Irregular warfare What are the trends ? what is the threat ? Is this war ?
42
Irregular warfare What are the trends ? what is the threat ? Is this war ?
description
Irregular warfare What are the trends ? what is the threat ? Is this war ?. Fourth Generation Warfare. RPG. Islamic Extremists. Economic Espionage. International Crime. Gangs. IRAN. Ethnic Conflict. Improvised Explosives. Rogue Regimes. Biological Warfare. Shoulder Launched Missiles. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Transcript of Irregular warfare What are the trends ? what is the threat ? Is this war ?
Irregular warfare
What are the trends what is the threat Is this war
War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
Irregular warfare
A violent struggle among state and non state actors for legitimacy and influence over the relevant populations
Irregular warfare favors indirect and asymmetrical approaches though it may employ the full range of military and other capacities in order to erode an adversaryacutes power influence and will Also called IW (JP I-02)
TrinityTrinityMM
PP
GG
MM
GG
PP
Clausewitz ldquoon Warrdquo in irregular conflicts
The strategic Center of Gravity is the PEOPLE
Figure from NATO AJP 344
War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
Irregular activities
Consists of three groups of activities
1) Insurgency 2) Terrorism3) Other irregular activities
such as a) Criminality b) Disorder c) Piracy
AJP 344 (p 7) 2008
NATO definition IW activities
War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
Unconventional warfare mdash ldquoA broad spectrum of military and paramilitary operations normally of long duration predominantly conducted through with or by indigenous or surrogate forces who are organized trained equipped supported and directed in varying degrees by an external source It includes but is not limited to guerrilla warfare subversion sabotage intelligence activities and unconventional assisted recoveryrdquo Also called UW (JP 1-02)
ldquoOperations conducted by with or through irregular forces in support of a resistance movement an insurgency or conventional military operationsrdquo FM 3-05201 (SNF) Special Forces Unconventional Warfare (U) 28 sept 2007 and in FM 3-05130 30 Sept 2008
UW
Figure 1-3 Joint operating concept relationshipsChapter 1 p7 US A FM 3-05130 Unconventional Warfare 30 sept 2008This publication is available at Army Knowledge Online (wwwusarmymil) and General Dennis J Reimer Training and Doctrine Digital Library at (wwwtrainarmymil)
Joint operating concept relationships (US)
The constituent activities of IW
bull1048698 Insurgencybull1048698 COINbull1048698 UWbull1048698 Terrorismbull1048698 CTbull1048698 FIDbull1048698 Stability security transition and reconstruction (SSTR) operationsbull1048698 Strategic communication (SC)bull1048698 PSYOPbull1048698 Civil-military operations (CMO)bull1048698 Information operations (IO)bull1048698 Intelligence and counterintelligence (CI) activitiesbull1048698 Transnational criminal activities including narco-trafficking illicit arms dealing and illegal financial transactions that support or sustain IWbull1048698 Law enforcement activities focused on countering irregular adversaries
Insatsomraringdet
Konfliktens ekosystemOumlppnaporoumlsa graumlnsermellan system
Utlaumlndskafrivilliga
Finansiering
Utrustning vapen och am
Propaganda
Flyktingar DPs
Utbildaderadikaliseradeldquosoldaterrdquo
Sympati och stoumld
Etnisk grupp
Stam
Stam
Klan
Smugglare
Maffia
Affaumlrsroumlrelser
NGOs
InternationellMedia
IO
Flyktingar
GO
Landets regering
Localmedia
Stambaseradmilis
BevaumlpnadGrupp A
BevaumlpnadGrupp B
Etniskt baseradmilis
Landets polis
Regeringensarmeacute
PrivataSaumlkerhets-
styrkor
Graumlns-infiltratoumlrer
Allierade
Terroristceller
Other conceptions
Three Block War
4th Generation Warfare
Low Intensity Conflict
Unrestricted Warfare
Other conceptions
Three Block War
A peculiar situation in IW
4th Generation Warfare
Very much the same as IW
Low Intensity Conflict
Can also be a stalemate in a regular conflict (Korea) Unrestricted Warfare
Very developed unconventional warfare wich uses all availiable means Can be interstate
Other problems in IW
Combatants
And another problem Western art of war is since the
Greeks and Romans fixed on a decisive military victory
Triumph
Who won the battle
Who is the winner
Who admits he lossed
Insurgency
ldquoAn organized movement aimed at the overthrow of a constituted government through the use of
subversion and armed conflictrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 07
ldquoThe actions of a minority group within a state who are intent on forcing political change by means of a
mixture of subversion propaganda and military pressure aiming to persuade or intimidate the
broad mass of people to accept such a changerdquo (UK COIN Doctrine 07)
ldquoAn organized ideologically motivated group or movement that seeks political change in a region focused on persuading or coercing the population
of a region through violence subversion and propagandardquo (AJP 344 2008)
War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
Insurgency
Violent (armed) insurgeny
Non violent insurgency
Gandhiacutes insurgency with non voilence
Insurgency OPS in Northern Afghanistan
Insurgents
GOA
ISAF
NGO
UN
OEF
People
ANA
ANP
The link between Terrorism and Insurgency
rdquoJust as Guerilla warfare transforms to regular warfarehelliphellip
hellipdoes terrorism transform into insurgencyrdquo(The battle of Algers)
If it has that purpose
Insurgencies ndash some exampels
Successfull Not successfull
Indien
Algeriet (1960)
Nicaragua
Haiti
Filipinerna
Algeriet (1953-58)
Malaysia
Nordirland
Insurgency and Terrorism
Armed insurgency = armed poltical campain
Terrorism = armed political communication
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
Terrorism
Terrorism
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
The unlawful use or threatened use of force or violence against individuals or property in an attempt to coerce or intimidate governments or societies toachieve political religious or ideological objectives (Nato)
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
For example IRA ETA Shining Path
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
bull When a terrorist act has ramifications that transcend a national boundary it is an instance of transnational terrorism Examples include 911 311 and kidnapping of foreign workers in Iraq
bull Examples AlQaida RAF Lashkar-e-Taiba
WAR
Primitive war
Western ways of warOriental warfare
Irregular warfare
Regular warfare
Partisan war
Guerilla warInsurgency
Terrorism
Stateterrorism
Counterinsurgency - COIN
COIN War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
ldquoThose military paramilitary political economic psychological and civic actions taken by a government to defeat insurgencyrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 and in UK COIN doctrine 07
AJP 344 08 ldquo The set of political economical social military law enforcement civil and psychological activities required to defeat insurgencyrdquo AJP 344 uses this definition that is not in AAP 6
AAP 6 ldquo Those military paramilitary political economic psychological and civil actions taken to defeat insurgencyrdquo
Security Force Roles Police Local MilitaryPolice backed by Local Military Local amp Foreign Militaries
Stage Proto Small-scale Full-blown with External Support Large-scale
Timefactor in COIN
Level of Violence
Probability of COIN Success gt 90 ~ 50
Time
Average duration 12 yrs
If an insurgency is supported by another state it has a bigger chance in succeeding
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
From States From Non-State Actors None
External Support
Nu
mb
er o
f In
surg
enci
es
Won by Govrsquot
Draw
Lost by Govrsquot
COIN in Afghanistan
ISAF together with coalition forces is conducting a COIN operation in Afghanistan and SWEDEN participate in the Campaign
To succeed in Irregular Warfare
Itacutes hard to coordinate many countries different agencies from outside and some NGOacutes refuse
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
Coordination is best through a HN government It also shows the people it can govern
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
HN Gov
Unified effect
Second effect
Our gov is able
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operate
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
(support) (inhance)
(contain) (defeat)
Attributes of COIN
bull Political primacy a clear political objectivebull The struggle against insurgency is for the population not against the populationbull Relevance of legitimacybull Intelligence and information are crucial for successbull Neutralising insurgency and isolating it from any supportbull Long-term planning and preparing for the campaignbull Establishing a secured environment and acting within the law is essentialbull Transfer leading role to the local forcesbull Adapting the plan to current conditions Learn and adapt
AJP 334 p 47
Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Slide 3
- Slide 4
- Slide 5
- Slide 6
- Slide 7
- Slide 8
- Slide 9
- Slide 10
- Slide 11
- Slide 12
- Slide 13
- Slide 14
- Slide 15
- Slide 16
- Slide 17
- Slide 18
- Slide 19
- Slide 20
- Slide 21
- Slide 22
- Slide 23
- Slide 24
- Slide 25
- Slide 26
- Slide 27
- Slide 28
- Slide 29
- Slide 30
- Slide 31
- Slide 32
- Slide 33
- Slide 34
- Slide 35
- Slide 36
- Slide 37
- Slide 38
- Slide 39
- Slide 40
- Slide 41
- Slide 42
-
War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
Irregular warfare
A violent struggle among state and non state actors for legitimacy and influence over the relevant populations
Irregular warfare favors indirect and asymmetrical approaches though it may employ the full range of military and other capacities in order to erode an adversaryacutes power influence and will Also called IW (JP I-02)
TrinityTrinityMM
PP
GG
MM
GG
PP
Clausewitz ldquoon Warrdquo in irregular conflicts
The strategic Center of Gravity is the PEOPLE
Figure from NATO AJP 344
War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
Irregular activities
Consists of three groups of activities
1) Insurgency 2) Terrorism3) Other irregular activities
such as a) Criminality b) Disorder c) Piracy
AJP 344 (p 7) 2008
NATO definition IW activities
War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
Unconventional warfare mdash ldquoA broad spectrum of military and paramilitary operations normally of long duration predominantly conducted through with or by indigenous or surrogate forces who are organized trained equipped supported and directed in varying degrees by an external source It includes but is not limited to guerrilla warfare subversion sabotage intelligence activities and unconventional assisted recoveryrdquo Also called UW (JP 1-02)
ldquoOperations conducted by with or through irregular forces in support of a resistance movement an insurgency or conventional military operationsrdquo FM 3-05201 (SNF) Special Forces Unconventional Warfare (U) 28 sept 2007 and in FM 3-05130 30 Sept 2008
UW
Figure 1-3 Joint operating concept relationshipsChapter 1 p7 US A FM 3-05130 Unconventional Warfare 30 sept 2008This publication is available at Army Knowledge Online (wwwusarmymil) and General Dennis J Reimer Training and Doctrine Digital Library at (wwwtrainarmymil)
Joint operating concept relationships (US)
The constituent activities of IW
bull1048698 Insurgencybull1048698 COINbull1048698 UWbull1048698 Terrorismbull1048698 CTbull1048698 FIDbull1048698 Stability security transition and reconstruction (SSTR) operationsbull1048698 Strategic communication (SC)bull1048698 PSYOPbull1048698 Civil-military operations (CMO)bull1048698 Information operations (IO)bull1048698 Intelligence and counterintelligence (CI) activitiesbull1048698 Transnational criminal activities including narco-trafficking illicit arms dealing and illegal financial transactions that support or sustain IWbull1048698 Law enforcement activities focused on countering irregular adversaries
Insatsomraringdet
Konfliktens ekosystemOumlppnaporoumlsa graumlnsermellan system
Utlaumlndskafrivilliga
Finansiering
Utrustning vapen och am
Propaganda
Flyktingar DPs
Utbildaderadikaliseradeldquosoldaterrdquo
Sympati och stoumld
Etnisk grupp
Stam
Stam
Klan
Smugglare
Maffia
Affaumlrsroumlrelser
NGOs
InternationellMedia
IO
Flyktingar
GO
Landets regering
Localmedia
Stambaseradmilis
BevaumlpnadGrupp A
BevaumlpnadGrupp B
Etniskt baseradmilis
Landets polis
Regeringensarmeacute
PrivataSaumlkerhets-
styrkor
Graumlns-infiltratoumlrer
Allierade
Terroristceller
Other conceptions
Three Block War
4th Generation Warfare
Low Intensity Conflict
Unrestricted Warfare
Other conceptions
Three Block War
A peculiar situation in IW
4th Generation Warfare
Very much the same as IW
Low Intensity Conflict
Can also be a stalemate in a regular conflict (Korea) Unrestricted Warfare
Very developed unconventional warfare wich uses all availiable means Can be interstate
Other problems in IW
Combatants
And another problem Western art of war is since the
Greeks and Romans fixed on a decisive military victory
Triumph
Who won the battle
Who is the winner
Who admits he lossed
Insurgency
ldquoAn organized movement aimed at the overthrow of a constituted government through the use of
subversion and armed conflictrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 07
ldquoThe actions of a minority group within a state who are intent on forcing political change by means of a
mixture of subversion propaganda and military pressure aiming to persuade or intimidate the
broad mass of people to accept such a changerdquo (UK COIN Doctrine 07)
ldquoAn organized ideologically motivated group or movement that seeks political change in a region focused on persuading or coercing the population
of a region through violence subversion and propagandardquo (AJP 344 2008)
War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
Insurgency
Violent (armed) insurgeny
Non violent insurgency
Gandhiacutes insurgency with non voilence
Insurgency OPS in Northern Afghanistan
Insurgents
GOA
ISAF
NGO
UN
OEF
People
ANA
ANP
The link between Terrorism and Insurgency
rdquoJust as Guerilla warfare transforms to regular warfarehelliphellip
hellipdoes terrorism transform into insurgencyrdquo(The battle of Algers)
If it has that purpose
Insurgencies ndash some exampels
Successfull Not successfull
Indien
Algeriet (1960)
Nicaragua
Haiti
Filipinerna
Algeriet (1953-58)
Malaysia
Nordirland
Insurgency and Terrorism
Armed insurgency = armed poltical campain
Terrorism = armed political communication
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
Terrorism
Terrorism
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
The unlawful use or threatened use of force or violence against individuals or property in an attempt to coerce or intimidate governments or societies toachieve political religious or ideological objectives (Nato)
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
For example IRA ETA Shining Path
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
bull When a terrorist act has ramifications that transcend a national boundary it is an instance of transnational terrorism Examples include 911 311 and kidnapping of foreign workers in Iraq
bull Examples AlQaida RAF Lashkar-e-Taiba
WAR
Primitive war
Western ways of warOriental warfare
Irregular warfare
Regular warfare
Partisan war
Guerilla warInsurgency
Terrorism
Stateterrorism
Counterinsurgency - COIN
COIN War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
ldquoThose military paramilitary political economic psychological and civic actions taken by a government to defeat insurgencyrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 and in UK COIN doctrine 07
AJP 344 08 ldquo The set of political economical social military law enforcement civil and psychological activities required to defeat insurgencyrdquo AJP 344 uses this definition that is not in AAP 6
AAP 6 ldquo Those military paramilitary political economic psychological and civil actions taken to defeat insurgencyrdquo
Security Force Roles Police Local MilitaryPolice backed by Local Military Local amp Foreign Militaries
Stage Proto Small-scale Full-blown with External Support Large-scale
Timefactor in COIN
Level of Violence
Probability of COIN Success gt 90 ~ 50
Time
Average duration 12 yrs
If an insurgency is supported by another state it has a bigger chance in succeeding
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
From States From Non-State Actors None
External Support
Nu
mb
er o
f In
surg
enci
es
Won by Govrsquot
Draw
Lost by Govrsquot
COIN in Afghanistan
ISAF together with coalition forces is conducting a COIN operation in Afghanistan and SWEDEN participate in the Campaign
To succeed in Irregular Warfare
Itacutes hard to coordinate many countries different agencies from outside and some NGOacutes refuse
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
Coordination is best through a HN government It also shows the people it can govern
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
HN Gov
Unified effect
Second effect
Our gov is able
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operate
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
(support) (inhance)
(contain) (defeat)
Attributes of COIN
bull Political primacy a clear political objectivebull The struggle against insurgency is for the population not against the populationbull Relevance of legitimacybull Intelligence and information are crucial for successbull Neutralising insurgency and isolating it from any supportbull Long-term planning and preparing for the campaignbull Establishing a secured environment and acting within the law is essentialbull Transfer leading role to the local forcesbull Adapting the plan to current conditions Learn and adapt
AJP 334 p 47
Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Slide 3
- Slide 4
- Slide 5
- Slide 6
- Slide 7
- Slide 8
- Slide 9
- Slide 10
- Slide 11
- Slide 12
- Slide 13
- Slide 14
- Slide 15
- Slide 16
- Slide 17
- Slide 18
- Slide 19
- Slide 20
- Slide 21
- Slide 22
- Slide 23
- Slide 24
- Slide 25
- Slide 26
- Slide 27
- Slide 28
- Slide 29
- Slide 30
- Slide 31
- Slide 32
- Slide 33
- Slide 34
- Slide 35
- Slide 36
- Slide 37
- Slide 38
- Slide 39
- Slide 40
- Slide 41
- Slide 42
-
TrinityTrinityMM
PP
GG
MM
GG
PP
Clausewitz ldquoon Warrdquo in irregular conflicts
The strategic Center of Gravity is the PEOPLE
Figure from NATO AJP 344
War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
Irregular activities
Consists of three groups of activities
1) Insurgency 2) Terrorism3) Other irregular activities
such as a) Criminality b) Disorder c) Piracy
AJP 344 (p 7) 2008
NATO definition IW activities
War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
Unconventional warfare mdash ldquoA broad spectrum of military and paramilitary operations normally of long duration predominantly conducted through with or by indigenous or surrogate forces who are organized trained equipped supported and directed in varying degrees by an external source It includes but is not limited to guerrilla warfare subversion sabotage intelligence activities and unconventional assisted recoveryrdquo Also called UW (JP 1-02)
ldquoOperations conducted by with or through irregular forces in support of a resistance movement an insurgency or conventional military operationsrdquo FM 3-05201 (SNF) Special Forces Unconventional Warfare (U) 28 sept 2007 and in FM 3-05130 30 Sept 2008
UW
