Introduction to Thomas Cook Group
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Transcript of Introduction to Thomas Cook Group
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Thomas Cook Group
An Introduction
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Leading Global Travel Group
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Page 3Page 3Page 3
A leading global travel group
Industry leading margins and focused on cash generation
Leading portfolio of travel brands
No 1 or 2 in our core markets
Flexible asset light business model
Strategy to deliver top line and margin growth
Experienced management team
Who we are
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Key facts
21%
21
415m (4.5%)
9.3b
EBIT (margin)
Source markets
Passengers
Retail outlets
Aircraft
Shareholder structure
Employees
22m
3,400
94
100% Free float
31,000
Revenue
Online bookings
FY 2009
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Strong portfolio of travel brands
Global umbrella brand
Major local brands
Other local brands
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Our Strategy
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Our strategy continues to serve us well
Strategic objectivesStrengthening our business and investing for growth
Financial rigourBrandsCustomer insightTechnology
Resultsorientated
Obsessed withcustomer service
United as one team Driving robustdecisions
Pioneering ourfuture
Values
Product
Enablers
Become aleading
independenttravel provider
Becomethe leading
travel-relatedfinancialservicesprovider
Capturegrowth and
value throughM&A and
partnerships
Maximisevalue of
mainstream
Growth dr ivers
Vision
P R O U D
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There is top line growth in our model
Mainstream
travel
Independent
travel
Financial Services
Mergers & Acquisitions
New high growth and/or high margin markets (e.g. BRIC markets)
Bolt-on/ consolidation opportunities
Continued growth from completed acquisitions
Travel-related financial services
New markets and product line extensions
Maximising distribution and cross-sell opportunities
Independent travel
OTA market
Online third party largely a new market for TCG
Greater wholesale distribution to third party agents
Growth of scheduled packages (e.g. Thomas Cook Signature)
Mainstream travel
ASP increases from better product mix and pricing activities
Share gain from smaller operators
Channel shift into faster growing online channel
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We also have a large cost base to go after
Cost of providing tourism services Operating expenses
Other Opex
Accommodation
Personnel
Aviation excl. fuel
Fuel
Commission/ Other
Commission & Other
Greater control of distribution and commission rate reductions
Reduced agent costs in-destination
Aviation and fuel
Better buying of aviation services across the Group
Best practice sharing between airlines e.g. on fuel efficiency
Accommodation costs
Better buying process and use of Group buying power
Co-ordination of activities and best practice sharing
Operating expenses
Operating leverage; spread fixed costs over higher volumes
Adopt a common approach to airline, personnel, IT etc.
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Medium term margin growth potential
+ + +
Total 100-150 bps
+ + + + +
= = = = =
110-130 bps 130-150 bps 10-20 bps N/A ~(150) bps
Mainstream
travel
Independent
travel
Financial
servicesM&A Margin pressure
Cost efficienciesEuropean OTA
growthForex growth
Market
developmentNew acquisitions
Distribution gainsImproved cross-
sell ratesWholesale growth
ASP and trading
margin growth
New product
launchesExecution risk
Scheduled
package growth
Disposals of
non-core assets
Note: Basis points improvement applies to total Group medium term revenue
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Our Marketplace
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Our core markets account for ~30% of global travel spend
Leisure
CorporateCorporate
Leisure
Leisure
Corporate
Canada UK
GermanyFrance
Belgium
NetherlandsNordics
Note: Excludes spend on food, drink, fuel, entertainment, shopping, etc;
These ten markets
account for over 90% of total Group revenues; Sweden Norway, Finland, Denmark
