Large wind fluctuations
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Increased demand for spinning reserve. Decreased predictability. Large power fluctuations. Large wind fluctuations. Prediction errors in day-ahead spot market forecasts. Large concentration of turbines offshore. Financial penalties. 6X6 SOMs array of weather categories. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Transcript of Large wind fluctuations
Large wind fluctuations
Large concentration of turbines offshore
Large power fluctuations
Increased demand for spinning reserveDecreased
predictability
Prediction errors in day-ahead spot
market forecasts
Financial penalties
Daily MSLP patterns 1990-2009
ERA-Interim reanalysis(ECMWF)
Local wind speed 2000-2003 Horns Rev M2
6X6 SOMs array of weather categories
Severe variability days at Horns Rev
High risk weather patterns for severe wind variability
Horizontal grid spacing: 54 km, 18 km, 6 km, 2 km
Domains 1-3: Kain-Fritsch cumulus parametrisationDomain 4: No cumulus parametrisation