Figure 1-3 Joint operating concept relationshipsChapter 1 p7 US A FM 3-05130 Unconventional Warfare 30 sept 2008This publication is available at Army Knowledge Online (wwwusarmymil) and General Dennis J Reimer Training and Doctrine Digital Library at (wwwtrainarmymil)
Joint operating concept relationships (US)
The constituent activities of IW
bull1048698 Insurgencybull1048698 COINbull1048698 UWbull1048698 Terrorismbull1048698 CTbull1048698 FIDbull1048698 Stability security transition and reconstruction (SSTR) operationsbull1048698 Strategic communication (SC)bull1048698 PSYOPbull1048698 Civil-military operations (CMO)bull1048698 Information operations (IO)bull1048698 Intelligence and counterintelligence (CI) activitiesbull1048698 Transnational criminal activities including narco-trafficking illicit arms dealing and illegal financial transactions that support or sustain IWbull1048698 Law enforcement activities focused on countering irregular adversaries
Insatsomraringdet
Konfliktens ekosystemOumlppnaporoumlsa graumlnsermellan system
Utlaumlndskafrivilliga
Finansiering
Utrustning vapen och am
Propaganda
Flyktingar DPs
Utbildaderadikaliseradeldquosoldaterrdquo
Sympati och stoumld
Etnisk grupp
Stam
Stam
Klan
Smugglare
Maffia
Affaumlrsroumlrelser
NGOs
InternationellMedia
IO
Flyktingar
GO
Landets regering
Localmedia
Stambaseradmilis
BevaumlpnadGrupp A
BevaumlpnadGrupp B
Etniskt baseradmilis
Landets polis
Regeringensarmeacute
PrivataSaumlkerhets-
styrkor
Graumlns-infiltratoumlrer
Allierade
Terroristceller
Other conceptions
Three Block War
4th Generation Warfare
Low Intensity Conflict
Unrestricted Warfare
Other conceptions
Three Block War
A peculiar situation in IW
4th Generation Warfare
Very much the same as IW
Low Intensity Conflict
Can also be a stalemate in a regular conflict (Korea) Unrestricted Warfare
Very developed unconventional warfare wich uses all availiable means Can be interstate
Other problems in IW
Combatants
And another problem Western art of war is since the
Greeks and Romans fixed on a decisive military victory
Triumph
Who won the battle
Who is the winner
Who admits he lossed
Insurgency
ldquoAn organized movement aimed at the overthrow of a constituted government through the use of
subversion and armed conflictrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 07
ldquoThe actions of a minority group within a state who are intent on forcing political change by means of a
mixture of subversion propaganda and military pressure aiming to persuade or intimidate the
broad mass of people to accept such a changerdquo (UK COIN Doctrine 07)
ldquoAn organized ideologically motivated group or movement that seeks political change in a region focused on persuading or coercing the population
of a region through violence subversion and propagandardquo (AJP 344 2008)
War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
Insurgency
Violent (armed) insurgeny
Non violent insurgency
Gandhiacutes insurgency with non voilence
Insurgency OPS in Northern Afghanistan
Insurgents
GOA
ISAF
NGO
UN
OEF
People
ANA
ANP
The link between Terrorism and Insurgency
rdquoJust as Guerilla warfare transforms to regular warfarehelliphellip
hellipdoes terrorism transform into insurgencyrdquo(The battle of Algers)
If it has that purpose
Insurgencies ndash some exampels
Successfull Not successfull
Indien
Algeriet (1960)
Nicaragua
Haiti
Filipinerna
Algeriet (1953-58)
Malaysia
Nordirland
Insurgency and Terrorism
Armed insurgency = armed poltical campain
Terrorism = armed political communication
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
Terrorism
Terrorism
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
The unlawful use or threatened use of force or violence against individuals or property in an attempt to coerce or intimidate governments or societies toachieve political religious or ideological objectives (Nato)
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
For example IRA ETA Shining Path
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
bull When a terrorist act has ramifications that transcend a national boundary it is an instance of transnational terrorism Examples include 911 311 and kidnapping of foreign workers in Iraq
bull Examples AlQaida RAF Lashkar-e-Taiba
WAR
Primitive war
Western ways of warOriental warfare
Irregular warfare
Regular warfare
Partisan war
Guerilla warInsurgency
Terrorism
Stateterrorism
Counterinsurgency - COIN
COIN War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
ldquoThose military paramilitary political economic psychological and civic actions taken by a government to defeat insurgencyrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 and in UK COIN doctrine 07
AJP 344 08 ldquo The set of political economical social military law enforcement civil and psychological activities required to defeat insurgencyrdquo AJP 344 uses this definition that is not in AAP 6
AAP 6 ldquo Those military paramilitary political economic psychological and civil actions taken to defeat insurgencyrdquo
Security Force Roles Police Local MilitaryPolice backed by Local Military Local amp Foreign Militaries
Stage Proto Small-scale Full-blown with External Support Large-scale
Timefactor in COIN
Level of Violence
Probability of COIN Success gt 90 ~ 50
Time
Average duration 12 yrs
If an insurgency is supported by another state it has a bigger chance in succeeding
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
From States From Non-State Actors None
External Support
Nu
mb
er o
f In
surg
enci
es
Won by Govrsquot
Draw
Lost by Govrsquot
COIN in Afghanistan
ISAF together with coalition forces is conducting a COIN operation in Afghanistan and SWEDEN participate in the Campaign
To succeed in Irregular Warfare
Itacutes hard to coordinate many countries different agencies from outside and some NGOacutes refuse
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
Coordination is best through a HN government It also shows the people it can govern
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
HN Gov
Unified effect
Second effect
Our gov is able
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operate
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
(support) (inhance)
(contain) (defeat)
Attributes of COIN
bull Political primacy a clear political objectivebull The struggle against insurgency is for the population not against the populationbull Relevance of legitimacybull Intelligence and information are crucial for successbull Neutralising insurgency and isolating it from any supportbull Long-term planning and preparing for the campaignbull Establishing a secured environment and acting within the law is essentialbull Transfer leading role to the local forcesbull Adapting the plan to current conditions Learn and adapt
AJP 334 p 47
Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Slide 3
- Slide 4
- Slide 5
- Slide 6
- Slide 7
- Slide 8
- Slide 9
- Slide 10
- Slide 11
- Slide 12
- Slide 13
- Slide 14
- Slide 15
- Slide 16
- Slide 17
- Slide 18
- Slide 19
- Slide 20
- Slide 21
- Slide 22
- Slide 23
- Slide 24
- Slide 25
- Slide 26
- Slide 27
- Slide 28
- Slide 29
- Slide 30
- Slide 31
- Slide 32
- Slide 33
- Slide 34
- Slide 35
- Slide 36
- Slide 37
- Slide 38
- Slide 39
- Slide 40
- Slide 41
- Slide 42
-
The strategic Center of Gravity is the PEOPLE
Figure from NATO AJP 344
War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
Irregular activities
Consists of three groups of activities
1) Insurgency 2) Terrorism3) Other irregular activities
such as a) Criminality b) Disorder c) Piracy
AJP 344 (p 7) 2008
NATO definition IW activities
War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
Unconventional warfare mdash ldquoA broad spectrum of military and paramilitary operations normally of long duration predominantly conducted through with or by indigenous or surrogate forces who are organized trained equipped supported and directed in varying degrees by an external source It includes but is not limited to guerrilla warfare subversion sabotage intelligence activities and unconventional assisted recoveryrdquo Also called UW (JP 1-02)
ldquoOperations conducted by with or through irregular forces in support of a resistance movement an insurgency or conventional military operationsrdquo FM 3-05201 (SNF) Special Forces Unconventional Warfare (U) 28 sept 2007 and in FM 3-05130 30 Sept 2008
UW
Figure 1-3 Joint operating concept relationshipsChapter 1 p7 US A FM 3-05130 Unconventional Warfare 30 sept 2008This publication is available at Army Knowledge Online (wwwusarmymil) and General Dennis J Reimer Training and Doctrine Digital Library at (wwwtrainarmymil)
Joint operating concept relationships (US)
The constituent activities of IW
bull1048698 Insurgencybull1048698 COINbull1048698 UWbull1048698 Terrorismbull1048698 CTbull1048698 FIDbull1048698 Stability security transition and reconstruction (SSTR) operationsbull1048698 Strategic communication (SC)bull1048698 PSYOPbull1048698 Civil-military operations (CMO)bull1048698 Information operations (IO)bull1048698 Intelligence and counterintelligence (CI) activitiesbull1048698 Transnational criminal activities including narco-trafficking illicit arms dealing and illegal financial transactions that support or sustain IWbull1048698 Law enforcement activities focused on countering irregular adversaries
Insatsomraringdet
Konfliktens ekosystemOumlppnaporoumlsa graumlnsermellan system
Utlaumlndskafrivilliga
Finansiering
Utrustning vapen och am
Propaganda
Flyktingar DPs
Utbildaderadikaliseradeldquosoldaterrdquo
Sympati och stoumld
Etnisk grupp
Stam
Stam
Klan
Smugglare
Maffia
Affaumlrsroumlrelser
NGOs
InternationellMedia
IO
Flyktingar
GO
Landets regering
Localmedia
Stambaseradmilis
BevaumlpnadGrupp A
BevaumlpnadGrupp B
Etniskt baseradmilis
Landets polis
Regeringensarmeacute
PrivataSaumlkerhets-
styrkor
Graumlns-infiltratoumlrer
Allierade
Terroristceller
Other conceptions
Three Block War
4th Generation Warfare
Low Intensity Conflict
Unrestricted Warfare
Other conceptions
Three Block War
A peculiar situation in IW
4th Generation Warfare
Very much the same as IW
Low Intensity Conflict
Can also be a stalemate in a regular conflict (Korea) Unrestricted Warfare
Very developed unconventional warfare wich uses all availiable means Can be interstate
Other problems in IW
Combatants
And another problem Western art of war is since the
Greeks and Romans fixed on a decisive military victory
Triumph
Who won the battle
Who is the winner
Who admits he lossed
Insurgency
ldquoAn organized movement aimed at the overthrow of a constituted government through the use of
subversion and armed conflictrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 07
ldquoThe actions of a minority group within a state who are intent on forcing political change by means of a
mixture of subversion propaganda and military pressure aiming to persuade or intimidate the
broad mass of people to accept such a changerdquo (UK COIN Doctrine 07)
ldquoAn organized ideologically motivated group or movement that seeks political change in a region focused on persuading or coercing the population
of a region through violence subversion and propagandardquo (AJP 344 2008)
War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
Insurgency
Violent (armed) insurgeny
Non violent insurgency
Gandhiacutes insurgency with non voilence
Insurgency OPS in Northern Afghanistan
Insurgents
GOA
ISAF
NGO
UN
OEF
People
ANA
ANP
The link between Terrorism and Insurgency
rdquoJust as Guerilla warfare transforms to regular warfarehelliphellip
hellipdoes terrorism transform into insurgencyrdquo(The battle of Algers)
If it has that purpose
Insurgencies ndash some exampels
Successfull Not successfull
Indien
Algeriet (1960)
Nicaragua
Haiti
Filipinerna
Algeriet (1953-58)
Malaysia
Nordirland
Insurgency and Terrorism
Armed insurgency = armed poltical campain
Terrorism = armed political communication
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
Terrorism
Terrorism
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
The unlawful use or threatened use of force or violence against individuals or property in an attempt to coerce or intimidate governments or societies toachieve political religious or ideological objectives (Nato)
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
For example IRA ETA Shining Path
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
bull When a terrorist act has ramifications that transcend a national boundary it is an instance of transnational terrorism Examples include 911 311 and kidnapping of foreign workers in Iraq
bull Examples AlQaida RAF Lashkar-e-Taiba
WAR
Primitive war
Western ways of warOriental warfare
Irregular warfare
Regular warfare
Partisan war
Guerilla warInsurgency
Terrorism
Stateterrorism
Counterinsurgency - COIN
COIN War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
ldquoThose military paramilitary political economic psychological and civic actions taken by a government to defeat insurgencyrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 and in UK COIN doctrine 07
AJP 344 08 ldquo The set of political economical social military law enforcement civil and psychological activities required to defeat insurgencyrdquo AJP 344 uses this definition that is not in AAP 6
AAP 6 ldquo Those military paramilitary political economic psychological and civil actions taken to defeat insurgencyrdquo
Security Force Roles Police Local MilitaryPolice backed by Local Military Local amp Foreign Militaries
Stage Proto Small-scale Full-blown with External Support Large-scale
Timefactor in COIN
Level of Violence
Probability of COIN Success gt 90 ~ 50
Time
Average duration 12 yrs
If an insurgency is supported by another state it has a bigger chance in succeeding
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
From States From Non-State Actors None
External Support
Nu
mb
er o
f In
surg
enci
es
Won by Govrsquot
Draw
Lost by Govrsquot
COIN in Afghanistan
ISAF together with coalition forces is conducting a COIN operation in Afghanistan and SWEDEN participate in the Campaign
To succeed in Irregular Warfare
Itacutes hard to coordinate many countries different agencies from outside and some NGOacutes refuse
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
Coordination is best through a HN government It also shows the people it can govern
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
HN Gov
Unified effect
Second effect
Our gov is able
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operate
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
(support) (inhance)
(contain) (defeat)
Attributes of COIN
bull Political primacy a clear political objectivebull The struggle against insurgency is for the population not against the populationbull Relevance of legitimacybull Intelligence and information are crucial for successbull Neutralising insurgency and isolating it from any supportbull Long-term planning and preparing for the campaignbull Establishing a secured environment and acting within the law is essentialbull Transfer leading role to the local forcesbull Adapting the plan to current conditions Learn and adapt
AJP 334 p 47
Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Slide 3
- Slide 4
- Slide 5
- Slide 6
- Slide 7
- Slide 8
- Slide 9
- Slide 10
- Slide 11
- Slide 12
- Slide 13
- Slide 14
- Slide 15
- Slide 16
- Slide 17
- Slide 18
- Slide 19
- Slide 20
- Slide 21
- Slide 22
- Slide 23
- Slide 24
- Slide 25
- Slide 26
- Slide 27
- Slide 28
- Slide 29
- Slide 30
- Slide 31
- Slide 32
- Slide 33
- Slide 34
- Slide 35
- Slide 36
- Slide 37
- Slide 38
- Slide 39
- Slide 40
- Slide 41
- Slide 42
-
War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
Irregular activities
Consists of three groups of activities
1) Insurgency 2) Terrorism3) Other irregular activities
such as a) Criminality b) Disorder c) Piracy
AJP 344 (p 7) 2008
NATO definition IW activities
War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
Unconventional warfare mdash ldquoA broad spectrum of military and paramilitary operations normally of long duration predominantly conducted through with or by indigenous or surrogate forces who are organized trained equipped supported and directed in varying degrees by an external source It includes but is not limited to guerrilla warfare subversion sabotage intelligence activities and unconventional assisted recoveryrdquo Also called UW (JP 1-02)
ldquoOperations conducted by with or through irregular forces in support of a resistance movement an insurgency or conventional military operationsrdquo FM 3-05201 (SNF) Special Forces Unconventional Warfare (U) 28 sept 2007 and in FM 3-05130 30 Sept 2008
UW
Figure 1-3 Joint operating concept relationshipsChapter 1 p7 US A FM 3-05130 Unconventional Warfare 30 sept 2008This publication is available at Army Knowledge Online (wwwusarmymil) and General Dennis J Reimer Training and Doctrine Digital Library at (wwwtrainarmymil)
Joint operating concept relationships (US)
The constituent activities of IW
bull1048698 Insurgencybull1048698 COINbull1048698 UWbull1048698 Terrorismbull1048698 CTbull1048698 FIDbull1048698 Stability security transition and reconstruction (SSTR) operationsbull1048698 Strategic communication (SC)bull1048698 PSYOPbull1048698 Civil-military operations (CMO)bull1048698 Information operations (IO)bull1048698 Intelligence and counterintelligence (CI) activitiesbull1048698 Transnational criminal activities including narco-trafficking illicit arms dealing and illegal financial transactions that support or sustain IWbull1048698 Law enforcement activities focused on countering irregular adversaries
Insatsomraringdet
Konfliktens ekosystemOumlppnaporoumlsa graumlnsermellan system
Utlaumlndskafrivilliga
Finansiering
Utrustning vapen och am
Propaganda
Flyktingar DPs
Utbildaderadikaliseradeldquosoldaterrdquo
Sympati och stoumld
Etnisk grupp
Stam
Stam
Klan
Smugglare
Maffia
Affaumlrsroumlrelser
NGOs
InternationellMedia
IO
Flyktingar
GO
Landets regering
Localmedia
Stambaseradmilis
BevaumlpnadGrupp A
BevaumlpnadGrupp B
Etniskt baseradmilis
Landets polis
Regeringensarmeacute
PrivataSaumlkerhets-
styrkor
Graumlns-infiltratoumlrer
Allierade
Terroristceller
Other conceptions
Three Block War
4th Generation Warfare
Low Intensity Conflict
Unrestricted Warfare
Other conceptions
Three Block War
A peculiar situation in IW
4th Generation Warfare
Very much the same as IW
Low Intensity Conflict
Can also be a stalemate in a regular conflict (Korea) Unrestricted Warfare
Very developed unconventional warfare wich uses all availiable means Can be interstate
Other problems in IW
Combatants
And another problem Western art of war is since the
Greeks and Romans fixed on a decisive military victory
Triumph
Who won the battle
Who is the winner
Who admits he lossed
Insurgency
ldquoAn organized movement aimed at the overthrow of a constituted government through the use of
subversion and armed conflictrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 07
ldquoThe actions of a minority group within a state who are intent on forcing political change by means of a
mixture of subversion propaganda and military pressure aiming to persuade or intimidate the
broad mass of people to accept such a changerdquo (UK COIN Doctrine 07)
ldquoAn organized ideologically motivated group or movement that seeks political change in a region focused on persuading or coercing the population
of a region through violence subversion and propagandardquo (AJP 344 2008)
War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
Insurgency
Violent (armed) insurgeny
Non violent insurgency
Gandhiacutes insurgency with non voilence
Insurgency OPS in Northern Afghanistan
Insurgents
GOA
ISAF
NGO
UN
OEF
People
ANA
ANP
The link between Terrorism and Insurgency
rdquoJust as Guerilla warfare transforms to regular warfarehelliphellip
