Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
-
Upload
rushabh-vora -
Category
Documents
-
view
287 -
download
9
Transcript of Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
1/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 1
Chapter 9
Statistical Inference:
Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
The main objective of Chapter 9 is to help you to learn how to test hypotheses on singlepopulations, thereby enabling you to:
1. Understand the logic of hypothesis testing and know how to establish null and
alternate hypotheses.2. Understand Type I and Type II errors and know how to solve for Type II errors.3. Know how to implement the HTAB system to test hypotheses.
4. Test hypotheses about a single population mean when is known.
5. Test hypotheses about a single population mean when is unknown.6. Test hypotheses about a single population proportion.7. Test hypotheses about a single population variance.
CHAPTER TEACHING STRATEGY
For some instructors, this chapter is the cornerstone of the first statistics course.Hypothesis testing presents the logic in which ideas, theories, etc., are scientificallyexamined. The student can be made aware that much of the development of concepts tothis point including sampling, level of data measurement, descriptive tools such as meanand standard deviation, probability, and distributions pave the way for testing hypotheses.Often students (and instructors) will say "Why do we need to test this hypothesis whenwe can make a decision by examining the data?" Sometimes it is true that examining thedata could allow hypothesis decisions to be made. However, by using the methodologyand structure of hypothesis testing even in "obvious" situations, the researcher has added
credibility and rigor to his/her findings. Some statisticians actually report findings in acourt of law as an expert witness. Others report their findings in a journal, to the public,to the corporate board, to a client, or to their manager. In each case, by using thehypothesis testing method rather than a "seat of the pants" judgment, the researcherstands on a much firmer foundation by using the principles of hypothesis testing andrandom sampling. Chapter 9 brings together many of the tools developed to this pointand formalizes a procedure for testing hypotheses.
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
2/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 2
The statistical hypotheses are set up as to contain all possible decisions. The
two-tailed test always has = and in the null and alternative hypothesis. One-tailedtests are presented with = in the null hypothesis and either > or < in the alternativehypothesis. If in doubt, the researcher should use a two-tailed test. Chapter 9 beginswith a two-tailed test example. Often that which the researcher wants to demonstrate true
or prove true is set up as the alternative hypothesis. The null hypothesis is that the newtheory or idea is not true, the status quo is still true, or that there is no difference. Thenull hypothesis is assumed to be true before the process begins. Some researchers likenthis procedure to a court of law where the defendant is presumed innocent (assume null istrue - nothing has happened). Evidence is brought before the judge or jury. If enoughevidence is presented, then the null hypothesis (defendant innocent) can no longer beaccepted or assumed true. The null hypothesis is rejected as not true and the alternatehypothesis is accepted as true by default. Emphasize that the researcher needs to make adecision after examining the observed statistic.
Some of the key concepts in this chapter are one-tailed and two-tailed test and
Type I and Type II error. In order for a one-tailed test to be conducted, the problem mustinclude some suggestion of a direction to be tested. If the student sees such words asgreater, less than, more than, higher, younger, etc., then he/she knows to use a one-tailtest. If no direction is given (test to determine if there is a "difference"), then a two-tailedtest is called for. Ultimately, students will see that the only effect of using a one-tailedtest versus a two-tailed test is on the critical table value. A one-tailed test uses all of thevalue of alpha in one tail. A two-tailed test splits alpha and uses alpha/2 in each tail thuscreating a critical value that is further out in the distribution. The result is that (all thingsbeing the same) it is more difficult to reject the null hypothesis with a two-tailed test.Many computer packages such as MINITAB include in the results a p-value. If youdesignate that the hypothesis test is a two-tailed test, the computer will double thep-value
so that it can be compared directly to alpha.
In discussing Type I and Type II errors, there are a few things to consider. Oncea decision is made regarding the null hypothesis, there is a possibility that the decision iscorrect or that an error has been made. Since the researcher virtually never knows forcertain whether the null hypothesis was actually true or not, a probability of committingone of these errors can be computed. Emphasize with the students that a researcher cannever commit a Type I error and a Type II error at the same time. This is so because aType I error can only be committed when the null hypothesis is rejected and a Type IIerror can only be committed when the decision is to not reject the null hypothesis. Type Iand Type II errors are important concepts for managerial students to understand even
beyond the realm of statistical hypothesis testing. For example, if a manager decides tofire or not fire an employee based on some evidence collected, he/she could becommitting a Type I or a Type II error depending on the decision. If the productionmanager decides to stop the production line because of evidence of faulty raw materials,he/she might be committing a Type I error. On the other hand, if the manager fails toshut the production line down even when faced with evidence of faulty raw materials,he/she might be committing a Type II error.
