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Transcript of Jvan gaffuri 120424 stock markevalueofsustainability
Stock Market Value of Sustainability: the Dow Jones Sustainability Index
Jvan GaffuriSantiago de Chile, 24.04.2012
2
Content
• SAM
• Sustainability Investing
• SAM Corporate Sustainability Assessment (CSA)
• Developments in Corporate Sustainability
3
SAM - Overview
• Investment boutique focused exclusively on Sustainability Investing since 1995
• Offering complementary capabilities to Sustainability Investing
• Powering Dow Jones Sustainability Indexes since 1999
• Member of Robeco, part of the Rabobank Group (with the highest credit rating of all privately owned banks, awarded by rating agencies Moody’s, Standard & Poor’s, Fitch and DBRS)
• EUR 11.3 billion total assets (as per 30.06.2011)
• Servicing a global and diversified client base
• Approximately 100 employees based in Zurich, Switzerland
4
SAM - Research & Dow Jones Indexes
SAM Research – Sustainability Methodology Development
• Analysis of scoring results for improvements
• Development of new criteria, modification of questions
• Ensuring validity of company responses & supporting evidence
• Verifying consistency of comments and public disclosures
• Generation of sustainability scores
• Dow Jones Indexes• Responsible for index calculation
• Companies are compared within their respective sectors
• Selections based on Dow Jones Indexes Sector Classification System
• Index components chosen according to pre-defined rules Index Guidebook
5
Content
• SAM
• Sustainability Investing
• SAM Corporate Sustainability Assessment (CSA)
• Developments in Corporate Sustainability
6
Sustainability Investing - Indexes, Raters and Research
83 88 95 99
EIRIS Research
Sustainable Asset Management (SAM)
Innovest Strategic Value Advisors
Launch of Dow Jones Sustainability Index (DJSI)
Formation of oekom research AG through spun-off from ökom GmbH
Formation of Risk Metrics Group through spun off from J.P. Morgan
KLD Research
90
Domini Social Index
00
Launch of Carbon Disclosure Project (CDP)
Calvert Social Index
9896
Formation of Global Reporting Initiative (GRI)
9792
United Nations Environment Programme Finance Initiative (UNEP FI)
Source: SAM Research AG
777
01 02 04 0908
Sustainability Investing - Indexes, Raters and Research
Source: SAM Research AG
03 06 0705 10
Launch of the Dow Jones STOXX Sustainability Index
JSE SRI Index
Launch of the Dow Jones Sustainability Index North America
Launch of UNPRI
Bovespa Corporate Sustainability Index
Launch of the Ethibel Sustainability Index
Launch ASPI
Goldman Sachs Sustain Focus List
Launch of the Dow Jones Sustainability Index Asia Pacific, and Korea
Thomson Reuters acquired ASSET4
Bloomberg launched ESG Data Service
RiskMetrics acquired KLD Research and Innovest
First Chinese Sustainability Index
S&P EGX ESG Index (Egypt)
MSCI acquired RiskMetrics Group, Inc.
S&P ESG India
7
Foundation of Glass, Lewis & Co.
vigeo Research
8
Sustainability Investing - Evolution
Beta
Alpha
Norm-based / ethicalinvesting
with exclusions
ShareholderActivism
Norm-based / ethicalinvesting with
best-in-class and thematic screens
SAM Indexes
Dow Jones Sustainability Index
SAM Asset Management
(Core & Themes)
Robeco SAM Private Equity
(Cleantech PE)
Time
Strategyfocus
Negativescreening
Engagement& voting
Positivescreening
Integration
8
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Sustainability Investing – Link to Corporate Sustainability
Corporate sustainability ...
... is a business approach to create long-term shareholder value by seizing the opportunities and managing the risks that stem from sustainability trends and challenges.
Sustainability investing ...
... is a long-term investment approach that integrates economic,environmental and social considerations in the selection and retention of investments.
The aim of sustainability investing is creating performance
10
Sustainability Investing - Which information do investors consider?
