
8%
25%
4% 20%
24%
5% 3% 4%
Recruitment activity
Construction
Consumer Services
Hotel & Catering
Manufacturing
Marketing & Media
Other services
Professional Services
Retail & Wholesale
Transport & Distribution
Voluntary Sector
Of those companies reporting recruitment activity, 72% of service sector vacancies and 89% of manufacturing vacancies were for permanent positions, the majority of which were for full time roles.
49% of companies reported difficulties trying to find suitably qualifiedstaffinQ3,down1%onthelastquarter.Higherlevelskillscontinue to present the most problems.
Positions vaCant RePoRting diffiCuLties Q2 2014
Skilled manual / technical 21%
Professional / managerial 23%
Clerical 9%
Semi / unskilled 10%
summaRy
Although the pace of sales growth slowed in the last three months, companies in Leeds City Region continue to create jobs at record rates.
7 Business ConfidenCe
Business ConfidenCe and otheR indiCatoRs
Q | do you believe over the next 12 months...
1) Turnover will: improve / remain constant / worsen
2) Profitability will: improve/ remain constant / worsen
Q| is your business currently under pressure to raise its prices from any of the following:
Pay settlements/ raw material prices/ finance costs/ other overheads
Q| Please indicate which of the following factors are more of a concern to your business than three months ago:
Interest rates/ exchange rates/ business rates/ inflation/ competition/ taxation
Q| over the next 3 months, do you expect the price of your goods/service to:
Increase / remain constant / decrease
PRofitaBiLity exPeCtations
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
Q3
07Q
4 07
Q1
08Q
2 08
Q3
08Q
4 08
Q1
09Q
2 09
Q3
09Q
4 09
Q1
10Q
2 10
Q3
10Q
4 10
Q1
11Q
2 11
Q3
11Q
4 11
Q1
12Q
2 12
Q3
12Q
4 12
Q1
13Q
2 13
Q3
13Q
4 13
Q1
14Q
2 14
Q3
14
Net
bal
ance
(%)
Profitability Expectations
tuRnoveR and PRofitaBiLity
The slowing in the pace of growth has had an impact on business confidence.Nevertheless,itremainsatpre-recessionlevelsonceagain. Net balances fell 4 points and 6 points respectively for expectations of increasing turnover and profitability.
PeRfoRmanCe By seCtoR
There is a marked difference between the sectors this quarter. The service sector expectations of turnover improvements fell only slightly from last quarter’s ten year peak, similarly for profitability whichfell5points.Manufacturersontheotherhandreportedamore cautious outlook, reflective perhaps of the steeper drop in sales activity. Expectations of profit within the sector fell back to the same position reported in Q3 2013. This is certainly not a reason to panic but acts as a reminder of the growth we have experienced in the last 12 months.
ConfidenCe By seCtoR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014
Turnover Profits
Business confidence by sector
Services Manufacturing
Leeds City Region PeRfoRmanCe
Confidence remains strong across Leeds City Region, although there are noticeable variations. Companies in Bradford still lag the City Region average, but with development activity beginning to accelerate in the city we may see this influence the wider economy and improve confidence.
ConfidenCe aCRoss Leeds City Region
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Bradford Leeds Mid-Yorkshire York Leeds City Region
Confidence across the Leeds City Region
Turnover Profits
7 Business ConfidenCe
otheR indiCatoRs
Pressures to raise prices are largely benign this quarter with the exception of raw material prices for manufacturers, although even that fell slightly in the last three months.