hellipdoes terrorism transform into insurgencyrdquo(The battle of Algers)
If it has that purpose
Insurgencies ndash some exampels
Successfull Not successfull
Indien
Algeriet (1960)
Nicaragua
Haiti
Filipinerna
Algeriet (1953-58)
Malaysia
Nordirland
Insurgency and Terrorism
Armed insurgency = armed poltical campain
Terrorism = armed political communication
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
Terrorism
Terrorism
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
The unlawful use or threatened use of force or violence against individuals or property in an attempt to coerce or intimidate governments or societies toachieve political religious or ideological objectives (Nato)
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
For example IRA ETA Shining Path
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
bull When a terrorist act has ramifications that transcend a national boundary it is an instance of transnational terrorism Examples include 911 311 and kidnapping of foreign workers in Iraq
bull Examples AlQaida RAF Lashkar-e-Taiba
WAR
Primitive war
Western ways of warOriental warfare
Irregular warfare
Regular warfare
Partisan war
Guerilla warInsurgency
Terrorism
Stateterrorism
Counterinsurgency - COIN
COIN War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
ldquoThose military paramilitary political economic psychological and civic actions taken by a government to defeat insurgencyrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 and in UK COIN doctrine 07
AJP 344 08 ldquo The set of political economical social military law enforcement civil and psychological activities required to defeat insurgencyrdquo AJP 344 uses this definition that is not in AAP 6
AAP 6 ldquo Those military paramilitary political economic psychological and civil actions taken to defeat insurgencyrdquo
Security Force Roles Police Local MilitaryPolice backed by Local Military Local amp Foreign Militaries
Stage Proto Small-scale Full-blown with External Support Large-scale
Timefactor in COIN
Level of Violence
Probability of COIN Success gt 90 ~ 50
Time
Average duration 12 yrs
If an insurgency is supported by another state it has a bigger chance in succeeding
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
From States From Non-State Actors None
External Support
Nu
mb
er o
f In
surg
enci
es
Won by Govrsquot
Draw
Lost by Govrsquot
COIN in Afghanistan
ISAF together with coalition forces is conducting a COIN operation in Afghanistan and SWEDEN participate in the Campaign
To succeed in Irregular Warfare
Itacutes hard to coordinate many countries different agencies from outside and some NGOacutes refuse
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
Coordination is best through a HN government It also shows the people it can govern
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
HN Gov
Unified effect
Second effect
Our gov is able
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operate
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
(support) (inhance)
(contain) (defeat)
Attributes of COIN
bull Political primacy a clear political objectivebull The struggle against insurgency is for the population not against the populationbull Relevance of legitimacybull Intelligence and information are crucial for successbull Neutralising insurgency and isolating it from any supportbull Long-term planning and preparing for the campaignbull Establishing a secured environment and acting within the law is essentialbull Transfer leading role to the local forcesbull Adapting the plan to current conditions Learn and adapt
AJP 334 p 47
Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Slide 3
- Slide 4
- Slide 5
- Slide 6
- Slide 7
- Slide 8
- Slide 9
- Slide 10
- Slide 11
- Slide 12
- Slide 13
- Slide 14
- Slide 15
- Slide 16
- Slide 17
- Slide 18
- Slide 19
- Slide 20
- Slide 21
- Slide 22
- Slide 23
- Slide 24
- Slide 25
- Slide 26
- Slide 27
- Slide 28
- Slide 29
- Slide 30
- Slide 31
- Slide 32
- Slide 33
- Slide 34
- Slide 35
- Slide 36
- Slide 37
- Slide 38
- Slide 39
- Slide 40
- Slide 41
- Slide 42
-
War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
Unconventional warfare mdash ldquoA broad spectrum of military and paramilitary operations normally of long duration predominantly conducted through with or by indigenous or surrogate forces who are organized trained equipped supported and directed in varying degrees by an external source It includes but is not limited to guerrilla warfare subversion sabotage intelligence activities and unconventional assisted recoveryrdquo Also called UW (JP 1-02)
ldquoOperations conducted by with or through irregular forces in support of a resistance movement an insurgency or conventional military operationsrdquo FM 3-05201 (SNF) Special Forces Unconventional Warfare (U) 28 sept 2007 and in FM 3-05130 30 Sept 2008
UW
Figure 1-3 Joint operating concept relationshipsChapter 1 p7 US A FM 3-05130 Unconventional Warfare 30 sept 2008This publication is available at Army Knowledge Online (wwwusarmymil) and General Dennis J Reimer Training and Doctrine Digital Library at (wwwtrainarmymil)
Joint operating concept relationships (US)
The constituent activities of IW
bull1048698 Insurgencybull1048698 COINbull1048698 UWbull1048698 Terrorismbull1048698 CTbull1048698 FIDbull1048698 Stability security transition and reconstruction (SSTR) operationsbull1048698 Strategic communication (SC)bull1048698 PSYOPbull1048698 Civil-military operations (CMO)bull1048698 Information operations (IO)bull1048698 Intelligence and counterintelligence (CI) activitiesbull1048698 Transnational criminal activities including narco-trafficking illicit arms dealing and illegal financial transactions that support or sustain IWbull1048698 Law enforcement activities focused on countering irregular adversaries
Insatsomraringdet
Konfliktens ekosystemOumlppnaporoumlsa graumlnsermellan system
Utlaumlndskafrivilliga
Finansiering
Utrustning vapen och am
Propaganda
Flyktingar DPs
Utbildaderadikaliseradeldquosoldaterrdquo
Sympati och stoumld
Etnisk grupp
Stam
Stam
Klan
Smugglare
Maffia
Affaumlrsroumlrelser
NGOs
InternationellMedia
IO
Flyktingar
GO
Landets regering
Localmedia
Stambaseradmilis
BevaumlpnadGrupp A
BevaumlpnadGrupp B
Etniskt baseradmilis
Landets polis
Regeringensarmeacute
PrivataSaumlkerhets-
styrkor
Graumlns-infiltratoumlrer
Allierade
Terroristceller
Other conceptions
Three Block War
4th Generation Warfare
Low Intensity Conflict
Unrestricted Warfare
Other conceptions
Three Block War
A peculiar situation in IW
4th Generation Warfare
Very much the same as IW
Low Intensity Conflict
Can also be a stalemate in a regular conflict (Korea) Unrestricted Warfare
Very developed unconventional warfare wich uses all availiable means Can be interstate
Other problems in IW
Combatants
And another problem Western art of war is since the
Greeks and Romans fixed on a decisive military victory
Triumph
Who won the battle
Who is the winner
Who admits he lossed
Insurgency
ldquoAn organized movement aimed at the overthrow of a constituted government through the use of
subversion and armed conflictrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 07
ldquoThe actions of a minority group within a state who are intent on forcing political change by means of a
mixture of subversion propaganda and military pressure aiming to persuade or intimidate the
broad mass of people to accept such a changerdquo (UK COIN Doctrine 07)
ldquoAn organized ideologically motivated group or movement that seeks political change in a region focused on persuading or coercing the population
of a region through violence subversion and propagandardquo (AJP 344 2008)
War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
Insurgency
Violent (armed) insurgeny
Non violent insurgency
Gandhiacutes insurgency with non voilence
Insurgency OPS in Northern Afghanistan
Insurgents
GOA
ISAF
NGO
UN
OEF
People
ANA
ANP
The link between Terrorism and Insurgency
rdquoJust as Guerilla warfare transforms to regular warfarehelliphellip
hellipdoes terrorism transform into insurgencyrdquo(The battle of Algers)
If it has that purpose
Insurgencies ndash some exampels
Successfull Not successfull
Indien
Algeriet (1960)
Nicaragua
Haiti
Filipinerna
Algeriet (1953-58)
Malaysia
Nordirland
Insurgency and Terrorism
Armed insurgency = armed poltical campain
Terrorism = armed political communication
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
Terrorism
Terrorism
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
The unlawful use or threatened use of force or violence against individuals or property in an attempt to coerce or intimidate governments or societies toachieve political religious or ideological objectives (Nato)
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
For example IRA ETA Shining Path
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
bull When a terrorist act has ramifications that transcend a national boundary it is an instance of transnational terrorism Examples include 911 311 and kidnapping of foreign workers in Iraq
bull Examples AlQaida RAF Lashkar-e-Taiba
WAR
Primitive war
Western ways of warOriental warfare
Irregular warfare
Regular warfare
Partisan war
Guerilla warInsurgency
Terrorism
Stateterrorism
Counterinsurgency - COIN
COIN War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
ldquoThose military paramilitary political economic psychological and civic actions taken by a government to defeat insurgencyrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 and in UK COIN doctrine 07
AJP 344 08 ldquo The set of political economical social military law enforcement civil and psychological activities required to defeat insurgencyrdquo AJP 344 uses this definition that is not in AAP 6
AAP 6 ldquo Those military paramilitary political economic psychological and civil actions taken to defeat insurgencyrdquo
Security Force Roles Police Local MilitaryPolice backed by Local Military Local amp Foreign Militaries
Stage Proto Small-scale Full-blown with External Support Large-scale
Timefactor in COIN
Level of Violence
Probability of COIN Success gt 90 ~ 50
Time
Average duration 12 yrs
If an insurgency is supported by another state it has a bigger chance in succeeding
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
From States From Non-State Actors None
External Support
Nu
mb
er o
f In
surg
enci
es
Won by Govrsquot
Draw
Lost by Govrsquot
COIN in Afghanistan
ISAF together with coalition forces is conducting a COIN operation in Afghanistan and SWEDEN participate in the Campaign
To succeed in Irregular Warfare
Itacutes hard to coordinate many countries different agencies from outside and some NGOacutes refuse
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
Coordination is best through a HN government It also shows the people it can govern
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
HN Gov
Unified effect
Second effect
Our gov is able
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operate
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
(support) (inhance)
(contain) (defeat)
Attributes of COIN
bull Political primacy a clear political objectivebull The struggle against insurgency is for the population not against the populationbull Relevance of legitimacybull Intelligence and information are crucial for successbull Neutralising insurgency and isolating it from any supportbull Long-term planning and preparing for the campaignbull Establishing a secured environment and acting within the law is essentialbull Transfer leading role to the local forcesbull Adapting the plan to current conditions Learn and adapt
AJP 334 p 47
Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Slide 3
- Slide 4
- Slide 5
- Slide 6
- Slide 7
- Slide 8
- Slide 9
- Slide 10
- Slide 11
- Slide 12
- Slide 13
- Slide 14
- Slide 15
- Slide 16
- Slide 17
- Slide 18
- Slide 19
- Slide 20
- Slide 21
- Slide 22
- Slide 23
- Slide 24
- Slide 25
- Slide 26
- Slide 27
- Slide 28
- Slide 29
- Slide 30
- Slide 31
- Slide 32
- Slide 33
- Slide 34
- Slide 35
- Slide 36
- Slide 37
- Slide 38
- Slide 39
- Slide 40
- Slide 41
- Slide 42
-
Figure 1-3 Joint operating concept relationshipsChapter 1 p7 US A FM 3-05130 Unconventional Warfare 30 sept 2008This publication is available at Army Knowledge Online (wwwusarmymil) and General Dennis J Reimer Training and Doctrine Digital Library at (wwwtrainarmymil)
Joint operating concept relationships (US)
The constituent activities of IW
bull1048698 Insurgencybull1048698 COINbull1048698 UWbull1048698 Terrorismbull1048698 CTbull1048698 FIDbull1048698 Stability security transition and reconstruction (SSTR) operationsbull1048698 Strategic communication (SC)bull1048698 PSYOPbull1048698 Civil-military operations (CMO)bull1048698 Information operations (IO)bull1048698 Intelligence and counterintelligence (CI) activitiesbull1048698 Transnational criminal activities including narco-trafficking illicit arms dealing and illegal financial transactions that support or sustain IWbull1048698 Law enforcement activities focused on countering irregular adversaries
Insatsomraringdet
Konfliktens ekosystemOumlppnaporoumlsa graumlnsermellan system
Utlaumlndskafrivilliga
Finansiering
Utrustning vapen och am
Propaganda
Flyktingar DPs
Utbildaderadikaliseradeldquosoldaterrdquo
Sympati och stoumld
Etnisk grupp
Stam
Stam
Klan
Smugglare
Maffia
Affaumlrsroumlrelser
NGOs
InternationellMedia
IO
Flyktingar
GO
Landets regering
Localmedia
Stambaseradmilis
BevaumlpnadGrupp A
BevaumlpnadGrupp B
Etniskt baseradmilis
Landets polis
Regeringensarmeacute
PrivataSaumlkerhets-
styrkor
Graumlns-infiltratoumlrer
Allierade
Terroristceller
Other conceptions
Three Block War
4th Generation Warfare
Low Intensity Conflict
Unrestricted Warfare
Other conceptions
Three Block War
A peculiar situation in IW
4th Generation Warfare
Very much the same as IW
Low Intensity Conflict
Can also be a stalemate in a regular conflict (Korea) Unrestricted Warfare
Very developed unconventional warfare wich uses all availiable means Can be interstate
Other problems in IW
Combatants
And another problem Western art of war is since the
Greeks and Romans fixed on a decisive military victory
Triumph
Who won the battle
Who is the winner
Who admits he lossed
Insurgency
ldquoAn organized movement aimed at the overthrow of a constituted government through the use of
subversion and armed conflictrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 07
ldquoThe actions of a minority group within a state who are intent on forcing political change by means of a
mixture of subversion propaganda and military pressure aiming to persuade or intimidate the
broad mass of people to accept such a changerdquo (UK COIN Doctrine 07)
ldquoAn organized ideologically motivated group or movement that seeks political change in a region focused on persuading or coercing the population
of a region through violence subversion and propagandardquo (AJP 344 2008)
War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
Insurgency
Violent (armed) insurgeny
Non violent insurgency
Gandhiacutes insurgency with non voilence
Insurgency OPS in Northern Afghanistan
Insurgents
GOA
ISAF
NGO
UN
OEF
People
ANA
ANP
The link between Terrorism and Insurgency
rdquoJust as Guerilla warfare transforms to regular warfarehelliphellip
hellipdoes terrorism transform into insurgencyrdquo(The battle of Algers)
If it has that purpose
Insurgencies ndash some exampels
Successfull Not successfull
Indien
Algeriet (1960)
Nicaragua
Haiti
Filipinerna
Algeriet (1953-58)
Malaysia
Nordirland
Insurgency and Terrorism
Armed insurgency = armed poltical campain
Terrorism = armed political communication
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
Terrorism
Terrorism
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
The unlawful use or threatened use of force or violence against individuals or property in an attempt to coerce or intimidate governments or societies toachieve political religious or ideological objectives (Nato)
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
For example IRA ETA Shining Path
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
bull When a terrorist act has ramifications that transcend a national boundary it is an instance of transnational terrorism Examples include 911 311 and kidnapping of foreign workers in Iraq
bull Examples AlQaida RAF Lashkar-e-Taiba
WAR
Primitive war
Western ways of warOriental warfare
Irregular warfare
Regular warfare
Partisan war
Guerilla warInsurgency
Terrorism
Stateterrorism
Counterinsurgency - COIN
COIN War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
ldquoThose military paramilitary political economic psychological and civic actions taken by a government to defeat insurgencyrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 and in UK COIN doctrine 07
AJP 344 08 ldquo The set of political economical social military law enforcement civil and psychological activities required to defeat insurgencyrdquo AJP 344 uses this definition that is not in AAP 6
AAP 6 ldquo Those military paramilitary political economic psychological and civil actions taken to defeat insurgencyrdquo
Security Force Roles Police Local MilitaryPolice backed by Local Military Local amp Foreign Militaries
Stage Proto Small-scale Full-blown with External Support Large-scale
Timefactor in COIN
Level of Violence
Probability of COIN Success gt 90 ~ 50
Time
Average duration 12 yrs
If an insurgency is supported by another state it has a bigger chance in succeeding
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
From States From Non-State Actors None
External Support
Nu
mb
er o
f In
surg
enci
es
Won by Govrsquot
Draw
Lost by Govrsquot
COIN in Afghanistan
ISAF together with coalition forces is conducting a COIN operation in Afghanistan and SWEDEN participate in the Campaign
To succeed in Irregular Warfare
Itacutes hard to coordinate many countries different agencies from outside and some NGOacutes refuse
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
Coordination is best through a HN government It also shows the people it can govern
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
HN Gov
Unified effect
Second effect
Our gov is able
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operate
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
(support) (inhance)
(contain) (defeat)
Attributes of COIN
bull Political primacy a clear political objectivebull The struggle against insurgency is for the population not against the populationbull Relevance of legitimacybull Intelligence and information are crucial for successbull Neutralising insurgency and isolating it from any supportbull Long-term planning and preparing for the campaignbull Establishing a secured environment and acting within the law is essentialbull Transfer leading role to the local forcesbull Adapting the plan to current conditions Learn and adapt
AJP 334 p 47
Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Slide 3
- Slide 4
- Slide 5
- Slide 6
- Slide 7
- Slide 8
- Slide 9
- Slide 10
- Slide 11
- Slide 12
- Slide 13
- Slide 14
- Slide 15
- Slide 16
- Slide 17
- Slide 18
- Slide 19
- Slide 20
- Slide 21
- Slide 22
- Slide 23
- Slide 24
- Slide 25
- Slide 26
- Slide 27
- Slide 28
- Slide 29
- Slide 30
- Slide 31
- Slide 32
- Slide 33
- Slide 34
- Slide 35
- Slide 36
- Slide 37
- Slide 38
- Slide 39
- Slide 40
- Slide 41
- Slide 42
-
The constituent activities of IW
