KwaZulu-Natal - KZN PPC...“KZN as a prosperous Province with healthy, secure and skilled...

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“KZN as a prosperous Province with healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World” KwaZulu-Natal 1 DRAFT 2017/18 PROVINCIAL GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT PLAN PROVINCIAL EXECUTIVE COUNCIL LEKGOTLA 23 August 2017 Session 4 By 2035 KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, living in dignity and harmony, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World.

Transcript of KwaZulu-Natal - KZN PPC...“KZN as a prosperous Province with healthy, secure and skilled...

Page 1: KwaZulu-Natal - KZN PPC...“KZN as a prosperous Province with healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World” KwaZulu-Natal 1 DRAFT 2017/18

“KZN as a prosperous Province with healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World”

KwaZulu-Natal

1

DRAFT 2017/18 PROVINCIAL GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT PLAN

PROVINCIAL EXECUTIVE COUNCIL LEKGOTLA23 August 2017

Session 4

By 2035 KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with

a healthy, secure and skilled population, living in dignity

and harmony, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World.

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1. REFINING THE 2016/17 PGDP

2. DRAFT 2017/18 PGDP

3. PGDP IMPLEMENTATION FOCUS

4. RESOLUTIONS

2

OUTLINE OF PRESENTATION

One Province – One Plan – One Future

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1.REFINING THE 2016/17

PGDP

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• PGDS 2016-2035 and PGDP 2016/17 were

endorsed at the February 2017 Lekgotla,

hence emphasis now is only on minor

refinements;

• WORKING WITH AWG GROUPS ON:

- Refinement of indicators

- Refinement of targets

- Refinement of interventions

• UPDATED CATALYTIC PROJECTS

4

1. REFINING THE 2016/17 PGDP

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2.DRAFT 2017/18 PGDP

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Vision2035

STRATEGIC GOALS

STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES

KZN PGDSSTRATEGIC FRAMEWORK

KwaZulu-Natal will be a

prosperousProvince with a healthy, secure

and skilled population,

living in dignity and harmony,

acting as a gateway to

Africa and the World

INCLUSIVE ECONOMIC GROWTH

1

GOVERNANCE AND POLICY

6

ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY

5

STRATEGIC INFRASTRUCTURE

4

HUMAN RESOURCE DEVELOPMENT

2

SPATIAL EQUITY7

HUMAN &COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT

3

1. Develop and promote the agricultural potential of KZN 2. Enhance sectoral development through trade, investment &

business retention3. Enhance spatial economic development4. Improve the efficiency, innovation and variety of Government-

led job creation programmes 5. Promoting SMME, Entrepreneurial and Youth Development6. Enhance the Knowledge Economy

7. Early Childhood Development, Primary and Secondary Education

8. Skills alignment to Economic Growth9. Youth Skills Development & Life-Long Learning

10. Eradicate poverty & improve social welfare services11. Enhancing health of communities and citizens12. Safeguard and enhance sustainable household food security 13. Promote Sustainable Human Settlements14. Enhance safety & security15. Advance social cohesion and social capital16. Promote youth, gender and disability advocacy and the

advancement of women

17. Development of seaports and airports18. Develop road and rail networks 19. Develop ICT infrastructure 20. Ensure availability and sustainable management of water and

sanitation for all21. Ensure access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern

energy for all22. Enhance KZN waste management capacity

23. Enhance resilience of ecosystem services24. Expand application of green technologies 25. Adapt and respond to Climate Change

26. Strengthen policy and strategy co-ordination & IGR27. Building government capacity 28. Eradicating fraud & corruption29. Promote participative, facilitative & accountable

governance

30. Enhance the resilience of new and existing cities, towns and rural nodes, ensuring equitable access to resources, social and economic opportunities

31. Ensure integrated land management use across the Province, ensuring equitable access to goods and services, attracting social and financial investment

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2016 PGDS STRATEGIC GOALS and OBJECTIVESSTRATEGIC

GOALNo STRATEGIC OBJECTIVE 2016

1INCLUSIVE ECONOMIC GROWTH

1.1 Develop and promote the agricultural potential of KZN

1.2 Enhance sectoral development through trade investment and business retention

1.3 Enhance spatial economic development

1.4Improve the efficiency, innovation and variety of government-ledjob creation programmes

1.5 Promote SMME and entrepreneurial development

1.6 Enhance the Knowledge Economy

2HUMAN

RESOURCE DEVELOPMENT

2.1Improve early childhood development, primary andsecondary education

2.2 Support skills development to economic growth

2.3 Enhance youth and adult skills development and life-long learning

3HUMAN AND COMMUNITY

DEVELOPMENT

3.1 Eradicate poverty and improve social welfare services

3.2 Enhance health of communities and citizens

3.3 Safeguard and enhance sustainable livelihoods and food security

3.4 Promote sustainable human settlements3.5 Enhance safety and security3.6 Advance social cohesion and social capital

3.7 Promote youth, gender and disability advocacy and the advancement of women

7

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2016 PGDS STRATEGIC GOALS and OBJECTIVES

