JLL Cincinnati Office Employment Update May 2015

2
Office employment trends (12-month change) Cincinnati Sources: Jones Lang LaSalle Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics The Cincinnati metro continued its steady expansion by recently adding 14,400 payrolls, year-over-year, bringing total non-farm employment to 1.04 million. Meanwhile, unemployment fell 1.2 percent to 4.8 percent from the previous year. The office employment sector continued its streak of strong jobs growth, posting an annual net gain of 5,500 jobs according to the latest data from the BLS. Professional and business services led the pack, adding 5,900 new jobs, year-over-year. Meanwhile, the government super sector continued its now eight month streak of negative jobs growth, dropping 2,100 from payrolls, annually. Total U.S. nonfarm employment increased by 223,000 jobs in April, a healthy uptick after a disappointing March where job gains totaled just 85,000. The strong April results will help lower concerns among economists and Wall Street of a hiring slowdown. U.S. unemployment decreased 10 basis points to 5.4 percent, its lowest mark since May 2008. Wages also continued to trend in the right direction in April, increasing 2.2 percent year-over-year. Total jobs vs. Unemployment rate Cincinnati Office employment update Metro Cincinnati . May 2015 Cincinnati is driven by a diverse range of office-using tenants, while the bulk of activity has historically belonged to medical, data, and marketing and branding firms. The office sector continues to experience new development, with particular renewed interest in the suburban markets, which ended 2014 with over 450,000 square feet of office space under construction. The Cincinnati economy is humming, moving from its slow-gear recovery stages and now poised for accelerated growth and expansion. A number of high-profile capital investments announced in 2014 have marked a continually improving real estate market and metro as a whole, while strengthening employment figures indicate the growing strength in the Cincinnati labor market. In fact, the Cincinnati USA Regional Chamber expects local employment to increase by 2.0 percent through 2015, bringing with it an increase of nearly 21,000 net new jobs. Office real estate implications Job growth/loss by sector (12-month change) Cincinnati -2,100 -1,200 -1,000 100 400 1,600 1,700 1,700 5,900 7,300 -4000 -2000 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 Government Educational & Health Services Leisure & Hospitality Information Other Services Financial Activities Mining and Logging Manufacturing Professional & Business Services Trade, Transportation & Utilities Number of Jobs (8.0) (6.0) (4.0) (2.0) 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Financial Activities Professional and Business Services Information Government 4.8% Cincinnati unemployment 1.4% Cincinnati 12-month job growth 5.4% U.S. unemployment 2.2% U.S. 12-month job growth 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 900,000 920,000 940,000 960,000 980,000 1,000,000 1,020,000 1,040,000 1,060,000 1,080,000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Peak: 1,069,054 jobs Total Employment Unemployment 3.1%

Transcript of JLL Cincinnati Office Employment Update May 2015

Page 1: JLL Cincinnati Office Employment Update May 2015

Office employment trends (12-month change) Cincinnati

Sources: Jones Lang LaSalle Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics

• The Cincinnati metro continued its steady expansion by recently

adding 14,400 payrolls, year-over-year, bringing total non-farm

employment to 1.04 million. Meanwhile, unemployment fell 1.2

percent to 4.8 percent from the previous year.

• The office employment sector continued its streak of strong jobs

growth, posting an annual net gain of 5,500 jobs according to the

latest data from the BLS. Professional and business services led

the pack, adding 5,900 new jobs, year-over-year. Meanwhile, the

government super sector continued its now eight month streak of

negative jobs growth, dropping 2,100 from payrolls, annually.

• Total U.S. nonfarm employment increased by 223,000 jobs in

April, a healthy uptick after a disappointing March where job gains

totaled just 85,000. The strong April results will help lower

concerns among economists and Wall Street of a hiring slowdown.

• U.S. unemployment decreased 10 basis points to 5.4 percent, its

lowest mark since May 2008. Wages also continued to trend in the

right direction in April, increasing 2.2 percent year-over-year.

Total jobs vs. Unemployment rate Cincinnati

Office employment update Metro Cincinnati . May 2015

Cincinnati is driven by a diverse range of office-using tenants, while the bulk of

activity has historically belonged to medical, data, and marketing and branding

firms. The office sector continues to experience new development, with

particular renewed interest in the suburban markets, which ended 2014 with

over 450,000 square feet of office space under construction.

The Cincinnati economy is humming, moving from its slow-gear recovery

stages and now poised for accelerated growth and expansion. A number of

high-profile capital investments announced in 2014 have marked a continually

improving real estate market and metro as a whole, while strengthening

employment figures indicate the growing strength in the Cincinnati labor

market. In fact, the Cincinnati USA Regional Chamber expects local

employment to increase by 2.0 percent through 2015, bringing with it an

increase of nearly 21,000 net new jobs.

Office real estate implications Job growth/loss by sector (12-month change) Cincinnati

-2,100

-1,200

-1,000

100

400

1,600

1,700

1,700

5,900

7,300

-4000 -2000 0 2000 4000 6000 8000

Government

Educational & Health Services

Leisure & Hospitality

Information

Other Services

Financial Activities

Mining and Logging

Manufacturing

Professional & Business Services

Trade, Transportation & Utilities

Number of Jobs

(8.0)

(6.0)

(4.0)

(2.0)

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Financial Activities Professional and Business Services Information Government

4.8% Cincinnati unemployment

1.4% Cincinnati 12-month job growth

5.4% U.S. unemployment

2.2% U.S. 12-month job growth

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

900,000

920,000

940,000

960,000

980,000

1,000,000

1,020,000

1,040,000

1,060,000

1,080,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Peak: 1,069,054 jobs Total Employment

Unemployment

3.1%

Page 2: JLL Cincinnati Office Employment Update May 2015

© 2015 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved.

