Japan’s Improbable Military Resurgence _ the Diplomat

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    apan's Improbable Military Resurgence

    apanese militarism was buried for good in August 1945 and likely will not rise again.

    In 2004, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe made a case for Japan to restore its military capabilities, writing in his

    book,Determination to Protect This Country,that if Japanese dont shed blood, we cannot have an equal relationship

    with America. Since then, Abe has sought to revive the countrys defensive capabilities, mostly toward fortifying its

    claim over the disputed Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands, an island chain in the East China Sea that Beijing says belongs to

    China. He hasrequesteda record five trillion yen ($42 billion) defense budget for fiscal year 2016 (if approved, it will be

    Tokyos largest in 14 years) and reinterpreted the constitution to allow Japan to exercise the right of collective self-

    defense. The efforts have provoked growing alarm.

    A June 2015 survey found that 57 percent of South Koreans believe that Japan is in a militaristic state, and 58 percent

    said that Tokyo poses a military threat. In comparison, only 38 percent surveyed thought that China was the bigger

    threat. China, too, is worried. It has repeatedly warnedthat Abe is leading the country down a more dangerous path

    toward militarization.

    Whatever Abes intentions , however, Japanese militarism was buried for good in August 1945 and will not likely rise

    again. The reason: the Japanese people.

    Defeat Suits

    After the atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki, Emperor Showa, popularly known as Hirohito, gave a radio

    address explaining to his people that continuing the fight against the Allies would result in an ultimate collapse andobliteration of the Japanese nation.

    And so Japan surrendered. Unlike the Germans, though, the Japanese people had no Adolf Hitler or Nazi Party to blame

    for a war that had killed at least 2.7 million Japanese servicemen and civilians and destroyed 66 major cities. Although

    the Japanese emperor had been accused of overseeing war crimesmass rapes and killings in China and Southeast Asia

    U.S. General Douglas MacArthur thought it politically expedient to keep him in power and successfully ran a

    campaign to exonerate Hirohito. The Japanese people came to regard Hirohito as innocent and subsequently turned

    against the military, accusing the services of deceiving them and drawing the country into a perilous war. Japanese

    police reports immediately after the surrender note the peoples grave distrust, frustration, and antipathy toward

    military and civilian leaders and general hatred of the military.

    By Franz-Stefan GadySeptember 18, 2015

    http://thediplomat.com/2015/09/japans-defense-ministry-wants-record-military-budget-for-2016/http://thediplomat.com/authors/franz-stefan-gady/https://www.flickr.com/photos/90465288@N07/10219308695/http://thediplomat.com/http://thediplomat.com/authors/franz-stefan-gady/http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2015-07/21/c_134433589.htmhttp://thediplomat.com/2015/09/japans-defense-ministry-wants-record-military-budget-for-2016/https://www.flickr.com/photos/90465288@N07/10219308695/http://thediplomat.com/
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    Civilian contempt for the military quickly spread to the rank and file of the 3.5 million-strong Imperial Japanese Army.

    And so, after the war, Japanese soldiers were both defeated and despised. In a letter from an anonymous former soldier

    dated May 9, 1946, Not a single person gave me a kind word. Rather, they cast hostile glances my way. Military

    uniforms were nicknamed defeat suits, and military boots were called defeat shoes.

    Even one of the most reverent expressions of gratitude during the war yearsthanks to our fighting men (heitaisan no

    okage desu)turned into an expression of contempt. Thanks to our fighting men, lives and property had been

    destroyed. Thanks to our fighting men, Japans overall economic and political situation was absymal. As the historian

    John W. Dower outlines inEmbracing Defeat: Japan in the Wake of World War II,no one listened to the returning

    soldiers who spoke out about the differences between the military leadership and common servicemen.

    The Tokyo War Crimes Trials, which lasted from 1946 to 1948, revealed the extent of the atrocities committed by the

    Japanese military during World War II and also the extreme antipathy that the Japanese people felt for the military. For

    example, during the 1945 Battle of Manila, the Japanese military mutilated and massacred between 100,000 and

    500,000 Filipino civilians. Shortly after the news reached Tokyo, a Japanese woman wrote a letter to the Japanese

    national paperAsahi Shimbunexpressing her revulsion. Even if such an atrocious soldier were my son, she wrote, I

    could not accept him back home. Let him be shot to death there. The poet Saeki Jinzaburo also penned a few lines

    expressing his disgust with the army after the war crimes revelations: Seizing married women, raping mothers in front

    of their childrenthis is the Imperial Army.