STRATEGIC GOAL No STRATEGIC OBJECTIVE 2016

4STRATEGIC

INFRASTRUCTURE

4.1 Development of seaports and airports

4.2 Develop road and rail networks

4.3 Develop ICT infrastructure

4.4 Ensure availability and sustainable management of water and sanitation for all

4.5 Ensure access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern energy for all

4.6 Enhance KZN waste management capacity

5ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY

5.1 Enhance resilience of ecosystem services

5.2 Expand the application of green technologies

5.3 Adapt and respond climate change

6GOVERNANCE AND

POLICY

6.1 Strengthen policy, strategy coordination and IGR

6.2 Build government capacity

6.3 Eradicate fraud and corruption

6.4 Promote participative, facilitative and accountable governance

7SPATIAL EQUITY

7.1Enhance the resilience of new and existing cities, towns and rural nodes, ensuring equitable access to resources, social and economic opportunities

7.2Ensure integrated land management use across the Province, ensuring equitable access to goods and services, attracting social and financial investment

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GOAL 1

Inclusive Economic Growth

• No amendments to Goal Indicators

• 4 Amendments to Objective Indicators; and

• 2 additions to Interventions

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GOAL INDICATORS Baseline

(2015)

TARGETS

2020 2025 2030 2035

Total value of output of all

sectors within the provincial

economy (Constant, 2010 R

Value)

R489 208 m

1%: R 514 163m

3%: R567 126m

6%: R654 670 m

R 540 390m

R657 455m

R876 096 m

R 567 955m

R762 170m

R1 172 415 m

R 596 927m

R883 564m

R1 568 956 m

Total employment in all

sectors within the provincial

economy

Growth Scenarios

Low=1%; Medium=3%,

High=6%

2 497 000

L: 2 640 000

M: 2 713 000

H: 2 810 000

L: 2 830 000

M: 3 011 000

H: 3 258 000

L: 3 034 000

M: 3 340 000

H :3 777 000

L: 3 252 000

M: 3 706 000

H: 4 379 000

GDP per capita within the

provincial economy

Growth Scenarios

Low=1%; Medium=3%,

High=6%

R44

L: R 46 091

M: R 48 290

H: R 50 954

L: R 48 697

M: R 54 080

H: R61 024

L: R 51 449

M: R60 564

H: R73 085

L: R 54 358

M: R67 826

H: R87 530

Annual unemployment rate

(narrow and broad) for KZNNarrow = 21.47

Broad = 39.14

Narrow: 20

Broad: 38

Narrow: 19

Broad: 36.5

Narrow: 18

Broad: 34

Narrow: 17

Broad: 32.5

Employed Youth (15-34) ('000) 1 092 1 171 1 255 1 345 1 442

Percentage increase of youth

(15-34) amongst economically

active in employment.

- 7.23% 14.93% 23.17% 32.05%

Goal 1: Inclusive Economic Growth: GOAL INDICATORS

NO PROPOSED

AMENDMENTS

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Goal 1: Inclusive Economic Growth

SO 1.1 Develop and Promote the Agricultural Potential of KZN

NoStrategic Objective

Indicators

Baseline

(2015)

TARGETS

2020 2025 2030 2035

1.1.1

Increase employment within

the agricultural sector

(including forestry and

livestock)

141 000 162 150 180 320 198 490 216 660

1.1.2Increase in commercial

farmers 17 432 19 175 20 918 22 661 24 404

1.1.3Increase in emerging

commercial farmers1 780 1 869 1 958 2 047 2 136

1.1.4Hectares of land under

irrigation170 597 173 097 175 597 178 097 180 597

1.1.5

Real value of output of the

agricultural sector (Real

Rands, 2010)

R21,3

bln

R23,7

bln

R26,4

bln

R29,4

bln

R32,8

bln

NO PROPOSED AMENDMENTS11

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Goal 1: Inclusive Economic Growth

SO 1.2 Enhance sectoral development through trade investment and business retention

NoStrategic Objective

Indicators

Baseline

(2015)

TARGETS

2020 2025 2030 2035

1.2.1 Total absolute value of the provincial

economy excluding primary

agriculture. Low, Medium, High Growth

Scenarios

Low=1%, Medium=3%, High=6%

R468 715 m

L: 515 357

M:539 943

H:569 726

L: 580 241

M: 644 386

H: 727 130

L: 653 293

M: 769 033

H: 928 023

L: 735 542

M: 917 791

H:1 184 418

1.2.2 Absolute growth in provincial exports. 0.9% 2% 4% 4% 5%

1.2.3 Absolute growth in provincial

investment R Value2010)(Assuming

Medium at 3% Growth)

R104 504m

R4.934bn

R118 667 m

R27,28bn

R137 567 m

TBD

R159 478 m

TBD

R184 879 m

TBD

BASELINE AND TARGETS UPDATED WITH MORE RECENT DATA

NOW OBTAINED FROM TIKZN. 12

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Goal 1: Inclusive Economic Growth

SO 1.2 Enhance sectoral development through trade investment and business retention

No Strategic Objective IndicatorBaseline

(2015)

