Insurance Sector analysis
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Transcript of Insurance Sector analysis
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Prafulla Salunkhe
NITIE Students Consulting Club
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2
Insurance Industry: An overview A
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India ranked 10th among 147 countries in the life insurance business, with a share of 2.03 per cent during FY13
The country ranked 19th among 147 countries in the non-life premium income, with a share of 0.66 per cent in FY13
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The life insurance premium market expanded at a CAGR of 16.6 per cent, from USD11.5 billion in FY03 to USD53.3 billion in FY13
The non-life insurance premium market rose at a CAGR of 15.4 per cent, from USD3.1billion in FY03 to USD13.1 billion in FY13
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The share of private sector in the life insurance premiums increased from 5.7 per cent in FY03 to 28.7 per cent in FY13
The market share of private sector companies in the non-life insurance premium market rose from 9.5 per cent in FY03 to 42.9 per cent in FY13
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Crop insurance market in India is the largest in the world and covers around 30 million farmers; it accounted for nearly 5 per cent of the total non-life insurance premium in FY12
Strong growth in the automotive industry over the next decade to be a key driver of motor insurance
Health insurance continues to be one of the most rapidly growing sectors in the Indian insurance industry, and reported 16.1per cent growth in gross premiums in FY13
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3
Insurance Industry: PESTL analysis
Political factors Increased service tax on premium
Ending of government monopoly
Increase in FDI limit
Favourable regulations for rural insurance
Economic factors Increase in gross domestic savings
Increase in share of insurance in countrys GDP
Increased share in govt. securities market
Insurance is biggest player in domestic equity market
Social factors
Low insurance coverage
Increase in life span
Uncertainty about life increasing
Changing perception in minds
Increase in life style diseases
Technological factors Automation of processes
Internet driven era
E-banking facility
Legal factors Changing regulation Renewal of registration
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4
Why India is strong market in insurance industry?
Strong demand
Attractive opportunities
Increasing investments
Policy support
Growing interest in insurance
among people; innovative products
and distribution channels aiding
growth
Increasing demand for insurance
offshoring
Life insurance in low-income
urban areas
Health insurance, pension
segment
Strong growth potential for
micro insurance, especially
from rural areas
Rising participation by private players
has increased their market share in the
life insurance market to 29.3 per cent in
FY12 from 2 per cent in FY03
Increase in FDI limit to 49 per cent from
26 per cent, as proposed in 2012, will
further fuel investments
Tax incentives on insurance products
Passing of Insurance Bill gives IRDA flexibility
to frame regulations
Clarity on rules for insurance IPOs would
infuse liquidity in the industry
Repeated attempts to make the sector more
lucrative for foreign participants
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Evolution of Indian Insurance Sector B
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The life insurance sector was made up of 154 domestic life insurers, 16 foreign life insurers and 75 provident funds
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All life insurance companies were nationalised to form LIC in 1956 to increase penetration and protect policy holders from mismanagement
The non-life insurance business was nationalised to form GIC in 1972 1
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Malhotra Committee recommended opening up the insurance sector to private players
IRDA, LIC and GIC Acts were passed in 1999, making IRDA the statutory regulatory body for insurance and ending the monopoly of LIC and GIC
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Post liberalisation, the insurance industry recorded significant growth; the number of private players increased to 44 in 2012
Customers are more conscious of the benefits of insurance and its importance for a secure future
The industry has been spurred by product innovation, vibrant distribution channels, coupled with targeted publicity and promotional campaigns by the insurers
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Organisation
Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority (IRDA) governs the Indian insurance sector
IRDA established in 1999 under IRDA act
It is responsible for regulating, promoting and ensuring orderly growth of the insurance and re-insurance
business in India
