JPMorgan European Smaller Companies Trust plc · JPMorgan European Smaller Companies Trust plc...
Transcript of JPMorgan European Smaller Companies Trust plc · JPMorgan European Smaller Companies Trust plc...
JPMorgan European Smaller Companies Trust plc
November 2017Francesco Conte - Portfolio Manager
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European smaller companies
Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management, Thomson Reuters Datastream. All series are rebased to 100 as at 31 December 1992 to 30 September 2017. All indices in GBP and include reinvested dividends. Indices do not include fees or operating expenses and are not available for actual investment. Past performance is not necessarily a reliable indicator of current and future performance.
… European small caps have produced long term equity returns amongst the best in the world
Cumulative returns
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1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Euromoney Smaller European Companies (ex UK) IndexRussell 2000 IndexS&P 500 IndexFTSE All Share IndexMSCI Asia (ex Japan) IndexMSCI Emerging Markets IndexMSCI Europe (ex UK) IndexTopix Index
A compelling long asset class
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Small cap investing rationale
High Active Share
Large investment universe IPOs / M&A
Limited analyst coverage
Stock picking opportunities
Entrepreneurial management
Strong earnings growth
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-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Asian financial crisis
Russian financial crisis
.com bubble bursting
Global financial crisis
Eurozone sovereigndebt crisis
Calendar year excess returns Euromoney Smaller European Companies (ex UK) Index vs. MSCI Europe (ex UK) Index
Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management, Thomson Reuters Datastream, data from 31 December 1993 to 31 December 2017. All indices in EUR and include reinvested dividends. Indices do not includefees or operating expenses and are not available for actual investment. Past performance is not necessarily a reliable indicator for current and future performance.
Mexican financial crisis
Generally outperform in up markets
European smaller companies
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51,0 51,0 50,7 50,9 50,0 50,6 50,2 50,1 50,4 51,0 50,8 51,1 52,0 52,1 52,7 52,8 53,0 53,0 52,7 52,6 52,6 52,7 53,2 53,2
52,5 52,3 52,0 52,1 50,8 50,9 50,5 50,4 51,2 51,5 51,2 51,5 52,6 53,0 53,8 54,2 54,1 53,9 54,1 54,1 53,9 54,0 54,2 54,6
49,0 49,2 49,0 49,4 48,9 50,2 49,6 49,5 49,3 50,3 50,1 50,3 51,0 50,8 51,1 50,8 51,3 51,6 50,9 50,6 50,8 50,9 51,7 51,3
52,3 52,8 53,2 52,3 51,2 51,6 51,7 51,5 52,8 52,0 51,7 52,6 53,5 53,7 54,9 55,2 55,4 56,2 56,7 57,0 57,4 56,6 57,4 58,150,6 50,6 51,4 50,0 50,2 49,6 48,0 48,4 48,3 48,6 48,3 49,7 51,8 51,7 53,5 53,6 52,2 53,3 55,1 53,8 54,8 54,9 55,8 56,152,1 52,9 53,2 52,3 50,5 50,7 51,8 52,1 54,5 53,8 53,6 54,3 55,0 54,3 55,6 56,4 56,8 58,3 58,2 59,5 59,6 58,1 59,3 60,654,1 54,9 55,6 53,2 52,2 53,5 53,9 52,4 53,5 51,2 49,8 51,0 50,9 52,2 53,2 53,0 55,0 55,7 56,2 55,1 55,2 55,1 56,3 56,351,3 53,1 53,0 55,4 54,1 53,4 53,5 51,8 52,2 51,0 51,0 52,3 53,3 54,5 55,3 55,6 54,8 53,9 54,5 55,4 54,7 54,0 52,4 54,347,3 48,1 50,2 50,0 48,4 49,0 49,7 48,4 50,4 48,7 50,4 49,2 48,6 48,3 49,3 46,6 47,7 46,7 48,2 49,6 50,5 50,5 52,2 52,853,6 53,3 54,2 54,3 52,9 54,9 52,6 51,5 53,0 50,2 51,7 51,3 52,1 53,7 55,7 55,5 53,8 53,6 55,0 55,9 56,0 54,6 56,1 55,453,4 54,9 55,9 55,3 51,6 53,0 53,9 54,1 52,9 55,5 51,1 54,9 58,5 57,4 60,3 62,1 60,9 65,1 62,5 58,7 62,3 60,4 54,7 63,749,6 49,0 49,9 50,2 51,1 53,0 53,1 55,3 51,5 51,5 51,6 54,4 55,2 55,9 56,2 54,6 57,8 58,6 57,4 55,6 60,1 60,9 61,2 61,754,5 52,4 51,2 52,2 50,9 51,3 49,6 50,5 53,1 48,4 53,0 55,6 54,2 