InvestorPresentation · 2021. 6. 21. · Right Meow (10,500’ laterals)-8 Bone Springwells - Avg....
Transcript of InvestorPresentation · 2021. 6. 21. · Right Meow (10,500’ laterals)-8 Bone Springwells - Avg....
NYSE: DVNdevonenergy.com
Investor PresentationJune 2021
2| Investor Presentation
A Leading U.S. Energy Company
ENTERPRISE VALUE: $26 billion (June ‘21)
OIL-WEIGHTED: 76% of revenue (Q1 ‘21)
LOW LEVERAGE: ~1.0x by YE 2021
DEVON ENERGY OVERVIEW
(1) Expected leverage ratio by year-end 2021 assuming $60 WTI pricing.
PREMIER MULTI-BASIN PORTFOLIO
DISCIPLINED RETURNS-DRIVEN STRATEGY
SIGNIFICANT FINANCIAL STRENGTH & LIQUIDITY
PRIORITIZING CASH RETURNS TO SHAREHOLDERS
COMMITTED TO ESG EXCELLENCE
(1)
3| Investor Presentation
Our Cash-Return Business Model
DISCIPLINEDGROWTH STRATEGY
MODERATING OIL GROWTH targets: up to 5% annually
Growing margins through operational & corporate cost reductions
REDUCEDREINVESTMENT RATES
Returns-driven strategy prioritizes FREE CASH FLOW generation
Committed to maintenance capital program in 2021
MAINTAINLOW LEVERAGE
Targeted net debt-to-EBITDAX ratio: 1.0x or less
Strong liquidity & disciplined hedging enhance FINANCIAL STRENGTH
PRIORITIZECASH RETURNS
Deploying free cash flow to dividends & debt reduction
Innovative FIXED-PLUS-VARIABLE dividend strategy
PURSUEESG EXCELLENCE
Performance critical to long-term success of the company
ESG initiatives incorporated into COMPENSATION structure
“Our CASH-RETURN business model is designed to moderate growth, emphasize capital efficiencies, maximize returns and prioritize the return of increasing amounts of cash to shareholders. These principles have positioned Devon to be a PROMINENT
and CONSISTENT builder of economic value through the cycle.”
− Rick Muncrief, President & CEO
COMMITMENTRUNS DEEP
4| Investor Presentation
Executing on Our Disciplined Strategy
Key Uses of Cash in Q1
Debt ReductionCapital Expenditures
Dividend Payments
ALLOCATED TODIVIDENDS &
DEBT REDUCTION
>65%$1.44 Billion
$0.50B
$0.74B
$0.20B
(1)
(1)
Paid industry-first fixed-plus-variable dividend in March
Strengthened balance sheet with $743 MM debt reduction
Limited cash flow reinvestment rate to 64% in Q1
Expanded field-level per-unit margins by 88% (vs. Q1 2020)
Lowered overhead costs by 30% year over year
(1)
(2)
(3) Field-level margins represent oil, gas and NGL sales less production expenses divided by total production. (4) Represents G&A expense compared on a pro forma basis.
(3)
(1) Includes $210 mm of debt that was redeemed on April 10, 2021. (2) Represents operating cash flow (excluding cash restructuring charges of $167 mm) divided by capital expenditures.
(4)
RETURNING VALUE TO SHAREHOLDERSFIRST-QUARTER 2021 HIGHLIGHTS
5| Investor Presentation
On Track to Achieve 2021 Capital Objectives
POWDER RIVERBASIN
ANADARKOBASIN
EAGLEFORD
WILLISTONBASIN
Committed to a maintenance capital program in 2021Oil production (MBOD)
Q2 2021e 2H 2021e FY 2021e
280 – 290>290FY 2020
284 MBOD
283 – 293
Note: 2020 production is pro forma and represents the combined results for legacy Devon and WPX.