“We don’t like their sound, and guitar music is on the way out”
Decca Recording Co. rejecting the Beatles, 1962
“The horse is here to stay but the automobile is only a novelty - a fad”
Michigan Savings Bank,
advising Henry Ford’s lawyer, 1903
111111
Sustainability Investing - Investors are closing the gap
Adaptation to Sustainability
Time
COMPANIES
INVESTO
RS
“93% of CEOs believe thatsustainability issues will becritical to the future success oftheir business.”UNGC- Accenture (2010): „A new Era ofSustainability“, p. 15.
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“We believe that companies whichtake environmental, social andgovernance issues into account intheir operations will benefit from thisin the longer term“Tomas HildebrandtSenior Portfolio ManagerEvli Investment Management Co. Ltd.
1212
Sustainability Investing - Alpha from Sustainability
• SAM’s sustainability data has predictive power for stock-selection, reflected in the positive information ratio (0.5) of the portfolio consisting of sustainability leaders*
• Added value is generated by selecting sustainability leaders and avoiding sustainability laggards
• Value creation is consistent and stable for the entire time period*Slight changes were applied to the universe and methodology for the period between 2009 and 2010 (e.g. Canadian stocks are included in this period).
13
Sustainability Investing – HBS: Early movers are outperforming in the long-term
• Companies that adopted sustainability policies many years ago are showing long-term financial outperformance (both stock market & accounting performance) compared to companies that have very low adoption rates of such policies
• Comparison of adoption levels of Environmental & Social Standards for Suppliers of “High Sustainability Firms” with “Low Sustainability Firms” shows that HSF have significantly higher adoption rates
Type of Standard High Sustainability Firms Low Sustainability Firms
EMS 50.0% 18.2%
Data availability 12.3% 0.0%
Human Rights 17.4% 5.7%
Labor Standards 18.6% 8.1%
OHS Standards 62.9% 25.7%
Source: Eccles, Ioannou & Serafeim (2011): The Impact of a Corporate Culture of Sustainability on Corporate Behavior and
Performance. Harvard Business School, based on data provided by SAM.
14
Value of Sustainability – HBS: Sustainability Leaders Outperformance
• Leading Sustainability Companies out-performed significantly over the long term
• Sustainability Leaders out-performed on ROE and ROA during the time period
Source: R. G. Eccles, I. Ioannou, G. Serafeim, The Impact of a Corporate Culture of Sustainability on Corporate Behavior and Performance, HBS Working Paper 12-035, 2011.
1515
Economic Criteria- corporate governance- risk & crisis management- brand management- etc.
Revenues
Environmental Criteria- operational eco-efficiency- climate strategy- environmental reporting- etc.
Social Criteria- human capital development- stakeholder engagement- supply chain management- etc.
Costs
Investments
Capital Structure
Cost of Capital
Earnings
InvestedCapital
Weighted Ave.Cost of Capital
Return on Invested Capital
SA
M F
air Valu
eSustainability Investing - Integrating Sustainability Into Financial Models
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Market Value Fair Value
ROIC 10.0%WACC 5.0%
ROIC 10.2%WACC 4.8%
ROIC +0.2%WACC -0.2%
Company Valuation -Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)
SAM Corporate Sustainability Assessment
SAM Fair Value
Legend:ROIC Return on Invested CapitalWACC Weighted Average Cost of Capital
SAM Fair Value Impact range of + 10% - 15%
+
-
&
Sustainability Investing – Integration
17
Content
• SAM
• Sustainability Investing
• SAM Corporate Sustainability Assessment (CSA)
• Developments in Corporate Sustainability
18
SAM CSA - Unique Model: Company-Sourced Data
Data
Sustain-ability
Services
Methodology & Guidance
Feedback
& Insight
Data Provided
Directly by Companies
Corporate Participation via the DJSI Questionnaire
SAM Research (20 Sector Analysts)
SIMS3 Data Base
Unique insights from companies are essential
The limitations of financial materiality must also be recognized
19191919
SAM CSA - Sustainability CriteriaG
eneral C
riteria (50%
)Economic Dimension
• Corporate governance
• Codes of conduct & corruption
• Risk & crisis management
• Customer Relationship Management
• …
Social Dimension
• Labour practice indicators
• Human capital management
• Talent attraction & retention
• Corporate citizenship & philanthropy
• Social reporting
• ….