bull1048698 Insurgencybull1048698 COINbull1048698 UWbull1048698 Terrorismbull1048698 CTbull1048698 FIDbull1048698 Stability security transition and reconstruction (SSTR) operationsbull1048698 Strategic communication (SC)bull1048698 PSYOPbull1048698 Civil-military operations (CMO)bull1048698 Information operations (IO)bull1048698 Intelligence and counterintelligence (CI) activitiesbull1048698 Transnational criminal activities including narco-trafficking illicit arms dealing and illegal financial transactions that support or sustain IWbull1048698 Law enforcement activities focused on countering irregular adversaries
Insatsomraringdet
Konfliktens ekosystemOumlppnaporoumlsa graumlnsermellan system
Utlaumlndskafrivilliga
Finansiering
Utrustning vapen och am
Propaganda
Flyktingar DPs
Utbildaderadikaliseradeldquosoldaterrdquo
Sympati och stoumld
Etnisk grupp
Stam
Stam
Klan
Smugglare
Maffia
Affaumlrsroumlrelser
NGOs
InternationellMedia
IO
Flyktingar
GO
Landets regering
Localmedia
Stambaseradmilis
BevaumlpnadGrupp A
BevaumlpnadGrupp B
Etniskt baseradmilis
Landets polis
Regeringensarmeacute
PrivataSaumlkerhets-
styrkor
Graumlns-infiltratoumlrer
Allierade
Terroristceller
Other conceptions
Three Block War
4th Generation Warfare
Low Intensity Conflict
Unrestricted Warfare
Other conceptions
Three Block War
A peculiar situation in IW
4th Generation Warfare
Very much the same as IW
Low Intensity Conflict
Can also be a stalemate in a regular conflict (Korea) Unrestricted Warfare
Very developed unconventional warfare wich uses all availiable means Can be interstate
Other problems in IW
Combatants
And another problem Western art of war is since the
Greeks and Romans fixed on a decisive military victory
Triumph
Who won the battle
Who is the winner
Who admits he lossed
Insurgency
ldquoAn organized movement aimed at the overthrow of a constituted government through the use of
subversion and armed conflictrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 07
ldquoThe actions of a minority group within a state who are intent on forcing political change by means of a
mixture of subversion propaganda and military pressure aiming to persuade or intimidate the
broad mass of people to accept such a changerdquo (UK COIN Doctrine 07)
ldquoAn organized ideologically motivated group or movement that seeks political change in a region focused on persuading or coercing the population
of a region through violence subversion and propagandardquo (AJP 344 2008)
War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
Insurgency
Violent (armed) insurgeny
Non violent insurgency
Gandhiacutes insurgency with non voilence
Insurgency OPS in Northern Afghanistan
Insurgents
GOA
ISAF
NGO
UN
OEF
People
ANA
ANP
The link between Terrorism and Insurgency
rdquoJust as Guerilla warfare transforms to regular warfarehelliphellip
hellipdoes terrorism transform into insurgencyrdquo(The battle of Algers)
If it has that purpose
Insurgencies ndash some exampels
Successfull Not successfull
Indien
Algeriet (1960)
Nicaragua
Haiti
Filipinerna
Algeriet (1953-58)
Malaysia
Nordirland
Insurgency and Terrorism
Armed insurgency = armed poltical campain
Terrorism = armed political communication
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
Terrorism
Terrorism
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
The unlawful use or threatened use of force or violence against individuals or property in an attempt to coerce or intimidate governments or societies toachieve political religious or ideological objectives (Nato)
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
For example IRA ETA Shining Path
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
bull When a terrorist act has ramifications that transcend a national boundary it is an instance of transnational terrorism Examples include 911 311 and kidnapping of foreign workers in Iraq
bull Examples AlQaida RAF Lashkar-e-Taiba
WAR
Primitive war
Western ways of warOriental warfare
Irregular warfare
Regular warfare
Partisan war
Guerilla warInsurgency
Terrorism
Stateterrorism
Counterinsurgency - COIN
COIN War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
ldquoThose military paramilitary political economic psychological and civic actions taken by a government to defeat insurgencyrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 and in UK COIN doctrine 07
AJP 344 08 ldquo The set of political economical social military law enforcement civil and psychological activities required to defeat insurgencyrdquo AJP 344 uses this definition that is not in AAP 6
AAP 6 ldquo Those military paramilitary political economic psychological and civil actions taken to defeat insurgencyrdquo
Security Force Roles Police Local MilitaryPolice backed by Local Military Local amp Foreign Militaries
Stage Proto Small-scale Full-blown with External Support Large-scale
Timefactor in COIN
Level of Violence
Probability of COIN Success gt 90 ~ 50
Time
Average duration 12 yrs
If an insurgency is supported by another state it has a bigger chance in succeeding
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
From States From Non-State Actors None
External Support
Nu
mb
er o
f In
surg
enci
es
Won by Govrsquot
Draw
Lost by Govrsquot
COIN in Afghanistan
ISAF together with coalition forces is conducting a COIN operation in Afghanistan and SWEDEN participate in the Campaign
To succeed in Irregular Warfare
Itacutes hard to coordinate many countries different agencies from outside and some NGOacutes refuse
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
Coordination is best through a HN government It also shows the people it can govern
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
HN Gov
Unified effect
Second effect
Our gov is able
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operate
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
(support) (inhance)
(contain) (defeat)
Attributes of COIN
bull Political primacy a clear political objectivebull The struggle against insurgency is for the population not against the populationbull Relevance of legitimacybull Intelligence and information are crucial for successbull Neutralising insurgency and isolating it from any supportbull Long-term planning and preparing for the campaignbull Establishing a secured environment and acting within the law is essentialbull Transfer leading role to the local forcesbull Adapting the plan to current conditions Learn and adapt
AJP 334 p 47
Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Slide 3
- Slide 4
- Slide 5
- Slide 6
- Slide 7
- Slide 8
- Slide 9
- Slide 10
- Slide 11
- Slide 12
- Slide 13
- Slide 14
- Slide 15
- Slide 16
- Slide 17
- Slide 18
- Slide 19
- Slide 20
- Slide 21
- Slide 22
- Slide 23
- Slide 24
- Slide 25
- Slide 26
- Slide 27
- Slide 28
- Slide 29
- Slide 30
- Slide 31
- Slide 32
- Slide 33
- Slide 34
- Slide 35
- Slide 36
- Slide 37
- Slide 38
- Slide 39
- Slide 40
- Slide 41
- Slide 42
-
Insatsomraringdet
Konfliktens ekosystemOumlppnaporoumlsa graumlnsermellan system
Utlaumlndskafrivilliga
Finansiering
Utrustning vapen och am
Propaganda
Flyktingar DPs
Utbildaderadikaliseradeldquosoldaterrdquo
Sympati och stoumld
Etnisk grupp
Stam
Stam
Klan
Smugglare
Maffia
Affaumlrsroumlrelser
NGOs
InternationellMedia
IO
Flyktingar
GO
Landets regering
Localmedia
Stambaseradmilis
BevaumlpnadGrupp A
BevaumlpnadGrupp B
Etniskt baseradmilis
Landets polis
Regeringensarmeacute
PrivataSaumlkerhets-
styrkor
Graumlns-infiltratoumlrer
Allierade
Terroristceller
Other conceptions
Three Block War
4th Generation Warfare
Low Intensity Conflict
Unrestricted Warfare
Other conceptions
Three Block War
A peculiar situation in IW
4th Generation Warfare
Very much the same as IW
Low Intensity Conflict
Can also be a stalemate in a regular conflict (Korea) Unrestricted Warfare
Very developed unconventional warfare wich uses all availiable means Can be interstate
Other problems in IW
Combatants
And another problem Western art of war is since the
Greeks and Romans fixed on a decisive military victory
Triumph
Who won the battle
Who is the winner
Who admits he lossed
Insurgency
ldquoAn organized movement aimed at the overthrow of a constituted government through the use of
subversion and armed conflictrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 07
ldquoThe actions of a minority group within a state who are intent on forcing political change by means of a
mixture of subversion propaganda and military pressure aiming to persuade or intimidate the
broad mass of people to accept such a changerdquo (UK COIN Doctrine 07)
ldquoAn organized ideologically motivated group or movement that seeks political change in a region focused on persuading or coercing the population
of a region through violence subversion and propagandardquo (AJP 344 2008)
War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
Insurgency
Violent (armed) insurgeny
Non violent insurgency
Gandhiacutes insurgency with non voilence
Insurgency OPS in Northern Afghanistan
Insurgents
GOA
ISAF
NGO
UN
OEF
People
ANA
ANP
The link between Terrorism and Insurgency
rdquoJust as Guerilla warfare transforms to regular warfarehelliphellip
hellipdoes terrorism transform into insurgencyrdquo(The battle of Algers)
If it has that purpose
Insurgencies ndash some exampels
Successfull Not successfull
Indien
Algeriet (1960)
Nicaragua
Haiti
Filipinerna
Algeriet (1953-58)
Malaysia
Nordirland
Insurgency and Terrorism
Armed insurgency = armed poltical campain
Terrorism = armed political communication
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
Terrorism
Terrorism
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
The unlawful use or threatened use of force or violence against individuals or property in an attempt to coerce or intimidate governments or societies toachieve political religious or ideological objectives (Nato)
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
For example IRA ETA Shining Path
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
bull When a terrorist act has ramifications that transcend a national boundary it is an instance of transnational terrorism Examples include 911 311 and kidnapping of foreign workers in Iraq
bull Examples AlQaida RAF Lashkar-e-Taiba
WAR
Primitive war
Western ways of warOriental warfare
Irregular warfare
Regular warfare
Partisan war
Guerilla warInsurgency
Terrorism
Stateterrorism
Counterinsurgency - COIN
COIN War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
ldquoThose military paramilitary political economic psychological and civic actions taken by a government to defeat insurgencyrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 and in UK COIN doctrine 07
AJP 344 08 ldquo The set of political economical social military law enforcement civil and psychological activities required to defeat insurgencyrdquo AJP 344 uses this definition that is not in AAP 6
AAP 6 ldquo Those military paramilitary political economic psychological and civil actions taken to defeat insurgencyrdquo
Security Force Roles Police Local MilitaryPolice backed by Local Military Local amp Foreign Militaries
Stage Proto Small-scale Full-blown with External Support Large-scale
Timefactor in COIN
Level of Violence
Probability of COIN Success gt 90 ~ 50
Time
Average duration 12 yrs
If an insurgency is supported by another state it has a bigger chance in succeeding
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
From States From Non-State Actors None
External Support
Nu
mb
er o
f In
surg
enci
es
Won by Govrsquot
Draw
Lost by Govrsquot
COIN in Afghanistan
ISAF together with coalition forces is conducting a COIN operation in Afghanistan and SWEDEN participate in the Campaign
To succeed in Irregular Warfare
Itacutes hard to coordinate many countries different agencies from outside and some NGOacutes refuse
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
Coordination is best through a HN government It also shows the people it can govern
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
HN Gov
Unified effect
Second effect
Our gov is able
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operate
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
(support) (inhance)
(contain) (defeat)
Attributes of COIN
bull Political primacy a clear political objectivebull The struggle against insurgency is for the population not against the populationbull Relevance of legitimacybull Intelligence and information are crucial for successbull Neutralising insurgency and isolating it from any supportbull Long-term planning and preparing for the campaignbull Establishing a secured environment and acting within the law is essentialbull Transfer leading role to the local forcesbull Adapting the plan to current conditions Learn and adapt
AJP 334 p 47
Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Slide 3
- Slide 4
- Slide 5
- Slide 6
- Slide 7
- Slide 8
- Slide 9
- Slide 10
- Slide 11
- Slide 12
- Slide 13
- Slide 14
- Slide 15
- Slide 16
- Slide 17
- Slide 18
- Slide 19
- Slide 20
- Slide 21
- Slide 22
- Slide 23
- Slide 24
- Slide 25
- Slide 26
- Slide 27
- Slide 28
- Slide 29
- Slide 30
- Slide 31
- Slide 32
- Slide 33
- Slide 34
- Slide 35
- Slide 36
- Slide 37
- Slide 38
- Slide 39
- Slide 40
- Slide 41
- Slide 42
-
Other conceptions
Three Block War
4th Generation Warfare
Low Intensity Conflict
Unrestricted Warfare
Other conceptions
Three Block War
A peculiar situation in IW
4th Generation Warfare
Very much the same as IW
Low Intensity Conflict
Can also be a stalemate in a regular conflict (Korea) Unrestricted Warfare
Very developed unconventional warfare wich uses all availiable means Can be interstate
Other problems in IW
Combatants
And another problem Western art of war is since the
Greeks and Romans fixed on a decisive military victory
Triumph
Who won the battle
Who is the winner
Who admits he lossed
Insurgency
ldquoAn organized movement aimed at the overthrow of a constituted government through the use of
subversion and armed conflictrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 07
ldquoThe actions of a minority group within a state who are intent on forcing political change by means of a
mixture of subversion propaganda and military pressure aiming to persuade or intimidate the
broad mass of people to accept such a changerdquo (UK COIN Doctrine 07)
ldquoAn organized ideologically motivated group or movement that seeks political change in a region focused on persuading or coercing the population
of a region through violence subversion and propagandardquo (AJP 344 2008)
War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
Insurgency
Violent (armed) insurgeny
Non violent insurgency
Gandhiacutes insurgency with non voilence
Insurgency OPS in Northern Afghanistan
Insurgents
GOA
ISAF
NGO
UN
OEF
People
ANA
ANP
The link between Terrorism and Insurgency
rdquoJust as Guerilla warfare transforms to regular warfarehelliphellip
hellipdoes terrorism transform into insurgencyrdquo(The battle of Algers)
If it has that purpose
Insurgencies ndash some exampels
Successfull Not successfull
Indien
Algeriet (1960)
Nicaragua
Haiti
Filipinerna
Algeriet (1953-58)
Malaysia
Nordirland
Insurgency and Terrorism
Armed insurgency = armed poltical campain
Terrorism = armed political communication
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
Terrorism
Terrorism
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
The unlawful use or threatened use of force or violence against individuals or property in an attempt to coerce or intimidate governments or societies toachieve political religious or ideological objectives (Nato)
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
For example IRA ETA Shining Path
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
bull When a terrorist act has ramifications that transcend a national boundary it is an instance of transnational terrorism Examples include 911 311 and kidnapping of foreign workers in Iraq
bull Examples AlQaida RAF Lashkar-e-Taiba
WAR
Primitive war
Western ways of warOriental warfare
Irregular warfare
Regular warfare
Partisan war
Guerilla warInsurgency
Terrorism
Stateterrorism
Counterinsurgency - COIN
COIN War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
ldquoThose military paramilitary political economic psychological and civic actions taken by a government to defeat insurgencyrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 and in UK COIN doctrine 07
AJP 344 08 ldquo The set of political economical social military law enforcement civil and psychological activities required to defeat insurgencyrdquo AJP 344 uses this definition that is not in AAP 6
AAP 6 ldquo Those military paramilitary political economic psychological and civil actions taken to defeat insurgencyrdquo
Security Force Roles Police Local MilitaryPolice backed by Local Military Local amp Foreign Militaries
Stage Proto Small-scale Full-blown with External Support Large-scale
Timefactor in COIN
Level of Violence
Probability of COIN Success gt 90 ~ 50
Time
Average duration 12 yrs
If an insurgency is supported by another state it has a bigger chance in succeeding
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
From States From Non-State Actors None
External Support
Nu
mb
er o
f In
surg
enci
es
Won by Govrsquot
Draw
Lost by Govrsquot
COIN in Afghanistan
ISAF together with coalition forces is conducting a COIN operation in Afghanistan and SWEDEN participate in the Campaign
To succeed in Irregular Warfare
Itacutes hard to coordinate many countries different agencies from outside and some NGOacutes refuse
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
Coordination is best through a HN government It also shows the people it can govern
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
HN Gov
Unified effect
Second effect
Our gov is able
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operate
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
(support) (inhance)
(contain) (defeat)
Attributes of COIN
bull Political primacy a clear political objectivebull The struggle against insurgency is for the population not against the populationbull Relevance of legitimacybull Intelligence and information are crucial for successbull Neutralising insurgency and isolating it from any supportbull Long-term planning and preparing for the campaignbull Establishing a secured environment and acting within the law is essentialbull Transfer leading role to the local forcesbull Adapting the plan to current conditions Learn and adapt
AJP 334 p 47
Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Slide 3
- Slide 4
- Slide 5
- Slide 6
- Slide 7
- Slide 8
- Slide 9
- Slide 10
- Slide 11
- Slide 12
- Slide 13
- Slide 14
- Slide 15
- Slide 16
- Slide 17
- Slide 18
- Slide 19
- Slide 20
- Slide 21
- Slide 22
- Slide 23
- Slide 24
- Slide 25
- Slide 26
- Slide 27
- Slide 28
- Slide 29
- Slide 30
- Slide 31
- Slide 32
- Slide 33
- Slide 34
- Slide 35
- Slide 36
- Slide 37
- Slide 38
- Slide 39
- Slide 40
- Slide 41
- Slide 42
-
Other conceptions
Three Block War
A peculiar situation in IW
4th Generation Warfare
Very much the same as IW
Low Intensity Conflict
Can also be a stalemate in a regular conflict (Korea) Unrestricted Warfare
Very developed unconventional warfare wich uses all availiable means Can be interstate
Other problems in IW
Combatants
And another problem Western art of war is since the
Greeks and Romans fixed on a decisive military victory
Triumph
Who won the battle
Who is the winner
Who admits he lossed
Insurgency
ldquoAn organized movement aimed at the overthrow of a constituted government through the use of
subversion and armed conflictrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 07
ldquoThe actions of a minority group within a state who are intent on forcing political change by means of a
mixture of subversion propaganda and military pressure aiming to persuade or intimidate the
broad mass of people to accept such a changerdquo (UK COIN Doctrine 07)