All information contained herein is from sources deemed

reliable; however, no representation or warranty is made

to the accuracy thereof.

JLL Americas Research • Cincinnati Office Employment Update 2

March 2013 March 2014 March 2015

Total Non-farm

Employment

1,006,900

1.0%

1,027,600

2.1%

1,042,000

1.4%

Unemployment Rate 7.4% 6.0% 4.8%

Cincinnati Supersectors March 2013 March 2014 March 2015

Mining, Logging and Construction 35,400 -1.9% 38,000 7.3% 39,700 4.5%

Manufacturing 103,900 -0.7% 108,500 4.4% 110,200 1.6%

Trade, Transportation, & Utilities 198,000 0.6% 199,600 0.8% 206,900 3.7%

Information 14,100 2.2% 13,400 -5.0% 13,500 0.7%

Financial Activities 64,900 2.4% 65,800 1.4% 67,400 2.4%

Professional & Business Services 159,000 1.0% 163,400 2.8% 169,300 3.6%

Educational & Health Services 154,700 2.0% 159,200 2.9% 158,000 -0.8%

Leisure & Hospitality 105,200 3.4% 108,800 3.4% 107,800 -0.9%

Other Services 39,700 4.7% 38,700 -2.5% 39,100 1.0%

Government 132,000 -1.0% 132,200 0.2% 130,100 -1.6%

News on the street Cincinnati businesses expanding, contracting, etc.

Employment statistics

Cincinnati

Industry employment stratification

Cincinnati

Assurex Health Ι Medical & Diagnostic Laboratories: Relocating

Assurex Health recently revealed that it plans to move its headquarters and laboratories to a $15 million complex that will be built next year in Mason’s Oakpark

District. The building on Innovation Way, near the planned $16.4 million Western Row Interchange for Interstate 71, will anchor a 30-acre, mixed-use development.

The city of Mason owns the now vacant land. The 60,000-square-foot Assurex complex will be designed to allow a build-out of another 30,000 square feet.

Cassady Schiller & Associates Inc. Ι Accounting Services: Relocating

One of Greater Cincinnati’s largest accounting firms is getting ready to move its offices. Cassady Schiller & Associates Inc. has outgrown the building it owns on

Lake Forest Drive in Blue Ash and is moving down the street. The company has signed a lease to move this summer to become a major tenant at the Westlake

Center at 4555 Lake Forest Drive. It’s vacating about 10,000 square feet and moving into 16,000 square feet on the fourth floor of the seven-story building.

Masters Pharmaceutical Ι Professional Services Sector: Relocating

Masters Pharmaceutical revealed plans to move its corporate headquarters from Forest Park to Mason, where the fast-growing firm intends to build a 300,000-

square-foot office, warehouse and distribution center on 47 acres. Total investment would approach $16 million for the land, building and equipment. Phoenix

Architecture of downtown Cincinnati is the architect and Design Build Solutions of Sharonville is builder of the complex near 2563 State Route 741 and Binion Way.

Procter & Gamble Ι Personal Care Products Manufacturing: Contracting

Procter & Gamble’s (NYSE: PG) three-year effort to trim its office workforce by about 10,000 employees is a year ahead of schedule, and up to 6,000 additional non-

manufacturing jobs could be eliminated over the next two years through buyouts, retirements and not filling vacant positions. P&G has about 11,000 employees in

Greater Cincinnati and another 107,000 elsewhere. In addition, roughly 10,000 manufacturing jobs have been eliminated globally over the last three years.

RoundTower Technologies Inc. Ι Information Technology Services: Expanding

One of Greater Cincinnati's fastest growing technology companies is looking for a new headquarters. RoundTower Technologies Inc., which had 2014 revenue of

about $140 million, is looking for 30,000 square feet of space to house the company's headquarters. Currently, the company leases about 13,000 square feet of

space at 4555 Lake Forest Drive. The company is targeting a move south, with Kenwood Collection and Rookwood Exchange as two potential locations.

Staffmark Ι Staffing Services: Relocating

Staffmark, the national commercial staffing firm based in downtown Cincinnati, is moving its corporate headquarters after more than 20 years on Elm Street.

Staffmark signed an eight-year lease for more than 37,000 square feet of space at Omnicare Center. The company, which has 200 employees in its downtown

office, is expected to move before the end of the year. The firm will take all of the eighth floor and a portion of the seventh floor in the building.

Cody Brooks Research Analyst Great Lakes Region tel +1 513 297 2509 [email protected] 312 Walnut St, Suite 3030 Cincinnati, OH 45202 www.jll.com/cincinnati

Andrew Batson Senior Research Analyst Great Lakes Region tel +1 216 937 4374 [email protected] 127 Public Square, Suite 2410 Cleveland, OH 44114 www.jll.com/cleveland

Trade, transportation and Utilities,

206,900, 20%

Professional and Business Services,

169,300, 16%

Educational and Health Services,

158,000, 15%

Government, 130,100, 13%

Manufacturing, 110,200, 11%

Leisure and Hospitality, 107,800, 10%

Financial Activities, 67,400, 6%

Mining, Logging and construction,

39,700, 4%

Other Services, 39,100, 4% Information,

13,500, 1%