Source: UNWTO; Euromonitor, Thomas Cook Management analysis and estimates
Thomas Cook core markets
Japan
3.0%
25.8%
Other
Europe
24.4%
Rest of
World
22.1%
US
8.4%
BRICs
8.7%
Canada
2.8%
Nordics
4.8%
World leisure travel market
820bn
Netherlands,
UK, Belgium,
France, Germany
Thomas Cook core markets Other markets
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Travel intermediary
Thomas Cook Group focus
Travel intermediaries
Intermediaries between capacity suppliers and consumers
Direct suppliers
Asset owners supplying capacity direct to consumers or intermediaries
Mainstream
travelPre-packaged
holidays, primarilycharter packages
Independent
travelIndividual components
or dynamicallycreated packages
Travel-related
Financial ServicesTravel money
Travel assuranceTravel finance
+ +
Asset light
Asset heavy
Leisure travel market
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Leisure travel market 2009
Our market place in 2009
Travel market Travel intermediary market
Mainstream travel
Independent travel
Financial Services
274b 96b
Source: Euromonitor
Thomas Cook definition
Travel
Intermediaries96b
Direct Suppliers
178b
Other 9b
Fly-drive 7b
City break 7b
Accom only 11bFlight only 22b
Cruise 6b
Package
holiday 29b
FS 5b
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Online growth will be faster than offline
Offline 72b
Online 34b
FS 5b
68b
24b
4b
2009 2014
7.3%
Online as a %: 25% 31%
96b
110b
1.1%
2.8%
1.1%
TCG market
share FY09
~6%
~11%
~9%
CAGR
(09-14)Travel intermediary market
Note:
Growth rates are real growth; TCG market share figures are management estimates
Source: Euromonitor
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Our Business by Segment
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Turkey
No.1 50% share
Egypt
No.2 39% share
Tunisia
No.1
60% share
Thomas Cook UK
Note: NB
narrow body; WB
wide body
Product mix
focus on higher margin
Highly integrated and higher margin business
Distribution
Controlled distribution:
~80%
Retail outlets: 796
In-house flyingThomas Cook airline
c.92%
Aircraft:
summer
33 NB, 11 WB
winter
27 NB, 10 WB
Accommodation
Exclusive & differentiated
c.40%
Drivers of margin performance
Strong retail, travel and foreign exchange brand
Flexibility in capacity and destination
Focus on higher margin products:
Medium haul, 4* & 5* and all inclusive
Exclusive and differentiated
Focus on destination castles
Yield management improvements
Growing strong independent Travel proposition
Strengthening financial services position
Capacity (%) FY09 FY08
Medium haul 72% 65%4* and 5* 45% 41%
Al l inc lusive 41% 31%
Destination castles
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Distribution
Controlled distribution:
84%
Internet distribution 54%
Retail outlets:
11
In-house flyingThomas Cook airline
c.85%
Aircraft:
summer
8 NB, 3 WB
winter
8 NB, 4 WB
Accommodation
Concept hotels
25%
Exclusive hotels
90%
Majorca
No.1 50% share
Gran Canaria
No.1 45% share
Tenerife
No.1
40% share
Rhodes
No.1
35% share
Antalya
No.1
25% share
Thomas Cook Northern Europe
Product mix
focus on higher margin
Highly integrated and highest margin business Drivers of margin performance
Leading market position and No.1 brands
Stable, rational market
Volume concentrated to destinations where most
Nordic customers travel
Unique concept hotels (40% higher margin)
Growth of online bookings (FY09: 54%, FY08 46%)
Controlled distribution (FY09: 83%, FY08: 79%)
On board tax free sales
Most cost efficient aircraft
Capacity (%) FY09 FY08
4* and 5* 49% 48%Of which
Concept hotels
27% 26%
Destination castles
Note:Based on hotel utilisation
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Thomas Cook Central Europe
Product mix
focus on higher margin
Asset light business
Distribution
Controlled distribution:
27%
Internet distribution:
7%
Retail outlets: 1254(1054 franchise)
Transport
Condor
43% of flight holidays
Car
33% of holidays
Accommodation
Exclusive hotels
24%
Drivers of margin performance
Strong brand awareness -
Neckermann
Improving retail positioning
Dynamic packaging
Flexibility in capacity and destination
Focus on differentiated product:
Links to 300 concept hotels
Strategic partnerships (Sentido, Iberostar)
