Interim results - about.sainsburys.co.uk/media/Files/S/... · Supermarket extensions Refurbishments...

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Interim results 2012/13 1

Transcript of Interim results - about.sainsburys.co.uk/media/Files/S/... · Supermarket extensions Refurbishments...

Page 1: Interim results - about.sainsburys.co.uk/media/Files/S/... · Supermarket extensions Refurbishments New convenience stores Gross new space Closures: Replacement stores/closures 1

Interim results 2012/13

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Page 2: Interim results - about.sainsburys.co.uk/media/Files/S/... · Supermarket extensions Refurbishments New convenience stores Gross new space Closures: Replacement stores/closures 1

David Tyler Chairman

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John Rogers Chief Financial Officer

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Group performance Highlights

Underlying results

Sales (inc VAT)

Sales (inc VAT, ex fuel)

Operating profit

Net finance costs

Share of JV profits

Profit before tax

Tax rate

Basic EPS

Interim dividend per share Statutory results

Items excluded from underlying results

Profit before tax

H1

2012/13 £m

H1

2011/12 £m

Change %

%

p

p

%

p

p

(1)

Underlying basic earnings per share (1)

12,848

396

(57)

15

354

26.6

13.9

4.5

41

395

4

13,365

412

(59)

20

373

23.6

15.2

4.8

32

405

4.0

4.1

4.0

(3.5)

33.3

5.4

300

9.4

6.7

(22.0)

2.5

bps

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Retailing Continued sales outperformance

2012/13 FY Guidance

LFLs in H2 similar to those in H1

Contribution from net new store space (excluding extensions and replacements) just above 2% for the FY

Sales excluding fuel and including VAT

LFL outperformance to market

Contribution from extensions 0.8%(2)

LFL sales growth

Sales from net new space

Total sales growth

Up 1.7% 2.4% 4.1%

(1) (1)

5

Net of disruptions

(1)

(2)

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Retailing Good improvement in underlying profit

bp

bp

bp

Sales (inc VAT, inc fuel)

(ex VAT, inc fuel)

Underlying EBITDAR

Underlying EBITDAR margin %

at constant fuel prices

Underlying operating profit

Underlying operating margin %

at constant fuel prices

Change %

12,848

11,693

896

7.66

396

3.39

6

H1

2011/12 £m

H1

2012/13 £m

13,365

12,160

930

7.65

412

3.39

4.0

4.0

3.8

(1)

1

4.0

-

1

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Retailing Cost inflation of just under 3% offset by around £60m of savings

2012/13 FY Guidance

Cost inflation towards the upper end of 2-3% range

Savings of around £100m

7

0 50 100

2012/13

2011/12

2010/11

2009/10

2008/09 100

145

100

105

100

Annual operating cost savings (£m)

Operating cost savings of around £60m in H1

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Joint Ventures Continued strong delivery

Sainsbury’s Bank Property joint ventures

Sainsbury’s Bank

Property joint ventures

7

8

2012/13 FY Guidance

Sainsbury’s Bank – to contribute a similar run rate of profit in H2 (FY 2011/12: £16m)

Property JVs – expect a similar level of profit (FY 2011/12: £16m)

H1 2012/13

£m

H1 2011/12

£m

8

12

8

Lending and insurance new business volumes are up c.30%

Bad debt levels have continued to reduce

Profits similar to last year

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Capitalised interest £20m (2011/12: £19m)

57

7.2

3.0

x

x

2012/13 FY Guidance

Underlying net finance costs expected to be around £0-5m higher than FY 2011/12

Change %

H1 2012/13

£m

H1 2011/12

£m

Net interest cost

Net interest cover

Fixed charge cover

9

59

7.3

3.0

(3.5)

1.4

-

x

x

Underlying finance costs Lower than guided

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Items excluded from underlying results

c.5.0% yield (March 2012: c.5.0%)

Profit on disposal of properties

Investment property fair value movements

Financing fair value movements

Pensions accounting

One-off items

Total

39

3

(10)

9

-

41

H1 2011/12

£m

10

48

(1)

(11)

(1)

(3)

32

H1 2012/13

£m

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Retailing Margins and returns

Not fuel adjusted

12 month rolling earnings before interest and tax divided by average shareholder funds and net debt

(2)

(1)

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Overall returns in line with plans

0 5

2012/13

2011/12

2010/11

2009/10

2008/09

Underlying EBITDAR margin (half year) % (1) Underlying operating margin (half year) %

(1)

0 2

2012/13

2011/12

2010/11

2009/10

2008/09 7.55

7.72

7.74

7.66

7.65

3.13

3.28

3.36

3.39

3.39

Return on capital employed % (2)

0 5 10

2012/13

2011/12

2010/11

2009/10

2008/09 9.0

10.4

11.2

10.9

10.9

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Growing space Delivering space growth plans

As at March 2012

Openings:

New/replacement supermarkets

Supermarket extensions

Refurbishments

New convenience stores

Gross new space Closures:

Replacement stores/closures

Net new space

As at October 2012

Stores ‘000 sq ft

1.7%

1.6%

c.19k sq ft average size

Store development

1,012

5

3

14

49

(3)