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
3/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 3
The student can be told that there are some widely accepted values for alpha(probability of committing a Type I error) in the research world and that a value isusually selected before the research begins. On the other hand, since the value of Beta(probability of committing a Type II error) varies with every possible alternate value ofthe parameter being tested, Beta is usually examined and computed over a range of
possible values of that parameter. As you can see, the concepts of hypothesis testing aredifficult and represent higher levels of learning (logic, transfer, etc.). Studentunderstanding of these concepts will improve as you work your way through thetechniques in this chapter and in chapter 10.
CHAPTER OUTLINE
9.1 Introduction to Hypothesis TestingTypes of Hypotheses
Research HypothesesStatistical HypothesesSubstantive HypothesesUsing the HTAB System to Test HypothesesRejection and Non-rejection RegionsType I and Type II errors
9.2 Testing Hypotheses About a Population Mean Using thezStatistic ( known)Testing the Mean with a Finite PopulationUsing thep-Value Method to Test HypothesesUsing the Critical Value Method to Test Hypotheses
Using the Computer to Test Hypotheses about a Population Mean UsingthezStatistic
9.3 Testing Hypotheses About a Population Mean Using the tStatistic ( unknown)Using the Computer to Test Hypotheses about a Population Mean Using
the tTest
9.4 Testing Hypotheses About a ProportionUsing the Computer to Test Hypotheses about a Population Proportion
9.5 Testing Hypotheses About a Variance
9.6 Solving for Type II ErrorsSome Observations About Type II ErrorsOperating Characteristic and Power CurvesEffect of Increasing Sample Size on the Rejection Limits
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
4/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 4
KEY TERMS
Alpha( ) One-tailed TestAlternative Hypothesis Operating-Characteristic Curve (OC)
Beta( ) p-Value MethodCritical Value Power Critical Value Method Power CurveHypothesis Rejection RegionHypothesis Testing Research HypothesisLevel of Significance Statistical HypothesisNonrejection Region Substantive ResultNull Hypothesis Two-Tailed TestObserved Significance Level Type I Error Observed Value Type II Error
SOLUTIONS TO PROBLEMS IN CHAPTER 9
9.1 a) Ho: = 25
Ha: 25
x = 28.1 n = 57 = 8.46 = .01
For two-tail, /2 = .005 zc = 2.575
z=
57
46.8
251.28 =
n
x
= 2.77
observedz= 2.77 >zc = 2.575
Reject the null hypothesis
b) from Table A.5, inside area betweenz= 0 andz= 2.77 is .4972
p-value = .5000 - .4972 = .0028
Since thep-value of .0028 is less than /2 = .005, the decision is to:Reject the null hypothesis
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
5/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 5
c) critical mean values:
zc =
n
xc
2.575 =
57
46.8
25cx
x c = 25 2.885
x c = 27.885 (upper value)
x c = 22.115 (lower value)
9.2 Ho: = 7.48Ha: < 7.48
x = 6.91 n = 24 = 1.21 =.01
For one-tail, = .01 zc = -2.33
z =
24
21.1
48.791.6 =
n
x
= -2.31
observedz= -2.31 >zc = -2.33
Fail to reject the null hypothesis
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
6/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 6
9.3 a) Ho: = 1,200Ha: > 1,200
x = 1,215 n = 113 = 100 = .10
For one-tail, = .10 zc = 1.28
z =
113
100
200,1215,1 =
n
x
= 1.59
observedz= 1.59 >zc = 1.28
Reject the null hypothesis
b) Probability > observedz= 1.59 is .5000 - .4441 = .0559 (thep-value) which is
less than = .10.Reject the null hypothesis.
c) Critical mean value:
zc =
n
x c
1.28 =113
100
200,1cx
x c = 1,200 + 12.04
Since the observed x = 1,215 is greater than the critical x = 1212.04, thedecision is to reject the null hypothesis.