TARGETS

2020 2025 2030 2035

1.2.4Growth in employment in key

manufacturing and service sectors.2 388 000 2 507 000 2 687 000 2 880 000 TBD

1.2.5 Growth output of manufacturing sector. R 79 104 R 88 272 R 99 385 R 111 898 R 125 985

1.2.6

1.2.6.1 Number of Domestic Tourists

(mn) (excluding visitors staying with

friends and relatives)

4.98 5.23 5.50 5.56 5.61

1.2.6.2 Number of International Tourists 743 615 815 112 TBD TBD TBD

NO PROPOSED AMENDMENTS

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Goal 1: Inclusive Economic Growth

SO 1.2 Enhance sectoral development through trade investment and business retention

No Strategic Objective IndicatorsBaseline

(2015)

TARGETS

2020 2025 2030 2035

1.2.7

Value spend in the tourism sector

Value Domestic spend in the tourism

sectorR 1 108 R 1 413 R 1 804 R 1 894 R 1 989

Value Foreign spend in the tourism

sector R 6 338 R 8 093 R 10 330 R 10 846 R 11 388

1.2.8

Growth in the number of jobs of

those employed in the Green

Economy.

TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD

1.2.9

Increase in the number of

businesses supported through

BR&E interventions.

82 200 250 400 500

NO PROPOSED AMENDMENTS 14

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Goal 1: Inclusive Economic Growth

SO 1.3 Enhance spatial economic development

NoStrategic Objective

Indicators

Baseline

(2015)

TARGETS

2020 2025 2030 2035

1.3.1

Annual percentage change in

employment and unemployment per

district.

District Unemployment Rate

Ugu 27.4% 26.0% 24.0% 23.0% 22.0%

uMgungundlovu 22.2% 21.0% 20.0% 19.0% 18.0%

uThukela 32.3% 30.0% 28.0% 27.0% 25.0%

uMzinyathi 27.4% 27.0% 26.0% 25.0% 24.0%

Amajuba 29.6% 28.0% 27.0% 25.0% 24.0%

Zululand 31.4% 29.0% 28.0% 27.0% 26.0%

uMkhanyakude 31.5% 29.0% 28.0% 27.0% 26.0%

King Cetshwayo 26.5% 24.0% 22.0% 20.0% 19.0%

iLembe 23.2% 21.0% 20.0% 19.0% 18.0%

Harry Gwala 25.4% 24.0% 23.0% 22.0% 21.0%

eThekwini 15.9% 15.2% 14.5% 14.0% 13.5%

KZN 21.25% 19.8% 18.6% 17.6% 16.7%

NO PROPOSED AMENDMENTS

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Goal 1: Inclusive Economic Growth

SO 1.3 Enhance spatial economic development

No Strategic Objective IndicatorsBaseline

(2015)

TARGETS

2020 2025 2030 2035

1.3.1 Annual percentage change in employment

and unemployment per district.

District Employment ('000)

Ugu 139 144 153 163 174

uMgungundlovu 304 321 355 392 433

uThukela 114 120 131 143 156

uMzinyathi 55 57 62 67 72

Amajuba 101 104 110 117 124

Zululand 99 103 110 118 126

uMkhanyakude 74 78 87 96 106

King Cetshwayo 188 199 218 240 264

iLembe 129 137 152 169 187

Harry Gwala 79 84 93 102 113

eThekwini 1 269 1 293 1 360 1 428 1 497

KZN 2 551 2 640 2 830 3 034 3 252

NO PROPOSED AMENDMENTS

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Goal 1: Inclusive Economic Growth

SO 1.3 Enhance spatial economic development

NoStrategic Objective

Indicators

Baseline

(2010)

Revised

Baseline

(2015)

TARGETS

2020 2025 2030 2035

1.3.3

1.3.3.1 Extent of (m²) of

appropriately zoned and

serviced industrial and

commercial land available

(Captured in gross leasable

area)(DTP)

New 322 000 m² 833 133 m² 933 165 m² 905 560 m² 768 495 m²

1.3.3.2 Extent of (m²) of

appropriately zoned and

serviced industrial and

commercial land available

(Captured in gross leasable

area)

(RBIDZ)

New 620 000m² 1 720 000m² 2 500 000m² 5 000 000m² 1 000 000m

NO PROPOSED AMENDMENTS

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Goal 1: Inclusive Economic Growth

SO 1.3 Enhance spatial economic development

NoStrategic Objective

Indicators

Baseline

(2015)

TARGETS

2020 2025 2030 2035

1.3.4

1.3.4.1 Rand value of

private sector investment in

the Durban

SEZ.(Cumulative) (DTP)

R1.3 Billion

Est. private

sector capex

R7.5 Billion

Est. private

sector capex

R15 Billion

Est. private

sector capex

R22 Billion

Est. private

sector capex

R29.5 Billion

1.3.4.2 Rand value of

private sector investment in

the Richards Bay

SEZ.(RBIDZ)

R320 Million

R2.5 billion

(estimated)

Est. 11.1 billion

R3.2 billion

(estimated)

Est. 46 billion

R3.6 billion

(estimated)

Est. 52 billion

R4 billion

(estimated)