DELAWAREBASIN
2021e CAPITAL BUDGET
$1.6-$1.8 Billion(80% ALLOCATED TO DELAWARE)
PRIORITIZING free cash flow generation over volume growth
Activity focused on LOW-RISK development in the Delaware
Supply chain benefiting from enhanced OPERATING SCALE
6| Investor Presentation
Delaware Basin – Our Capital-Efficient Growth Engine
New Mexico
Texas
Loving
WardReeves
Winkler
Eddy Lea
DELIVERING TOP-TIER RESULTS Development focus accelerates efficiencies Oil production increases 19% year over year Danger Noodle project headlines Q1 results
RECEIVING FEDERAL DRILLING PERMITS Dept. of Interior 60-day order lapsed in March >50 drilling permits approved since order lapsed Federal permit inventory: 4 years (~500 permits)
WORLD-CLASS OIL OPPORTUNITY Stacked pay position across 400,000 net acres Diversified acreage: 65% non-federal land Multi-decade inventory opportunity Danger Noodle (10,000’ laterals)
- 4 Wolfcamp wells - Avg. IP30: 5,100 BOED/well
PROLIFIC UPPERWOLFCAMP DEVELOPMENT
Thoroughbred (7,100’ laterals)- 2 of 11 Wolfcamp wells(2)
- Avg. IP30: 4,200 BOED/well
STRONG INITIAL RESULTSFROM UPPER WOLFCAMP
TOP Q1 2021 PROJECTSAVG. IP30: 3,400 BOED (~70% OIL)
Right Meow (10,500’ laterals)- 8 Bone Spring wells- Avg. IP30: 2,400 BOED/well
HIGH-RETURNBONE SPRING DEVELOPMENT
(1) As of May 4, 2021. (2) Due to timing, only 2 wells attained 30-day peak rates in Q1.
- 2 frac crews running- Positive impact to Q2 volumes
STATELINE AREAUPCOMING ACTIVITY
(1)
7| Investor Presentation
Operations Scaled to Generate Free Cash Flow
$50 WTI $60 WTI $70 WTI
9%FREE CASH FLOW
YIELD
12%FREE CASH FLOW
YIELD
15%FREE CASH FLOW
YIELD
FUTURE UPSIDE
2021 OUTLOOK Based on mid-point guidance Burdened by restructuring costs
25%
Note: Free cash flow yield represents operating cash flow, excluding changes in working capital, less total capital divided by market capitalization. Assumes Devon’s market capitalization as of April 30, 2021. Also assumes $2.75 Henry Hub & NGL realizations at 40% of WTI.(1) Represents a maintenance capital scenario assuming current service cost environment.
20%
15%
OIL PRODUCTION: 280-290 MBOD
UPSTREAM CAPITAL: $1.6-$1.8 B
COMMITTED TOMAINTENANCE CAPITAL Excludes commodity hedges
100% upfront cost synergies
(1)
(FY 2021 OUTLOOK)
8| Investor Presentation
Free Cash Flow Priorities
STEP 1: VARIABLE DIVIDEND CALCULATIONAdjusted Cash Flow (Non-GAAP)
− Capital Expenditures (Accrued)
Adjusted Free Cash Flow
− Fixed Quarterly Dividend
Excess Free Cash Flow× Up to 50% Payout (Board Discretion)
Variable Dividend
STEP 2: PAID QUARTERLY IF BELOW CRITERIA METCash Balance: >$500 millionStrong Balance Sheet & Leverage RatiosConstructive Commodity Price Outlook
FIXED DIVIDEND Paid quarterly at $0.11 per share Target payout: up to 10% of operating cash flow
VARIABLE DIVIDEND Calculated on a quarterly basis Up to 50% of excess free cash flow
DEBT REDUCTION PROGRAM $1.5 billion reduction program underway Net debt-to-EBITDAX target: 1.0x or less
SHARE REPURCHASES Potential for opportunistic share repurchases
VARIABLE DIVIDEND STRATEGYCALCULATED ON A QUARTERLY BASIS
Note: Adjusted cash flow represents operating cash flow before balance sheet changes.