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
7/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 7
9.4 Ho: = 82Ha: < 82
x = 78.125 n = 32 = 9.184 = .01
z.01 = -2.33
z=
32
184.9
82125.78 =
n
x
= -2.39
Since observedz= -2.39
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
8/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 8
9.6 H0: = $62,600
Ha: < $62,600
x = $58,974 n = 18 = $7,810 = .01
1-tailed test, = .01 z.01 = -2.33
z =
18
810,7
600,62974,58 =
n
x
= -1.97
Since the observedz= -1.97 >z.01 = -2.33, the decision is to fail to reject thenull hypothesis.
9.7 H0
:
= 5
Ha: 5
x = 5.0611 n = 42 N= 650 = 0.2803 = .10
2-tailed test, /2 = .05 z.05 = + 1.645
z =
1650
42650
42
2803.0
50611.5
1
=
N
nN
n
x
= 1.46
Since the observedz= 1.46
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
9/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 9
x = $4,008 n = 55 = $386 = .01
For one-tailed test, = .01, z.01 = -2.33
z =
55
386$292,4$008,4$ =
n
x
= -5.46
Since the observedz= -5.46 123
= .05 n = 40 40 people were sampled
x = 132.36 s = 27.68
This is a one-tailed test. Since thep-value = .016, we
reject the null hypothesis at = .05.The average water usage per person is greater than 123 gallons.
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
10/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 10
9.11 n = 20 x = 16.45 s = 3.59 df = 20 - 1 = 19 = .05
Ho: = 16
Ha: 16
For two-tail test, /2 = .025, critical t.025,19 = 2.093
t =
20
59.3
1645.16 =
n
s
x
= 0.56
Observed t= 0.56 < t.025,19 = 2.093
The decision is to Fail to reject the null hypothesis
9.12 n = 51 x = 58.42 s2 = 25.68 df = 51 - 1 = 50 = .01
Ho: = 60Ha: < 60
For one-tail test, = .01 critical t.01,50 = -2.403
t =
51
68.25
6042.58 =
n
s
x
= -2.23
Observed t= -2.23 > t.01,7 = -2.403
The decision is to Fail to reject the null hypothesis
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
11/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 11
9.13 n = 11 x = 1,235.36 s = 103.81 df = 11 - 1 = 10 = .05
Ho: = 1,160Ha: > 1,160
or one-tail test, = .05 critical t.05,10 = 1.812
t =
11
81.103
160,136.236,1 =
n
s
x
= 2.44
Observed t= 2.44 > t.05,10 = 1.812
The decision is to Reject the null hypothesis
9.14 n = 20 x = 8.37 s = .1895 df = 20-1 = 19 = .01
Ho: = 8.3
Ha: 8.3
For two-tail test, /2 = .005 critical t.005,19 = 2.861
t =
20
1895.
3.837.8 =
n
s
x
= 1.65
Observed t= 1.65 < t.005,19 = 2.861
The decision is to Fail to reject the null hypothesis
9.15 n = 12 x = 1.85083 s = .02353 df = 12 - 1 = 11 = .10
H0: = 1.84
Ha: 1.84
For a two-tailed test, /2 = .05 critical t.05,11 = 1.796
t = 1202353.
84.185083.1 =
ns
x
= 1.59
Since t= 1.59 < t11,.05 = 1.796,The decision is to fail to reject the null hypothesis.