    In 1947, a Japanese poetry magazine published the following verse after the end of the Tokyo tribunal: The crimes of

    Japanese soldiers, who committed unspeakable atrocities in Nanking [China] and Manila, must be atoned for. Former

    Prime Minister Hideki Tojo, an army general, was openly ridiculed for a botched suicide attempt in September1945. One Japanese novelist and poet, Takami Yoshio (who went by the pen name Jun Takami), wrote at the time,

    Cowardly living on, and then using a pistol like a foreigner, failing to die. Japanese cannot help but smile bitterly. . . .

    Why did General Tojo not use a Japanese sword as Army Minister Anami did? These postwar sentiments against the

    military were so strong that even textbooks during that period systematically skipped over any references to past

    Japanese victories and military heroes. And they remain absent from schoolbooks to this day.

    Ashes of Hirosh ima

    Distrust and ridicule of all things military did not abate in the postwar years. After the war, the Self-Defense Forces

    (SDF), Japans de facto postwar army created at the behest of the United States, were generally accepted. In the 1960s,

    though, new recruits were occasionally pelted with stones while walking down the street, and when they appeared in

    public spaces, people would get up and leave. Throughout the Cold War, Japans military was seen as serving no realpurpose and offering little protection. Then, as now, the public felt that the U.S.-Japanese security treaty offered a better

    guarantee of security than the SDF. After all, since its founding, the SDF had neither achieved a single military victory

    nor ever engaged in combat operations.

    Although the end of the Cold War brought a new raison dtre to the SDFUN Peacekeeping operationsthe Japanese

    still regard the force as useful primarily for disaster relief rather than defense. According to a 2015 public opinion poll

    conducted by Japans Cabinet Office, 82 percent of Japanese think that the SDFs primary role is disaster relief, and 72.3

    percent believe that this should remain its main duty in the future. Perhaps that is why, to this day, the SDF refers to its

    weapons as equipment and artillery brigades as technical brigades in order to downplay the military aspects of

    Japans armed forces. Tanks even used to be called special vehicles, although they are now referred to as tanks again.

    In the same poll, 92 percent of those surveyed had a positive impression of the SDF, but a positive impression doesnot mean support or approval. According to Thomas Berger, a professor of international relations at Boston University,

    Japans best and brightest do not flock to join the armed forces, and the SDF is hardly celebrated in Japanese society.

    Indeed, according to the same 2015 public opinion poll, less than half of people questioned thought that being a soldier

    was a respectable occupation, and only 25.4 percent perceived the job to be a challenging one.

    As Berger explained to me, Internal [SDF] surveys showed that the majority joined the forces because they hoped for

    material betterment. It is a safe, reliable job, and the legal status is the same as being a post office clerk.

    The SDF also has the reputation of being a holding center for high school and college dropouts. It recruits heavily from

    Japans backwaters, such as southern Kyushu and northern Honshuand especially from Akita prefecture and Hokaido,

    where young people face limited job prospects. Most of those enlisted belong to the lower and lower middle class es,

    although the officer corps is staffed primarily by those from the middle class. Once these young men and women have

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    oined, they tend to serve until quiet retirement in their early 50s. Japan doesnt have the sort of hero worship of

    military things that can boost the career of a retired officer, according to Robert Dujarric, director of the Institute of

    Contemporary Asian Studies at Temple University in Japan.

    That is why the Japanese have resisted Abes attempts to revive the military. In August 2015, in one of the largest

    demonstrationsin Tokyo against Abe, tens of thousands hit the street. One protester told theFinancial Times, This is

    the last chance we have to preserve Japans worldwide reputation as a country of peace. In reality, however, Japanese

    military radicalization could be triggered only by a fundamental change in the security architecture of East Asia, such as

    a unilateral U.S. withdrawal from Japan or a North Korean nuclear missile attack. Both are far-fetched scenarios.

    But given the current political climate, it was not surprising that an August 2015 public poll found only 11 percent of theJapanese were supportive of Abes policy to reinterpret the power that the constitution gives its military. His personal

    ratings have also slipped, with some analysts predicting his resignation.

    The moral and military defeat of the Japanese army in World War II was so total that it echoes to this day. Despite Abes

    historical revisionism and fearmongering, the Japanese public appears unwilling to trust another military clique. Thats

    why, for all the talk of Japanese militarism, a relatively pacifist country is here to stay.

    This article has previously been published in Foreign Affairs Magazine.

    https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/2015-09-16/japan-peacehttp://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/06cb93ec-4f0e-11e5-8642-453585f2cfcd.html#axzz3lj0py6PA