John Thorby, Senior Manager Integrated Demand Management, Eskom
Journey to Integrated Business Planning with SAP IBP Demand DXC Oxygen.pdf · category development...
Transcript of Journey to Integrated Business Planning with SAP IBP Demand DXC Oxygen.pdf · category development...
© 2020 DXC Technology Company. All rights reserved.
March 5, 2020
Journey to Integrated Business Planning with SAP IBP DemandDelivering a template for better business planning
Denis FranovPrincipal Consultant SCM, DXC Oxygen
March 5, 2020 2© 2020 DXC Technology Company. All rights reserved.
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Agenda
1. Introduction – What was the problem?
2. What options were considered?
3. Why SAP Integrated Business Planning
(IBP)?
4. Solution Functionality / Useability
Improvements
5. How has IBP Demand evolved from
APO?
6. Key differences / New features /
Improvements
7. Benefits / Learnings from an IBP for
Demand implementation – What was
achieved?
8. Expected Business Benefits
9. What are the key takeaways about IBP?
10.Key Project Learnings
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The problem
• Latest statistical forecasting and demand sensing technology that can
use multiple sources of data to predict most statistically accurate
future forecast
• Flexible time increments and horizons that will allow the demand
planners to view forecasts in easily selectable time periods
• Easy integration with SAP MRP to give supply planning full view of
latest forecast at relevant level of detail
• Ability to input volume and trade spend and complete basic valuation
of key financial metrics to ensure volume meets financial targets
• Offline scenario modelling to facilitate budgets, crop planning,
category development
• A cloud hosted platform supported with quarterly software upgrades
and latest industry best practice updates, algorithms and models.
A leading branded food exporter
came to us with this question…
“How do we bring these
capabilities to our planning
organisation?”
Our answer…
““Implement SAP IBP
for Demand!”
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What options were considered?
They looked at numerous
solutions & a detailed
review was performed
which compared… Planning Analytics
Integrated
Business Planning
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Why SAP IBP?
Vendors were ranked against
• Functionality
• Security and Applications
Management Module
• Useability
• Vendor Support Structure
• Systems Requirements
• People and Company
Supply Chain Control Tower
Sales & Operations Planning
Demand Inventory Response & Supply
SAP HANA Platform
Vendors were asked to
present to a cross
functional business group
using sample data that had
been provided to them
Based on rankings,
reference visits & further
exploration of the software
capabilities and SAP IBP
was selected as the
solution.
Key factors for selecting IBP
• Overall functionality and maturity of DP
• Integrated workflow
• Detailed time bucket manipulation
• Demand sensing capability
• Extended IBP toolset
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Solution / Usability Improvements
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How has IBP for Demand evolved from APO DP?
• Same core statistical models, plus a number of new more powerful statistical
forecast models
• Fiori Apps for configuration - planning areas, key figures, planning levels,
attributes, etc
• Fiori Apps for creating / editing profiles and other key end user functions
• Key Fiori Apps - Managing Forecast Profiles, Managing Segmentation Rules,
Managing Product Lifecycle, Planning Filters, Application Job Templates,
Application Jobs, Change History Report, Analytics, Dashboards, Alerts, etc.
• Data Cleansing enhanced functionality
• Demand Sensing for more accurate short term forecasting
• ABC/XYZ Segmentation to enable more intuitive product assignment to forecast
models
• Manage Product Lifecycle App for easy Phase in / Phase out and Like Profiles
management
• IBP Excel Add-In front end for a more intuitive user experience for planning
process execution
The key differences, new
features and functionality
Improvements
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Web Launchpad – Fiori Apps
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Fiori Apps – Manage Forecast Models
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IBP Excel Add-In Ribbon
Create
views
Edit
views
Simulate
processes
Manage
master data
Manage
versions Run jobs
Favourites Filters Master
data views
Use
scenarios
All functions at the
user’s fingertips
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IBP Excel Planning Views
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IBP Excel Planning Views
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Master Data WorkbookAll master data types can be included in one master data workbook for ease of master data
access and management
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Data Cleansing Tools
Substitute Missing values
It may happen that certain time
series values are missing from the
input data.
Close data gaps that occur due to
lost records or technical issues in the
time series
Outlier Correction
An “outlier” is a value in the historical
data that lies outside the expected
range of values.
Clean the history from outliers such
as one-time events or data entry
errors that affected the sales results.
Promotion Sales Lift Elimination
Historical promotions may be one-
time events or not reflecting future
promotions and have an effect on
the sales history.
Can clean the history of these
promotions i.e. de-promote the data
to create a more accurate history for
new baseline forecasts.
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ABC / XYZ Segmentation
Segmentation helps define more specific alerts and
reports, generate more accurate results for demand
planning and inventory planning.