9.16 n = 25 x = 3.1948 s = .0889 df = 25 - 1 = 24 = .01
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
12/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 12
Ho: = $3.16Ha: > $3.16
For one-tail test, = .01 Critical t.01,24 = 2.492
t =
25
0889.16.31948.3
=
n
sx
= 1.96
Observed t= 1.96 < t.01,24 = 2.492The decision is to Fail to reject the null hypothesis
9.17 n = 19 x = $31.67 s = $1.29 df = 19 1 = 18 = .05
H0: = $32.28
Ha: $32.28
Two-tailed test, /2 = .025 t.025,18 = + 2.101
t =
19
29.1
28.3267.31 =
n
s
x
= -2.06
The observed t= -2.06 > t.025,18 = -2.101,The decision is to fail to reject the null hypothesis
9.18 n = 61 x = 3.72 s = 0.65 df = 61 1 = 60 = .01
H0: = 3.51
Ha: > 3.51
One-tailed test, = .01 t.01,60 = 2.390
t =
61
65.0
51.372.3 =
n
s
x
= 2.52
The observed t= 2.52 > t.01,60 = 2.390,The decision is to reject the null hypothesis
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
13/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 13
9.19 n = 22 x = 1031.32 s = 240.37 df = 22 1 = 21 = .05
H0: = 1135
Ha: 1135
Two-tailed test, /2= .025 t.025,21 = +2.080
t =
22
37.240
113532.1031 =
n
s
x
= -2.02
The observed t= -2.02 > t.025,21 = -2.080,The decision is to fail toreject the null hypothesis
9.20 n = 12 x = 42.167 s = 9.124 df = 12 1 = 11 = .01
H0: = 46
Ha: < 46
One-tailed test, = .01 t.01,11 = -2.718
t =
12
124.9
46167.42 =
n
s
x
= -1.46
The observed t= -1.46 > t.01,11 = -2.718,The decision is to fail toreject the null hypothesis
9.21 n = 26 x = 19.534 minutes s = 4.100 minutes = .05
H0: = 19
Ha: 19
Two-tailed test, /2 = .025, critical tvalue = + 2.06
Observed tvalue = 0.66. Since the observed t= 0.66 < critical tvalue = 2.06,
The decision is to fail to reject the null hypothesis.
Since the Excelp-value = .256 > /2 = .025 and MINITABp-value =.513 > .05,the decision is to fail to reject the null hypothesis.She would not conclude that her city is any different from the ones in the
national survey.
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
14/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 14
9.22 Ho: p = .45Ha: p > .45
n = 310 p = .465 = .05
For one-tail, = .05 z.05 = 1.645
z =
310
)55)(.45(.
45.465. =
n
qp
pp
= 0.53
observedz= 0.53 zc = -2.33
The decision is to Fail to reject the null hypothesis
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
15/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 15
9.24 Ho: p = .29
Ha: p .29
n = 740 x = 207740
207 ==
n
xp = .28 = .05
For two-tail, /2 = .025 z.025 = 1.96
z =
740
)71)(.29(.
29.28. =
n
qp
pp
= -0.60
observedz= -0.60 >zc = -1.96
The decision is to Fail to reject the null hypothesis
p-Value Method:
z= -0.60
from Table A.5, area = .2257
Area in tail = .5000 - .2257 = .2743 which is thep-value
Since thep-value = .2743 > /2 = .025, the decision is to Fail to reject the nullhypothesis
Solving for critical values:
z =
n
qp
ppc
1.96 =
740
)71)(.29(.
29. cp
cp = .29 .033
.257 and .323 are the critical values
Since p = .28 is not outside critical values in tails, the decision is to Fail to rejectthe null hypothesis
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
16/44
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
17/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 17
9.27 Ho:p = .31
Ha:p .31
n = 600 x = 200 = .10 /2 = .05 z.005 = +1.645
600200 ==
nxp = .3333
z =
600
)69)(.31(.
31.3333. =
n
qp
pp
= 1.23
Since the observedz= 1.23 is less thanz.005= 1.645, The decision is to fail toreject the null hypothesis. There is not enough evidence to declare that theproportion is any different than .31.
Ho:p = .24Ha:p < .24
n = 600 x = 130 = .05 z.05 = -1.645
600
130 ==
n
xp = .2167
z =
600
)76)(.24(.
24.2167. =
n
qp
pp
= -1.34
Since the observedz= -1.34 is greater than z.05= -1.645, The decision is to fail toreject the null hypothesis. There is not enough evidence to declare that theproportion is less than .24.
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
18/44
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
19/44
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
20/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 20
2 =
45
)12.4)(18( 2= 2.64
Since 2 = 2.64 < 2.01,7 = 18.4753, the decision is to fail to reject the nullhypothesis.
d) H0: 2 = 5 = .05 /2 = .025 n = 11 df = 11 1 = 10 s2 = 1.2
Ha: 2 5
2.025,10 = 20.4832 2.975,10 = 3.24696
2 =
5
)2.1)(111( = 2.4
Since 2 = 2.4 < 2.975,10 = 3.24696, the decision is to reject the nullhypothesis.