Est. 78 billion

• Revised targets from RBIDZ

• 2020 target based on actual pipeline

• 2025 target includes +/- R25 bn 2000 MW gas power plant and +/- R6 bn ship/rig

repair facility if land can be made available by Transnet

• 2030 target: projections and will depend on serviced land being available in Phase 2

• 2035 target includes proposed PPP oil refinery. Excludes downstream investment in

petrochemicals (=/- R10 bn)

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Goal 1: Inclusive Economic Growth

SO 1.4 Improve the Efficiency, Innovation and Variety of

Government-led Job Creation Programmes

NoStrategic Objective

Indicators

Baseline

(2015)

TARGETS

2020 2025 2030 2035

1.4.1 Growth in the number of new small

contractors 614 7 114 9 114 10 014 10 314

1.4.2Reduction in the cost per EPWP and CWP jobs

Infrastructure sectorR39.870 R38.674 R37.127 R35.271 R31.744

Environmental & Culture sectorR39.617 R37.636 R35.655 R33.159 R29.843

Social sector R30.901 R29.355 R27.811 R26.266 R24.721

1.4.3 Percentage of provincial government

expenditure of goods and services

procured on local content.

New 25 30 35 40

1.4.4 Direct employment multipliers from

infrastructure development and

maintenance and related development

projects

96 969 124 736 132 220 140 153 148 562

MOVED TO STRATEGIC

OBJECTIVE 1.5

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Goal 1: Inclusive Economic Growth

SO 1.4 Improve the Efficiency, Innovation and Variety of

Government-led Job Creation Programmes

NoStrategic Objective

Indicators

Baseline

(2015)

TARGETS

2020 2025 2030 2035

1.4.5

Cumulative Number of FTEs created

through EPWP and CWP, inclusive of

all Sectors

136 269 164 835 174 725 185 208 196 322

1.4.6

Cumulative Number of Work Opportunities created through EPWP and CWP inclusive of all Sectors

Infrastructure Sector 96 969 124 736 132 220 140 153 148 562

Environmental & Culture Sector 10 121 9 033 9 575 10 149 10 758

Social Sector 29 179 31 066 32 930 34 906 37 000

1.4.7

Number of emerging contractors

trained 580 1 160 1 410 1 560 1 710

NO PROPOSED AMENDMENTS 20

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Goal 1: Inclusive Economic Growth

SO 1.5 Promote SMME and Entrepreneurial Development

NoStrategic Objective

Indicators

Baseline

(2015)

TARGETS

2020 2025 2030 2035

1.5.1 Increase in the number of SMMEs

and cooperatives established.18 122 1812 1994 2192 2412

1.5.2Increase in survival rate of SMMEs

and cooperatives.5% 5% 6% 8% 10%

1.5.3

Increase in the number of jobs

generated by SMMEs and

Cooperatives.

25 500 25 500 30 600 40 800 51 000

1.5.4

Proportion of private sector

expenditure on goods and

services procured on local

content.

TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD

NO PROPOSED AMENDMENTS 21

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Goal 1: Inclusive Economic Growth

SO 1.5 Promote SMME and Entrepreneurial Development

NoStrategic Objective

Indicators

Baseline

(2015)

TARGETS

2020 2025 2030 2035

1.5.5

Number of local municipalities

supported to develop informal

economy policies.

52 54 54 54 54

1.5.6

Number of municipal officials

capacitated to support the

informal economy sector.

156 162 162 162 162

1.5.7

Number of municipalities funded

for informal economy

infrastructure development.

40 45 50 55 55

1.5.8

Increase the level of BBBEE

Compliance in KZNLevel 3

compliance

Level 2

compliance

Level 2

compliance

Level 1

compliance

Level 1

compliance

NO PROPOSED AMENDMENTS22

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Goal 1: Inclusive Economic Growth

SO 1.6 Enhance the Knowledge Economy

NoStrategic Objective

Indicators

Baseline

(2015)

TARGETS

2020 2025 2030 2035

1.6.1Gross expenditure on R&D

as a proportion of GVA GDP

R2 752m

0.56%

R4 000m

0.8%

R6 000m

1.05%

R8 000m

1.3%

TBD

1.6%

1.6.2

Percentage of SA patents

and designs registered by

KZN entities and individuals

181

12%

increase

from base

year

17%

increase

from base

year

22%

increase

from base

year

25%

increase

from base

year

1.6.3Number of functional

technology hubs.0 4 TBD TBD TBD

Replaced proportion from GVA to GDP as a

percentage and targets changed to percentages

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Goal 1: Inclusive Economic Growth

SO 1.6 Enhance the Knowledge Economy

NoStrategic Objective

Indicators

Baseline

(2015)

TARGETS

2020 2025 2030 2035

1.6.4Occupation rate in techno

hubs.0 25% TBD TBD TBD

1.6.5Government contribution

on green economy R&D.TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD

1.6.6

% of registered professional

engineers in the KZN labour

force

7.27%

increase

from base

year

10%

increase

on base

year

12.5%

increase

on base

year

15%

increase

on base

year

17.5%

increase

on base

year

NO PROPOSED AMENDMENTS

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Goal 1: Inclusive Economic Growth

SO 1.5 Promote SMME and entrepreneurial

development

SO 1.5 Interventions

Develop a tool and mechanism for collecting data on private sector

and provincial government expenditure on local content.

