2016 Year of Organization for Change on Energy, Climate Change Agreement and the Sustainable

Development post-2015 Agenda

Leaders of Energy without Borders: Managing Energy Transition in Cross-

Border/ Complex Stakeholder Situations

th February 2015: Open Google Hangout

Adriaan Kamp

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2014 2030-2050

7 Billion People

9 Billion People

90 trillion USD

economy

180-210 trillion

USD

225 million oil eq/day

500- 750 million

oil eq/day

400 ppm CO2 and Carbon Budget consumed for 2 degrees/ 21st century

??? ppm CO2 and Climate Change Effects

The State of Our World Energy System

Three wise moves:

• The Western (OECD-) countries could do well if they were able to “make room” and reduce their average fossil energy footprint significantly, in order to-

• Allow and facilitate the non-OECD countries to grow and allow their benefits and wealth creation (opportunity) from fossil energy.

• The general predicted increase in world average energy consumption per capita should ideally be generated by non-fossil fuels such as renewable energy. Overall world fossil fuel production is not to rise further significantly if we do not wish to cross levels which can no longer be sustained or guaranteed for our economies, societies or nature.

And an action agenda:

• A political agenda: “We need better oversight and agreement on the rules of the game on sustainability and the dynamic developments in the world energy system.”

• A business and large (energy) corporation agenda: “making room for the new: enabling the development of energy architectures of the 21st century”

• A social agenda: “we need to allow for the poor and middle-class incomes: ensuring that energy once and when made available – remains affordable.”

• We need leadership values of the 21st century : allowing for better integration of sustainability in the energy value chains and across borders.

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UN Sustainable Development Goals

UN FCCC COP21 Paris (3)

Paris Agreement

Adaptation capacity-building climate finance Compliance intended nationally determined

contributions (INDC) loss and damage Mitigation national reporting Paris Outcome REDD/REDD+ Technology technology mechanism

Year 2016 Agenda

How can we organize ourselves to support and achieve these Three (3)

Objectives?

1. Support the UN Sustainable Development Goals

2. Implement the Paris Agreement

3. Enable the rise of Sustainable Societies and provide Energy to our Economies

Integration Transition Transformation

Leadership and Vision: The Opportunity is shaped in the

beginning. •The possibility for Value Creation is largest in the Early Stages of any opportunity

How good is your Opportunity

Framing ?

Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved

Levels of Maturity of Change Integration- Transition- Transformation

• Level 1

• Level 2

• Level 3

• Level 4

• Change and No Change. Resistance to Change. Policy, Administrative and Derivative Change (CO2 tax, ETS, Accounting). Coal vs. Gas. Continued backroom lobbying

• Full Integration of Renewables (cleantech, energy conservations, smartness, etc.) in the Energy Architecture - but not with a system change. Retained regulations, ownership , revenue, tax and capital control structures

• Transition to a New Energy Architecture and Newly shared socio-economic and corporate business models- also in international trade

• Transformation of Economies and Societies. Eco-modernity and New human consciousness

Constructing An Integrative Framework for Steering Transition

Dialogue and Conversation Roles and Opportunities

• Scandinavia

• NW Europe/ Germany

• US Markets/ America’s (e./g. Mexico, Argentine)

• Middle-East

• India/ SE Asia

• Africa

One World. Many Needs. Many Views

Eco- Conscious

Moderated Consumerism

Limits to Growth

Cradle-to-Cradle, Bio-Mimicry

Zero emissions

Nature First

Networked Society

Away with traditional country and/or

corporate borders : City-Hubs.

Horizontal, cross-border collaborations

Cultural awareness and tolerance

A new world of sharing and abundance

Power to the People

Expansion of wealth, ownership and new growth

Continued Consumerism and Hedonistic life-styles.

Short-termism, Schumpeter, Ayn Rand, Resilience

A world of larger inequalities and divisions:

Rich and poor. Have’s and Have Not’s

Money First

Shared Capitalism

A world of Power , Principles and Politics

Polarisation between Beliefs and/or Power

Blocks

The Geo-politics of Emotions

Darwin’s Survival of the Fittest

Power to the Strongest, First Darwin

Techno Modernity

The world of Prof. Michio Kaku and

Kurz Weill Singularity

Game-changers and Disruptive Innovations

A world of Smart Cities, New Surprises ,

Exponential Growth and Abundance

The Rule of Science &

Technology

Conscious Capitalism

The rise of new (global and business)

leadership: Gandhi’s and Mandela’s

Neuroscience , psychology and spirituality

Gaia, Oneness and Global Mind-set.

Transformative leadership

Conscious Humanity