9.32 H0: 2 = 14 = .05 /2 = .025 n = 12 df = 12 1 = 11 s2 =
30.0833
Ha: 2 14
2.025,11 = 21.9200
2.975,11 = 3.81574
2 =
14
)0833.30)(112( = 23.64
Since 2 = 23.64 > 2.025,11 = 21.9200, the decision is to reject the nullhypothesis.
9.33 H0: 2 = .001 = .01 n = 16 df = 16 1 = 15 s2 = .00144667
Ha: 2 > .001
2.01,15 = 30.5780
2 =
001.)00144667)(.116(
= 21.7
Since 2 = 21.7 < 2.01,15 = 30.5780, the decision is to fail to reject the nullhypothesis.
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
21/44
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
22/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 22
z =
n
x c
=
48
14
994.97
= -0.79
from Table A.5, area forz= -0.79 is .2852
= .2852 + .5000 = .7852
b) = .05 z.05 = -1.645
zc =
n
x c
-1.645 =
48
14100
cx
x c = 96.68
z =
n
x c
=
48
14
9968.96
= -1.15
from Table A.5, area forz= -1.15 is .3749
= .3749 + .5000 = .8749
c) = .01 z.01 = -2.33
zc =
n
x c
-2.33 =4814
100cx
x c = 95.29
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
23/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 23
z =
n
x c
=
48
14
9929.95
= -1.84
from Table A.5, area forz= -1.84 is .4671
= .4671 + .5000 = .9671
d) As gets smaller (other variables remaining constant), gets larger.Decreasing the probability of committing a Type I error increases theprobability of committing a Type II error if other variables are heldconstant.
9.37 = .05 = 100 n = 48 = 14
a) a = 98.5 zc = -1.645
zc =
n
x c
-1.645 =
48
14
100cx
x c = 96.68
z =
n
x c
=
48
14
5.9868.96
= -0.90
from Table A.5, area forz= -0.90 is .3159
= .3159 + .5000 = .8159
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
24/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 24
b) a = 98 zc = -1.645
x c = 96.68
zc =n
x c
=4814
9868.96
= -0.65
from Table A.5, area forz= -0.65 is .2422
= .2422 + .5000 = .7422
c) a = 97 z.05 = -1.645
x c = 96.68
z =
n
x c
=
48
149768.96
= -0.16
from Table A.5, area forz= -0.16 is .0636
= .0636 + .5000 = .5636
d) a = 96 z.05 = -1.645
x c = 96.68
z =
n
x c
=
48
14
9668.96
= 0.34
from Table A.5, area forz= 0.34 is .1331
= .5000 - .1331 = .3669
e) As the alternative value gets farther from the null hypothesized value, theprobability of committing a Type II error reduces (all other variables being heldconstant).
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
25/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 25
9.38 Ho: = 50
Ha: 50
a= 53 n = 35 = 7 = .01
Since this is two-tailed, /2 = .005 z.005 = 2.575
zc =
n
x c
2.575 =
35
7
50cx
x
c = 50 3.05
46.95 and 53.05
z =
n
x c
=
35
7
5305.53
= 0.04
from Table A.5 forz= 0.04, area = .0160
Other end:
z =
n
x c
=
35
7
5395.46
= -5.11
Area associated withz= -5.11 is .5000
= .5000 + .0160 = .5160
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
26/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 26
9.39 a) Ho: p = .65Ha: p < .65
n = 360 = .05 pa = .60 z.05 = -1.645
zc =
n
qpppc
-1.645 =
360
)35)(.65(.
65. cp
p c = .65 - .041 = .609
z =n
qp
ppc
=360
)40)(.60(.
60.609.
= 0.35
from Table A.5, area forz= -0.35 is .1368
= .5000 - .1368 = .3632
b) pa = .55 z.05 = -1.645 p c = .609
z =
nqp
Ppc
=
360
)45)(.55(.
55.609.