ldquoAn organized ideologically motivated group or movement that seeks political change in a region focused on persuading or coercing the population
of a region through violence subversion and propagandardquo (AJP 344 2008)
War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
Insurgency
Violent (armed) insurgeny
Non violent insurgency
Gandhiacutes insurgency with non voilence
Insurgency OPS in Northern Afghanistan
Insurgents
GOA
ISAF
NGO
UN
OEF
People
ANA
ANP
The link between Terrorism and Insurgency
rdquoJust as Guerilla warfare transforms to regular warfarehelliphellip
hellipdoes terrorism transform into insurgencyrdquo(The battle of Algers)
If it has that purpose
Insurgencies ndash some exampels
Successfull Not successfull
Indien
Algeriet (1960)
Nicaragua
Haiti
Filipinerna
Algeriet (1953-58)
Malaysia
Nordirland
Insurgency and Terrorism
Armed insurgency = armed poltical campain
Terrorism = armed political communication
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
Terrorism
Terrorism
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
The unlawful use or threatened use of force or violence against individuals or property in an attempt to coerce or intimidate governments or societies toachieve political religious or ideological objectives (Nato)
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
For example IRA ETA Shining Path
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
bull When a terrorist act has ramifications that transcend a national boundary it is an instance of transnational terrorism Examples include 911 311 and kidnapping of foreign workers in Iraq
bull Examples AlQaida RAF Lashkar-e-Taiba
WAR
Primitive war
Western ways of warOriental warfare
Irregular warfare
Regular warfare
Partisan war
Guerilla warInsurgency
Terrorism
Stateterrorism
Counterinsurgency - COIN
COIN War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
ldquoThose military paramilitary political economic psychological and civic actions taken by a government to defeat insurgencyrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 and in UK COIN doctrine 07
AJP 344 08 ldquo The set of political economical social military law enforcement civil and psychological activities required to defeat insurgencyrdquo AJP 344 uses this definition that is not in AAP 6
AAP 6 ldquo Those military paramilitary political economic psychological and civil actions taken to defeat insurgencyrdquo
Security Force Roles Police Local MilitaryPolice backed by Local Military Local amp Foreign Militaries
Stage Proto Small-scale Full-blown with External Support Large-scale
Timefactor in COIN
Level of Violence
Probability of COIN Success gt 90 ~ 50
Time
Average duration 12 yrs
If an insurgency is supported by another state it has a bigger chance in succeeding
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
From States From Non-State Actors None
External Support
Nu
mb
er o
f In
surg
enci
es
Won by Govrsquot
Draw
Lost by Govrsquot
COIN in Afghanistan
ISAF together with coalition forces is conducting a COIN operation in Afghanistan and SWEDEN participate in the Campaign
To succeed in Irregular Warfare
Itacutes hard to coordinate many countries different agencies from outside and some NGOacutes refuse
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
Coordination is best through a HN government It also shows the people it can govern
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
HN Gov
Unified effect
Second effect
Our gov is able
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operate
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
(support) (inhance)
(contain) (defeat)
Attributes of COIN
bull Political primacy a clear political objectivebull The struggle against insurgency is for the population not against the populationbull Relevance of legitimacybull Intelligence and information are crucial for successbull Neutralising insurgency and isolating it from any supportbull Long-term planning and preparing for the campaignbull Establishing a secured environment and acting within the law is essentialbull Transfer leading role to the local forcesbull Adapting the plan to current conditions Learn and adapt
AJP 334 p 47
Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Slide 3
- Slide 4
- Slide 5
- Slide 6
- Slide 7
- Slide 8
- Slide 9
- Slide 10
- Slide 11
- Slide 12
- Slide 13
- Slide 14
- Slide 15
- Slide 16
- Slide 17
- Slide 18
- Slide 19
- Slide 20
- Slide 21
- Slide 22
- Slide 23
- Slide 24
- Slide 25
- Slide 26
- Slide 27
- Slide 28
- Slide 29
- Slide 30
- Slide 31
- Slide 32
- Slide 33
- Slide 34
- Slide 35
- Slide 36
- Slide 37
- Slide 38
- Slide 39
- Slide 40
- Slide 41
- Slide 42
-
Other problems in IW
Combatants
And another problem Western art of war is since the
Greeks and Romans fixed on a decisive military victory
Triumph
Who won the battle
Who is the winner
Who admits he lossed
Insurgency
ldquoAn organized movement aimed at the overthrow of a constituted government through the use of
subversion and armed conflictrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 07
ldquoThe actions of a minority group within a state who are intent on forcing political change by means of a
mixture of subversion propaganda and military pressure aiming to persuade or intimidate the
broad mass of people to accept such a changerdquo (UK COIN Doctrine 07)
ldquoAn organized ideologically motivated group or movement that seeks political change in a region focused on persuading or coercing the population
of a region through violence subversion and propagandardquo (AJP 344 2008)
War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
Insurgency
Violent (armed) insurgeny
Non violent insurgency
Gandhiacutes insurgency with non voilence
Insurgency OPS in Northern Afghanistan
Insurgents
GOA
ISAF
NGO
UN
OEF
People
ANA
ANP
The link between Terrorism and Insurgency
rdquoJust as Guerilla warfare transforms to regular warfarehelliphellip
hellipdoes terrorism transform into insurgencyrdquo(The battle of Algers)
If it has that purpose
Insurgencies ndash some exampels
Successfull Not successfull
Indien
Algeriet (1960)
Nicaragua
Haiti
Filipinerna
Algeriet (1953-58)
Malaysia
Nordirland
Insurgency and Terrorism
Armed insurgency = armed poltical campain
Terrorism = armed political communication
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
Terrorism
Terrorism
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
The unlawful use or threatened use of force or violence against individuals or property in an attempt to coerce or intimidate governments or societies toachieve political religious or ideological objectives (Nato)
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
For example IRA ETA Shining Path
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
bull When a terrorist act has ramifications that transcend a national boundary it is an instance of transnational terrorism Examples include 911 311 and kidnapping of foreign workers in Iraq
bull Examples AlQaida RAF Lashkar-e-Taiba
WAR
Primitive war
Western ways of warOriental warfare
Irregular warfare
Regular warfare
Partisan war
Guerilla warInsurgency
Terrorism
Stateterrorism
Counterinsurgency - COIN
COIN War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
ldquoThose military paramilitary political economic psychological and civic actions taken by a government to defeat insurgencyrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 and in UK COIN doctrine 07
AJP 344 08 ldquo The set of political economical social military law enforcement civil and psychological activities required to defeat insurgencyrdquo AJP 344 uses this definition that is not in AAP 6
AAP 6 ldquo Those military paramilitary political economic psychological and civil actions taken to defeat insurgencyrdquo
Security Force Roles Police Local MilitaryPolice backed by Local Military Local amp Foreign Militaries
Stage Proto Small-scale Full-blown with External Support Large-scale
Timefactor in COIN
Level of Violence
Probability of COIN Success gt 90 ~ 50
Time
Average duration 12 yrs
If an insurgency is supported by another state it has a bigger chance in succeeding
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
From States From Non-State Actors None
External Support
Nu
mb
er o
f In
surg
enci
es
Won by Govrsquot
Draw
Lost by Govrsquot
COIN in Afghanistan
ISAF together with coalition forces is conducting a COIN operation in Afghanistan and SWEDEN participate in the Campaign
To succeed in Irregular Warfare
Itacutes hard to coordinate many countries different agencies from outside and some NGOacutes refuse
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
Coordination is best through a HN government It also shows the people it can govern
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
HN Gov
Unified effect
Second effect
Our gov is able
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operate
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
(support) (inhance)
(contain) (defeat)
Attributes of COIN
bull Political primacy a clear political objectivebull The struggle against insurgency is for the population not against the populationbull Relevance of legitimacybull Intelligence and information are crucial for successbull Neutralising insurgency and isolating it from any supportbull Long-term planning and preparing for the campaignbull Establishing a secured environment and acting within the law is essentialbull Transfer leading role to the local forcesbull Adapting the plan to current conditions Learn and adapt
AJP 334 p 47
Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Slide 3
- Slide 4
- Slide 5
- Slide 6
- Slide 7
- Slide 8
- Slide 9
- Slide 10
- Slide 11
- Slide 12
- Slide 13
- Slide 14
- Slide 15
- Slide 16
- Slide 17
- Slide 18
- Slide 19
- Slide 20
- Slide 21
- Slide 22
- Slide 23
- Slide 24
- Slide 25
- Slide 26
- Slide 27
- Slide 28
- Slide 29
- Slide 30
- Slide 31
- Slide 32
- Slide 33
- Slide 34
- Slide 35
- Slide 36
- Slide 37
- Slide 38
- Slide 39
- Slide 40
- Slide 41
- Slide 42
-
And another problem Western art of war is since the
Greeks and Romans fixed on a decisive military victory
Triumph
Who won the battle
Who is the winner
Who admits he lossed
Insurgency
ldquoAn organized movement aimed at the overthrow of a constituted government through the use of
subversion and armed conflictrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 07
ldquoThe actions of a minority group within a state who are intent on forcing political change by means of a
mixture of subversion propaganda and military pressure aiming to persuade or intimidate the
broad mass of people to accept such a changerdquo (UK COIN Doctrine 07)
ldquoAn organized ideologically motivated group or movement that seeks political change in a region focused on persuading or coercing the population
of a region through violence subversion and propagandardquo (AJP 344 2008)
War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
Insurgency
Violent (armed) insurgeny
Non violent insurgency
Gandhiacutes insurgency with non voilence
Insurgency OPS in Northern Afghanistan
Insurgents
GOA
ISAF
NGO
UN
OEF
People
ANA
ANP
The link between Terrorism and Insurgency
rdquoJust as Guerilla warfare transforms to regular warfarehelliphellip
hellipdoes terrorism transform into insurgencyrdquo(The battle of Algers)
If it has that purpose
Insurgencies ndash some exampels
Successfull Not successfull
Indien
Algeriet (1960)
Nicaragua
Haiti
Filipinerna
Algeriet (1953-58)
Malaysia
Nordirland
Insurgency and Terrorism
Armed insurgency = armed poltical campain
Terrorism = armed political communication
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
Terrorism
Terrorism
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
The unlawful use or threatened use of force or violence against individuals or property in an attempt to coerce or intimidate governments or societies toachieve political religious or ideological objectives (Nato)
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
For example IRA ETA Shining Path
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
bull When a terrorist act has ramifications that transcend a national boundary it is an instance of transnational terrorism Examples include 911 311 and kidnapping of foreign workers in Iraq
bull Examples AlQaida RAF Lashkar-e-Taiba
WAR
Primitive war
Western ways of warOriental warfare
Irregular warfare
Regular warfare
Partisan war
Guerilla warInsurgency
Terrorism
Stateterrorism
Counterinsurgency - COIN
COIN War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
ldquoThose military paramilitary political economic psychological and civic actions taken by a government to defeat insurgencyrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 and in UK COIN doctrine 07
AJP 344 08 ldquo The set of political economical social military law enforcement civil and psychological activities required to defeat insurgencyrdquo AJP 344 uses this definition that is not in AAP 6
AAP 6 ldquo Those military paramilitary political economic psychological and civil actions taken to defeat insurgencyrdquo
Security Force Roles Police Local MilitaryPolice backed by Local Military Local amp Foreign Militaries
Stage Proto Small-scale Full-blown with External Support Large-scale
Timefactor in COIN
Level of Violence
Probability of COIN Success gt 90 ~ 50
Time
Average duration 12 yrs
If an insurgency is supported by another state it has a bigger chance in succeeding
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
From States From Non-State Actors None
External Support
Nu
mb
er o
f In
surg
enci
es
Won by Govrsquot
Draw
Lost by Govrsquot
COIN in Afghanistan
ISAF together with coalition forces is conducting a COIN operation in Afghanistan and SWEDEN participate in the Campaign
To succeed in Irregular Warfare
Itacutes hard to coordinate many countries different agencies from outside and some NGOacutes refuse
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
Coordination is best through a HN government It also shows the people it can govern
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
HN Gov
Unified effect
Second effect
Our gov is able
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operate
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
(support) (inhance)
(contain) (defeat)
Attributes of COIN
bull Political primacy a clear political objectivebull The struggle against insurgency is for the population not against the populationbull Relevance of legitimacybull Intelligence and information are crucial for successbull Neutralising insurgency and isolating it from any supportbull Long-term planning and preparing for the campaignbull Establishing a secured environment and acting within the law is essentialbull Transfer leading role to the local forcesbull Adapting the plan to current conditions Learn and adapt
AJP 334 p 47
Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Slide 3
- Slide 4
- Slide 5
- Slide 6
- Slide 7
- Slide 8
- Slide 9
- Slide 10
- Slide 11
- Slide 12
- Slide 13
- Slide 14
- Slide 15
- Slide 16
- Slide 17
- Slide 18
- Slide 19
- Slide 20
- Slide 21
- Slide 22
- Slide 23
- Slide 24
- Slide 25
- Slide 26
- Slide 27
- Slide 28
- Slide 29
- Slide 30
- Slide 31
- Slide 32
- Slide 33
- Slide 34
- Slide 35
- Slide 36
- Slide 37
- Slide 38
- Slide 39
- Slide 40
- Slide 41
- Slide 42
-
Insurgency
ldquoAn organized movement aimed at the overthrow of a constituted government through the use of
subversion and armed conflictrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 07
ldquoThe actions of a minority group within a state who are intent on forcing political change by means of a
mixture of subversion propaganda and military pressure aiming to persuade or intimidate the
broad mass of people to accept such a changerdquo (UK COIN Doctrine 07)
ldquoAn organized ideologically motivated group or movement that seeks political change in a region focused on persuading or coercing the population
of a region through violence subversion and propagandardquo (AJP 344 2008)
War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
Insurgency
Violent (armed) insurgeny
Non violent insurgency
Gandhiacutes insurgency with non voilence
Insurgency OPS in Northern Afghanistan
Insurgents
GOA
ISAF
NGO
UN
OEF
People
ANA
ANP
The link between Terrorism and Insurgency
rdquoJust as Guerilla warfare transforms to regular warfarehelliphellip
hellipdoes terrorism transform into insurgencyrdquo(The battle of Algers)
If it has that purpose
Insurgencies ndash some exampels
Successfull Not successfull
Indien
Algeriet (1960)
Nicaragua
Haiti
Filipinerna
Algeriet (1953-58)
Malaysia
Nordirland
Insurgency and Terrorism
Armed insurgency = armed poltical campain
Terrorism = armed political communication
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
Terrorism
Terrorism
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
The unlawful use or threatened use of force or violence against individuals or property in an attempt to coerce or intimidate governments or societies toachieve political religious or ideological objectives (Nato)
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
For example IRA ETA Shining Path
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
bull When a terrorist act has ramifications that transcend a national boundary it is an instance of transnational terrorism Examples include 911 311 and kidnapping of foreign workers in Iraq
bull Examples AlQaida RAF Lashkar-e-Taiba
WAR
Primitive war
Western ways of warOriental warfare
Irregular warfare
Regular warfare
Partisan war
Guerilla warInsurgency
Terrorism
Stateterrorism
Counterinsurgency - COIN
COIN War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
ldquoThose military paramilitary political economic psychological and civic actions taken by a government to defeat insurgencyrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 and in UK COIN doctrine 07
AJP 344 08 ldquo The set of political economical social military law enforcement civil and psychological activities required to defeat insurgencyrdquo AJP 344 uses this definition that is not in AAP 6
AAP 6 ldquo Those military paramilitary political economic psychological and civil actions taken to defeat insurgencyrdquo
Security Force Roles Police Local MilitaryPolice backed by Local Military Local amp Foreign Militaries
Stage Proto Small-scale Full-blown with External Support Large-scale
Timefactor in COIN
Level of Violence
Probability of COIN Success gt 90 ~ 50
Time
Average duration 12 yrs
If an insurgency is supported by another state it has a bigger chance in succeeding
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
From States From Non-State Actors None
External Support
Nu
mb
er o
f In
surg
enci
es
Won by Govrsquot
Draw
Lost by Govrsquot
COIN in Afghanistan
ISAF together with coalition forces is conducting a COIN operation in Afghanistan and SWEDEN participate in the Campaign
To succeed in Irregular Warfare
Itacutes hard to coordinate many countries different agencies from outside and some NGOacutes refuse
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
Coordination is best through a HN government It also shows the people it can govern
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
HN Gov
Unified effect
Second effect
Our gov is able
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operate
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
(support) (inhance)
(contain) (defeat)
Attributes of COIN
bull Political primacy a clear political objectivebull The struggle against insurgency is for the population not against the populationbull Relevance of legitimacybull Intelligence and information are crucial for successbull Neutralising insurgency and isolating it from any supportbull Long-term planning and preparing for the campaignbull Establishing a secured environment and acting within the law is essentialbull Transfer leading role to the local forcesbull Adapting the plan to current conditions Learn and adapt