Ministry of finance (Govt. of India)
Life insurance (24 players)
Public (1 player)
Private (23 players)
Non life insurance (27 players)
Public (6 players)
Private (21 players)
Re-insurance (1 player) Public (1 player)
Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority (IRDA)
List of all players
1. Life insurers: https://www.irda.gov.in/ADMINCMS/cms/NormalData_Layout.aspx?page=PageNo129&mid=3.1.9
2. Non-life insurers: https://www.irda.gov.in/ADMINCMS/cms/NormalData_Layout.aspx?page=PageNo264&mid=3.2.10
3. Re-insurer: https://www.irda.gov.in/ADMINCMS/cms/NormalData_Layout.aspx?page=PageNo1687&mid=3.3.6
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Indian insurance market
With a share of 2.03 per cent, India stood 10th among 147 countries in the life insurance business in FY13
The growth in non-life insurance premium in India outperformed the average global growth as well as the
emerging markets over 201012
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
2010 2011 2012 -2%
-10%
-7%
11%
-5%
5%
3%
-3%
2%
Life insurance premium growth rates
India Emerging World
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
2010 2011 2012
10%
14%
10% 9%
8% 9%
2% 2% 3%
Non Life insurance premium growth
rates
India Emerging World
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Indian insurance market : Change in premium
Indian insurance sector shows
growth of premium at brisk
pace (Both for life insurance
and non life insurance sector)
The total insurance market
expanded from USD 14.7 billion
in FY 03 to USD 66.4 billion in
FY 13
Over FY 03- FY 13, total gross
written premiums increased at a
CAGR of 16.3 per cent
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
80.00
FY 03 FY 04 FY 05 FY 06 FY 07 FY 08 FY 09 FY 10 FY 11 FY 12 FY 13
Gross premium written in India (USD billion)
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Indian insurance market : Premium for life insurance
The life insurance market grew
from USD11.5 billion to USD53.3
over FY 03- FY 13
CAGR of 16.6 %
The life insurance industry has
the potential to grow 2 times by
2020
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
FY 03 FY 04 FY 05 FY 06 FY 07 FY 08 FY 09 FY 10 FY 11 FY 12 FY 13
Gross in life insurance premium (USD billion)
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Life insurance: Increasing penetration and density
2.60 2.50 2.8
3.9 4.4 4.2
4.7
4 3.5
3.2
FY 04 FY 05 FY 06 FY 07 FY 08 FY 09 FY 10 FY 11 FY 12
Life insurance penetration (%)
Life insurance penetration (%)
13.40 15.70
20.4
31.2
43.9 40.9
47.7 52.5
48.6
FY 04 FY 05 FY 06 FY 07 FY 08 FY 09 FY 10 FY 11 FY 12
Life insurance density (USD billion)
Life insurance density (USD billion)
On the life insurance side, the density fell 3.17 per cent in
2012 from 3.40 per cent in 2011. Life insurance density also
fell to $42.7 in 2012 from $49 in 2011.
Life insurance density is defined as the ratio of premium
underwritten to the total population in the given year
Penetration rate indicates the level of development of
insurance sector in a country. Penetration rate is measured as
the ratio of premium underwritten in a particular year to the
GDP
This increase is due to the entry of new players, introduction of
new products and channels of distribution and increasing
penetration of private insurance companies in uncovered
markets.
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Indian insurance market : Share of private sector in life insurance
Share of private sector has been growing over the years, from around 2 per cent in FY03 to 27 per cent in
FY13
The Gross Direct Premium of private companies increased from USD0.2 billion in FY03 to USD14.4 billion in
FY13 at a CAGR of 51.1 per cent
98%
2%
Share of public & private sector in
life insurance segment (%)
Public Private
73%
27%
Public Private
FY 03 FY 13
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Indian insurance market : Players in life insurance market
Currently, the life insurance
sector has 23* private players
compared to only four in FY02
LIC is still the market leader,
with 72.7 per cent share in
FY13, followed by ICICI
Prudential, with 4.7 per cent
share
73%
5%
4%
4%
2% 2%
2%
8%
Market share of major companies in terms of total life insurance
premium collected FY 13
LIC ICICI Prudential HDFC Standard SBI life Bajaj Allianz Max life Birla Sunlife Others
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Indian insurance market : Non life insurance
The non-life insurance market
grew from USD3.4 billion in
FY04 to USD12.7 billion in
FY13
Over FY04FY13, non-life
insurance premiums
increased at a CAGR of 16.4
per cent
The number of policies
issued increased from 43.6
million in FY03 to 107.0
million in FY13, at a CAGR of
9.4 per cent
0.00 20.00 40.00 60.00 80.00 100.00 120.00
FY 03
FY 04
FY 05
FY 06
FY 07
FY 08
FY 09
FY 10
FY 11
FY 12
FY 13
Number of non-life insurance policies (million)
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Non-Life insurance: Penetration and density lower than world average