Environmental Dimension
• Environmental reporting
• Environmental Policy/Management systems
• Climate Strategy
• Product Stewardship
• Operational Eco-Efficiency
• ….
Over 130 cross- and industry-specific criteria and dimension weights
Dimension weights may deviate from the ones stated above for each of the 58 different market sectors analyzed by SAM.
Sector SpecificCriteria
57%
GeneralCriteria
43%
33% 33%
33%
20
SAM CSA - Extra-financial Indicators (559)
Social Dimension • Access to Insurance/ Other Social Value Added 1• Access to Water
3• Addressing Cost Burden
2• Bioethics
3• Business Risks
2• Code of Ethics for Advertising
1• Controversial issues, dilemmas in lending/financing 3• Corporate Citizenship and Philanthropy
5• Digital inclusion
12• Editorial policy
1• Enabling local development
7• Ethical Conduct
2• Financial Inclusion/Capacity Building
1• Health Outcome Contribution
6• Healthy living
1• Human Capital Development
3• Human Rights & Corruption
2• Impact of Telecommunication services
3• Labor Practice Indicators
3• Local Impact of Business Operations
2• Mine Closure
4• Noise
1• Occupational Health and Safety
16• Partnerships Towards Sustainable Healthcare 2• Promoting Responsible Gaming
5• Protection of Children
1• Responsibility for Alcoholic Products
4• Responsible Marketing Policies
4• Security Forces
1• Service to Patients
2• Social Impacts on Communities
9• Social Integration
2• Social reporting
4• Stakeholder Engagement
8• Standards for Suppliers
11• Strategy to Improve Access to Drugs or Products 4• Talent Attraction & Retention
8
Environmental Dimension • Biodiversity
10• Building Materials
5• Business Opportunities Financial Services/Products 2• Business Risks and Opportunities
4• Business Risks Large Projects / Export Finance 3• Climate Change Governance
7• Climate Change Strategy
6• Climate Strategy
21• CO2 from Logistics
2• Electricity Generation
4• Electro Magnetic Fields
5• Emission Products
2• Environmental Policy/Management System
31• Environmental reporting
4• Fleet Age
1• Fuel Efficiency
2• Fuels for Tobacco Curing
2• Genetically Modified Organisms
5• Hazardous substances
5• International Production Standards
1• Landfilling and alternatives
3• Local Air Quality
1• LowCarbStrategy
4• Manufactured Gas Plants
2• Mineral Waste Management
8• Packaging
3• Product Impact
1• Product Stewardship
30• Raw Material Sourcing
5• Recycling Strategy
2• Refining/Cleaner Fuels
2• Releases to the Environment
2• Renewable Energy
2• Resource Conservation and Resource Efficiency 5• Risk Detection
3• Route network
1• Sustainable Fibre and Pulp Sourcing
5• Sustainable Management of Forests
6• Transmission & Distribution
3• Transport and Logistics
4• Volatile Organic Compounds (VOCs) and hazardous
substances in supply chain1
• Water Related Risks7
Economic Dimension• Anti-crime policy/measures
4• Antitrust Policy
4• Brand Management
8• Codes of Conduct/Compliance/Corruption&Bribery 6• Combating Smuggling
3• Compliance with applicable export control regimes 2• Corporate Governance
10• Customer Relationship Management
19• Diversification
3• Ecosystem Services
1• Efficiency
1• Exploration & Production
4• Food safety
2• Gas portfolio
5• Grid Parity
6• Health & Nutrition
7• Innovation Management
12• IT Security
6• Lobbying activities
1• Market Opportunities
5• Marketing Practices
6• Materiality
2• Non-financial Project Evaluation
2• Piracy
2• Price Risk Management
5• Privacy Protection
7• Product Quality and Recall Management
3• Reliability
1• Research and Development
5• Risk & Crisis Management
18• Scorecards/Measurement Systems
2• Service development
2• Software-as-a-Service
2• Stakeholder Engagement
3• Strategy for Emerging Markets
6• Supply Chain Management
5• Transparency
1• Water Operations
7
212121
SAM CSA - Media & Stakeholder Analysis (MSA)
• MSA helps to verify a company’s involvement and management of critical economic, social and environmental issues or crisis situations
• Cases identified in the MSA can lead to exclusion of the DJSI anytime during the year
• MSA can add up to 50% of the weighting in an individual criteria
• Impact analysis revealing potential risks of reputation, financial liabilities
• Assessment of materiality based on: Media, direct contacts with company, NGOs, consumer organizations, websites of public authorities, governments, international organizations
• Issues covered:
Various data sourcesIndex-based search
utility Continuous monitoring
Potential issue
Management response to the issue
(e.g. transparency,measures taken)
Effectiveness of management
response
Materiality:• Low• Medium• High• .....