AJP 334 p 47
Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Slide 3
- Slide 4
- Slide 5
- Slide 6
- Slide 7
- Slide 8
- Slide 9
- Slide 10
- Slide 11
- Slide 12
- Slide 13
- Slide 14
- Slide 15
- Slide 16
- Slide 17
- Slide 18
- Slide 19
- Slide 20
- Slide 21
- Slide 22
- Slide 23
- Slide 24
- Slide 25
- Slide 26
- Slide 27
- Slide 28
- Slide 29
- Slide 30
- Slide 31
- Slide 32
- Slide 33
- Slide 34
- Slide 35
- Slide 36
- Slide 37
- Slide 38
- Slide 39
- Slide 40
- Slide 41
- Slide 42
-
Insurgency
Violent (armed) insurgeny
Non violent insurgency
Gandhiacutes insurgency with non voilence
Insurgency OPS in Northern Afghanistan
Insurgents
GOA
ISAF
NGO
UN
OEF
People
ANA
ANP
The link between Terrorism and Insurgency
rdquoJust as Guerilla warfare transforms to regular warfarehelliphellip
hellipdoes terrorism transform into insurgencyrdquo(The battle of Algers)
If it has that purpose
Insurgencies ndash some exampels
Successfull Not successfull
Indien
Algeriet (1960)
Nicaragua
Haiti
Filipinerna
Algeriet (1953-58)
Malaysia
Nordirland
Insurgency and Terrorism
Armed insurgency = armed poltical campain
Terrorism = armed political communication
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
Terrorism
Terrorism
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
The unlawful use or threatened use of force or violence against individuals or property in an attempt to coerce or intimidate governments or societies toachieve political religious or ideological objectives (Nato)
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
For example IRA ETA Shining Path
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
bull When a terrorist act has ramifications that transcend a national boundary it is an instance of transnational terrorism Examples include 911 311 and kidnapping of foreign workers in Iraq
bull Examples AlQaida RAF Lashkar-e-Taiba
WAR
Primitive war
Western ways of warOriental warfare
Irregular warfare
Regular warfare
Partisan war
Guerilla warInsurgency
Terrorism
Stateterrorism
Counterinsurgency - COIN
COIN War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
ldquoThose military paramilitary political economic psychological and civic actions taken by a government to defeat insurgencyrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 and in UK COIN doctrine 07
AJP 344 08 ldquo The set of political economical social military law enforcement civil and psychological activities required to defeat insurgencyrdquo AJP 344 uses this definition that is not in AAP 6
AAP 6 ldquo Those military paramilitary political economic psychological and civil actions taken to defeat insurgencyrdquo
Security Force Roles Police Local MilitaryPolice backed by Local Military Local amp Foreign Militaries
Stage Proto Small-scale Full-blown with External Support Large-scale
Timefactor in COIN
Level of Violence
Probability of COIN Success gt 90 ~ 50
Time
Average duration 12 yrs
If an insurgency is supported by another state it has a bigger chance in succeeding
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
From States From Non-State Actors None
External Support
Nu
mb
er o
f In
surg
enci
es
Won by Govrsquot
Draw
Lost by Govrsquot
COIN in Afghanistan
ISAF together with coalition forces is conducting a COIN operation in Afghanistan and SWEDEN participate in the Campaign
To succeed in Irregular Warfare
Itacutes hard to coordinate many countries different agencies from outside and some NGOacutes refuse
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
Coordination is best through a HN government It also shows the people it can govern
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
HN Gov
Unified effect
Second effect
Our gov is able
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operate
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
(support) (inhance)
(contain) (defeat)
Attributes of COIN
bull Political primacy a clear political objectivebull The struggle against insurgency is for the population not against the populationbull Relevance of legitimacybull Intelligence and information are crucial for successbull Neutralising insurgency and isolating it from any supportbull Long-term planning and preparing for the campaignbull Establishing a secured environment and acting within the law is essentialbull Transfer leading role to the local forcesbull Adapting the plan to current conditions Learn and adapt
AJP 334 p 47
Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Slide 3
- Slide 4
- Slide 5
- Slide 6
- Slide 7
- Slide 8
- Slide 9
- Slide 10
- Slide 11
- Slide 12
- Slide 13
- Slide 14
- Slide 15
- Slide 16
- Slide 17
- Slide 18
- Slide 19
- Slide 20
- Slide 21
- Slide 22
- Slide 23
- Slide 24
- Slide 25
- Slide 26
- Slide 27
- Slide 28
- Slide 29
- Slide 30
- Slide 31
- Slide 32
- Slide 33
- Slide 34
- Slide 35
- Slide 36
- Slide 37
- Slide 38
- Slide 39
- Slide 40
- Slide 41
- Slide 42
-
Insurgency OPS in Northern Afghanistan
Insurgents
GOA
ISAF
NGO
UN
OEF
People
ANA
ANP
The link between Terrorism and Insurgency
rdquoJust as Guerilla warfare transforms to regular warfarehelliphellip
hellipdoes terrorism transform into insurgencyrdquo(The battle of Algers)
If it has that purpose
Insurgencies ndash some exampels
Successfull Not successfull
Indien
Algeriet (1960)
Nicaragua
Haiti
Filipinerna
Algeriet (1953-58)
Malaysia
Nordirland
Insurgency and Terrorism
Armed insurgency = armed poltical campain
Terrorism = armed political communication
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
Terrorism
Terrorism
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
The unlawful use or threatened use of force or violence against individuals or property in an attempt to coerce or intimidate governments or societies toachieve political religious or ideological objectives (Nato)
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
For example IRA ETA Shining Path
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
bull When a terrorist act has ramifications that transcend a national boundary it is an instance of transnational terrorism Examples include 911 311 and kidnapping of foreign workers in Iraq
bull Examples AlQaida RAF Lashkar-e-Taiba
WAR
Primitive war
Western ways of warOriental warfare
Irregular warfare
Regular warfare
Partisan war
Guerilla warInsurgency
Terrorism
Stateterrorism
Counterinsurgency - COIN
COIN War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
ldquoThose military paramilitary political economic psychological and civic actions taken by a government to defeat insurgencyrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 and in UK COIN doctrine 07
AJP 344 08 ldquo The set of political economical social military law enforcement civil and psychological activities required to defeat insurgencyrdquo AJP 344 uses this definition that is not in AAP 6
AAP 6 ldquo Those military paramilitary political economic psychological and civil actions taken to defeat insurgencyrdquo
Security Force Roles Police Local MilitaryPolice backed by Local Military Local amp Foreign Militaries
Stage Proto Small-scale Full-blown with External Support Large-scale
Timefactor in COIN
Level of Violence
Probability of COIN Success gt 90 ~ 50
Time
Average duration 12 yrs
If an insurgency is supported by another state it has a bigger chance in succeeding
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
From States From Non-State Actors None
External Support
Nu
mb
er o
f In
surg
enci
es
Won by Govrsquot
Draw
Lost by Govrsquot
COIN in Afghanistan
ISAF together with coalition forces is conducting a COIN operation in Afghanistan and SWEDEN participate in the Campaign
To succeed in Irregular Warfare
Itacutes hard to coordinate many countries different agencies from outside and some NGOacutes refuse
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
Coordination is best through a HN government It also shows the people it can govern
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
HN Gov
Unified effect
Second effect
Our gov is able
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operate
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
(support) (inhance)
(contain) (defeat)
Attributes of COIN
bull Political primacy a clear political objectivebull The struggle against insurgency is for the population not against the populationbull Relevance of legitimacybull Intelligence and information are crucial for successbull Neutralising insurgency and isolating it from any supportbull Long-term planning and preparing for the campaignbull Establishing a secured environment and acting within the law is essentialbull Transfer leading role to the local forcesbull Adapting the plan to current conditions Learn and adapt
AJP 334 p 47
Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Slide 3
- Slide 4
- Slide 5
- Slide 6
- Slide 7
- Slide 8
- Slide 9
- Slide 10
- Slide 11
- Slide 12
- Slide 13
- Slide 14
- Slide 15
- Slide 16
- Slide 17
- Slide 18
- Slide 19
- Slide 20
- Slide 21
- Slide 22
- Slide 23
- Slide 24
- Slide 25
- Slide 26
- Slide 27
- Slide 28
- Slide 29
- Slide 30
- Slide 31
- Slide 32
- Slide 33
- Slide 34
- Slide 35
- Slide 36
- Slide 37
- Slide 38
- Slide 39
- Slide 40
- Slide 41
- Slide 42
-
The link between Terrorism and Insurgency
rdquoJust as Guerilla warfare transforms to regular warfarehelliphellip
hellipdoes terrorism transform into insurgencyrdquo(The battle of Algers)
If it has that purpose
Insurgencies ndash some exampels
Successfull Not successfull
Indien
Algeriet (1960)
Nicaragua
Haiti
Filipinerna
Algeriet (1953-58)
Malaysia
Nordirland
Insurgency and Terrorism
Armed insurgency = armed poltical campain
Terrorism = armed political communication
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
Terrorism
Terrorism
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
The unlawful use or threatened use of force or violence against individuals or property in an attempt to coerce or intimidate governments or societies toachieve political religious or ideological objectives (Nato)
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
For example IRA ETA Shining Path
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
bull When a terrorist act has ramifications that transcend a national boundary it is an instance of transnational terrorism Examples include 911 311 and kidnapping of foreign workers in Iraq
bull Examples AlQaida RAF Lashkar-e-Taiba
WAR
Primitive war
Western ways of warOriental warfare
Irregular warfare
Regular warfare
Partisan war
Guerilla warInsurgency
Terrorism
Stateterrorism
Counterinsurgency - COIN
COIN War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
ldquoThose military paramilitary political economic psychological and civic actions taken by a government to defeat insurgencyrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 and in UK COIN doctrine 07
AJP 344 08 ldquo The set of political economical social military law enforcement civil and psychological activities required to defeat insurgencyrdquo AJP 344 uses this definition that is not in AAP 6
AAP 6 ldquo Those military paramilitary political economic psychological and civil actions taken to defeat insurgencyrdquo
Security Force Roles Police Local MilitaryPolice backed by Local Military Local amp Foreign Militaries
Stage Proto Small-scale Full-blown with External Support Large-scale
Timefactor in COIN
Level of Violence
Probability of COIN Success gt 90 ~ 50
Time
Average duration 12 yrs
If an insurgency is supported by another state it has a bigger chance in succeeding
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
From States From Non-State Actors None
External Support
Nu
mb
er o
f In
surg
enci
es
Won by Govrsquot
Draw
Lost by Govrsquot
COIN in Afghanistan
ISAF together with coalition forces is conducting a COIN operation in Afghanistan and SWEDEN participate in the Campaign
To succeed in Irregular Warfare
Itacutes hard to coordinate many countries different agencies from outside and some NGOacutes refuse
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
Coordination is best through a HN government It also shows the people it can govern
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
HN Gov
Unified effect
Second effect
Our gov is able
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operate
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
(support) (inhance)
(contain) (defeat)
Attributes of COIN
bull Political primacy a clear political objectivebull The struggle against insurgency is for the population not against the populationbull Relevance of legitimacybull Intelligence and information are crucial for successbull Neutralising insurgency and isolating it from any supportbull Long-term planning and preparing for the campaignbull Establishing a secured environment and acting within the law is essentialbull Transfer leading role to the local forcesbull Adapting the plan to current conditions Learn and adapt
AJP 334 p 47
Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Slide 3
- Slide 4
- Slide 5
- Slide 6
- Slide 7
- Slide 8
- Slide 9
- Slide 10
- Slide 11
- Slide 12
- Slide 13
- Slide 14
- Slide 15
- Slide 16
- Slide 17
- Slide 18
- Slide 19
- Slide 20
- Slide 21
- Slide 22
- Slide 23
- Slide 24
- Slide 25
- Slide 26
- Slide 27
- Slide 28
- Slide 29
- Slide 30
- Slide 31
- Slide 32
- Slide 33
- Slide 34
- Slide 35
- Slide 36
- Slide 37
- Slide 38
- Slide 39
- Slide 40
- Slide 41
- Slide 42
-
Insurgencies ndash some exampels
Successfull Not successfull
Indien
Algeriet (1960)
Nicaragua
Haiti
Filipinerna
Algeriet (1953-58)
Malaysia
Nordirland
Insurgency and Terrorism
Armed insurgency = armed poltical campain
Terrorism = armed political communication
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
Terrorism
Terrorism
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
The unlawful use or threatened use of force or violence against individuals or property in an attempt to coerce or intimidate governments or societies toachieve political religious or ideological objectives (Nato)
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
For example IRA ETA Shining Path
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
bull When a terrorist act has ramifications that transcend a national boundary it is an instance of transnational terrorism Examples include 911 311 and kidnapping of foreign workers in Iraq
bull Examples AlQaida RAF Lashkar-e-Taiba
WAR
Primitive war
Western ways of warOriental warfare
Irregular warfare
Regular warfare
Partisan war
Guerilla warInsurgency
Terrorism
Stateterrorism
Counterinsurgency - COIN
COIN War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
ldquoThose military paramilitary political economic psychological and civic actions taken by a government to defeat insurgencyrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 and in UK COIN doctrine 07
AJP 344 08 ldquo The set of political economical social military law enforcement civil and psychological activities required to defeat insurgencyrdquo AJP 344 uses this definition that is not in AAP 6
AAP 6 ldquo Those military paramilitary political economic psychological and civil actions taken to defeat insurgencyrdquo
Security Force Roles Police Local MilitaryPolice backed by Local Military Local amp Foreign Militaries
Stage Proto Small-scale Full-blown with External Support Large-scale
Timefactor in COIN
Level of Violence
Probability of COIN Success gt 90 ~ 50
Time
Average duration 12 yrs
If an insurgency is supported by another state it has a bigger chance in succeeding
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
From States From Non-State Actors None
External Support
Nu
mb
er o
f In
surg
enci
es
Won by Govrsquot
Draw
Lost by Govrsquot
COIN in Afghanistan
ISAF together with coalition forces is conducting a COIN operation in Afghanistan and SWEDEN participate in the Campaign
To succeed in Irregular Warfare
Itacutes hard to coordinate many countries different agencies from outside and some NGOacutes refuse
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
Coordination is best through a HN government It also shows the people it can govern
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
HN Gov
Unified effect
Second effect
Our gov is able
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operate
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
(support) (inhance)
(contain) (defeat)
Attributes of COIN
bull Political primacy a clear political objectivebull The struggle against insurgency is for the population not against the populationbull Relevance of legitimacybull Intelligence and information are crucial for successbull Neutralising insurgency and isolating it from any supportbull Long-term planning and preparing for the campaignbull Establishing a secured environment and acting within the law is essentialbull Transfer leading role to the local forcesbull Adapting the plan to current conditions Learn and adapt
AJP 334 p 47
Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Slide 3
- Slide 4
- Slide 5
- Slide 6
- Slide 7
- Slide 8
- Slide 9
- Slide 10
- Slide 11
- Slide 12
- Slide 13
- Slide 14
- Slide 15
- Slide 16
- Slide 17
- Slide 18
- Slide 19
- Slide 20
- Slide 21
- Slide 22
- Slide 23
- Slide 24
- Slide 25
- Slide 26
- Slide 27
- Slide 28
- Slide 29
- Slide 30
- Slide 31
- Slide 32
- Slide 33
- Slide 34
- Slide 35
- Slide 36
- Slide 37
- Slide 38
- Slide 39
- Slide 40
- Slide 41
- Slide 42
-
Insurgency and Terrorism
Armed insurgency = armed poltical campain
Terrorism = armed political communication
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
Terrorism
Terrorism
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
The unlawful use or threatened use of force or violence against individuals or property in an attempt to coerce or intimidate governments or societies toachieve political religious or ideological objectives (Nato)
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
For example IRA ETA Shining Path
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
bull When a terrorist act has ramifications that transcend a national boundary it is an instance of transnational terrorism Examples include 911 311 and kidnapping of foreign workers in Iraq
bull Examples AlQaida RAF Lashkar-e-Taiba
WAR
Primitive war
Western ways of warOriental warfare
Irregular warfare
Regular warfare
Partisan war
Guerilla warInsurgency
Terrorism
Stateterrorism
Counterinsurgency - COIN
COIN War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
ldquoThose military paramilitary political economic psychological and civic actions taken by a government to defeat insurgencyrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 and in UK COIN doctrine 07
AJP 344 08 ldquo The set of political economical social military law enforcement civil and psychological activities required to defeat insurgencyrdquo AJP 344 uses this definition that is not in AAP 6
AAP 6 ldquo Those military paramilitary political economic psychological and civil actions taken to defeat insurgencyrdquo
Security Force Roles Police Local MilitaryPolice backed by Local Military Local amp Foreign Militaries
Stage Proto Small-scale Full-blown with External Support Large-scale
Timefactor in COIN
Level of Violence
Probability of COIN Success gt 90 ~ 50
Time
Average duration 12 yrs
If an insurgency is supported by another state it has a bigger chance in succeeding
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
From States From Non-State Actors None
External Support