9| Investor Presentation
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021e
Accelerating Cash Returns to Shareholders
A history of returning cash to shareholders(Dividends per share)
$0.24
FIXED + VARIABLE DIVIDEND
$0.30$0.35
$0.68
(BASED ON Q1 FINANCIAL RESULTS)
FOR Q1 VARIABLE DIVIDEND CALCULATION (SEE PG. 16 FOR DETAILS)
CONSECUTIVEYEARS28
OF DIVIDEND PAYMENTS
FIXED
VARIABLE(>10% CAGR SINCE 1993)
FIXED DIVIDEND $0.11 PER SHARE
VARIABLE DIVIDEND $0.23 PER SHARE
TOTAL PAYOUT $0.34 PER SHARE
RECORD DATE: JUNE 14, 2021 PAYABLE DATE: JUNE 30, 2021
FIXED
SPECIAL
($0.42/share)($0.44/share)
($0.26/share)
10| Investor Presentation
An Advantaged Dividend with Sustainable Growth
COP EOG FANG OVV S&P 500 XEC PXD APA MRO Nasdaq CLR
1.5%
(1) Assumes $60 WTI and 50% of excess cash flow (adjusted free cash flow less fixed dividends) is paid through a variable dividend. All dividends require board approval.
0.6%
1.7%2.2%
Note: Assumes Devon’s market capitalization as of April 30, 2021. Peer data sourced from FactSet as of April 30, 2021.
0.5%
Differentiated yield opportunity vs. peers & broader market2021e dividend yield based on midpoint guidance
0.6%
1.5%1.5%2.0%
3.4%
Significant CASH FLOW UPSIDE with higher commodity prices
Merger cost synergies to substantially EXPAND MARGINS
INVENTORY DEPTH provides long-term growth optionality
DEVON POSITIONED FORSUSTAINABLE GROWTH
0.0%
FIXED
>7%(1)
VARIABLE
11| Investor Presentation
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
$485$242
$463$325$472
Liquidity
$585
Improving Our Investment-Grade Financial Position
Credit Facility
Substantial debt reduction completed year to dateOutstanding debt maturities through 2030 ($MM)
Reduced outstanding debt by $1,243 million year to date
Net debt to EBITDAX on track to reach 1.0x by year end
~60% of outstanding debt matures after 2030
>2 YEARS UNTIL INITIAL
MATURITY
(3/31/21)
$4,900
Cash$1,900
$3,000
DEBT REDUCTIONPROGRAM UNDERWAY
$1.5B
DEBT REDUCTION IN 2021
Note: 2027 notes are callable in Q3 2022.
12| Investor Presentation
$200 MILLION
Raising Annual Cost Savings Target to $600 Million
GENERAL & ADMINISTRATIVE
D&C EFFICIENCIES
$75 MILLION
OPERATING MARGINIMPROVEMENTS $200 MILLION
FINANCINGCOSTS
>50%
Cost synergies to exceed original savings targetTargeted annual cost savings by area ($MM)
(1) Includes benefits of cost savings captured in the second half of 2020 from legacy Devon operations. (2) Represents interest savings from the $743 mm of debt redeemed year-to-date and $500 mm of notes callable in Q2 2021.
(2)
(1)
(1)
70%
60%
70%
$2.5BILLION(OVER NEXT 5 YEARS)
~15% OF MARKET CAP REFLECTED IN2021 OUTLOOK
EXPECTED RUN-RATEBY YEAR-END 2021
PV-10 COST SAVINGS
$125 MILLION( $25 MM VS. PRIOR TARGET)+
13| Investor Presentation
Committed to Aggressive Emissions Reductions
“We know that STRONG ENVIRONMENTAL
PERFORMANCE IS ESSENTIAL to protecting
the communities in which we live and
operate, managing risk, and generating
long-term value for stakeholders. DEVON
IS SETTING AGGRESSIVE GOALS to lower its
carbon impact, while continuing to
return value to shareholders. We know
the need for oil and gas will remain for
decades, but as good stewards, it is
INCUMBENT ON US TO IMPROVE how we
produce and deliver it.”
