Johannesburg Branch SAIMM ROGER DIXON CHAIRPERSON SSC SAMREC/SAMVAL COMMITTEE 17 SEPTEMBER 2009 The...
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Transcript of Johannesburg Branch SAIMM ROGER DIXON CHAIRPERSON SSC SAMREC/SAMVAL COMMITTEE 17 SEPTEMBER 2009 The...
Johannesburg Branch SAIMM
ROGER DIXON CHAIRPERSON SSC
SAMREC/SAMVAL COMMITTEE
17 SEPTEMBER 2009
The South African Museum of Military History
Agenda
• Brief introduction to regulatory codes in SA
• Principles – competent person/valuator
• Current operating environment
• Some challenges
• International Activities
SAMREC CODE
THE SOUTH AFRICAN CODE FOR THE REPORTING OF EXPLORATION RESULTS, MINERAL RESOURCES AND MINERAL RESERVES
• FIRST PUBLISHED MARCH 2000
• 2ND EDITION JULY 2007
MINIMUM STANDARDS FOR PUBLIC REPORTING
SAMVAL CODE
THE SOUTH AFRICAN CODE FOR THE REPORTING OF MINERAL ASSET VALUATION
• Mineral Asset - Any right to explore or mine (or both) that has been granted or entity holding such property or the securities of such an entity.
• Published April 2008
The Code sets out a required minimum standard for the Public Reporting of Mineral Asset Valuation.
Public Report
• Reports prepared for investors or potential investors
• Annual Reports
• Quarterly Reports
• Info Memos
• Websites
• Public Presentations
• SENS
PRINCIPLES
Materiality: Relevant information for a reasoned decision.
Transparency: The reader of a Public Report must be provided with sufficient information, the presentation of which is clear and unambiguous, to understand the report and not be misled.
Competency: The Public Report is based on work that is the responsibility of suitably qualified and experienced persons who are subject to an enforceable Professional Code of Ethics.
Framework for Reporting
EXPLORATIONRESULTS
MINERAL MINERALIncreasing RESOURCES RESERVES
level of Reported as in situ Reported as
geoscientif ic mineralisation mineable production
know ledge estimates estimates
and
confidence INFERRED
INDICATED PROBABLE
MEASURED PROVED
Consideration of mining, metallurgical, economic, marketing, legal,
environmental, social and governmental factors
Figure 1 Relationship between Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Mineral Reserves
(the 'modifying factors')
Competent Person/Valuator
1. Membership of Professional
Organization with enforceable Code
of Ethics
SAIMM SAICA
GSSA
SACNASP
ECSA
PLATO
Competent Person/Valuator
2. Competent Person
Minimum 5 (five) years experience
relevant to style of mineralization
and type of deposit and to the
activity undertaken
2.Competent Valuator
Sufficient relevant experience
Competent
Person/Valuator
Team approach allowed but
leader signs off.
NB. Satisfied in own mind able to
face peers and demonstrate
competence in the commodity,
type of deposit and situation.
Disciplinary Procedure
• Complaints in writing to SSC
• Ethics Committee decides
whether complaint is valid
• Referred to Professional
Organization for discipline
ROPOS
Recognised Overseas Professional
Organization
• Reciprocity
• Securities Exchange
JSE/SSC ROPOS
Australasian Institute of Mining and
Metallurgy
AusIMM
Australian Institute of Geoscientists AIG
Canadian Council of Professional
Geoscientists
CCPG
European Federation of Geologists EFG
The Geological Society GS
Institute of Geologists of Ireland IGI
Institute of Materials Minerals and
Mining
IMMM
Mining and Metallurgical Society of
America
MMSA
Society for Mining Metallurgy and
Exploration
SME
Compliance Monitoring
• Codes incorporated into JSE
Listing Requirements – Section 12
• Strong links with JSE
• Readers Panel, experts in their
field
• Remunerated by JSE
Prevention better than cure!
SAMREC AND SAMVAL CODES
Commodity Boom-Financial Crisis
The operating environment
Market Cap Resources
Top ten September 2009
Pre -feasibility
SAMCODE – Pre-feasibility Study
• A comprehensive study of a range of options for the viability of a mineral project that has advanced to a stage where the preferred mining method, in the case of underground or the pit configuration in the case of an open pit has been established and where an effective method of mineral processing has been determined.