1,063

20,347

178

56

12

105

351

(30)

321

20,668

1 supermarket/2 convenience

c.36k sq ft average size

2012/13 FY Guidance

Expect to deliver around 5% gross space growth

Expect to open 1-2 convenience stores per week

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Growing space and creating property value Maximising our property profits

Significant property portfolio, valued at £11.2bn

- £141m added due to investment and development of assets

- £128m of cash proceeds from sale and leasebacks(1)

Strong delivery of property profits through sale and leasebacks

13

48

83

108

27

57

131

303

275

131

219

2012/13 H1

2011/12

2010/11

2009/10

2008/09

Property proceeds and profits (£m)

11.2

11.2

10.5

9.8

7.5

2012/13 H1

2011/12

2010/11

2009/10

2008/09

Market value of properties (£bn)

Property proceeds

Property profits (1) £128m from sale and leasebacks and £3m from other disposal proceeds

(1)

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2012/13 FY Guidance

Full year core capital expenditure of around £1bn

Step up in refurbishments and IT capital spend, investing in the future

Capital expenditure Core capital expenditure reduced in line with guidance

14

Core capital expenditure

Acquisition of freehold properties

Net disposal proceeds(1)

Net capital expenditure

H1 2012/13

£m

682

3

(129)

556

H1 2011/12

£m

576

42

(131)

487

(1) £128m from sale and leasebacks and £3m from other disposal proceeds

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Growing space Investing in our supermarket estate

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Continually investing in our property estate to maximise our customers’ in-store experience

Over 90% of our supermarket estate has received investment in the last 10 years

Note: Investment includes new stores, conversions, extensions, refresh and refurbishments excluding convenience stores

0

20

40

60

80

100

Prior to 2001

2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Number of stores

Year supermarket last received investment

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Cash flow Improving cash flow from operations

Operating cash flow

Change in working capital

Cash from operations

Interest

Tax

Dividend

Net cash used in investing activities

Other funding movements

Movement in net debt

Net debt

657

(104)

553

(73)

(24)

(201)

(498)

(58)

(301)

(2,115)

Change %

16

H1 2011/12

£m

H1 2012/13

£m

684

(47)

637

(79)

(28)

(218)

(476)

(35)

(199)

(2,179)

4.1

54.8

15.2

(8.2)

(16.7)

(8.5)

4.4

39.7

33.9

(3.0)

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Balance sheet Maintained strong position

Market value of property flat at £11.2bn (March 2012: £11.2bn)

Net debt £2,179m (October 2011: £2,115m)

- secured, low-cost, long-dated debt

- facilities of £3.4bn

Retail operating cash flow up 15.2% to £637m (October 2011: £553m)

IAS 19 net pension deficit £(697)m (March 2012: £(455)m)

- 0.6% decrease in the discount rate

- increase in asset value of £151m

2012/13 FY Guidance

Year-end net debt position expected to be around £2.2bn

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Balance sheet

0 2 4

2012/13

2011/12

2010/11

2009/10

2008/09

Lease adjusted net debt/underlying EBITDAR

4.3

4.1

4.0

4.2

4.1

(Rolling 12 month)

0 2

2012/13

2011/12

2010/11

2009/10

2008/09

Fixed charge cover (H1)

3.2

3.1

3.0

3.0

3.0

0 20 40

2012/13

2011/12

2010/11

2009/10

2008/09

Balance sheet gearing (H1)

40.9

40.7

34.1

37.5

39.6

(net debt / total equity)

0 2 4

2012/13

2011/12

2010/11

2009/10

2008/09

Core capex/sales (H1)

5.2

4.9

5.1

5.8

4.7

(Core capex / sales inc fuel ex VAT)

(EBITDAR / interest + rent)

times times

per cent per cent

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Summary

Trading and operations

Continued outperformance of the market with 31 quarters of LFL growth

Underlying operating margin maintained against tough industry backdrop

On target to deliver space growth of 5%

Key financial measures

Continued focus on ROCE

Underlying profit before tax up 5.4% to £373m

Property profits of £48m

Balance sheet

Key balance sheet metrics remain stable

Property value remains at £11.2bn

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Justin King Chief Executive

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First half 2012/13 Operating review

Delivering continued outperformance in a challenging market

Helping our customers to Live Well For Less

Cross-channel strategy delivering value for customers and shareholders

Consistent delivery of our long-term vision for growth

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First half 2012/13 Trading performance

Market beating sales performance in a challenging market

- total sales up 4.1%, like-for-like sales up 1.7%(1)

31 quarters of like-for-like sales growth

Underlying operating profit up 4.0% in line with sales growth

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Sainsbury’s sales growth is strong in a tough market Total sales growth (2)

-0.5

0.5

1.5

2.5

3.5

4.5

5.5

6.5

Kantar Total Till roll 12 w/e (1) (2) Sales including VAT and excluding fuel

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

Morrisons Sainsbury’s Tesco Total Grocery Asda

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-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017

Forecast growth

%

Market backdrop Consumers remain under pressure

23

Customer confidence remains depressed

-10

-30

-20

2010 2009 2011 2012

Inflation has outstripped wage growth

(1)Wage Growth: Average gross earnings (inc bonus)