53,4 55,8 55,4 54,6 54,3 57,2 56,4 54,2 55,2 56,7 55,954,1 52,8 51,2 52,4 51,3 51,5 50,8 50,7 51,3 52,9 52,0 51,5 53,4 54,1 54,3 55,0 54,2 53,3 52,8 52,7 52,0 53,3 52,8 53,150,2 52,5 51,9 51,5 53,5 58,1 53,4 51,0 51,8 56,4 46,9 49,8 50,9 54,2 55,4 51,2 59,3 57,5 59,2 54,8 55,0 56,0 59,8 54,252,4 52,6 52,6 52,3 50,1 49,1 48,2 47,7 48,1 49,3 49,5 50,4 51,4 51,3 52,4 52,7 53,3 52,4 52,7 53,1 52,4 52,1 52,2 52,948,3 48,6 48,2 48,4 48,0 49,7 49,4 49,2 48,6 50,6 50,0 50,1 51,2 50,9 51,9 51,0 51,7 51,2 50,3 49,6 50,4 51,1 51,6 51,047,8 46,9 47,8 48,9 48,7 50,6 50,9 50,6 51,9 48,4 50,4 50,9 48,7 49,7 49,0 50,4 49,3 50,5 51,2 50,6 49,5 48,6 50,7 50,449,1 49,1 50,7 49,5 48,7 49,5 50,0 50,1 50,5 50,1 48,6 47,6 48,0 48,0 49,4 49,0 49,2 48,4 49,4 49,2 50,1 49,1 49,9 50,647,8 49,5 51,7 50,6 49,4 51,1 49,7 48,5 50,5 51,0 51,8 52,2 52,7 54,7 56,2 55,6 54,5 56,2 54,4 53,1 53,3 53,6 54,3 54,250,7 50,3 49,1 51,1 51,1 52,4 50,5 50,7 51,7 51,8 52,6 52,1 54,4 52,3 49,6 50,4 50,7 52,5 52,5 51,6 50,9 47,9 51,2 51,244,1 43,8 45,6 47,4 44,5 46,0 42,6 41,6 43,2 46,0 45,7 46,0 46,3 46,2 45,2 44,0 46,9 49,6 50,1 52,0 50,5 50,0 50,9 50,953,0 53,0 52,4 52,2 53,1 53,2 52,4 53,6 51,1 50,6 50,9 51,9 51,8 51,1 50,2 50,8 50,6 51,5 50,7 51,2 52,3 51,2 52,2 52,850,2 50,1 48,7 49,8 49,3 48,3 48,0 49,6 51,5 49,5 50,8 51,1 52,4 53,6 53,7 54,7 52,5 52,4 50,8 52,4 50,3 52,7 51,6 51,9
Global Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for manufacturing
Source: FactSet, Markit, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. The Global Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) assesses the economic health of the manufacturing sector by surveying output and employment intentions. The results are rebased such that a score of 50 means that economic conditions are neither accelerating nor deteriorating. Guide to the Markets - Europe. Data as of 30 September 2017.
GTM –Europe |
Glo
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India
Indonesia
Greece
Germany
USUK
EurozoneFrance
ItalySpain
Ireland
AustraliaJapanChina
Korea
GlobalDevelopedEmerging
Taiwan
MexicoBrazil
Russia
SwitzerlandSweden
Euro
zone
Dev
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Lowest relative to 50 PMI Highest relative to 50 PMI50
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European small capitalisation equities
GTM – Europe | Page 43
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German 10 year government bond yield
Source: Bloomberg from September 2012 to September 2017. Past performance is not necessarily a reliable indicator for current and future performance.
Yields and currency
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EUR vs USD
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European small cap equities – not just domestic Europe
Source: FactSet and J.P. Morgan Asset Management. As at 30 September 2017.
JPMorgan European Smaller Companies Trust plc revenue exposure (%)
North America, 18.54
Europe ex UK, 47.45
United Kingdom, 6.39
Pacific ex Japan, 2.24
Japan, 2.31
Emerging Markets, 24.18
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7.99.9
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13.715.0
6.47.5
YTD. 1 year 3 years (pa) 5 years (pa) 10 years (pa) 20 years (pa)
JPM European Smaller Companies Trust NAV (net of fees)Euromoney Smaller European Companies (ex UK) IndexMSCI Europe ex UK
Annualised returns 30 September 2017 (%)
Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management, Thomson Reuters Datastream. NAV returns are net of fees, in GBP, with income reinvested. All indices in sterling and include reinvested dividends. Indicesdo not include fees or operating expenses and are not available for actual investment. Performance is provisional. Past performance is not necessarily a reliable indicator for current and future performance.