0.67 0.63 0.61 0.63 0.63 0.61 0.66 0.66
0.73 0.78
FY 04 FY 05 FY 06 FY 07 FY 08 FY 09 FY 10 FY 11 FY 12 FY 13
Non Life insurance penetration (%)
Non Life insurance penetration (%)
3.50 4.00 4.4
5
6.3 6 6.7
8.7
10.1 10.5
FY 04 FY 05 FY 06 FY 07 FY 08 FY 09 FY 10 FY 11 FY 12 FY 13
Non Life insurance density (USD billion)
Non Life insurance density (USD billion)
The non-life insurance penetration rate was in the
range of 0.60.8 per cent over 200413
Non-life insurance density increased from USD3.5 in
FY04 to USD10.5 in FY13 at a CAGR of 13.0 per cent
The global average density of USD283.1 in 2012
indicates a huge potential for growth
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Indian insurance market : Share in non-life insurance
Motor insurance forms the largest non-
life segment at 43.2 per cent share in
FY13, with Gross Direct Premium of
USD5,466.6 million
Medical insurance formed 21.8 per
cent of the total in FY13, with Gross
Direct Premium of USD2,763.9 million
Motor third party insurance, which
contributes nearly 50 per cent of the
total motor insurance premium,
remained the fastest growing segment
in FY13 with Gross Direct Premium of
USD2,390.8 million
43%
22%
10%
4%
4%
17%
Break up of non-life insurance market (FY 13)
Motor Medical insurance Fire Crop insurance Engineering Misc and others
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Indian insurance market : Share of private sector in non-life insurance
The market share of private sector companies rose from 14.5 per cent in FY04 to 43.0 per cent in FY13
The Gross Direct Premium of private companies increased from USD0.5 billion in FY04 to USD5.5 billion in
FY13 at a CAGR of 33.1 per cent
85%
15%
Share of public & private sector in
non-life insurance segment (%)
Public Private
57%
43%
Public Private
FY 03 FY 13
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Indian insurance market : Players in Non-life insurance market
The number of companies increased from 15 in FY04 to 27 in
FY13; six of these companies are in
the public sector
The public sector companies together accounted for about 57 per
cent of the total Gross Direct
Premium in the non-life insurance
segment
New India leads the market with 16.7 per cent market share
Private players are not far behind and compete better in the non-life
insurance segment
17%
13%
13%
9% 9%
6%
4%
29%
Market share of major companies in terms of total non-life
insurance premium collected FY 13
New India United India National Oriental ICICI Lombard Bajaj Allianz AIC Others
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Indian insurance market : Notable trends
New distribution channels like bancassurance, online distribution and NBFCs have widened the reach and reduced costs
Firms have tied up with local NGOs to target lucrative rural markets
Emergence of new distribution channels
In the life insurance segment, share of the private sector in total premiums increased to 29.3 per cent in FY12 from 2.0 per cent in FY03
In the non-life insurance segment, share of the private sector increased to 42.9 per cent in FY13 from 14.5 per cent in FY04
Growing market share of private players
The life insurance sector has witnessed the launch of innovative products such as Unit Linked Insurance Plans (ULIPs)
Other traditional products have also been customised to meet specific needs of Indian consumers
Launch of innovative products
Large insurers continue to expand, focussing on cost rationalisation and aligning business models to realise reported embedded value (EV), and generate value from future business rather than focus on present profits
Mounting focus on EV over profitability
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Indian insurance market : Increasing demand
Indias robust economy is expected to sustain the growth in insurance premiums written
Higher personal disposable incomes would result in higher household savings that will be channelled into different financial
savings instruments like insurance and pension policies
Household savings are expected to grow to USD540 billion by 2015E from USD89 billion in 2000
Financial savings are expected to grow to USD248 billion by 2015E from USD45 billion in 2000
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2000 2010 FY 13 2015E
Household & Financial savings (USD billion)
Household savings Financial Savings
Growing affluence of the middle class
The emergence of an affluent middle class is triggering
demand for both life and non-life personal insurance lines
A rising number of young professionals are opting for health
insurance, motor insurance and ULIPs
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2008 2020 2030
Indian residents shifting from low income
group to high income group
Deprived Aspirers Seekers Strivers Globals
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Indian insurance market : Favourable policy measures
Insurance products are covered under the exempt, exempt, exempt (EEE) method of taxation.