Source: CEBR

GfK Consumer Confidence

Household disposable income

Wage growth(1)

Consumer price inflation

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-5

-4

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

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Source: Kantar Worldpanel 12we Total Grocery data to 2 September 12

Volume decline is starting to abate

Transaction frequency has stabilised at a new, higher level

2008/09

Contribution to growth %

2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Market backdrop Changes in shopping behaviours annualising

Items per basket contribution

Overall volume contribution

Frequency contribution

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Market backdrop A summer like no other

Queen's Diamond Jubilee, Olympics and Paralympics

Unique investment by Sainsbury’s in all these events

High levels of customer awareness and colleague engagement

Legacy programmes launched under banner of Active Kids

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Differentiated own-brand products – basics, by Sainsbury’s and Taste the Difference

Brand Match helping close the price perception gap

- c.250m coupons issued to date

- ‘Cheaper than’ coupons issued over 50% of the time

Targeted offers for customers delivered through Nectar and coupon-at-till

- celebrated 10-year anniversary of Nectar

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Live Well For Less Reflecting the customer mood

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Health: Leadership on consistent front-of-pack nutritional labelling

Sourcing: Unique dairy pricing model

Environment: Largest multi-roof solar array in Europe

Community: 2 million meals donated to FareShare by Sainsbury’s and our customers

Great place to work: Recruited 150 young people on our trainee manager scheme

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Our values make us different Good progress against our 20 x 20 commitments

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First half 2012/13 Brand performance

Winner of Supermarket of the Year for 5 of the last 7 years

Winner of Convenience Chain of the Year for the last 3 years

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A long-term vision for growth

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Sources: Ipsos-MORI (from Jan 2009 to P1 2012/13) and Brand Face (from P1 2012/13 to date) unweighted rolling 8 week data.

Base sizes per rolling period : Sainsbury’s (c.800), Tesco (c.400), Asda (c.250), Morrisons (c.200)

7.50

7.75

8.00

8.25

8.50

8.3

8.2

8.0

7.8

Mean score

Quality of products (scale of 1-10)

2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Great Food Maintaining our advantage in quality food

Morrisons Sainsbury’s Tesco Asda

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35 40 45 50

Converted over 85% of by Sainsbury’s range to date

by Sainsbury’s voted Own-Label Range of the Year at the 2012 Grocer Gold Awards

freefrom range growing at over 30% year-on-year

basics is the number 2 budget brand

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Source: Kantar Worldpanel 28we Total Grocery data to 30 September 12

47.1%

49.7%

Total own-brand penetration

-1 1 3

1.6%

4.0%

Total own-brand sales year-on-year growth

Great Food Own-brand a point of difference

Major grocers ex

Sainsbury’s

Sainsbury’s

Major grocers ex

Sainsbury’s

Sainsbury’s

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Non-food currently growing at 3x the rate of food

Currently 31% of the population are within a 15 minute drive of a full non-food offer

Further opportunities to grow our non-food business

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2007/08 2012/13 H1

(1) Full non-food offer defined as 15,000 sq2

Customers within a 15 minute drive of a full(1) non-food offer

Compelling General Merchandise and Clothing Complementary to a great weekly food shop

11% 31%

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Convenience business growing at almost 20% year-on-year

49 new stores in the first half of the year

Dedicated and experienced property development team

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Complementary Channels and Services Our convenience business continues to grow strongly

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Groceries online business is growing at over 20% year-on-year

Rated best against our peers for:

- product and delivery slot availability

- quality

- ease and speed of placing an order

- customer service

Launched mobile shopping for groceries

Non-food Click & Collect service available in 946 of 1,063 stores

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Source: IPSOS Online Satisfaction Tracker

Complementary Channels and Services Groceries online growing faster than the market

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Nectar data key to understanding the developing customer behaviour

New channels incrementalise spend

When customers shop all three channels, total spend increases by over 2x

Groceries

Online

Supermarkets

Convenience

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Less than 1.0

1.0 - 1.1

1.1 - 2.0

Greater than 2.0

Multiples of supermarket spend

Complementary Channels and Services Multi-channel participation increases total spend

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Combining competitive Bank products with Nectar point incentives is a powerful way to attract and retain customers

Only supermarket to offer both a cashback and a reward credit card

Travel Money online growing at over 200% year-on-year

Strengthened management team

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Complementary Channels and Services Sainsbury’s Bank

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Sainsbury’s Entertainment – gives customers access to over 2.3 million tracks

Anobii – a social network and online retailer of e-books

Rovi – a video on demand service

Insight 2 Communication – JV with Aimia to deliver targeted offers to our customers for FMCGs

Sainsbury’s pharmacies – opened our first hospital pharmacy in November 2011 with plans to open a further 2 at Guys & St Thomas’ in December 2012

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Developing new business Investing beyond our core

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A long-term vision for growth

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Summary

Good sales and profit performance

Challenging economic environment to continue

Investment in multi-channel is building customer loyalty

Consistent delivery of our long-term vision for growth

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Q&A

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2012/13 Interim results

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