– Rick Muncrief, President & CEO
ENVIRONMENTAL PERFORMANCE TARGETS
50GHG EMISSIONS INTENSITYSCOPE 1 & 2
%REDUCTION BY 2030
65METHANE EMISSIONS INTENSITY
%REDUCTION BY 2030
VALUE CHAIN ENGAGEMENT
ANNUALASSESSMENTOF DEVONCONTRACTORSIN KEY ESGPERFORMANCEAREAS BY 2023
ESG90NON-FRESHWATER USAGE
%ORMORE
FOR COMPLETIONS INMOST ACTIVE DELAWAREBASIN OPERATING AREAS
GHG EMISSIONS FORSCOPE 1 & 2 BY 2050
OF GROSS NATURAL GASPRODUCED BY 2025
0FLARING INTENSITY
.5ROUTINE FLARING
COMPLETELY BY 2030
%ORLOWER
GHG EMISSIONSSCOPE 1 & 2
NET ZERO
ELIMINATE
14| Investor Presentation
Why Own the Go-Forward Devon?
PREMIER MULTI-BASIN PORTFOLIO
DISCIPLINED RETURNS-DRIVEN STRATEGY
SIGNIFICANT FINANCIAL STRENGTH & LIQUIDITY
PRIORITIZING CASH RETURNS TO SHAREHOLDERS
COMMITTED TO ESG EXCELLENCE
NYSE: DVNdevonenergy.com
Asset OverviewAppendix
16| Investor Presentation
Q1 2021 – Variable Dividend Calculation
VARIABLE DIVIDEND CALCULATION
$886 MM – Adjusted Cash Flow (Non-GAAP)
− $487 MM – Capital Expenditures (Accrued)
$399 MM – Adjusted Free Cash Flow (Non-GAAP)
− $76 MM – Fixed Quarterly Dividend ($0.11/share)
$323 MM – Excess Free Cash Flow× 48% Payout (Board Discretion: Up to 50%)
$155 MM – Variable Dividend ($0.23/share)
VARIABLE DIVIDEND DISTRIBUTION DETAILS
PAYABLE on June 30, 2021
SHAREHOLDERS of record on June 14, 2021
Note: Adjusted cash flow represents operating cash flow ($592 mm) before balance sheet changes (-$127 mm) excluding cash restructuring charges (-$167 mm). See Devon’s first-quarter 2021 earnings materials for more details regarding the variable dividend calculation.