Long term returns
...asset class offers opportunity for significant alpha generation
JPMorgan European Smaller Companies Trust plc
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Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management 30 September 2017. The companies/securities above are shown for illustrative purposes only. Their inclusion should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy or sell. J.P. Morgan Asset Management may or may not hold positions on behalf of its clients in any or all of the aforementioned securities. Past performance is not necessarily a reliable indicator for current and future performance.
VALUE QUALITY MOMENTUM
We believe that attractively valued, high quality stocks with positive momentum outperform the market
- Cyclical recovery- Restructuring opportunities- High yielding stocks
- Market leaders- High return of capital- Disciplined capital allocation- Shareholder returns
- Structurally growing end markets
- Disruptive technology- Bolt-on acquisition strategy
Our investment philosophy
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AltenIpsosHella
IMAFinecobank
Royal Unibrew
DatalogicMaisons Du
MondeTemenos
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Classic growth stocks
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Amplifon
Share price (EUR) EPS (EUR)
Source: Datastream. J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Data from 30 September 2014 to 30 September 2017. The companies/securities above shown are for illustrative purposes only. Their inclusion should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy or sell. J.P. Morgan Asset Management may or may not have positions on behalf of its clients in any or all of the aforementioned securities. Past performance is not necessarily a reliable indicator of current and future performance. Source: Shutterstock. For illustrative purposes only.
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Share price (left axis)
12 month forward earnings pershare (right axis)
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Innovative companies in traditional sectors
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Remy Cointreau
Share price (EUR) EPS (EUR)
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Share price (left axis)
12 month forward earnings per share(right axis)
Source: Datastream. J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Data from 30 September 2014 to 30 September 2017. The companies/securities above shown are for illustrative purposes only. Their inclusion should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy or sell. J.P. Morgan Asset Management may or may not have positions on behalf of its clients in any or all of the aforementioned securities. Past performance is not necessarily a reliable indicator of current and future performance. Source: Shutterstock. For illustrative purposes only.
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Recent additions
Bucher
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Share price (left axis)
12 month forward earnings per share(right axis)
Source: Datastream. J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Data from 30 September 2014 to 30 September 2017. The companies/securities above shown are for illustrative purposes only. Their inclusion should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy or sell. J.P. Morgan Asset Management may or may not have positions on behalf of its clients in any or all of the aforementioned securities. Past performance is not necessarily a reliable indicator of current and future performance. Source: Shutterstock. For illustrative purposes only.
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Portfolio positionsJPM Europe Smaller Companies Investment Trust as of 30 September 2017Top 10 overweight positions
Stock Portfolio weight (%) Benchmark weight (%) Relative position (%)
TKH Group 3.0 0.2 2.8
Skandiabanken 2.6 0.1 2.5
ams 2.4 0.0 2.4
IMCD 2.6 0.2 2.4
Amplifon 2.6 0.2 2.4
Sopra Steria 2.6 0.2 2.4
UBISOFT 2.3 0.0 2.3
Trigano 2.5 0.2 2.3
Forbo 2.4 0.2 2.2
Remy Cointreau 2.5 0.4 2.1
Source: Factset. The fund is an actively managed portfolio, holdings, sector weights, allocations and leverage, as applicable are subject to change at the discretion of the Investment Manager without notice.
Benchmark Euromoney Smaller European Companies ex UK Index (Net)
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Active and absolute country positionsActive and absolute sector positions
Sector and country positionsJPM Europe Smaller Companies Investment Trust as of 30 September 2017
Portfolio weight (%)
Relative to benchmark (%) Portfolio weight (%)
Relative to benchmark (%)
Source: Factset. The fund is an actively managed portfolio, holdings, sector weights, allocations and leverage, as applicable are subject to change at the discretion of the Investment Manager without notice.
Benchmark Euromoney Smaller European Companies ex UK Index (Net)
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-7.3
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Industrial Engineering
Autos & Parts
Leisure Goods
Beverages
H'hold Goods & HomeConstruction
Electricity
Construction & Materials
Pharma & Biotech
Financial Serv.
Real Estate Inv. & Serv.
-2.1
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-4.6
-7.0
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France
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Norway
Denmark
Germany
Belgium
Austria
Sweden
Spain
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Summary
European smaller companies are a compelling long term asset class
The macro backdrop provides a positive environment for attractively valued smaller companies
A long standing investment team which has led to a strong performance track record
The European Smaller companies Trust plc provides an opportunity to invest in global leaders in niche markets
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Appendix
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JPMorgan European Smaller Companies Trust plc
Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management. As at 30 September 2017. The Investment Manager (Portfolio Manager) seeks to achieve the stated targets/objectives. There can be no guarantee the objectives/targets will be met. The Benchmark is a point of reference against which the performance of the Investment Trust may be measured. The Investment Trust may bear little resemblance to its benchmark. Diversification does not guarantee investment returns and does not eliminate the risk of loss.
