January – June 2006 August, 2006
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Transcript of January – June 2006 August, 2006
January – June 2006 August, 2006
Confectionery IndustryReview
USA Market
2006 First Six MonthsRetail Performance
2006 Retail Confectionery Sales
52 week sales estimates July 2005 – June 2006 % $ Change
Confectionery $28.6 +3.2%(Chocolate, Sugar, Gum) Sales in billionsEstimates are based upon interpretation of IRI retail sales data, NCA Shipment Data, and Euromonitor
2006 Retail Channel Performance
Channel 2006 $ Sales 2006 % GrowthSupermarkets $4.3 -0.6%*Wal-Mart $3.2 +3.8% Mass X Wal-Mart $1.3 +2.1%Convenience Stores $4.1 +7.2%Drug Stores $2.4 +4.1%*Warehouse Clubs $3.1 Even*Dollar Stores $.8 +0.2%Vending $1.1 -0.4%*Bulk $1.4 Even
Based on 52 Week Sales – July 2005 – June 2006
* Source: Sales figures are compiled by National Confectioners Association based on input from Information Resources, Inc. NCA/CMA Monthly Shipment Reports and U.S. Department of Commerce
2006 Retail Category SalesCategory $ Sales Growth Category Size (000 millions)
Misc. Snacks +30.0% $197Coffee +7.8% $3,001Snack/Granola Bars +4.7% $1,873Candy & Gum +1.2% $7,921Salty Snacks +0.6% $7,320Bakery Snacks -0.4% $839Carb. Beverages -0.9% $13,409Ice Cream -1.2% $4,376Cereal -1.5% $6,082Cookies -2.1% $3,901Milk -3.5% $10,895Dry Fruit Snacks -6.6% $511
Information Resources 52 week sales through July 16, 2006
Supermarkets,
Drug and Mass Only
Candy and Gum Rank 3rdAmong Food Categories
$13.40
$7.40
$6.10
$4.40
$3.90
$7.80
$10.90
$0.0 $3.0 $6.0 $9.0 $12.0 $15.0
Carbonated Beverages
Milk
Candy& Gum
Salty Snacks
Cereal
Ice Cream
Cookies
Prod
uct C
ateg
orie
s
$ Billions
-0.9%
-3.5%
+1.2%+0.6%
-1.5%
-1.2%
-2.1% IRI Food, Drug & MassExcluding Wal-Mart 7/16/06
2006Seasonal Performance
Confectionery Seasonal Sales(** in millions of dollars)
$ Sales2006 Valentine’s Day $9712006 Easter $1,8842005 Halloween $2,0882005 Christmas $1,375
Results and Projection as of June 2006Source: Sales figures are compiled by National Confectioners Association based on input from Information Resources, Inc. NCA/CMA Monthly Shipment Reports and U.S. Department of Commerce
Seasonal Confectionery Trends
2006 2005 2004 2003 2002
VALENTINE’S -4.0% -3.0% -7.6% +6.5%
EASTER -7.6% +5.5% +2.2% -2.2%
HALLOWEEN +2.4% +0.7% -0.4%
CHRISTMAS -3.5% -1.4% -3.0%* IRI FD&M
+0.1%+7.0%
+2.3%+2.4%
USA Market
2006 First Six MonthsManufacturer Performance
2006 Confectionery Performance
Category Manf. Sales % Chocolate $2.5 billion -0.2%Non-Choc. $1.4 billion +6.8%
NCA Monthly Shipment Reports January – May 2006
Manufacturers’ ShipmentsJanuary – May 2006
USA Market
New Trends
Trends - What's for 2006/07
Limited Editions
Dark Chocolate
High End and Gourmet Candy
High Cocoa Content Chocolates
Single Origin Chocolates
Gourmet Chocolates are hot! It all depends on your definition of gourmet.
Combined, Dove, Ferrero, Ghirardelli, Hershey Dark, Lindt, Mon Cheri and Perugina grew 32.2% in 2005
Trends - What's for 2006/07
Sugar Free Gums
Licorice
Single Serve Seasonal Offerings
Breath Fresheners
USA Market
2005 AnnualConfectionery Performance
2005 Confectionery Performance
Category Retail Sales Manf. Sales % Total $28.1 Billion $18.3 billion +2.6%Chocolate $15.8 Billion $10.3 billion +3.2%Non-Choc. $8.9 Billion $5.8 billion +7.0%Gum $2.6 Billion $1.7 billion -12.4%
NCA Estimates base on 2006 U.S. Dpt. Of Commerce 311D Report and NCA Monthly Shipment ReportsDifferences based on estimation and “Not specified by kind” category.
2005 Confectionery & Snack Sales
The 2005 U.S. Retail Market % $ Change
Confectionery $28.1 +2.6%(Chocolate, Sugar, Gum) Savory Snacks $27.5 +4.4%Biscuits & Crackers $11.1 +1.3% Sales in billionsNCA Shipment Data and Euromonitor
Retail Landscape ChangingChannel 2005 $ Sales 2005 % GrowthSupermarkets $4.3 -1.1%*Wal-Mart $2.8 +3.8% Mass X Wal-Mart $1.2 +0.7Convenience Stores $3.8 +8.8%Drug Stores $2.3 +1.0%*Warehouse Clubs $3.2 +3.6%*Dollar Stores $.8 EvenVending $1.2 -1.9%*Bulk $1.5 -0.5*estimates