= 2.25
from Table A.5, area forz= -2.25 is .4878
= .5000 - .4878 = .0122
c) pa = .50 z.05 = -1.645 p c = .609
z =
n
qp
ppc
=
360
)50)(.50(.
50.609.
= -4.14
from Table A.5, the area for z = -4.14 is .5000
= .5000 - .5000 = .0000
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
27/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 27
9.40 n = 58 x = 45.1 = 8.7 = .05 /2 = .025
H0: = 44
Ha: 44 z.025 = 1.96
z =
58
7.8
441.45
= 0.96
Sincez= 0.96
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
28/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 28
For 47 years:
z =587.8
47239.46
= -0.67
From Table A.5, the area forz= -0.67 is .2486
= .5000 - .2486 = .2514
Power = 1 - = 1 - .2514 = .7486
For 48 years:
z =
58
7.8
48239.46
= 1.54
From Table A.5, the area forz= 1.54 is .4382
= .5000 - .4382 = .0618
Power = 1 - = 1 - .0618 = .9382
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
29/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 29
9.41 H0: p = .71Ha: p < .71
n = 463 x = 324 p =463
324= .6998 = .10
z.10 = -1.28
z =
463
)29)(.71(.
71.6998. =
n
qp
pp
= -0.48
Since the observedz= -0.48 >z.10 = -1.28, the decision is to fail to rejectthe nullhypothesis.
Type II error:
Solving for the critical proportion, p c:
zc =
n
qp
ppc
-1.28 =
463
)29)(.71(.
71. cp
p = .683
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
30/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 30
Forpa = .69
z =
463
)31)(.69(.
69.683.
= -0.33
From Table A.5, the area forz= -0.33 is .1293
The probability of committing a Type II error = .1293 + .5000 = .6293
Forpa = .66
z =
463
)34)(.66(.
66.683.
= 1.04
From Table A.5, the area forz= 1.04 is .3508
The probability of committing a Type II error = .5000 - .3508 = .1492
Forpa = .60
z =
463
)40)(.60(.
60.683.
= 3.65
From Table A.5, the area forz= 3.65 is essentially, .5000
The probability of committing a Type II error = .5000 - .5000 = .0000
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
31/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 31
9.42 HTAB steps:
1) Ho: = 36
Ha: 36
2) z =
n
x
3) = .01
4) two-tailed test, /2 = .005, z.005 = + 2.575If the observed value ofz is greater than 2.575 or less than -2.575, the decisionwill be to reject the null hypothesis.
5) n = 63, x = 38.4, = 5.93
6) z =
n
x
=
63
93.5364.38
= 3.21
7) Since the observed value ofz= 3.21 is greater thanz.005 = 2.575, the decision isto reject the null hypothesis.
8) The mean is likely to be greater than 36.
9.43 HTAB steps:
1) Ho: = 7.82Ha: < 7.82
2) The test statistic is
t =
n
s
x
3) = .05
4) df = n - 1 = 16, t.05,16 = -1.746. If the observed value oftis less than -1.746, thenthe decision will be to reject the null hypothesis.
5) n = 17 x = 7.01 s = 1.69
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
32/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 32
6) t =
n
s
x
=
17
69.1
82.701.7
= -1.98
7) Since the observed t= -1.98 is less than the table value oft= -1.746, the decision
is to reject the null hypothesis.
8) The population mean is significantly less than 7.82.
9.44 HTAB steps:
a. 1) Ho:p = .28Ha:p > .28
2) z =
n
qppp
3) = .10
4) This is a one-tailed test,z.10 = 1.28. If the observed value ofzis greaterthan 1.28, the decision will be to reject the null hypothesis.
5) n = 783 x = 230
783
230 =p = .2937
6) z =
783
)72)(.28(.
28.2937.
= 0.85
7) Sincez= 0.85 is less thanz.10 = 1.28, the decision is to fail to reject thenull hypothesis.
8) There is not enough evidence to declare thatp > .28.
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
33/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 33
b. 1) Ho:p = .61
Ha:p .61
2) z =nqp
pp
3) = .05
4) This is a two-tailed test,z.025 = + 1.96. If the observed value ofzis greaterthan 1.96 or less than -1.96, then the decision will be to reject the nullhypothesis.