Objective– The Company aims to provide capital growth from a diversified portfolio of smaller European companies (excluding the United
Kingdom). As the emphasis is on capital growth rather than income, shareholders should expect the dividend to vary from year to year. The company has the ability to use borrowing to gear the portfolio within the range of 20% net cash to 20% geared innormal market conditions
Policy– To invest in a diversified portfolio of companies the majority of which, at the time of purchase, fall within the market
capitalisation range of the benchmark index
Benchmark– Euromoney Smaller European Companies (ex UK) Index (Total Return Net)
Gross assets– GBP 740.3 m
Gearing– Current: 2.4% cash
Key characteristics
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Performance attribution
Source: Factset. (o)= overweight, (u)= underweight, (n)=neutral. The fund is an actively managed portfolio, holdings, sector weights, allocations and leverage, as applicable are subject to change at the discretion of the Investment Manager without notice. Past performance is not necessarily a reliable indicator for current and future performance.
JPM Europe Smaller Companies Investment Trust –9 months to 30 September 2017
Key sector (%) Key stock contributors
Interpump Group (o), Aumann GmbH (o)
Trigano (o), Stabilus (o)
ForFarmers NV (o), Aryzta (u)
Datalogic (o), TKH Group NV (o)
UBISOFT Entertainment (o), Thule Group AB (o)
Key stock detractorsHapag-Lloyd AG (u), ASTM SpA (u)
Husqvarna AB (o), Kaufman & Broad SA (o)
(u), Banca Mediolanum SpA (o)
Nordax Group AB (o), Spar Nord Bank (o)
Aker Solutions (o), TGS-NOPEC Geophysical Company (o)
Attribution summary Stock: 4.81Sector: 1.16
Benchmark Euromoney Smaller European Companies ex UK Index (Net)
1.02
-0.40
2.65
1.23
1.04
0.85
-0.28
-0.28
-0.44
-0.49
-4.0 -2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0
Industrial Engineering (o)
Autos. & Parts (o)
Food Producers (u)
Electronic & Elec. Equip. (o)
Leisure Goods (o)
Industrial Transport. (u)
H'h' Goods & Home Construct. (o)
Life Insurance (n)
Banks (o)
Oil Equip., Serv. & Distn. (o)
Stock selection
Asset allocation
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Gearing versus the index
Source: Thomson Reuters Datastream, J.P. Morgan Asset Management as at 31 March 2017. Index rebased to 100 at start of data series. * Index is Euromoney Smaller European Companies (ex UK) Index. Investment trusts may utilise gearing which will exaggerate market movements both down and up which could mean sudden and large falls in value. For further details, please refer to the trust’s annual report and accounts. Gearing is the ability to borrow money to invest that money on behalf of the shareholders
...active management of gearing a source of consistent value added
Since 2009 (quarterly)
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JPMorgan European Smaller Companies Trust gearing (LHS)Euromoney Smaller European Companies (ex UK) Index (RHS)
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5 year discount
Source: Bloomberg from September 2012 to September 2017. Past performance is not necessarily a reliable indicator of current and future performance.
JPMorgan European Smaller Companies Trust plc
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Net Asset Value Last Price Fund Percent Premium%
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Source: Euromoney; as at 31 July 2017.
Euromoney Smaller European Companies (ex UK) IndexKey characteristics
1,000 stocks across 14 markets
Market capitalisation range of £125m – £5.1bn
Back history from December 1985
Monthly geographic and sector analysis
Daily pricing on Bloomberg-JCSCEXPT Index
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J.P. Morgan Asset Management
FOR PROFESSIONAL CLIENTS ONLY – NOT FOR RETAIL USE OR DISTRIBUTION
This is a promotional document and as such the views contained herein are not to be taken as an advice or recommendation to buy or sell any investment or interest thereto. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Any research in this document has been obtained and may have been acted upon by J.P. Morgan Asset Management for its own purpose. The results of such research are being made available as additional information and do not necessarily reflect the views of J.P.MorganAsset Management. Any forecasts, figures, opinions, statements of financial market trends or investment techniques and strategies expressed are unless otherwise stated, J.P. Morgan Asset Management’s own at the date of this document. They are considered to be reliable at the time of writing, may not necessarily be all-inclusive and are not guaranteed as to accuracy. They may be subject to change without reference or notification to you.
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Investment is subject to documentation which is comprised of the Prospectus, Key Investor Information (KIID) and either the Supplementary Information Document (SID) or Key Features/Terms and Condition, copies of which can be obtained free of charge from JPMorgan Asset Management Marketing Limited. Issued by JPMorgan Asset Management Marketing Limited which is authorised and regulated in the UK by the Financial Conduct Authority. Registered in England No: 288553. Registered address: 25 Bank St, Canary Wharf, London E14 5JP68fd59e0-9f9f-11e7-8a18-005056960c63