Provincial government expenditure added to track

progress on indicator that is moved to SO 1.5.

Percentage of provincial government expenditure of

goods and services procured on local content

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Goal 1: Inclusive Economic Growth

SO 1.6 Enhance the Knowledge Economy

SO 1.6 Interventions

Develop a proxy indicator to measure government gross expenditure

on green economy R&D

This is a new intervention to ensure that an indicator is

developed to track governments contribution to research

and development in the Green Economy

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Human Resource Development

• No amendments to Goal Indicators

• 11 Amendments to Objective Indicators; and

• 3 additions to Interventions

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NoStrategic Objective

Indicators

Baseline

(2015)

TARGETS

2020 2025 2030 2035

2.1 2.1.1 Percentage of learners performing at all the required levels in all grades in national

benchmark assessments equivalent (previously ANA) the CAPS provincial assessment

2.1.1.1 Percentage of learners

performing at the required levels in

grade 3 Language in national

benchmark assessments equivalent

(previously ANA) the CAPS provincial assessment

71.4%

48%

90.4%

82%

100%

87%

100%

92%

100%

97%

Goal 2: Human Resource Development

SO 2.1 Improve early childhood development, primary and

secondary education

With ANA terminated there is no national benchmark and CAPS

assessments (Curriculum Assessment Policy Statement) will be used as

a provincial benchmark.

30

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NoStrategic Objective

Indicators

Baseline

(2015)

TARGETS

2020 2025 2030 2035

2.1.1.2 Percentage of learners

performing at the required levels in

grade 3 Mathematics in national

benchmark assessments equivalent

(previously ANA) the CAPS provincial assessment

95.9%

36%

100%

93%

100%

98%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Goal 2: Human Resource Development

SO 2.1 Improve early childhood development, primary and

secondary education

With ANA terminated there is now no national benchmark and CAPS

assessments will be used as a provincial benchmark

31

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No Strategic Objective IndicatorsBaseline

(2015)

TARGETS

2020 2025 2030 2035

2.1.1.3 Percentage of learners

performing at the required levels in

grade 6 Language in national

benchmark assessments equivalent

(previously ANA) the CAPS provincial assessment

71.4%

41%

90.4%

91%

100%

96%

100%

100%

100%

100%

2.1.1.4 Percentage of learners

performing at the required levels in

grade 6 Mathematics in national

benchmark assessments equivalent

(previously ANA) ) the CAPS provincial assessment

95.9%

15%

100%

82%

100%

87%

100%

92%

100%

97%

Goal 2: Human Resource Development

SO 2.1 Improve early childhood development, primary and

secondary education

With ANA terminated there is now no national benchmark and CAPS

assessments will be used as a provincial benchmark32

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No Strategic Objective IndicatorsBaseline

(2015)

TARGETS

2020 2025 2030 2035

2.1.1.5 Percentage of learners performing

at the required levels in grade 9

Language in national benchmark

assessments equivalent (previously ANA)the CAPS provincial assessment

71.4%

15%

90.4%

71%

100%

76%

100%

81%

100%

86%

2.1.1.6 Percentage of learners performing

at the required levels in grade 9

Mathematics in national benchmark

assessments equivalent (previously ANA)the CAPS provincial assessment

95.9%

4%

100%

41%

100%

46%

50%

100%

51%

60%

100%

56%

70%

Goal 2: Human Resource Development

SO 2.1 Improve early childhood development, primary and

secondary education

• Commission changed the targets provided by AWG otherwise

planning for mediocrity – For Discussion

• The “required levels” also need to remain constant33

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No Strategic Objective IndicatorsBaseline

(2015)

TARGETS

2020 2025 2030 2035

2.1 2.1.8 Percentage of Grade 12 learners

passing Mathematics at 50% or more

in the NSC 12%

23%

25%

34%

45%

40%

65%

45%

75%

2.1.9 Percentage of Grade 12 learners

passing Science at 50% or more in

the NSC 18%

24%

25%

30%

45%

36%

65%

42%

75%

Goal 2: Human Resource Development

SO 2.1 Improve early childhood development, primary and

secondary education

TARGETS ADJUSTED UPWARDS

36

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NoStrategic Objective

Indicators

Baseline

(2015)

TARGETS

2020 2025 2030 2035

2.1.14 Number of learners qualifying in

NSC for:

Bachelors programme

Diploma

Certificate

28 500

36 000

25 000

33 000

38 000

26 000

33 000

39 000

27 000

35 000

40 000

28 000

36 000

41 000

29 000

2.1.15 Retention rate Grade 1 - 12 51% 55% 60% 65% 70%

2.1.16

Percentage of learners in public

ordinary schools benefiting from

the “No Fee Schools” policy

75.5% 76% 76.5% 77% 2.1.16

2.1.17Percentage of learners benefitting

from school nutrition programme80% 82% 82.5% 83% 2.1.17

Goal 2: Human Resource Development

SO 2.1 Improve early childhood development, primary and

secondary education

These are new indicators 38

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Goal 2: Human Resource Development