Among others, it allows you to do the following :
• Tailor forecast strategy and inventory optimisation to
characteristics of segments
• Assign more appropriate forecast models to planning objects
• Analyse forecast accuracy by product segments
High volume,
constant demand
High volume, trend
or seasonal
demand
High volume,
random or sporadic
demand
Medium volume,
constant demand
Medium volume,
trend or seasonal
demand
Medium volume,
random or sporadic
demand
Low volume,
constant demand
Low volume, trend
or seasonal
demand
Low volume,
random or sporadic
demand
A
B
C
X Y Z Variance
Usage/
Importance
Characteristics that
the various
combinations of
ABC and XYZ
segments imply
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Demand Sensing
What is the difference?
Demand Sensing vs. Classical Statistical Forecasting
Statistical Forecasting Demand Sensing
Basic Principle Forecasting Pattern Recognition
Planning HorizonsComputes a demand plan for the mid to long
term horizon (usually up to 1-2 years)
Computes a demand plan for the short term
horizon (usually 6 weeks)
Planning Cycles Monthly or quarterly cycles, sometimes weekly Weekly and sometimes daily cycles
Historic data UsageSeasonality and trends over a longer term
horizon (e.g. 2 years) are picked up
Short term patterns over the last year.
Seasonality and trends are taken over from the
consensus forecast
Demand Sensing does not replace Statistical Forecasting. It rather extends it.
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IBP Integration Requirements Using CPI-DS
• The (CPI-DS) Cloud Platform Integration – Data Services system for
connecting IBP and other systems / data sources for loading data into
IBP and for extracting data
• CPI is a flexible / powerful integration tool enabling mapping and
automated flow of data via extractors
• The graphic shows the types of data transfers executed in the DP
implementation
• ECC master data included: Product, Locations (Plants), Customers,
Currencies, UOM’s, UOM Conversions
• BW data included: Actual Sales history, Customer Product and Product
Location compound master data
• External data included: AC Nielsen scan data loads, Customer Forecast
loaded from customer provided excel files
• Created 30+ batch jobs to trigger the CPI extractors from IBP
• Interfaces: Inbound Master Data = 13, Inbound Key Figures = 11,
Inbound External KF = 6, Outbound to ECC = 6, Outbound to BW = 25
IBP
ECC
BW
External Data
Source
CPI
Master Data
IBP Forecast
Transactional Data
IBP Forecast & Tradespend
Customer Forecast
IBP Dataflow High Level Architecture
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Achievements, Learnings, Benefits and Takeaways
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IBP for Demand Implementation
• Delivered a standardised process and tools for all business
functions
• Enabled statistical forecasting capability and use
• Provided an understanding of how to develop improved stat
forecasting results through automated model simulation, best
fit model assignment to facilitate ongoing improvement
• Created 12 planning view templates to cover all planning
• Achieved fully automated integration through CPI-DS with
ECC, BW and External data sources
• Utilised all the standard functionality as is out of the box i.e.
Data Cleansing tools, Forecast Models, Segmentation, Forecast
Error Calculation / Lags, NPI / Product Lifecycle Management,
Application jobs, Copy Operators
What was achieved?
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Expected Business Benefits
• Address current business issues that lead to poor forecast
accuracy
• Lay the platform to achieve improved forecast accuracy
to drive finished product inventory and other working capital
savings
• Flexibility, responsiveness and transparency
• Real time analysis, scenarios planning, improved financial
planning and budgeting processes
• Deliver improvements in service levels with customers
• Reduction in slow moving & stock write offs
• Less manual tasks
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What are the key things to takeaway about IBP?
• Numerous features and benefits over APO DP and other
software in the market
• User interface is completely new!
• Combination of Fiori apps for system management and
reporting
• Excel Add-In for planners with the power of HANA
database
• More visually intuitive tool
• Embed own formulas in the Excel planning
• Cloud hosted system with secure reliable SAP
infrastructure and support from Sydney data centre
• Quarterly updates and IBP is still improving
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Key Project Learnings
• Thoughtful definition of planning filters
• Implement statistical forecasting and refine and improve
• Use auto selection of best fit models as a starting point
• Understand the difference between the APO DP CVC design and
the IBP master data design
• Experienced business resource for defining CPI integration
requirements
• Need an experienced SAP Basis resource working with CPI
integration consultant
• Utilise the SAP Best Practices Methodology and tools provided
• Leverage the provided test scripts and processes
• Early user involvement
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Denis Franov
Principal Consultant SCM,
DXC Oxygen
T +61.2.8879.6630
M +61.407.236.843
© 2020 DXC Technology Company. All rights reserved.