PRiCe PRessuRes
manufaCtuRing seCtoR seRviCe seCtoR
Q2 2014
Q3 2014 vaRiation
Q2 2014
Q3 2014 vaRiation
Pay settlements 20% 19% -1% 11% 11% N/C
Raw material prices 48% 45% -3% 16% 13% -3%
Finance costs 10% 10% N/C 10% 10% N/C
Fuel / Utilities 26% 18% -8% 19% 15% -4%
Other overheads 17% 15% -2% 17% 14% -3%
The appreciation of sterling grew as a concern this quarter with manufacturers; clearly this factor plays an important role with regard to exports. The manufacturing sector remains fiercely competitive with 39% of companies stating this is more of a concern this quarter than last. Speculation over interest rate rises rose slightly for service sector companies although this may ease if the current slowdown in the pace of growth continues into another quarter.
moRe of a ConCeRn this QuaRteR?
manufaCtuRing seCtoR seRviCe seCtoR
Q2 2014
Q3 2014 vaRiation
Q2 2014
Q3 2014 vaRiation
Interest rates 20% 18% -2% 14% 17% +3%
Exchange rates 33% 37% +4% 11% 11% N/C
Business rates 19% 17% -2% 17% 15% -2%
Inflation 19% 12% -7% 19% 16% -3%
Competition 37% 39% +2% 40% 33% -7%
Taxation 18% 19% +1% 20% 18% -2%
PRiCe Rise
exPeCtations of PRiCe Rises v infLation
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14
Infla
tion
(%)
Net
bal
ance
(%)
Expectations of price rises v inflation
Inflation Service Manufacturing
summaRy
Confidence amongst service sector companies remains very high despitethepaceofgrowthappearingtoslow.Manufacturersaremore reserved in their outlook, cautious that global factors may impact their growth aspirations.
8 investment, CashfLow and CaPaCity
Q | over the past three months what changes have you made to your investment plans for...
1) Plant/ machinery/ equipment: increased/ remained constant / decreased
2) Training: increased/ remained constant / decreased
Q | during the past three months has your cash flow:
Increased/ remained constant/ decreased
Q | are you currently operating at:
Full capacity/below capacity
investment LeveLs
Capital investment remained unchanged for the third consecutive quarter with net balance stuck at +25%. Investment in training nudged up 3 points in the last quarter.
CaPitaL investment
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
Q307
Q407
Q108
Q208
Q308
Q408
Q109
Q209
Q309
Q409
Q110
Q210
Q310
Q410
Q111
Q211
Q311
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
Q313
Q413
Q114
Q214
Q314
Net
bal
ance
(%)
Capital Investment
investment intentions By seCtoR
The overall rise in training investment can be attributed mostly to the manufacturing sector, where net balance rose 14 points. A much more modest 2% rise was recorded across the service sector.
investment intentions By seCtoR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014
Capital Training
Investment intentions by sector
Services Manufacturing
investment By ComPany size
As has been reported in previous quarters, investment across the City Region is being led by larger organisations although we note that across the size profile, more report increases than otherwise. Despite the growth in net balance, the bulk of companies continue to report no change. This has remained at around 60 to 70% of companies for a number of years.
investment By ComPany size
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Micro Small Medium Large Leeds City Region
Companies reporting increased investment
Capital Training
8 investment, CashfLow and CaPaCity
Cash fLow
Cash flow eased across the City Region although, contrary to previous quarters, larger companies reported a tightening of conditions.
CashfLow
Q307
Q407
Q108
Q208
Q308
Q408
Q109
Q209
Q309
Q409
Q110
Q210
Q310
Q410
Q111
Q211
Q311
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
Q313
Q413
Q114
Q214
NetBalance 11 13 4 -7 -1 -3 -3 -2 -1 -1 -1 -6 -5 5 -6 -3 -2 -1 -2 3 -2 4 4 5 11 14 15 17
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
Cash flow
Manufacturersreportedamodestimprovementincashflow,up2 points on the last quarter, whilst service sector companies held broadly on a par with the last quarter.