5) n = 401 p = .56
6) z =
401
)39)(.61(.61.56.
= -2.05
7) Sincez= -2.05 is less thanz.025 = -1.96, the decision is to reject the nullhypothesis.
8) The population proportion is not likely to be .61.
9.45 HTAB steps:
1) H0: 2 = 15.4
Ha: 2 > 15.4
2) 2 =2
2)1(
sn
3) = .01
4) n = 18, df = 17, one-tailed test
2.01,17 = 33.4087
5) s2 = 29.6
6) 2 =2
2)1(
sn=
4.15
)6.29)(17(= 32.675
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
34/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 34
7) Since the observed 2 = 32.675 is less than 33.4087, the decision is tofail
to reject the null hypothesis.
8) The population variance is not significantly more than 15.4.
9.46 a) H0: = 130Ha: > 130
n = 75 = 12 = .01 z.01 = 2.33 a = 135
Solving for x c:
zc =
n
x c
2.33 =
75
12
130cx
x c = 133.23
z =
75
1213523.133
= -1.28
from table A.5, area forz= -1.28 is .3997
= .5000 - .3997 = .1003
b) H0:p = .44Ha:p < .44
n = 1095 = .05 pa = .42 z.05 = -1.645
zc =
n
qp
ppc
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
35/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 35
-1.645 =
1095
)56)(.44(.
44. cp
cp = .4153
z =
1095
)58)(.42(.
42.4153.
= -0.32
from table A.5, area forz= -0.32 is .1255
= .5000 + .1255 = .6255
9.47 H0: p = .32Ha: p > .32
n = 80 = .01 p = .39
z.01 = 2.33
z =
80
)68)(.32(.
32.39. =
n
qp
pp
= 1.34
Since the observedz= 1.34
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
36/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 36
9.49 n = 210 x = 93 = .10210
93 ==
n
xp = .443
Ho: p = .57Ha: p < .57
For one-tail, = .10 zc = -1.28
z =
210
)43)(.57(.
57.443. =
n
qp
pp
= -3.72
Since the observedz= -3.72 16
s = 0.4987864 ft. = 5.98544 in.
2.05,11 = 19.6752
2 =
16
)98544.5)(112( 2= 24.63
Since 2 = 24.63 > 2.05,11 = 19.6752, the decision is to reject the nullhypothesis.
9.51 H0: = 8.4 = .01 /2 = .005 n = 7 df = 7 1 = 6 s =1.3
Ha: 8.4
x = 5.6 t.005,6 = + 3.707
t =
7
3.1
4.86.5
= -5.70
Since the observed t= - 5.70 < t.005,6 = -3.707, the decision is to reject the nullhypothesis.
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
37/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 37
9.52 x = $26,650 n = 100 = $12,000
a) Ho: = $25,000
Ha: > $25,000 = .05
For one-tail, = .05 z.05 = 1.645
z =
n
x
=
100
000,12
000,25650,26
= 1.38
Since the observedz= 1.38
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
38/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 38
9.53 H0: 2 = 4 n = 8 s = 7.80 = .10 df = 8 1 = 7
Ha: 2 > 4
2.10,7 = 12.0170
2 =
4)80.7)(18( 2 = 106.47
Since observed 2 = 106.47 > 2.10,7 = 12.017, the decision is to reject the nullhypothesis.
9.54 H0: p = .46Ha: p > .46
n = 125 x = 66 = .05125
66 ==
n
xp = .528
Using a one-tailed test,z.05 = 1.645
z =
125
)54)(.46(.
46.528. =
n
qp
pp
= 1.53
Since the observed value ofz= 1.53
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
39/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 39
H0: = 185Ha: < 185
t.05,15 = - 1.753
t =
n
s
x
=
16
28286.14
185175
= -2.80
Since observed t= - 2.80 < t.05,15 = - 1.753, the decision is to reject the nullhypothesis.
9.56 H0: p = .182
Ha: p > .182
n = 428 x = 84 = .01428
84 ==
n
xp = .1963
For a one-tailed test, z.01 = 2.33
z =
428
)818)(.182(.
182.1963. =
n
qp
pp
= 0.77
Since the observedz= 0.77
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
40/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 40
z =
428
)79)(.21(.