Consolidation opportunities
Total Capacity (%) FY09 FY08
4* and 5* 64% 64%Al l inc lusive 32% 32%
Exclusive hotels 24% 25%
Outbound destination castles
Balearics
No.1 32% share (S10)
Canaries
No.2 24% share (S10)
Turkey
No.2
13% share (S10)
Egypt
No.2
14% share (W09/10)
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Thomas Cook West/ East Europe
Product mix
focus on higher margin
Partially integrated, diverse businesses
Distribution
Controlled distribution:
51%
Internet distribution:
13%
Retail outlets: 1,102
(528 franchise)
In-house flying
Belgium only
58% of flight holidays
Aircraft: 6 NB
Car
42% of holidays
AccommodationDifferentiated & Exclusive hotels
42%
Drivers of margin performance
Brand strength in all markets
Flexibility in capacity and destination
Focus on higher margin products:
Differentiated hotels
Increasing exclusive content
Belgium
benefit of high vertical integration
France
transformative acquisition (Jet Tours)
Capacity (%) FY09 FY08
4* and 5* 64% 63%
Al l inc lusive 36% 34%
Outbound destination castles
Belgium France Netherlands
Antalya 29% 14% 15%Djerba 40% 23% 21%
Monastir 30% 23% 19%
Crete 42% 13% 20%
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Distribution
Controlled distribution:
14%
Internet distribution:
38%
Retail outlets: 52
In-house flying
Thomas Cook airline
49%
Aircraft:
winter
8 WB
summer
-
AccommodationDifferentiated and exclusive hotels
70%
Thomas Cook North America
Independent destination trends (% of volume)
Mainstream -
partially integrated Drivers of margin performance
Year round profitable volume
Product differentiation (hotel exclusivity)
Group buying power
Continual aircraft utilization improvements
Service excellence and cost leadership
Responsible capacity growth
Strong brands, including TC brand (Jan 2011)
Independent strength, less reliant on mainstream
Mainstream destination trends (% of volume)
Mexico - 40%
Dominican Republic -
21%
Cuba - 25%
USA -
70%
Europe -
10%
Sun destinations -
13%
Note: NB
narrow body; WB
wide body
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Thomas Cook Airlines Germany
Condor business model
Sales split by Sold sales (%)
Sold Seats FY09: 5.9m
Aircraft: 25 narrow-body
9 wide-body
Airport bases:
10
Average load factor FY09: 87.1%
Daily block hours/aircraft FY09:
10.8
Summer season weekly flights: >350
S10 destinations: 28 continental
29 intercontinental
Most frequented destinations: Palma de Mallorca
(80 flights per week)Antalya
(60 flights per week)
Operating statistics
20% 32%21%
33%
59%35%
FY04 FY09
Seat only 3P tour operator TC TO
Strong, profitable stand alone airline
Arms length transactions with German TO
Balanced seat sales allow optimum yields
Low cost base, ongoing efficiency programmes(airline synergies)
Concentrated airport hubs (reduced from
22 to 10)
No. 1 leisure carrier in Frankfurt
Peak airport slots
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Financial Overview
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Group financials
7,879
8,754
9,269
FY 07 FY 08 FY 09
244366
4153.1
4.24.5
FY 07 FY 08 FY 09
17.1
24.126.4
9.75 10.75
FY 07 FY 08 FY 09
274294
205
FY 07 FY 08 FY 09
Revenue - m EBIT (m) and margin (%)
progressive dividend policy
payout 40-50% EPS*
EPS*and DPS (p)
Operating cash flow** (m)
30 Sep 2007
394
30 Sep 2008
(292)
30 Sep 2009
(675)
Net cash/(debt) (m)
+9%CAGR
Revenue (m)
+30%CAGR
* pre-exceptional EPS
** Definition: cash generated by operations
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Segment financials
Segment Revenue % Revenue EBIT EBIT
margin
% EBIT **
UK and Ireland,
India and Middle East3,098m
2008: 3,097m
162m
2008: 143m
5.2%
2008: 4.6%
Continental Europe 4,000m
2008: 3,620m
127m
2008: 106m
3.2%
2008: 2.9%
Northern Europe 1,059m
2008: 972m
86m
2008: 86m
8.2%
2008: 8.9%
North America 370m
2008: 384m
18m
2008: 6m
4.8%
2008: 1.6%
Airlines Germany 1,061m
2008: 978m
47m
2008: 45m
4.5%
2008: 4.6%
36.8%
28.8%
19.6%
4.1%
10.7%
33.4%
43.2%
11.4%
4.0%
8.0%*
* The percentage of Group revenue for Airlines Germany has been calculated using the external revenue figure of 741m.
** The contribution to Group has been based on the profit from operations figure of 441m, which excludes corporate costs of 26m.