Nu
mb
er o
f In
surg
enci
es
Won by Govrsquot
Draw
Lost by Govrsquot
COIN in Afghanistan
ISAF together with coalition forces is conducting a COIN operation in Afghanistan and SWEDEN participate in the Campaign
To succeed in Irregular Warfare
Itacutes hard to coordinate many countries different agencies from outside and some NGOacutes refuse
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
Coordination is best through a HN government It also shows the people it can govern
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
HN Gov
Unified effect
Second effect
Our gov is able
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operate
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
(support) (inhance)
(contain) (defeat)
Attributes of COIN
bull Political primacy a clear political objectivebull The struggle against insurgency is for the population not against the populationbull Relevance of legitimacybull Intelligence and information are crucial for successbull Neutralising insurgency and isolating it from any supportbull Long-term planning and preparing for the campaignbull Establishing a secured environment and acting within the law is essentialbull Transfer leading role to the local forcesbull Adapting the plan to current conditions Learn and adapt
AJP 334 p 47
Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Slide 3
- Slide 4
- Slide 5
- Slide 6
- Slide 7
- Slide 8
- Slide 9
- Slide 10
- Slide 11
- Slide 12
- Slide 13
- Slide 14
- Slide 15
- Slide 16
- Slide 17
- Slide 18
- Slide 19
- Slide 20
- Slide 21
- Slide 22
- Slide 23
- Slide 24
- Slide 25
- Slide 26
- Slide 27
- Slide 28
- Slide 29
- Slide 30
- Slide 31
- Slide 32
- Slide 33
- Slide 34
- Slide 35
- Slide 36
- Slide 37
- Slide 38
- Slide 39
- Slide 40
- Slide 41
- Slide 42
-
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
Terrorism
Terrorism
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
The unlawful use or threatened use of force or violence against individuals or property in an attempt to coerce or intimidate governments or societies toachieve political religious or ideological objectives (Nato)
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
For example IRA ETA Shining Path
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
bull When a terrorist act has ramifications that transcend a national boundary it is an instance of transnational terrorism Examples include 911 311 and kidnapping of foreign workers in Iraq
bull Examples AlQaida RAF Lashkar-e-Taiba
WAR
Primitive war
Western ways of warOriental warfare
Irregular warfare
Regular warfare
Partisan war
Guerilla warInsurgency
Terrorism
Stateterrorism
Counterinsurgency - COIN
COIN War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
ldquoThose military paramilitary political economic psychological and civic actions taken by a government to defeat insurgencyrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 and in UK COIN doctrine 07
AJP 344 08 ldquo The set of political economical social military law enforcement civil and psychological activities required to defeat insurgencyrdquo AJP 344 uses this definition that is not in AAP 6
AAP 6 ldquo Those military paramilitary political economic psychological and civil actions taken to defeat insurgencyrdquo
Security Force Roles Police Local MilitaryPolice backed by Local Military Local amp Foreign Militaries
Stage Proto Small-scale Full-blown with External Support Large-scale
Timefactor in COIN
Level of Violence
Probability of COIN Success gt 90 ~ 50
Time
Average duration 12 yrs
If an insurgency is supported by another state it has a bigger chance in succeeding
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
From States From Non-State Actors None
External Support
Nu
mb
er o
f In
surg
enci
es
Won by Govrsquot
Draw
Lost by Govrsquot
COIN in Afghanistan
ISAF together with coalition forces is conducting a COIN operation in Afghanistan and SWEDEN participate in the Campaign
To succeed in Irregular Warfare
Itacutes hard to coordinate many countries different agencies from outside and some NGOacutes refuse
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
Coordination is best through a HN government It also shows the people it can govern
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
HN Gov
Unified effect
Second effect
Our gov is able
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operate
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
(support) (inhance)
(contain) (defeat)
Attributes of COIN
bull Political primacy a clear political objectivebull The struggle against insurgency is for the population not against the populationbull Relevance of legitimacybull Intelligence and information are crucial for successbull Neutralising insurgency and isolating it from any supportbull Long-term planning and preparing for the campaignbull Establishing a secured environment and acting within the law is essentialbull Transfer leading role to the local forcesbull Adapting the plan to current conditions Learn and adapt
AJP 334 p 47
Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Slide 3
- Slide 4
- Slide 5
- Slide 6
- Slide 7
- Slide 8
- Slide 9
- Slide 10
- Slide 11
- Slide 12
- Slide 13
- Slide 14
- Slide 15
- Slide 16
- Slide 17
- Slide 18
- Slide 19
- Slide 20
- Slide 21
- Slide 22
- Slide 23
- Slide 24
- Slide 25
- Slide 26
- Slide 27
- Slide 28
- Slide 29
- Slide 30
- Slide 31
- Slide 32
- Slide 33
- Slide 34
- Slide 35
- Slide 36
- Slide 37
- Slide 38
- Slide 39
- Slide 40
- Slide 41
- Slide 42
-
Terrorism
Politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents usually intended to influence an audience (US State Dept)
The unlawful use or threatened use of force or violence against individuals or property in an attempt to coerce or intimidate governments or societies toachieve political religious or ideological objectives (Nato)
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
For example IRA ETA Shining Path
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
bull When a terrorist act has ramifications that transcend a national boundary it is an instance of transnational terrorism Examples include 911 311 and kidnapping of foreign workers in Iraq
bull Examples AlQaida RAF Lashkar-e-Taiba
WAR
Primitive war
Western ways of warOriental warfare
Irregular warfare
Regular warfare
Partisan war
Guerilla warInsurgency
Terrorism
Stateterrorism
Counterinsurgency - COIN
COIN War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
ldquoThose military paramilitary political economic psychological and civic actions taken by a government to defeat insurgencyrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 and in UK COIN doctrine 07
AJP 344 08 ldquo The set of political economical social military law enforcement civil and psychological activities required to defeat insurgencyrdquo AJP 344 uses this definition that is not in AAP 6
AAP 6 ldquo Those military paramilitary political economic psychological and civil actions taken to defeat insurgencyrdquo
Security Force Roles Police Local MilitaryPolice backed by Local Military Local amp Foreign Militaries
Stage Proto Small-scale Full-blown with External Support Large-scale
Timefactor in COIN
Level of Violence
Probability of COIN Success gt 90 ~ 50
Time
Average duration 12 yrs
If an insurgency is supported by another state it has a bigger chance in succeeding
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
From States From Non-State Actors None
External Support
Nu
mb
er o
f In
surg
enci
es
Won by Govrsquot
Draw
Lost by Govrsquot
COIN in Afghanistan
ISAF together with coalition forces is conducting a COIN operation in Afghanistan and SWEDEN participate in the Campaign
To succeed in Irregular Warfare
Itacutes hard to coordinate many countries different agencies from outside and some NGOacutes refuse
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
Coordination is best through a HN government It also shows the people it can govern
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
HN Gov
Unified effect
Second effect
Our gov is able
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operate
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
(support) (inhance)
(contain) (defeat)
Attributes of COIN
bull Political primacy a clear political objectivebull The struggle against insurgency is for the population not against the populationbull Relevance of legitimacybull Intelligence and information are crucial for successbull Neutralising insurgency and isolating it from any supportbull Long-term planning and preparing for the campaignbull Establishing a secured environment and acting within the law is essentialbull Transfer leading role to the local forcesbull Adapting the plan to current conditions Learn and adapt
AJP 334 p 47
Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Slide 3
- Slide 4
- Slide 5
- Slide 6
- Slide 7
- Slide 8
- Slide 9
- Slide 10
- Slide 11
- Slide 12
- Slide 13
- Slide 14
- Slide 15
- Slide 16
- Slide 17
- Slide 18
- Slide 19
- Slide 20
- Slide 21
- Slide 22
- Slide 23
- Slide 24
- Slide 25
- Slide 26
- Slide 27
- Slide 28
- Slide 29
- Slide 30
- Slide 31
- Slide 32
- Slide 33
- Slide 34
- Slide 35
- Slide 36
- Slide 37
- Slide 38
- Slide 39
- Slide 40
- Slide 41
- Slide 42
-
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
For example IRA ETA Shining Path
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
bull When a terrorist act has ramifications that transcend a national boundary it is an instance of transnational terrorism Examples include 911 311 and kidnapping of foreign workers in Iraq
bull Examples AlQaida RAF Lashkar-e-Taiba
WAR
Primitive war
Western ways of warOriental warfare
Irregular warfare
Regular warfare
Partisan war
Guerilla warInsurgency
Terrorism
Stateterrorism
Counterinsurgency - COIN
COIN War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
ldquoThose military paramilitary political economic psychological and civic actions taken by a government to defeat insurgencyrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 and in UK COIN doctrine 07
AJP 344 08 ldquo The set of political economical social military law enforcement civil and psychological activities required to defeat insurgencyrdquo AJP 344 uses this definition that is not in AAP 6
AAP 6 ldquo Those military paramilitary political economic psychological and civil actions taken to defeat insurgencyrdquo
Security Force Roles Police Local MilitaryPolice backed by Local Military Local amp Foreign Militaries
Stage Proto Small-scale Full-blown with External Support Large-scale
Timefactor in COIN
Level of Violence
Probability of COIN Success gt 90 ~ 50
Time
Average duration 12 yrs
If an insurgency is supported by another state it has a bigger chance in succeeding
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
From States From Non-State Actors None
External Support
Nu
mb
er o
f In
surg
enci
es
Won by Govrsquot
Draw
Lost by Govrsquot
COIN in Afghanistan
ISAF together with coalition forces is conducting a COIN operation in Afghanistan and SWEDEN participate in the Campaign
To succeed in Irregular Warfare
Itacutes hard to coordinate many countries different agencies from outside and some NGOacutes refuse
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
Coordination is best through a HN government It also shows the people it can govern
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
HN Gov
Unified effect
Second effect
Our gov is able
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operate
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
(support) (inhance)
(contain) (defeat)
Attributes of COIN
bull Political primacy a clear political objectivebull The struggle against insurgency is for the population not against the populationbull Relevance of legitimacybull Intelligence and information are crucial for successbull Neutralising insurgency and isolating it from any supportbull Long-term planning and preparing for the campaignbull Establishing a secured environment and acting within the law is essentialbull Transfer leading role to the local forcesbull Adapting the plan to current conditions Learn and adapt
AJP 334 p 47
Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Slide 3
- Slide 4
- Slide 5
- Slide 6
- Slide 7
- Slide 8
- Slide 9
- Slide 10
- Slide 11
- Slide 12
- Slide 13
- Slide 14
- Slide 15
- Slide 16
- Slide 17
- Slide 18
- Slide 19
- Slide 20
- Slide 21
- Slide 22
- Slide 23
- Slide 24
- Slide 25
- Slide 26
- Slide 27
- Slide 28
- Slide 29
- Slide 30
- Slide 31
- Slide 32
- Slide 33
- Slide 34
- Slide 35
- Slide 36
- Slide 37
- Slide 38
- Slide 39
- Slide 40
- Slide 41
- Slide 42
-
Domestic Versus Transnational
bull Domestic terrorism is homegrown and home directed with consequences for just the venue country its institutions citizens property and policies The perpetrators victims and audience are all from the host country
bull When a terrorist act has ramifications that transcend a national boundary it is an instance of transnational terrorism Examples include 911 311 and kidnapping of foreign workers in Iraq
bull Examples AlQaida RAF Lashkar-e-Taiba
WAR
Primitive war
Western ways of warOriental warfare
Irregular warfare
Regular warfare
Partisan war
Guerilla warInsurgency
Terrorism
Stateterrorism
Counterinsurgency - COIN
COIN War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
ldquoThose military paramilitary political economic psychological and civic actions taken by a government to defeat insurgencyrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 and in UK COIN doctrine 07
AJP 344 08 ldquo The set of political economical social military law enforcement civil and psychological activities required to defeat insurgencyrdquo AJP 344 uses this definition that is not in AAP 6
AAP 6 ldquo Those military paramilitary political economic psychological and civil actions taken to defeat insurgencyrdquo
Security Force Roles Police Local MilitaryPolice backed by Local Military Local amp Foreign Militaries
Stage Proto Small-scale Full-blown with External Support Large-scale
Timefactor in COIN
Level of Violence
Probability of COIN Success gt 90 ~ 50
Time
Average duration 12 yrs
If an insurgency is supported by another state it has a bigger chance in succeeding
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
From States From Non-State Actors None
External Support
Nu
mb
er o
f In
surg
enci
es
Won by Govrsquot
Draw
Lost by Govrsquot
COIN in Afghanistan
ISAF together with coalition forces is conducting a COIN operation in Afghanistan and SWEDEN participate in the Campaign
To succeed in Irregular Warfare
Itacutes hard to coordinate many countries different agencies from outside and some NGOacutes refuse
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
Coordination is best through a HN government It also shows the people it can govern
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
HN Gov
Unified effect
Second effect
Our gov is able
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operate
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
(support) (inhance)
(contain) (defeat)
Attributes of COIN
bull Political primacy a clear political objectivebull The struggle against insurgency is for the population not against the populationbull Relevance of legitimacybull Intelligence and information are crucial for successbull Neutralising insurgency and isolating it from any supportbull Long-term planning and preparing for the campaignbull Establishing a secured environment and acting within the law is essentialbull Transfer leading role to the local forcesbull Adapting the plan to current conditions Learn and adapt
AJP 334 p 47
Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Slide 3
- Slide 4
- Slide 5
- Slide 6
- Slide 7
- Slide 8
- Slide 9
- Slide 10
- Slide 11
- Slide 12
- Slide 13
- Slide 14
- Slide 15
- Slide 16
- Slide 17
- Slide 18
- Slide 19
- Slide 20
- Slide 21
- Slide 22
- Slide 23
- Slide 24
- Slide 25
- Slide 26
- Slide 27
- Slide 28
- Slide 29
- Slide 30
- Slide 31
- Slide 32
- Slide 33
- Slide 34
- Slide 35
- Slide 36
- Slide 37
- Slide 38
- Slide 39
- Slide 40
- Slide 41
- Slide 42
-
WAR
Primitive war
Western ways of warOriental warfare
Irregular warfare
Regular warfare
Partisan war
Guerilla warInsurgency
Terrorism
Stateterrorism
Counterinsurgency - COIN
COIN War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
ldquoThose military paramilitary political economic psychological and civic actions taken by a government to defeat insurgencyrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 and in UK COIN doctrine 07
AJP 344 08 ldquo The set of political economical social military law enforcement civil and psychological activities required to defeat insurgencyrdquo AJP 344 uses this definition that is not in AAP 6
AAP 6 ldquo Those military paramilitary political economic psychological and civil actions taken to defeat insurgencyrdquo
Security Force Roles Police Local MilitaryPolice backed by Local Military Local amp Foreign Militaries
Stage Proto Small-scale Full-blown with External Support Large-scale
Timefactor in COIN
Level of Violence
Probability of COIN Success gt 90 ~ 50
Time
Average duration 12 yrs
If an insurgency is supported by another state it has a bigger chance in succeeding
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
From States From Non-State Actors None
External Support
Nu
mb
er o
f In
surg
enci
es
Won by Govrsquot
Draw
Lost by Govrsquot
COIN in Afghanistan
ISAF together with coalition forces is conducting a COIN operation in Afghanistan and SWEDEN participate in the Campaign
To succeed in Irregular Warfare
Itacutes hard to coordinate many countries different agencies from outside and some NGOacutes refuse
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
Coordination is best through a HN government It also shows the people it can govern
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
HN Gov
Unified effect
Second effect
Our gov is able
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operate
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
(support) (inhance)
(contain) (defeat)
Attributes of COIN
bull Political primacy a clear political objectivebull The struggle against insurgency is for the population not against the populationbull Relevance of legitimacybull Intelligence and information are crucial for successbull Neutralising insurgency and isolating it from any supportbull Long-term planning and preparing for the campaignbull Establishing a secured environment and acting within the law is essentialbull Transfer leading role to the local forcesbull Adapting the plan to current conditions Learn and adapt
AJP 334 p 47
Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Slide 3
- Slide 4
- Slide 5
- Slide 6
- Slide 7
- Slide 8
- Slide 9
- Slide 10
- Slide 11
- Slide 12
- Slide 13
- Slide 14
- Slide 15
- Slide 16
- Slide 17
- Slide 18
- Slide 19
- Slide 20
- Slide 21
- Slide 22
- Slide 23
- Slide 24
- Slide 25
- Slide 26
- Slide 27
- Slide 28
- Slide 29
- Slide 30
- Slide 31
- Slide 32
- Slide 33
- Slide 34
- Slide 35
- Slide 36
- Slide 37
- Slide 38
- Slide 39
- Slide 40
- Slide 41
- Slide 42
-
Counterinsurgency - COIN
COIN War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
ldquoThose military paramilitary political economic psychological and civic actions taken by a government to defeat insurgencyrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 and in UK COIN doctrine 07
AJP 344 08 ldquo The set of political economical social military law enforcement civil and psychological activities required to defeat insurgencyrdquo AJP 344 uses this definition that is not in AAP 6