21.2255. =
n
qp
pp
aa
ac
= 0.79
from Table A.5, the area forz= 0.79 is .2852
= .5000 + .2852 = .7852
9.57 Ho: = $15Ha: > $15
x = $19.34 n = 35 = $4.52 = .10
For one-tail and = .10 zc = 1.28
z =
n
s
x
=
35
52.4
1534.19
= 5.68
Since the observedz= 5.68 >zc = 1.28, the decision is to reject the nullhypothesis.
9.58 H0: 2
= 16 n = 22 df = 22 1 = 21 s = 6 = .05Ha:
2 > 16
2.05,21 = 32.6706
2 =
16
)6)(122( 2= 47.25
Since the observed 2 = 47.25 > 2.05,21 = 32.6706, the decision is to reject thenull hypothesis.
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
41/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 41
9.59 H0: = 2.5 x = 3.4 s = 0.6 = .01 n = 9 df = 9 1 = 8Ha: > 2.5
t.01,8 = 2.896
t =
n
sx
=
9
6.05.24.3
= 4.50
Since the observed t= 4.50 > t.01,8 = 2.896, the decision is to reject the nullhypothesis.
9.60 a) Ho: = 23.58
Ha: 23.58
n = 95 x = 22.83 = 5.11 = .05
Since this is a two-tailed test and using /2 = .025: z.025 = + 1.96
z =
n
x
=
95
11.5
58.2383.22
= -1.43
Since the observedz= -1.43 >z.025 = -1.96, the decision is to fail to rejectthe null hypothesis.
b) zc =
n
x c
+ 1.96 =
95
11.5
58.23cx
cx = 23.58 + 1.03
cx = 22.55, 24.61
for Ha: = 22.30
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
42/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 42
z =
n
x ac
=
95
11.5
30.2255.22
= 0.48
z =
n
x ac
=95
11.5
30.2261.24
= 4.41
from Table A.5, the areas forz= 0.48 andz= 4.41 are .1844 and .5000
= .5000 - .1844 = .3156
The upper tail has no effect on .
9.61 n = 12 x = 12.333 s2 = 10.424
H0: 2 = 2.5
Ha: 2 2.5
= .05 df = 11 two-tailed test, /2 = .025
2.025,11 = 21.9200
2..975,11 = 3.81574
If the observed 2 is greater than 21.9200 or less than 3.81574, the decision is toreject the null hypothesis.
2 =
2
2)1(
sn=
5.2
)424.10(11= 45.866
Since the observed 2 = 45.866 is greater than 2.025,11 = 21.92, the decision is toreject the null hypothesis. The population variance is significantly more than2.5.
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
43/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 43
9.62 H0: = 23 x = 18.5 s = 6.91 = .10 n = 16 df = 16 1 =15
Ha: < 23
t.10,15 = -1.341
t =
n
s
x
=
16
91.6
235.18
= -2.60
Since the observed t= -2.60 < t.10,15 = -1.341, the decision is to reject the nullhypothesis.
9.63 The sample size is 22. x is 3.969 s = 0.866 df = 21
The test statistic is:
t =
n
s
x
The observed t= -2.33. The p-value is .015.
The results are statistical significant at = .05.
The decision is to reject the null hypothesis.
9.64 H0: p = .25
Ha: p .25
This is a two-tailed test with = .05. n = 384.
Since thep-value = .045 < = .05, the decision is to reject the null hypothesis.
The sample proportion, p = .205729 which is less than the hypothesizedp = .25.One conclusion is that the population proportion is lower than .25.
-
8/3/2019 Ken Black QA 5th chapter 9 Solution
44/44
Chapter 9: Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations 44
9.65 H0: = 2.51
Ha: > 2.51
This is a one-tailed test. The sample mean is 2.55 which is more than thehypothesized value. The observed tvalue is 1.51 with an associated
p-value of .072 for a one-tailed test. Because thep-value is greater than = .05, the decision is to fail to reject the null hypothesis.There is not enough evidence to conclude that beef prices are higher.
9.66 H0: = 2747
Ha: < 2747
This is a one-tailed test. Sixty-seven households were included in this study.The sample average amount spent on home-improvement projects was 2,349.Sincez= -2.09