Integration in corporate
sustainability performance
Economic-crime illicit commercial practices Human rights issues
Workforce conflicts Large disasters or accidents
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SAM CSA – Output: Scorecard
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Participation of Companies in DJSI has been Constantly Increasing Over the YearsParticipation of Companies in DJSI has been Constantly Increasing Over the Years
SAM CSA - Participation
24
SAM CSA: Companies in the DJSI Indexes 2011 – Latin America
• Banco Bradesco S/A Pref
• Companhia Energetica de Minas Gerais – CEMIG
• Embraer S.A.
• Fibria Celulose S.A. Ord.
• Itau Unibanco Holding S.A. Pref.
• Itausa-Investimentos Itau S/A Pref.
• Petroleo Brasileiro S/A Pref
• Redecard S/A Ord
• Ecopetrol S.A.
• Grupo de Inversiones Suramericana S.A.
• Grupo Nutresa S.A.
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SAM CSA: Examples of companies recently added in the DJSI Indexes – Latin America
• Ecopetrol (2011)
• Grupo de Inversiones Suramericana S.A. (2011)
• Grupo Nutresa S.A. (2011)
• Embraer – Empresa Brasileiras de Aeronautica (2010)
• Redecard S/A Ord (2009)
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Content
• SAM
• Sustainability Investing
• SAM Corporate Sustainability Assessment (CSA)
• Developments in Corporate Sustainability
27
Demographics, Resource Scarcity, Pollution, Climate Change
• Governance• Anti-trust regulations• Consumer protection
• Co-creationcapabilities
• Innovation Management
• Resource efficiency• Innovative materials• Agribusiness
• Stressed Ecosystem• Reconstruction• Infrastructure• Health
• Scarcity skilled workforce
• Health costs• Nutrition
Regulation Innovation Scarcity natural resources
Climate Change Population growth
Developments: Long-term trends impacting competitive advantage
Source: SAM Research
Competitive advantage of companies
Impact on value chains within / across sectors
28
Developments - Club of Rome 1972: Limits to Growth
Fate or Choice?
