Introduction to Bell Shaped Curve

Click here to load reader

download Introduction to Bell Shaped Curve

of 11

description

 

Transcript of Introduction to Bell Shaped Curve

  • 1. An Introduction to the Bell Curve

2. What Is a Bell Curve? To be technical, the kinds of bell curves that we care aboutthe most in statistics are actually called normal probability distributions. For what follows well just assume the bell curves were talking about are normal probability distributions. Despite the name bell curve, these curves are not defined by their shape. Instead an intimidating looking formulais used as the formal definition for bell curves. But we really dont need to worry too much about the formula. The only two numbers that we care about in it are the mean and standard deviation. The bell curve for a given set of data has center located at the mean. This is where the highest point of the curve or top of the bell is located. A data sets standard deviation determines how spread out our bell curve is. The larger the standard deviation, the more spread out the curve. 3. Important Features of a Bell Curve There are several features of bell curves that are important and distinguishes them from other curves in statistics: A bell curve has one mode, which coincides withthe mean and median. This is the center of the curve where it is at its highest. A bell curve is symmetric. If it were folded along a vertical line at the mean, both halves would match perfectly because they are mirror images of each other. 4. A bell curve follows the 68-95-99.7 rule, which provides a convenient way to carry out estimated calculations: Approximately 68% of all of the data lies within onestandard deviation of the mean. Approximately 95% of all the data is within two standard deviations of the mean. Approximately 99.7% of the data is within three standard deviations of the mean. 5. Practical Applications of the Bell Shaped Curve 6. So how DID that happen? You get an F- on a paper and the teacher stands up in class and announces, "I grade on the curve - deal with it." What does it mean to "grade on the curve"? Do you remember standard deviation? the empirical rule? the standard normal distribution? A short review is below: The standard deviation is a measure of how closely grouped or how widely spaced a set of data appears. The empirical rule says in a standard normal distribution, 68% of the data points will fall within one standard deviation from the mean and 95% will fall within two standard deviations. 7. Below is an example of a bell shaped curve. Let's say a teacher gives a test to a class of studentsand the mean (or average) score is 80 and the standard deviation is 5. According to the empirical rule, 68% of the students should fall within one standard deviation of the mean. If you look at the curve, those students will get C's (C is meant to show "average performance". Move out to two standard deviations away from the mean, and you have theB's to the right and the D's to the left. Move out to three standard deviations from the mean and you have the A's to the right and the F's to the left. 8. You can set it up as a grading scale: 100 - 91 = A 90 - 85 = B 84 - 76 = C 75 - 70 = D 69 - 00 = F The key to grading on the curve means you will always have at least one A and one F and the majority of a class will be C's. And the issue of someone "blowing the curve"? It means a student gets such a high score that the rest of the curve will be skewed to the right, meaning the range for C's and D's will be much higher than the usual 60 70%. 9. Say you are in a class of 17 students and themean and standard deviation follow the curve above. 17 x 68% = 11.56 or 12 students will get a C and B's, D's, A's and F's will be spread among 5 students. Depending on the instructor's preferences, usually it works out to one F, one A, two B's and one D. Not much chance of improving your gradepoint average!