SECOND CONSECUTIVE VARIABLE DIVIDEND DECLARED
17| Investor Presentation
Delaware Basin – Operating Efficiencies Advance
DEVELOPMENT FOCUSACCELERATES EFFICIENCIES
Achieving capital efficiencies…Development D&C costs per foot (excludes facilities)
2018 2019 2020 Q1 2021
$940
$846
$614
$53443%
IMPROVEMENT
Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020 Q4 2020 Q1 2021
$32.07
$17.72
81%IMPROVEMENT
Delivering margin expansionField-level operating margin ($/BOE)
Reducing field level costs…LOE & GP&T per Boe (pro forma)
Q1 2020 Q1 2021
11%YEAR OVER YEARↆ
$6.80
$7.61
18| Investor Presentation
Anadarko Basin – Dow Drilling JV Commenced
Commenced Dow JV drilling program in Q1 2021
$100 MILLION drilling carry on 133 undrilled locations
JV operating costs benefit from midstream incentive rates
Margins EXPANDING from exposure to rising NGL prices
Blaine
Canadian
Kingfisher
Caddo
SIGNIFICANT ACREAGEPOSITION
300K ACRESNET
Cash flows benefit from liquids-rich production mixAnadarko production mix & Mt. Belvieu price ($/barrel)
Q2 2020 Q3 2020 Q4 2020 Q1 2021
2XIMPROVEMENT
$12.57
$16.69
$20.01
2021 Program Overview 2 operated rigs running Expect to spud 25-30 wells IRR competitive with Delaware
DOW DRILLING JVFOCUS AREA
GAS
>$25.81
OIL
>30% NGL
TOP-TIER LIQUIDS-RICH RESOURCE PLAY
19| Investor Presentation
Investor Contacts & Notices
Forward-Looking StatementsThis communication includes “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the federal securities laws. Such statements include those concerning strategic plans, our expectations and objectives for future operations, as well as other future events or conditions, and are often identified by use of the words and phrases “expects,” “believes,” “will,” “would,” “could,” “continue,” “may,” “aims,” “likely to be,” “intends,” “forecasts,” “projections,” “estimates,” “plans,” “expectations,” “targets,” “opportunities,” “potential,” “anticipates,” “outlook” and other similar terminology. All statements, other than statements of historical facts, included in this communication that address activities, events or developments that Devon expects, believes or anticipates will or may occur in the future are forward-looking statements. Such statements are subject to a number of assumptions, risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond our control. Consequently, actual future results could differ materially and adversely from our expectations due to a number of factors, including, but not limited to: the volatility of oil, gas and NGL prices; risks relating to the COVID-19 pandemic or other future pandemics; uncertainties inherent in estimating oil, gas and NGL reserves; the extent to which we are successful in acquiring and discovering additional reserves; the uncertainties, costs and risks involved in our operations, including as a result of employee misconduct; regulatory
Investor Notices
restrictions, compliance costs and other risks relating to governmental regulation, including with respect to environmental matters; risks related to regulatory, social and market efforts to address climate change; risks related to our hedging activities; counterparty credit risks; risks relating to our indebtedness; cyberattack risks; our limited control over third parties who operate some of our oil and gas properties; midstream capacity constraints and potential interruptions in production; the extent to which insurance covers any losses we may experience; competition for assets, materials, people and capital; risks related to investors attempting to effect change; our ability to successfully complete mergers, acquisitions and divestitures; risks related to the recent merger with WPX, including the risk that we may not realize the anticipated benefits of the merger or successfully integrate the two legacy businesses; and any of the other risks and uncertainties discussed in Devon’s 2020 Annual Report on Form 10-K (the “2020 Form 10-K”) or other SEC filings.
The forward-looking statements included in this communication speak only as of the date of this communication, represent currentreasonable management’s expectations as of the date of this communication and are subject to the risks and uncertainties identified above as well as those described in the 2020 Form 10-K and in other documents we file from time to time with the SEC. We cannot guarantee the accuracy of our forward-looking statements, and readers are urged to carefully review and consider the various disclosures made in the 2020 Form 10-K and in other documents we file from time to time with the SEC. All subsequent written and oral forward-looking statements attributable to Devon, or persons acting on its behalf, are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements above. We do not undertake, and expressly disclaim, any duty to update or revise our forward-looking statements based on new information, future events or otherwise.
Use of Non-GAAP InformationThis presentation may include non-GAAP (generally accepted accounting principles) financial measures. Such non-GAAP measures are not alternatives to GAAP measures, and you should not consider these non-GAAP measures in isolation or as a substitute for analysis of our results as reported under GAAP. For additional disclosure regarding such non-GAAP measures, including reconciliations to their most directly comparable GAAP measure, please refer to Devon’s first-quarter 2021 earnings materials and related Form 10-Q filed with the SEC.
Investor Relations Contacts
Scott Coody Chris CarrVP, Investor Relations Manager, Investor Relations405-552-4735 405-228-2496
Email: [email protected]