SO 2.2 Support skills alignment to economic growth

This is a new intervention to develop and measure

the indicator: proportion of students graduating

within 4 years of registering

SO 2.2 Interventions

Engage with relevant stakeholders to develop and measure the indicator

on proportion of students graduating within 4 years of registering

44

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Goal 2: Human Resource Development

SO 2.3 Enhance youth and adult skills development and life-

long learning

This is a new intervention to increase opportunities

for skills development through work-integrated

learning

SO 2.3 Interventions

Increase the number of youth work-integrated learning opportunities

45

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Human and Community Development

• 5 Amendments to Goal Indicators

• 14 Amendments to Objective Indicators; and

• 14 Amendments to Interventions

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GOAL

INDICATORS

Baseline

(2015)

TARGETS

2020 2025 2030 2035

Life expectancy as

measure of the

quality of life

57.7 years 60.5 years 63 years 65.9 years 67.4 years

Life expectancy at

birth

Male: 49.2

Female: 51

Male: 56.5

Female: 61.2

Male: 59

Female: 63.7

Male: 61

Female: 66.2

Male: 63

Female 68.7

Goal 3: Human and Community Development

THIS IS A REFINED INDICATOR

47

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GOAL INDICATORS Baseline

(2015)

TARGETS

2020 2025 2030 2035

Decrease in social

inequality

Gini Coefficient

19.4

0.63

22.1

0.62

25.4

0.61

29.2

0.69

TBD

0.58

Adjusted Human

Development Index

South African

Multidimensional Poverty

Index

0.72

0.05

0.80

0.03

0.90

0.025

1.00

0.020

TBD

0.0125

Decrease in absolute

poverty: % of households

below the national food

poverty line)

17.99 10.79 5.40 0.00 0.00

Goal 3: Human and Community Development

THESE ARE REFINED INDICATORS48

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GOAL INDICATORSBaseline

(2015)

TARGETS

2020 2025 2030 2035

Percentage of households

below the lower bound

poverty line

40.2% 30.2% 15.2% 00.00% 00.00%

Percentage of households

below the upper bound

poverty line

52.1% 45% 35% 20% 15.9%

Goal 3: Human and Community Development

THESE ARE NEW GOAL INDICATORS

49

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NoStrategic Objective

Indicators

Baseline

(2015)

TARGETS

2020 2025 2030 2035

3.1.1

Effective dependency ratio

(economically inactive

people/economically active

people) Baseline: Stats SA

QLFS. 2010)

60.8 54.7 52 49 47

3.1.2

Percentage of Functional

Operation Sukuma Sakhe

war rooms

New

783

80%

822

85%

863

90%

906

95%

3.1.3

The poverty gap (p1) and

severity of poverty (p2)

(Baseline NIDS 2008)

27.4 (p1)

15.9 (p2)

23.3 (p1)

14.5 (p2)

25,5 [p1]

14,4 [p2]]

5.1 (p1)

3.3 (p2)

0.0 (p1)

0.0 (p2)

Goal 3: Human and Community Development

SO 3.1 Eradicate poverty and improve social welfare

THIS IS A REFINED INDICATOR50

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NoStrategic Objective

Indicators

Baseline

(2015)

TARGETS

2020 2025 2030 2035

3.1.5

Reduction in relative poverty: %

below upper bound poverty line, PL

= 1.25 R418 proposed by NPC)

(Baseline: NIDS, 2008)

DUPLICATION WITH GOAL

INDICATOR ON THE UPPER

POVERTY BOUND POVERTY LINE

3.6 3.2 6.5 5.5 4.2

3.1.6

3.1.5

Number of eligible social grant

applications

Percentage of social grant

beneficiaries (measured against

the KZN population)

3 918 463

34.86%

3 943 621

35.49%

3 968 779

36.45%

3 993 937

37.13%

4 019 095

38.99%

Goal 3: Human and Community Development

SO 3.1 Eradicate poverty and improve social welfare

THIS IS A REFINED INDICATOR53

?

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Goal 3: Human and Community Development

SO 3.1 Eradicate poverty and improve social welfare

SO 3.1 Interventions Scaling up integrated community- and facility-based interventions to decrease

malnutrition in children under the age of 5 years

Accelerate the roll-out of and the monitoring and evaluation impact of the Poverty

Eradication Master Plan and Sukuma Sakhe and related social welfare

programmes including the development of Community and Ward Based Plans for

the identified, most poverty stricken municipalities.

SPLIT INTO 2 INTERVENTIONS AS INDICATED BELOW

Accelerate the roll-out of the Poverty Eradication Master Plan and evaluate the

impact it has made in the most deprived wards.