• It includes a financial analysis based on realistically assumed assumptions of technical, engineering, operating, economic factors and the evaluation of the other relevant factors
• Which are sufficient for a Competent Person, acting reasonably, to determine if all or part of the Mineral Resource may be classified as a Mineral Reserve.
• The overall confidence of the study should be stated. A Pre-feasibility Study is at a lower confidence level than a Feasibility Study
Feasibility Study
• A comprehensive design and costing study of the selected option for the development of a mineral project.
• Realistically assumed geological, mining, metallurgical, economic, marketing, legal, environmental, social, governmental, engineering, operational and all the other modifying factors,
• Demonstrate at the time of reporting that extraction is
reasonably justified (economically mineable) and
• the factors reasonably serve as the basis for a final decision by a proponent or financial institution to proceed with, or finance, the development of the project.
• The overall confidence of the study should be stated.
Reasonable?
• Commodity price volatility
• Fluctuating exchange rates
• Rampant escalation in selected
areas
• Lack of technical capacity
• Cost over-runs
• Lack of infrastructure capacity
• Pressure from clients
Reasonable
What the majority of people consider to be 'reasonable' is that about which there is agreement, if not among all, at least among a substantial number of people; 'reasonable' for most people, has nothing to do with reason, but with consensus.“
[Erich Fromm]
Price volatility - platinum
Price volatility - copper
Price volatility - uranium
Cost over-runs
"The huge Mmamabula project is in trouble," she said, referring to rising construction, equipment and project management costs."It was estimated originally at 6 (billion dollars) two years ago, it went up to 9 and now is at $16 billion.“
Source: mineweb.com
Project schedule
Froneman stepped down as CEO at that stage, to be replaced on an interim basis by Jean Nortier, who was confirmed this week as CEO, just as Dominion's "pre-commercial" uranium oxide output projection for this year was again cut, this time to 0.32m lbs, some 89% less than Froneman's original projection of 2.8m lbs.
Source: mineweb.com
Project over-runs
Mmamabula energy project – initial estimate US$6bn
Revised estimate US$16bn
Anvil Mining project – initial estimate US$257m
Revised estimate US$380m
Galore Creek project – initial estimate US$2.2bn
Revised estimate US$5bn
LITIGATION!A capex blow-out, which more than doubled the estimated project cost of NovaGold Resources' Galore Creek project, is the subject of a shareholder class action lawsuit filed against the Vancouver junior gold miner. The lawsuit was filed in the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York on behalf of plaintiff Rudolph T. Textor and all purchasers of securities of NovaGold Resources from October 25, 2006, through November 23, 2007.
Source: mineweb.com
Litigation
• Contrary to the Defendants' representations, the Company had failed to make reasonable estimates as to capital expenditures necessary to mine Galore Creek, which were underestimated by more than $3 billion.
• The development of Galore Creek was not proceeding on schedule and was a year and a half to two years behind schedule;
• The results of the Hatch Feasibility Study announced on October 25, 2006 materially understated the capital costs and construction schedule required to successfully mine the Galore Creek site;
• Defendants knew but failed to disclose that the Hatch Feasibility Study was not a ‘Bankable Feasibility Study.'
Solution
• Compliant terminology
• Ensure all modifying factors are
covered
• Develop standards for levels of
study
• Confidence levels?
Above all TRANSPARENCY!!
www.crirsco.com
CRIRSCO
CRIRSCO MEMBERS Australia: JORC Code
Canada: NI 43-101 + CIM Standards
Chile: The Code for the certification of Exploration Prospects Mineral Resources and Ore
Reserves
Europe and UK: PERC Code, The Reporting Code
South Africa: SAMREC Code
United States: SME Guide for Reporting Exploration Information, Mineral Resources and Mineral Reserves. SEC Industry Guide 7
Disconnects
• UKLA and CESA not linked to Professional Body
– Recognize several Reporting Codes
• SEC not linked
– Have moved on oil and gas
– Resources not recognized
– Competent Person not recognized
– Prescriptive on Prices
CRIRSCO
Potential new Members:
China
Indonesia
Mongolia
Peru
Philippines
Russia
CRIRSCO
CRIRSCO
• International reporting template
• Harmonising reporting systems for both solid minerals and hydrocarbons.
• Acceptance by IASB of CRIRSCO definitions.
• UNECE Classification Framework
Revision expected October 2009
WEBSITE
ALL SLIDES
WWW.SAMCODE.CO.ZA