This translates to an effective tax benefit of approximately 30 per cent on select Tax incentives
The proposed Insurance (Amendment) Bill is expected to empower IRDA to introduce regulations for promoting sustainable growth, providing the flexibility to frame regulations and increase the FDI limit to 49 per cent
The government has also extended Rashtriya Swasthya Bima Yojana (RSBY) to cover unorganised sector workers in hazardous mining and associated industries
Union Budget 201314
IRDA recently allowed life insurance companies that have completed 10 years of operations to raise capital through initial public offerings (IPOs)
Companies will be able to raise capital if they have embedded value of twice the paid up equity capital
Life insurance companies allowed to
go public
Increase in FDI limit will help companies raise capital and fund their expansion plans
Revival package by government will help companies get faster product clearances, tax incentives and ease in investment norms
Approval of increase in FDI limit and revival
package
-
Indian insurance market : Key regulatory changes
1999
2001
2002
2006
IRDA cleared bill
IRDA issues TPA
regulations
Foreign players
allowed to
enter with 26 per cent
FDI cap
IRDA insurance
brokers and
corporate agent
regulation
Entry of stand alone
health insurance
allowed Changes
Impacts
Liberalisation of
sector and
formation of an
independent
regulator
Entry of TPAs specifically
focussed on servicing
health
insurance business
Entry of foreign players
infusing
capital and technical
expertise
Thrust on
insurance distribution
through corporate
intermediaries
Entry of stand alone
health insurance players
in the market
-
Indian insurance market : Key regulatory changes
2007
2010
2011
2012
2013
Changes
Impacts
Creation of Indian
Motor Third Party
Insurance Pool
Price
detariffication
Mechanism to
equitably share CVTP
losses
Significant change in
the premium rates for
the commercial lines
IRDA came
out with new
guidelines for
equity-linked
insurance
products
Reduced the
first-year
agent
commission
and lock in
period
extended
Merger and
Acquisition
guidelines
Enabled
consolidation,
inorganic
transactions in
the industry
Introduction of
Declined Risk
pool, TP
premium
increase
Improvement
in overall
profitability of
the CV
segment
FDI cap raised
from 26 to 49 per cent
under automatic
route by cabinet
Cabinet
approval on
the FDI cap
increase
-
Indian insurance market : Opportunities across business lines
Opportunities in Indian Insurance
Market
Micro-Insurance
Health insurance markets
Motor insurance markets
Low income
urban and pension markets
Crop insurance
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Life insurance : Low-income urban and pension market
Urban low-income insurance penetration in India is expected to
have increased to 40 per cent in 2012 from 30 per cent in 2007
Rapid development in Tier II and Tier III cities and growth in new
bankable households have led to the emergence of a large
insurable class with an appetite for sophisticated life insurance
products
Insurance density and penetration remain at very low levels
compared to that in developed countries; this indicates a strong
potential for growth in future
Business models need to be customised accordingly to maintain
cost-effectiveness, as most low-income customers would be
small-ticket accounts, though huge in numbers
2007 2012
Urban low income
insurance penetration 30% 40%
Increasing life expectancy, favourable savings and
greater employment in the private sector will fuel
demand for pension plans
The opening of pension market with the passing of the
PFRDA Bill 2011 will make the pension market more
conducive for private life insurers
Proposed new pension bill by government will further
provide new opportunities to insurers
There is scope to introduce new-generation pension
products such as Variable Annuity and Inflation
Indexed Annuity
2010 2025E
Indian Retirement
market (USD billion) 40.00 84.00
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Non-Life insurance : Motor insurance market
The number of new policies issued increased at a CAGR
of 9.4 per cent from FY03 to FY13, from 43.6 million to
107.0 million
Despite strong growth, non-life insurance sector remains
far from tapped, with penetration rates (premium to GDP
ratios) remaining low at 0.78 per cent in 2012 compared
to an average of 4.5 per cent in the US and global
average of 2.8 per cent
Strong growth in the automotive industry over the next
decade will be a key driver of motor insurance
Proposed IRDA draft envisages a 1080 per cent rise in
premium rates for the erstwhile loss-making third-party
motor insurance
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Car Commercial 2 & 3 wheelers
Vehicle production in India (million units)
2010 2020 E
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Non-Life insurance : Health insurance markets
Only 1.52 per cent of total healthcare expenditure in India is currently covered by insurance providers
From 13.3 per cent of the total non-life insurance premium in FY07, health insurance currently contributes 22.2 percent
Total health insurance premiums increased from USD733.1 million in FY07 to USD2,824.7 million in FY13 at a CAGR of
29.1 per cent
Health insurance continues to be one of the most rapidly growing sectors in the Indian insurance industry; it reported
16.1 per cent growth in gross premiums in FY13
Absence of a government-funded health insurance makes the market attractive for private players
IRDA recommended the government to reduce capital requirements for stand-alone health insurance companies
from USD21 million to USD10 million
Introduction of health insurance portability expected to boost the