Accelerate the roll-out of the Operation Sukuma Sakhe and evaluate the impact it

has made in the Province

THESE ARE REFINED INTERVENTIONS

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Goal 3: Human and Community Development

SO 3.1 Eradicate poverty and improve social welfare

SO 3.1 Interventions Massification of ECD Services

Moved to Strategic Objective 2.1

Collaborate with NGOs with proven track records to augment service

delivery, training of trainers / practitioners, and for implementation models

Strengthen collaboration with and capacity building of NPOs to augment

service delivery

THIS IS A REFINED INTERVENTION

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NoStrategic Objective

Indicators

Baseline

(2015)

TARGETS

2020 2025 2030 2035

3.2.1

Percentage of people

living within an

internationally acceptable

radius of a fully functional

healthcare facility

throughout the Province

Percentage of population

within a 5km radius of a

health service

TBD

TBD

TBD

TBD

TBD

TBD

TBD

TBD

TBD

TBD

Goal 3: Human and Community Development

SO 3.2 Enhance health of communities and citizens

THIS IS A REFINED INDICATOR56

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Goal 3: Human and Community Development

SO 3.2 Enhance health of communities and citizens

THESE ARE REFINED INTERVENTIONS

SO 3.2 InterventionsRe-engineer Primary Health Care including community and facility-based services

and programmes, as well as to integrate lessons learned from NHI pilot.

Scale up implementation of strategic interventions to fast track transformation of

public health services towards universal health coverage

Implement the 90-90-90 strategy for HIV, AIDS; TB and Non-Communicable

Diseases

Implement the KZN 2017-2022 Multi-Sectoral Response Plan for HIV, TB and STIs

to reduce the burden of communicable diseases

Enhance physical and mental health programmes with increased focus on

screening and referral

Accelerate implementation of comprehensive integrated community- and facility-

based services/ interventions to improve maternal, neonatal and child health

Accelerate implementation of comprehensive and integrated community- and

facility-based services/ interventions to reduce the burden of non-communicable

diseases

61

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Goal 3: Human and Community Development

SO 3.2 Enhance health of communities and citizens

THESE ARE REFINED INTERVENTIONS

SO 3.2 Interventions

Research metric to track causes of natural deaths and notifiable deaths

as an early warning system

Facilitate health research and knowledge management to inform evidence-

based and responsive planning and decision-making

Develop norms and standards to measure the percentage of people living

within an internationally acceptable radius of a fully functional healthcare

facility throughout the Province

Develop the indicator to measure percentage of population within a 5 km

radius of a health service

Develop the indicator to measure the percentage of the population with

private medical cover

62

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NoStrategic Objective

Indicators

Baseline

(2015)

TARGETS

2020 2025 2030 2035

3.3.2

Hunger episodes: household

member has gone hungry at

least sometimes in past 12

months: % of households

32 24 12 0 0

3.3.2

Percentage of households

experiencing food inadequacy

(food access severely

inadequate)

5.8% 4.1% 1.8% 0.00% 0.00%

3.3.3

Percentage of households

involved in agriculture to

create the main source of food

for the household in the

Province

7.7% 8.2% 8.8% 9.2% 10.0%

Goal 3: Human and Community Development

SO 3.3 Enhance sustainable household food security

THESE ARE NEW INDICATORS 63

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Goal 3: Human and Community Development

SO 3.6 Advance social cohesion and social capital

SO 3.6 Interventions 1. Establish a Social and Moral Regeneration Council at Provincial

level to systematically build social capital and work for social

cohesion

2. Formalise and implement a social cohesion strategy for the

Province (to cover responsible citizenry, moral regeneration, ethics

at work etc.) and to support mutually beneficial platforms as

solutions to help reduce tensions between South African and

foreign small and informal traders. Finalise and implement a Social

and Moral Regeneration Strategy for the Province to cover

responsible citizenry, moral regeneration, ethics and support

mutually beneficial platforms to help reduce tensions between SA

and foreign nationals

THESE ARE REFINED INTERVENTIONS

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71

NoStrategic Objective

Indicators

Baseline

(2015)

TARGETS

2020 2025 2030 2035

3.7.1

3.7.1.1 Percentage of youth, in

all spheres of socio-economic

opportunities

New 10% 15% 20% 25%

3.7.1.2 Percentage of wards that

have functional youth

structures

New 80% 85% 90% 95%

3.7.2

3.7.2.1 Percentage of women in

all spheres of socio-economic

opportunities

New 10% 15% 20% 25%

3.7.2.2 Percentage of wards that

have functional women

structures

New 80% 85% 90% 95%

Goal 3: Human and Community Development

SO 3.7 Promote youth, gender and disability advocacy and

the advancement of women

THESE ARE NEW INDICATORS 71

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NoStrategic Objective

Indicators

Baseline

(2015)

TARGETS

2020 2025 2030 2035

3.7.3

3.7.3.1 Percentage of people

with disability in all spheres of

socio-economic opportunities

New 10% 15% 20% 25%

3.7.3.2 Percentage of functional

local disability forumsNew 80% 85% 90% 95%

3.7.4

Level of participation of women,

youth and people with

disabilities in the processes of

governance and consultative structures at all levels.