AAP 6 ldquo Those military paramilitary political economic psychological and civil actions taken to defeat insurgencyrdquo
Security Force Roles Police Local MilitaryPolice backed by Local Military Local amp Foreign Militaries
Stage Proto Small-scale Full-blown with External Support Large-scale
Timefactor in COIN
Level of Violence
Probability of COIN Success gt 90 ~ 50
Time
Average duration 12 yrs
If an insurgency is supported by another state it has a bigger chance in succeeding
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
From States From Non-State Actors None
External Support
Nu
mb
er o
f In
surg
enci
es
Won by Govrsquot
Draw
Lost by Govrsquot
COIN in Afghanistan
ISAF together with coalition forces is conducting a COIN operation in Afghanistan and SWEDEN participate in the Campaign
To succeed in Irregular Warfare
Itacutes hard to coordinate many countries different agencies from outside and some NGOacutes refuse
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
Coordination is best through a HN government It also shows the people it can govern
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
HN Gov
Unified effect
Second effect
Our gov is able
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operate
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
(support) (inhance)
(contain) (defeat)
Attributes of COIN
bull Political primacy a clear political objectivebull The struggle against insurgency is for the population not against the populationbull Relevance of legitimacybull Intelligence and information are crucial for successbull Neutralising insurgency and isolating it from any supportbull Long-term planning and preparing for the campaignbull Establishing a secured environment and acting within the law is essentialbull Transfer leading role to the local forcesbull Adapting the plan to current conditions Learn and adapt
AJP 334 p 47
Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Slide 3
- Slide 4
- Slide 5
- Slide 6
- Slide 7
- Slide 8
- Slide 9
- Slide 10
- Slide 11
- Slide 12
- Slide 13
- Slide 14
- Slide 15
- Slide 16
- Slide 17
- Slide 18
- Slide 19
- Slide 20
- Slide 21
- Slide 22
- Slide 23
- Slide 24
- Slide 25
- Slide 26
- Slide 27
- Slide 28
- Slide 29
- Slide 30
- Slide 31
- Slide 32
- Slide 33
- Slide 34
- Slide 35
- Slide 36
- Slide 37
- Slide 38
- Slide 39
- Slide 40
- Slide 41
- Slide 42
-
COIN War amp Warfare
RegularConventional
Irregular
ldquoThose military paramilitary political economic psychological and civic actions taken by a government to defeat insurgencyrdquo (JP I-02) FM 3-24 and in UK COIN doctrine 07
AJP 344 08 ldquo The set of political economical social military law enforcement civil and psychological activities required to defeat insurgencyrdquo AJP 344 uses this definition that is not in AAP 6
AAP 6 ldquo Those military paramilitary political economic psychological and civil actions taken to defeat insurgencyrdquo
Security Force Roles Police Local MilitaryPolice backed by Local Military Local amp Foreign Militaries
Stage Proto Small-scale Full-blown with External Support Large-scale
Timefactor in COIN
Level of Violence
Probability of COIN Success gt 90 ~ 50
Time
Average duration 12 yrs
If an insurgency is supported by another state it has a bigger chance in succeeding
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
From States From Non-State Actors None
External Support
Nu
mb
er o
f In
surg
enci
es
Won by Govrsquot
Draw
Lost by Govrsquot
COIN in Afghanistan
ISAF together with coalition forces is conducting a COIN operation in Afghanistan and SWEDEN participate in the Campaign
To succeed in Irregular Warfare
Itacutes hard to coordinate many countries different agencies from outside and some NGOacutes refuse
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
Coordination is best through a HN government It also shows the people it can govern
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
HN Gov
Unified effect
Second effect
Our gov is able
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operate
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
(support) (inhance)
(contain) (defeat)
Attributes of COIN
bull Political primacy a clear political objectivebull The struggle against insurgency is for the population not against the populationbull Relevance of legitimacybull Intelligence and information are crucial for successbull Neutralising insurgency and isolating it from any supportbull Long-term planning and preparing for the campaignbull Establishing a secured environment and acting within the law is essentialbull Transfer leading role to the local forcesbull Adapting the plan to current conditions Learn and adapt
AJP 334 p 47
Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Slide 3
- Slide 4
- Slide 5
- Slide 6
- Slide 7
- Slide 8
- Slide 9
- Slide 10
- Slide 11
- Slide 12
- Slide 13
- Slide 14
- Slide 15
- Slide 16
- Slide 17
- Slide 18
- Slide 19
- Slide 20
- Slide 21
- Slide 22
- Slide 23
- Slide 24
- Slide 25
- Slide 26
- Slide 27
- Slide 28
- Slide 29
- Slide 30
- Slide 31
- Slide 32
- Slide 33
- Slide 34
- Slide 35
- Slide 36
- Slide 37
- Slide 38
- Slide 39
- Slide 40
- Slide 41
- Slide 42
-
Security Force Roles Police Local MilitaryPolice backed by Local Military Local amp Foreign Militaries
Stage Proto Small-scale Full-blown with External Support Large-scale
Timefactor in COIN
Level of Violence
Probability of COIN Success gt 90 ~ 50
Time
Average duration 12 yrs
If an insurgency is supported by another state it has a bigger chance in succeeding
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
From States From Non-State Actors None
External Support
Nu
mb
er o
f In
surg
enci
es
Won by Govrsquot
Draw
Lost by Govrsquot
COIN in Afghanistan
ISAF together with coalition forces is conducting a COIN operation in Afghanistan and SWEDEN participate in the Campaign
To succeed in Irregular Warfare
Itacutes hard to coordinate many countries different agencies from outside and some NGOacutes refuse
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
Coordination is best through a HN government It also shows the people it can govern
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
HN Gov
Unified effect
Second effect
Our gov is able
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operate
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
(support) (inhance)
(contain) (defeat)
Attributes of COIN
bull Political primacy a clear political objectivebull The struggle against insurgency is for the population not against the populationbull Relevance of legitimacybull Intelligence and information are crucial for successbull Neutralising insurgency and isolating it from any supportbull Long-term planning and preparing for the campaignbull Establishing a secured environment and acting within the law is essentialbull Transfer leading role to the local forcesbull Adapting the plan to current conditions Learn and adapt
AJP 334 p 47
Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Slide 3
- Slide 4
- Slide 5
- Slide 6
- Slide 7
- Slide 8
- Slide 9
- Slide 10
- Slide 11
- Slide 12
- Slide 13
- Slide 14
- Slide 15
- Slide 16
- Slide 17
- Slide 18
- Slide 19
- Slide 20
- Slide 21
- Slide 22
- Slide 23
- Slide 24
- Slide 25
- Slide 26
- Slide 27
- Slide 28
- Slide 29
- Slide 30
- Slide 31
- Slide 32
- Slide 33
- Slide 34
- Slide 35
- Slide 36
- Slide 37
- Slide 38
- Slide 39
- Slide 40
- Slide 41
- Slide 42
-
If an insurgency is supported by another state it has a bigger chance in succeeding
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
From States From Non-State Actors None
External Support
Nu
mb
er o
f In
surg
enci
es
Won by Govrsquot
Draw
Lost by Govrsquot
COIN in Afghanistan
ISAF together with coalition forces is conducting a COIN operation in Afghanistan and SWEDEN participate in the Campaign
To succeed in Irregular Warfare
Itacutes hard to coordinate many countries different agencies from outside and some NGOacutes refuse
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
Coordination is best through a HN government It also shows the people it can govern
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
HN Gov
Unified effect
Second effect
Our gov is able
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operate
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
(support) (inhance)
(contain) (defeat)
Attributes of COIN
bull Political primacy a clear political objectivebull The struggle against insurgency is for the population not against the populationbull Relevance of legitimacybull Intelligence and information are crucial for successbull Neutralising insurgency and isolating it from any supportbull Long-term planning and preparing for the campaignbull Establishing a secured environment and acting within the law is essentialbull Transfer leading role to the local forcesbull Adapting the plan to current conditions Learn and adapt
AJP 334 p 47
Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
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COIN in Afghanistan
ISAF together with coalition forces is conducting a COIN operation in Afghanistan and SWEDEN participate in the Campaign
To succeed in Irregular Warfare
Itacutes hard to coordinate many countries different agencies from outside and some NGOacutes refuse
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
Coordination is best through a HN government It also shows the people it can govern
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
HN Gov
Unified effect
Second effect
Our gov is able
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operate
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
(support) (inhance)
(contain) (defeat)
Attributes of COIN
bull Political primacy a clear political objectivebull The struggle against insurgency is for the population not against the populationbull Relevance of legitimacybull Intelligence and information are crucial for successbull Neutralising insurgency and isolating it from any supportbull Long-term planning and preparing for the campaignbull Establishing a secured environment and acting within the law is essentialbull Transfer leading role to the local forcesbull Adapting the plan to current conditions Learn and adapt
AJP 334 p 47
Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
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To succeed in Irregular Warfare
Itacutes hard to coordinate many countries different agencies from outside and some NGOacutes refuse
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
Coordination is best through a HN government It also shows the people it can govern
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
HN Gov
Unified effect
Second effect
Our gov is able
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operate
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
(support) (inhance)
(contain) (defeat)
Attributes of COIN
bull Political primacy a clear political objectivebull The struggle against insurgency is for the population not against the populationbull Relevance of legitimacybull Intelligence and information are crucial for successbull Neutralising insurgency and isolating it from any supportbull Long-term planning and preparing for the campaignbull Establishing a secured environment and acting within the law is essentialbull Transfer leading role to the local forcesbull Adapting the plan to current conditions Learn and adapt
AJP 334 p 47
Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
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Itacutes hard to coordinate many countries different agencies from outside and some NGOacutes refuse
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
Coordination is best through a HN government It also shows the people it can govern
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
HN Gov
Unified effect
Second effect
Our gov is able
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operate
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
(support) (inhance)
(contain) (defeat)
Attributes of COIN
bull Political primacy a clear political objectivebull The struggle against insurgency is for the population not against the populationbull Relevance of legitimacybull Intelligence and information are crucial for successbull Neutralising insurgency and isolating it from any supportbull Long-term planning and preparing for the campaignbull Establishing a secured environment and acting within the law is essentialbull Transfer leading role to the local forcesbull Adapting the plan to current conditions Learn and adapt
AJP 334 p 47
Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
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Coordination is best through a HN government It also shows the people it can govern
Land X
Land Y
Land Z
NGOacutes
DIME+S
Failing state with insurgency
HN Gov
Unified effect
Second effect
Our gov is able
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operate
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
(support) (inhance)
(contain) (defeat)
Attributes of COIN
bull Political primacy a clear political objectivebull The struggle against insurgency is for the population not against the populationbull Relevance of legitimacybull Intelligence and information are crucial for successbull Neutralising insurgency and isolating it from any supportbull Long-term planning and preparing for the campaignbull Establishing a secured environment and acting within the law is essentialbull Transfer leading role to the local forcesbull Adapting the plan to current conditions Learn and adapt
AJP 334 p 47
Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
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Attitude
Low High
Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operate
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
(support) (inhance)
(contain) (defeat)
Attributes of COIN
bull Political primacy a clear political objectivebull The struggle against insurgency is for the population not against the populationbull Relevance of legitimacybull Intelligence and information are crucial for successbull Neutralising insurgency and isolating it from any supportbull Long-term planning and preparing for the campaignbull Establishing a secured environment and acting within the law is essentialbull Transfer leading role to the local forcesbull Adapting the plan to current conditions Learn and adapt
AJP 334 p 47
Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
- Slide 1
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Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operate
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
(support) (inhance)
(contain) (defeat)
Attributes of COIN
bull Political primacy a clear political objectivebull The struggle against insurgency is for the population not against the populationbull Relevance of legitimacybull Intelligence and information are crucial for successbull Neutralising insurgency and isolating it from any supportbull Long-term planning and preparing for the campaignbull Establishing a secured environment and acting within the law is essentialbull Transfer leading role to the local forcesbull Adapting the plan to current conditions Learn and adapt
AJP 334 p 47
Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
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Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
(support) (inhance)
(contain) (defeat)
Attributes of COIN
bull Political primacy a clear political objectivebull The struggle against insurgency is for the population not against the populationbull Relevance of legitimacybull Intelligence and information are crucial for successbull Neutralising insurgency and isolating it from any supportbull Long-term planning and preparing for the campaignbull Establishing a secured environment and acting within the law is essentialbull Transfer leading role to the local forcesbull Adapting the plan to current conditions Learn and adapt
AJP 334 p 47
Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Slide 3
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Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
(support) (inhance)
(contain) (defeat)
Attributes of COIN
bull Political primacy a clear political objectivebull The struggle against insurgency is for the population not against the populationbull Relevance of legitimacybull Intelligence and information are crucial for successbull Neutralising insurgency and isolating it from any supportbull Long-term planning and preparing for the campaignbull Establishing a secured environment and acting within the law is essentialbull Transfer leading role to the local forcesbull Adapting the plan to current conditions Learn and adapt
AJP 334 p 47
Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
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Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
(support) (inhance)
(contain) (defeat)
Attributes of COIN
bull Political primacy a clear political objectivebull The struggle against insurgency is for the population not against the populationbull Relevance of legitimacybull Intelligence and information are crucial for successbull Neutralising insurgency and isolating it from any supportbull Long-term planning and preparing for the campaignbull Establishing a secured environment and acting within the law is essentialbull Transfer leading role to the local forcesbull Adapting the plan to current conditions Learn and adapt
AJP 334 p 47
Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Slide 3
- Slide 4
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- Slide 42
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Attitude
Low High
Influence
Co-operateInform
Monitor Influence
(support) (inhance)
(contain) (defeat)
Attributes of COIN
bull Political primacy a clear political objectivebull The struggle against insurgency is for the population not against the populationbull Relevance of legitimacybull Intelligence and information are crucial for successbull Neutralising insurgency and isolating it from any supportbull Long-term planning and preparing for the campaignbull Establishing a secured environment and acting within the law is essentialbull Transfer leading role to the local forcesbull Adapting the plan to current conditions Learn and adapt
AJP 334 p 47
Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Slide 3
- Slide 4
- Slide 5
- Slide 6
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- Slide 39
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- Slide 41
- Slide 42
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Attributes of COIN
bull Political primacy a clear political objectivebull The struggle against insurgency is for the population not against the populationbull Relevance of legitimacybull Intelligence and information are crucial for successbull Neutralising insurgency and isolating it from any supportbull Long-term planning and preparing for the campaignbull Establishing a secured environment and acting within the law is essentialbull Transfer leading role to the local forcesbull Adapting the plan to current conditions Learn and adapt
AJP 334 p 47
Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Slide 3
- Slide 4
- Slide 5
- Slide 6
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- Slide 42
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Discussion
Is it doctrine to make a definition of irregular warfare
If so ndash why is it important
Does Georgia have definitions on irregular warfare How are they
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Slide 3
- Slide 4
- Slide 5
- Slide 6
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