Laird and Timperlake Briefing to AFA Pacific Forum November 22, 2013

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Rebuilding Military Power in the Pacific: Crafting a 21 st Century Strategy Shaping a Way Ahead Updated December 2, 2013

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In late November 2013, Robbin Laird and Ed Timperlake discussed their new book (with Richard Weitz) on Rebuilding American Power in the Pacific: A 21st Century Strategy. 

 The F-35 strike fighter will be a lynchpin of security in the Asia-Pacific region in the coming years for the United States and its allies, said Robbin Laird, military and security analyst. "This is not your mother's jet," he told AFA's Pacific Air & Space Symposium in Los Angeles last month in emphasizing how "radically different" the F-35 will be. In addition to the F-35's sophisticated technology, it's also significant that regional allies are acquiring the jet at the same time as the United States and will be establishing operations hubs and training ranges, said Laird. "You will end up with more F-35s in the Pacific being allied than American," he said during his Nov. 22 presentation. The airplane's capabilities will help to usher in new concepts of operation built around robust, distributed assets, he said. "We usually think of technology as the driver . . . but in fact we are entering a decade where the CONOPs changes are as important as the technologies," he said. Appearing with Laird, Ed Timperlake, senior fellow with Technology Assessment and Security, said the F-35's sensors and ability to share data would give each pilot access to unprecedented levels of real-time information in the cockpit. By Michael C. Sirak http://www.airforcemag.com/DRArchive/Pages/2013/December%202013/December%2002%202013/Not-Your-Mother%27s-Jet.aspx For the audio of the presentation as delivered to the Pacific Forum see the following: http://www.afa.org/PacAirSpace/PASS2013Symposium/audiorecordings An interview with AFPAC commander Hawk Carlisle was generated during the time at the Pacific Forum of the American Air Force Association as well as an interview Col. James on the role of the USAF in the initial response to the Philippine’s relief effort.

Transcript of Laird and Timperlake Briefing to AFA Pacific Forum November 22, 2013

Page 1: Laird and Timperlake Briefing to AFA Pacific Forum November 22, 2013

Rebuilding Military Power in the Pacific: Crafting a 21st Century Strategy

Shaping a Way AheadUpdated December 2, 2013

Page 2: Laird and Timperlake Briefing to AFA Pacific Forum November 22, 2013

Shaping an Approach

• Build Upon the Central Impact of the “Re-Norming of Air Power” and re-shaping the con-ops or use of legacy systems;

• Understand the Impact of a “Few Great Captains”;• Focus on the Operational Geography of the

Pacific;• Deep Dive on the Impact of New Technologies on

Concepts of Operations;• Always Remember the Reactive Enemy.

Page 3: Laird and Timperlake Briefing to AFA Pacific Forum November 22, 2013

Interactive Drivers of Change

Air Combat Cloud

Distributed Ops

Shaping an Attack and Defense Enterprise

F-35 Fleet

Weapons Revolution

Robotic Dynamics

C5ISR D Dynamics

Key Role for Partnership

Engagement and Execution

21st C

ty

Bom

ber

The P-8The F-35

Technology, Con-Ops and Coalition Airpower

Page 4: Laird and Timperlake Briefing to AFA Pacific Forum November 22, 2013

Shaping an Approach (2)

• With Regard to the Past Decade of War, Harvest the Best, and Leave the Rest;

• Shape an Understanding of the Crises and Challenges Ahead which are Likely to Reshape Military Operations;

• Focus on the Shifting Relationship among the US, Allies and Adversaries;

• Understand the Impact of the F-35 fleet, global manufacturing and sustainment system on global coalition operations;

• If you do not have a Military Strategy to Deal with the PRC, You Simply do not have a Grand Strategy to deal with the PRC.

Page 5: Laird and Timperlake Briefing to AFA Pacific Forum November 22, 2013

Shaping a 21st Century Pacific StrategyThe Strategic Setting

Managing the Dynamics of the Chinese Colossus

Deterrence in a Second Nuclear Age

The Arctic Opening and Russia as a Maritime Power and Canada on the Front Line of Defense

Synergy Between Security and Defense: Securing the Conveyer Belt of Goods and Services by Sea with SLOC Defense

Key Forces

TokyoShanghai

Page 6: Laird and Timperlake Briefing to AFA Pacific Forum November 22, 2013

639 mi

3,895 mi

3,686 mi

2,809 mi

SINGAPORE

GUAM

Hawaiian Islands (USA)

JAPANSOUTHKOREA

AUSTRALIA

1,630 mi

2,353 mi

4,099 mi

Strategic Geogrpahy

Page 7: Laird and Timperlake Briefing to AFA Pacific Forum November 22, 2013

3,895 mi

3,686 mi

2,809 mi

GUAM

Hawaiian Islands (USA)

SOUTHKOREA

AUSTRALIA

1,630 mi

2,353 mi

4,099 mi

Pacific Dynamics: The PRC ADIZ

SINGAPORE

639 mi

East China Sea Air Defence Identification Zone

China’s Territorial

Waters

Japan Air Defence Identification ZoneJAPAN

Page 8: Laird and Timperlake Briefing to AFA Pacific Forum November 22, 2013

Shaping a 21st Century Force

• Distributed;• Presence; Reachback; Honeycomb Enabled;• Allies are Always Forward Deployed;• Shaping a 21st Century Version of the Big Blue Blanket for

the U.S. Joint Force;– Allied and Joint Fleet of F-35s as a key piece of the transition;– F-35s understood as stealth-enabled distributed fleet of combat

systems honeycombing the battlespace;• Leveraging Coalition Investments to Craft More Effective

Pacific Defense Capabilities;• Rethink Basing Strategies.

Page 9: Laird and Timperlake Briefing to AFA Pacific Forum November 22, 2013

F-35 as Allied Pacific Lynchpin

Approximately 25 ThousandMiles of Perimeter Coverage

JapanSingaporeSouth Korea

HawaiiGuamAlaska

AustraliaCanada

Hubs andTraining Ranges Hubs Pacific Dynamic Distances Covered

Page 10: Laird and Timperlake Briefing to AFA Pacific Forum November 22, 2013
Page 11: Laird and Timperlake Briefing to AFA Pacific Forum November 22, 2013

Some Key Elements of the Way Ahead

• The F-35 School Houses as Drivers for Change (Eglin, Luke, Yuma, Beaufort etc.);

• The Salience of the S Cubed Dynamic to Con-Ops Innovations: – Sensors, Combined with Stealth Combined with

Speed can provide a new Paradigm for Shaping the Pacific Force Necessary for the U.S. in 21st Century Ops.

• Meeting the Challenge of the Second Nuclear Age

Page 12: Laird and Timperlake Briefing to AFA Pacific Forum November 22, 2013

The Way Ahead

• This decade of technological development, con-ops evolution and partnership engagements and re-set of airpower lays the foundation for the next – And the determination of the role and impacts of new

platforms.• Three Key Cases in Point:

– The USS Ford and the Airwing After Next;– The Impact of the USS America and the Littoral

Engagement Fleet;– The Bomber and the Role of Long Range Strike.

Page 13: Laird and Timperlake Briefing to AFA Pacific Forum November 22, 2013