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Developments - Methods to Accelerate Aging
Source: Max Planck Institute, 2008
Wrong Partner
High Blood Pressure
Depression
Being Uneducated
Smoking
Being Male
Inaccurate Medication
High Vitamin Dosage
Passive Smoking
Wine > ½ liter per day
+ 10
+ 9 to 10
+ 8
+ 6
+ 10 to 15
+ 3
+ 3
+ 2
+ 2
+ 1 to 3
Years
30
Developments - Predictions often underestimate…
“I think there is a world market for maybe five computers”
Thomas J. Watson, Chairman of IBM, 1943
"Where a calculator […] weighs 30 tons, computers in the future may have only 1,000 vacuum tubes and weigh only 1.5 tons"
Popular Mechanics, 1949
31
Developments - “Wait and See” may not be good enough
Photo: www.losapos.com
Witnesses for the perished culture of the Easter Islands
32
Demographics, Resource Scarcity, Pollution, Climate Change
• Governance• Anti-trust regulations• Consumer protection
• Co-creationcapabilities
• Innovation Management
• Resource efficiency• Innovative materials• Agribusiness
• Stressed Ecosystem• Reconstruction• Infrastructure• Health
• Scarcity skilled workforce
• Health costs• Nutrition
Regulation Innovation Scarcity natural resources
Climate Change Population growth
Developments - Long-term trends impacting competitive advantage
Source: SAM Research
Competitive advantage of companies
Impact on value chains within / across sectors
33
Developments - HDI and Ecological Footprint
Innovation is required to enable human development by using less biocapacity
3434
Developments - Sustainability Drivers as Innovation Triggers
Developing New Business Models
Meeting demands differently, i.e. new delivery techno-logies, services
Stage 4
Creating Next-Practice Platforms
New knowhow platforms and technologies, new applications
Stage 5
Designing Sustainable Products and Services
New methods for product develop-ment or ecofriendly packaging
Stage 3
Making Value Chains Sustainable
Efficient production, new sources of materials,reuse and recycling
Stage 2
Viewing Compliance as Opportunity
First mover advantages for early implementers
Stage 1
Source: R. Nidumolu, C.K. Prahalad and M.R. Rangaswami (2009), Why Sustainability Is Now the Key Driver of Innovation, Harvard Business Review, September 2009, U.S. and Canada.
35
Developments - Innovation Management
DJSI 2011 Company Assessments - Innovation Managment
43
4948
56
28
47
52
59
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Average 2010 Average 2011
Sc
ore
North America Europe Asia / Pacific Rest of World
36
Developments – Innovation Management
The results of the SAM Corporate Sustainability Assessment show an increasing number of companies tracking environmental innovation (product, processes and revenues), highlighting the importance of sustainability within the innovation process.
37
Demographics, Resource Scarcity, Pollution, Climate Change
• Governance• Anti-trust regulations• Consumer protection
• Co-creationcapabilities
• Innovation Management
• Resource efficiency• Innovative materials• Agribusiness
• Stressed Ecosystem• Reconstruction• Infrastructure• Health
• Scarcity skilled workforce
• Health costs• Nutrition
Regulation Innovation Scarcity natural resources
Climate Change Population growth
Developments - Long-term trends impacting competitive advantage
Source: SAM Research
Competitive advantage of companies
Impact on value chains within / across sectors
38
SAM CSA - DJSI 2012 - Supply Chain Management: Why are investors interested in how companies are managing their supply chain?
• Currently, companies are not only outsourcing production, services and business processes but also corporate responsibilities and reputational risks
• The dilemma of combining lower cost, faster deliveries with improved sustainability performance and product quality
• SAM therefore wants:
• to identify companies that have a lower supply chain risk profile (due to e.g. supply chain characteristics, appropriate management of these risks etc.)
• to identify companies that are using sustainable supply chain management as an opportunity to improve their financial performance in the long term
Working conditionsHuman Rights
Toxic substancesGuidance for
subcontracting
Product quality
Recall risk
Costs
Transfer of mismanaged sustainability issues into actual costs
39
Developments – Supply Chain: link between the overall management of sustainability issues and the management of supply chain risks
• Strong correlation between overall corporate sustainability performance and the supply chain performance (based on results of the SAM‘s Corporate Sustainability Assessment 2011)
• Sample: 1269 companies (87.9 % of total) were asked questions about Standards for Suppliers as part of SAM‘s Corporate Sustainability Assessment 2011
• 72.4 % of the top 20 % scoring companies overall are also amongst the top 20 % scoring companies in the Standards for Suppliers criteria
Score Correlation y = 0.9263x + 3.419
R2 = 0.7519
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Total Score
Sta
nd
ars
fo
r S
up
plie
rs
4040
SAM CSA – DJSI 2012 - Supply Chain Management: New Framework
Strategy
Exposure & awareness
Measuring Performance
Transparency
OpportunitiesSupplier Selection
Risk Management Measures
& Capacity Building
Training and incentives for staff
Awareness of both risks & opportunities is the foundation for SAM’s new analytical framework for sustainable supply chain management
41
Where are we going?