New TBD TBD TBD TBD

Goal 3: Human and Community Development

SO 3.7 Promote youth, gender and disability advocacy and

the advancement of women

THIS IS A NEW INDICATOR

72

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Strategic Infrastructure

• No amendments to Goal Indicators

• 2 amendments to Objective Indicators; and

• No addition to Interventions

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76

NoStrategic Objective

Indicators

Baseline

(2015)

TARGETS

2020 2025 2030 2035

4.1.1

Increase in efficiencies and volumes (of cargo and passengers) of Durban Port, Richards Bay Port and Dube Tradeport as measured by the following:

4.1.1.1 Ports throughput measured in million TEU’s at:

Durban Port 2.8 mil TEUs 3.29 mil TEUs

4.3 mil TEUs

5.4 mil TEUs

5.0 mil TEUs

5.8 mil TEUs

6.14 mil TEUs

Richards Bay Port 24 000 TEUs 24 000 TEUs

24 000 TEUs

30 000 TEUs

24 000 TEUs

30 000 TEUs

24 000 TEUs

30 000 TEUs

Goal 4: Strategic Infrastructure

SO 4.1 Development of seaports and airports

TARGETS ADJUSTED UPWARDS BASED ON LATEST

INFORMATION FROM TRANSNET

76

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77

NoStrategic Objective

Indicators

Baseline

(2015)

TARGETS

2020 2025 2030 2035

4.1.1.2 Ports throughput measured in Dry Bulk volumes (Million tons) at:

Durban Port9.6 Million

Tons

9.6 Million

Tons

10.0 Million

Tons

12.6 Million

Tons

14.1 Million

Tons

Richards Bay Port

17.6 Mil

Tons

92 mil

tons

25.78 Mil

Tons

114 mil

tons

29.0 Mil

Tons

115 mil

tons

33.7 Mil

Tons

149 mil

tons

39.4 Mil

Tons

160 mil

tons

Goal 4: Strategic Infrastructure

SO 4.1 Development of seaports and airports

TARGETS ADJUSTED UPWARDS BASED ON LATEST

INFORMATION FROM TRANSNET

77

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87

NoStrategic Objective

Indicators

Baseline

(2015)

TARGETS

2020 2025 2030 2035

4.4.1Surface Water Storage as a

percentage of surface mean

annual runoff per district

TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD

4.4.2

Quantity of water

abstracted per annum in

each district.

2.470 mill m³ 2.655 mill m³ 2814.6 mill m³ 2955.3 mill m³ 3103 mill m³

4.4.2 (a)Quantity of surface water

abstracted abstracted per

annum in each district.

2061.8 mill m³ 2216.4 mill m³ 2349.4 mill m³ 2466.9 mill m³ 2590.2 mill m³

4.4.2 (b)

Quantity of groundwater

abstracted per annum in

KZN as a % of groundwater

potential

abstracted per annum in

each district.

24.5% 25.7% 27.0% 28.3% 29.8%

Goal 4: Strategic Infrastructure

SO 4.4 Ensure availability and sustainable management of

water and sanitation for all

THESE ARE REFINED INDICTORS 87

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93

Environmental Sustainability

• No amendments to Goal Indicators

• No Amendments to Objective Indicators; and

• No addition to Interventions

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100

Governance and Policy

• No amendments to Goal Indicators

• No Amendments to Objective Indicators; and

• 2 additions to Interventions

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112

GOAL 6: GOVERNANCE AND POLICY

SO 6.3 Eradicate fraud and corruption

SO 6.3 Interventions Expedite the conclusion of all forensic and disciplinary cases related to

fraud and corruption

Ensure effective recovery of monies defrauded

THESE ARE NEW INTERVENTIONS

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116

Spatial Equity

• No amendments to Goal Indicators

• No Amendments to Objective Indicators; and

• No addition to Interventions

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REFER TO ATTACHED UPDATED LIST OF

CATALYTIC PROJECTS

CATALYTIC PROJECTS TO BE PRESENTED

WITH THE INFRASTRUCTURE PRESENTATION

IN SESSION 11

121

UPDATED CATALYTIC PROJECTS

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122

PR

OV

INC

E O

VE

RV

IEW

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138

3.PGDP IMPLEMENTATION

FOCUS

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1. Key strategic actions and deliverables

for Goal Indicators

2. Key strategic actions and deliverables

for Objective Indicators

3. Intervention Action Plans

139

ACTION WORKGROUPS TO DEVELOP

ANNUAL BUSINESS PLANS

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140

4.RESOLUTIONS

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Draft Proposed Lekgotla Resolutions

Res

No.Resolutions Responsibility Timeframe

PGDP

AWG

1The Lekgotla to adopt the draft

2017/18 PGDP

Planning

Commission

August

2017All

2

The draft 2017/18 PGDP to be

submitted to the Executive

Council for approval

Planning

Commission

October

2017All

3

Action Work Groups to be

supported to develop, implement

and monitor the PGDP

implementation plans

OTP Ongoing All

141

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“KZN as a prosperous Province with healthy, secure and skilled population, living in dignity and harmony, acting as a gateway between Africa and the World”

Siyabonga - Thank You

For South Africa to work,

KZN must work

www.kznppc.gov.za

142

“Working Together to achieve

KZN Vision 2035”