orderly growth of the health insurance sector
Penetration of health insurance is expected to more than double by
2020
Increasing penetration of health insurance likely to be driven by
government-sponsored initiatives such as RSBY and ESIC
Government-sponsored programmes expected to provide coverage
to nearly 380 million people by 2020
Private insurance coverage is estimated to grow by nearly 15 per
cent annually till 2020
2005 2015 E
Health
insurance
policies
(million)
110.00 220.00
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2010 2020E
Population covered by health
insurance (million)
State insurance
RSBY
ESIC
Govt. employee
insurance Private
insurance
-
Micro insurance : Tapping Indias rural wealth
Macro level (The enabling environment)
Intermediate level (Support infrastructure)
Micro level (Policy holders)
IRDA drafted micro insurance guidelines in 2010,
which contain numerous favourable measures
such as
Lower threshold limits for agents commissions
Rural areas must account for 7 per cent of new life insurance policies in the first year of
firms operation and rise to 20 per cent over
the next 10 years
In order to reduce micro insurance distribution costs, IRDA proposed micro insurance schemes to
supplement existing government insurance schemes
The number of regional rural banks and NGOs operating in the rural sector will aid distribution of
micro insurance products
The annual income growth rate in rural India is expected to increase to 3.6 per cent over 201030
from 2.8 per cent during 19902010
About 5 million people currently have micro insurance, while the entire market is expected to
be in the range of 140300 million
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Microinsurance : Tapping Indias rural wealth
FY 09 FY 10 FY 11 FY 12
Private 2.1 3 2.6 1.5
Public 12.6 16.8 16.3 13.3
Total 14.7 19.8 18.9 14.8
0
5
10
15
20
25
Number of micro-insurance policies (millions)
FY 09 FY 10 FY 11 FY 12
Private 8.4 5.1 5.7 4.3
Public 43.9 79.3 57.9 43.7
Total 52.3 84.4 63.6 48
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
New Business premium (USD millions)
-
Crop Insurance : Opportunities
Crop insurance market in India is the largest in the world,
covering around 30 million farmers
Crop insurance accounted for nearly 5 per cent of the total non-
life insurance premium in FY12
To provide crop insurance to farmers, Government has launched
various schemes like National Agriculture Insurance Scheme
(NAIS), Modified National Agriculture Insurance Scheme (MNAIS)
and Weather-based Crop Insurance Scheme (WBCIS)
The number of farmers covered increased at a CAGR of 11.5 per
cent from FY08 to FY12, while the sum insured rose at a CAGR of
22.0 per cent from USD6.5 billion to USD12.1 billion over the
same period
There is huge scope for increasing coverage, as only 30 million
farmers out of 120 million are insured under crop insurance
schemes
Government of India plans to increase the coverage to 50 million
during the 12th Five-Year Plan
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12
Number of farmers covered (million)
WBCIS
MNAIS
NAIS
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12
Sum insured (USD billion)
WBCIS
MNAIS
NAIS
-
Indian insurance market : Ways to market development
Distribution channels
The effectiveness and cost of diverse distribution strategies of different players is crucial in ensuring the success of players in the insurance business, particularly in the retail lines of business.
Focus on financial inclusion
The approach to insurance must be in sync with the evolving times. The mission of the insurance sector in India should be to extend the insurance coverage over a larger section of the population and a wider segment of activities.
Consumer needs and preferences
The growth in insurance industry has been spurred by product innovation, vibrant distribution channels, coupled with targeted publicity and promotional campaigns by the insurers. Innovation has come not only in the form of benefits attached to the products, but also in the delivery mechanism through various marketing tie-ups. All these efforts have brought insurance closer to the customer as well as made it more relevant.
-
Indian insurance market : Way forward
Significant latent market
The insurance market has a considerable amount of latent potential, given the fact that the Indian economy is expected to do well in the coming decades leading to increase in per capita incomes and awareness.
Channelizing industry focus
In meeting the significant potential, the industry has an increased role and responsibility. Three areas of focus could be a) product innovation matching the risk profile of the policy holders b) reengineering the distribution and more significantly c) making sales and marketing more responsible and answerable.
Distribution Distribution channels evolved in response to market dynamics and changing consumer preferences. The alignment of economic incentives with distribution dynamics should be driven by market forces rather than regulatory intervention.
Regulation The industry should be given time to adjust to regulatory changes in a phased manner aligned with a regulatory impact assessment. Regulations need to drive transparency and simplification of products and services.
The Indian insurance market is poised for strong growth in the
long run. It stands at the
threshold of moving towards a
stable position, delivering
stable profitable growth.
The stakeholders should eventually work toward
maintaining a favourable
environment for stable growth,
increasing the penetration of
insurance to rural and
underpenetrated areas and
increasing the contribution to
the economy.