Photo: http://metroroute66club.blogspot.com/
424242
Stock Exchanges demand ESG Disclosure
Stock exchanges are increasingly adopting listing requirement on ESG disclosure evidencing the enormous shift towards the importance of ESG issues in the financial arena. They can play a pivotal role in enhancing the ESG disclosure and transparency of listed companies.
Country Stock Exchange Listing Requirement on ESG Disclosure
Australia Australian Securities Exchange (ASX)
Disclosure on extent to which the companies have followed its Corporate Governance Principles and Recommendations which includes sustainability-related issues
China Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE)
Governance standards in Corporate Governance code and Environmental standards under “Green IPO” policy for initiating an IPO or obtaining refinancing from banks for 14 most polluting industries
Norway Oslo Børs Companies applying for listing should define and disclose the guidelines for corporate social responsibility
Malaysia Bursa Malaysia Mandatory disclosure on CSR information in the annual reports
South Africa
Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE)
Integrated sustainability reporting and third party assurance under King Code on Corporate Governance III
Taiwan Taiwan Stock Exchange (TWSE)
CSR reporting in the corporate governance statement with information on company’s CSR system, measures adopted and performance
US NYSE Euronext Mandatory disclosure of governance practices including the availability of a code of business conduct
42
43
Methods to Decelerate Aging („Downaging“)
Source: Max Planck Institute, 2008
1 Aspirine per day
Folic Acid (daily)
High HDL Level
Washing Hands (daily)
Good C Reactive Protein
Good Sleep
Wine < 1/3 liter per day
Sports (2500 kcal/week)
Periodical Sex
Good Social Contacts
Years
- 0.9
- 1
- 2
- 2
- 2
- 3
- 3
- 3.4
- 4
- 6
- 7 OPTIMISM
44
SAM Sustainability ServicesJosefstrasse 218
8005 ZurichSwitzerland
Phone: +41 44 653 1240Fax: +41 44 653 1050
www.sam-group.com/services www.sustainability-indexes.com
Jvan GaffuriSr. Manager Sustainability Services
In industry since 1997; with SAM since 2006
Edoardo GaiHead Sustainability Services
In industry since 1999; with SAM since 2000
Matthias NarrManager Sustainability Services
In industry since 2005; with SAM since 2009
Sustainability Services - Contact
Cornelia WickiJunior Manager Sustainability Services
In industry since 2010; with SAM since 2011
45
Disclaimer
No warranty This publication is derived from sources believed to be accurate and reliable, but neither its accuracy nor completeness is guaranteed. The material and information in this publication are provided "as is" and without warranties of any kind, either expressed or implied. SAM Group Holding AG and its related, affiliated and subsidiary companies disclaim all warranties, expressed or implied, including, but not limited to, implied warranties of merchantability and fitness for a particular purpose. Any opinions and views in this publication reflect the current judgment of the authors and may change without notice. It is each reader's responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of any opinions, advice, services or other information provided in this publication.Limitation of liability All information contained in this publication is distributed with the understanding that the authors, publishers and distributors are not rendering legal, accounting or other professional advice or opinions on specific facts or matters and accordingly assume no liability whatsoever in connection with its use. In no event shall SAM Group Holding AG and its related, affiliated and subsidiary companies be liable for any direct, indirect, special, incidental or consequential damages arising out of the use of any opinion or information expressly or implicitly contained in this publication.Copyright Unless otherwise noted, text, images and layout of this publication are the exclusive property of SAM Group Holding AG and/or its related, affiliated and subsidiary companies and may not be copied or distributed, in whole or in part, without the express written consent of SAM Group or its related, affiliated and subsidiary companies.No Offer The information and opinions contained in this publication constitutes neither a solicitation, nor a recommendation, nor an offer to buy or sell investment instruments or other services, or to engage in any other kind of transaction. The information described in this publication is not directed to persons in any jurisdiction where the provision of such information would run counter to local laws and regulation.