CashfLow By ComPany size
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Micro Small Medium Large Leeds City Region
Cash flow by company size
Q2 2014 Q3 2014
CashfLow By seCtoR
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
Services Manufacturing
Cash flow by sector
Q2 2014 Q3 2014
Leeds City Region PeRfoRmanCe
CashfLow - RegionaL BReaKdown
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Bradford Leeds Mid-Yorkshire York Leeds City Region
Cashflow across region
Q2 2014 Q3 2014
Cash flow is considerably more of an issue in Bradford than elsewhere in Leeds City Region.
8 investment, CashfLow and CaPaCity
CaPaCity
Capacity across the City Region remains broadly on a par with the previous quarter with some small variations on the number of companies reporting they are operating at the maximum. Service sector companies operating at capacity was up 1%, with manufacturing down 3%. There remains quite a lot of spare capacity in the City Region, which would ordinarily contradict with companies’ reported employment intentions.
CaPaCity By seCtoR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Service Manufacturing
Capacity by sector
Full Below
Looking at capacity by company size it is apparent that the smaller the company the more likely you are to have spare capacity.
Anexplanationmightbetheriseinself-employmentobserved nationally shown below and the phenomenon of “underemployment”,wherebythegrowthinpart-timeworkandself-employmenthasfaroutpacedgrowthoffull-timeemployment.Thissuggeststhatmanypeoplewhowouldliketoworkfull-timeareunable to do so.
CaPaCity By ComPany size
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Micro Small Medium Large
Capacity by company size
Full Below
Source ONS (including the Labour Force Survey) as reported in Bank of England Q2
2014 inflation report
summaRyInvestment remains sluggish across the City Region with the majority of companies continuing with the status quo. Cash flow appears to be easing although this doesn’t seem to be uniform. There remains much spare capacity in the City Region but this would appear to be sharpest at the small end of the company spectrum.
9 data sheet Q2 2014
Leeds City Region
inCRease
(%)
Remain Constant (%)
deCRease
(%) net BaLanCe (%)
Change fRom Last QuaRteR (%)
Domestic sales 47 39 14 33 -8
Domestic orders 43 40 17 27 -9
Overseas sales 37 42 20 17 -21
Overseas orders 34 43 23 11 -24
Employment last quarter 31 60 9 23 +4
Employment next quarter 31 64 4 27 N/C
Turnover next 12 months 71 22 7 64 -4
Profitability next 12 months 63 27 10 53 -6
Investment in capital 30 65 5 25 N/C
Investment in training 27 70 3 24 +3
Cash flow 34 49 17 17 +1
Prices / Costs 22 75 3 19 +1
manufaCtuRing seRviCe
inC% RC% deC% nB% QtR Change inC% RC% deC% nB% QtR
Change
Domestic sales 44 38 18 26 -13 47 40 13 34 -8
Domestic orders 39 38 24 15 -23 45 41 14 31 -5
Overseas sales 36 39 25 9 -30 39 45 17 22 -15
Overseas orders 33 37 30 3 -35 35 48 17 17 -16
Employment last quarter 32 57 11 21 -4 31 61 8 24 +6
Employment next quarter 34 60 6 28 -3 30 66 4 26 +2
Turnover next 12 months 66 27 7 59 -9 73 21 6 67 -3
Profitability next 12 months 54 33 13 41 -16 66 26 9 57 -2
Investment in capital 32 62 6 27 +3 29 67 4 24 -2
Investment in training 30 65 5 25 N/C 26 71 3 23 +4
Cash flow 29 52 18 11 +2 35 49 17 18 N/C
Price / costs 22 70 8 14 -2 22 76 2 21 +2
10 notes
Note about this survey: Net Balance figures used in this survey are calculated by subtracting the percentage number of companies reporting a decrease in sales, orders etc. from those reporting an increase. A positive balance therefore reflects the fact that more companies than not report an increase, and the balances are used to track trends over time using results from previous surveys. For example if 23% of firms report an increase but 15% report a decrease, the net balance is +8%. Rounding errors may give occur in this data meaning some rows may not add up to 100%
For more information on the background of this survey please contact Nigel Guy on 0771 221 4134 or email [email protected].