Institutional Change and Parental Compensation in Intergenerational attainment
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Transcript of Institutional Change and Parental Compensation in Intergenerational attainment
Ins$tu$onalChangeandParentalCompensa$onin
Intergenera$onala5ainmentHetaPöyliö,JaniErola&ElinaKilpi-Jakonen
+someresultsfromHetaPöyliö&johannaKallio:
Theimpactoffamilyandeduca2onpoliciesonintergenera2onaltransmissionofsocioeconomic
statusinEurope
OED&Parentalcompensa$on
Weakeningorigin-educa$on(OE)associa$on
Decreasingreturns-educa$onalinfla$on(ED)
Parentalcompensa$on:
Theincreaseofdirectinfluenceofparents(OD)(netofE)
E
DO
– +/–
+
Ins$tu$onalchangesineduca$on
§ MMI&EMI–Parentsreacttoins$tu$onalchanges(e.g.educa$onalexpansion)
§ WeakeningOElinkedwithchangesinins$tu$ons->expectthesetoinfluenceOD
O E
D
Ins$tu$ons
-
-+
Data&methods
ESS2002-2010
Cohorts1941-1980
25Countries
Linearcountryfixedeffectmodels
Decomposi$on
Individuallevelvariables
ISEIChild-cnt
Parent-highest
Educa$on(cnt12yrs)
Age&gender
-.03
-.02
-.01
0ye
ars
in e
duca
tion
(cnt
)
1946- 1951- 1956- 1961- 1966- 1971- 1976- Cohort*Origin
Note: Birth cohort 1941-45 as reference
Origin-Education association across cohorts
WeakeningOE
StrentheningED
-.10
.1.2
.3IS
EI (c
nt)
1946- 1951- 1956- 1961- 1966- 1971- 1976-Cohort*Education
Note: Birth cohort 1941-45 as reference
Education-Destination association across cohorts
H1:Theorigin-des2na2onassocia2onnetofeduca2onhasstrengthened
• Parentalcompensa$on
-.1-.0
50
.05
ISE
I (cn
t)
1946- 1951- 1956- 1961- 1966- 1971- 1976- Cohort*origin
gross OD net ODNote: Birth cohort 1941-45 as reference
Origin-Destination association across cohorts
Variablesforins$tu$onalchange
Matchedwithequivalent5-yearbirthcohortswithincountries
Schoolleavingage
Feesinter$aryeduca$on
Thepropor$oncompletedter$aryeduca$on
Removalofeduca$onaldead-ends
Methods
Linearcountryfixedeffectmodels
Decomposi$on
OE&Ins$tu$ons Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5
Birth cohort 0.378*** (0.018)
0.308*** (0.018)
0.378*** (0.018)
0.323*** (0.019)
0.305*** (0.018)
Parental ISEI (cnt.) 0.086*** (0.001)
0.084*** (0.001)
0.086*** (0.001)
0.086*** (0.001)
0.086*** (0.001)
Birth cohort # Parental ISEI (cnt.)
-0.004*** (0.000)
-0.004*** (0.000)
-0.004*** (0.000)
-0.004*** (0.000)
-0.004*** (0.000)
Female -0.034 (0.022)
-0.038 (0.022)
-0.035 (0.022)
-0.036 (0.022)
-0.037 (0.022)
Age (cnt.) 0.017*** (0.004)
0.018*** (0.004)
0.017*** (0.004)
0.016*** (0.004)
0.017*** (0.004)
School leaving age
0.263*** (0.015)
Fees apply
-0.067 (0.054)
Completed tertiary education (%)
0.029*** (0.004)
1 reform on educational dead-ends
0.551*** (0.041)
2 reforms
0.979*** (0.066)
Observations 105016 105016 105016 105016 105016 R2 0.255 0.257 0.255 0.255 0.257
OE+ins2tu2ons
Institution Decomposition 95% conf.
interval (proportion of change in OE)
School leaving age 0.122*** 0.096 0.148 Fees in tertiary education 0.001 -0.001 0.002 Completed tertiary education (%) -0.002 -0.007 0.003
Removal of educational dead-ends 0.024** 0.008 0.040
OD+ins$tu$ons Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 Model 6 Birth cohort 0.054
(0.085) -0.796*** (0.074)
-0.668*** (0.076)
-0.795*** (0.074)
-0.853*** (0.079)
-0.693*** (0.076)
Parental ISEI (cnt.) 0.341** (0.006)
0.148*** (0.006)
0.151*** (0.006)
0.148*** (0.006)
0.149*** (0.006)
0.148*** (0.006)
Birth cohort # Parental ISEI (cnt.)
-0.002 (0.002)
0.007*** (0.001)
0.006*** (0.001)
0.007*** (0.001)
0.007*** (0.001)
0.007*** (0.001)
Female -0.296** (0.103)
-0.219* (0.091)
-0.212* (0.091)
-0.212* (0.091)
-0.220* (0.091)
-0.215* (0.091)
Education in years (cnt.)
2.249*** (0.017)
2.256*** (0.017)
2.250*** (0.017)
2.249*** (0.017)
2.254*** (0.017)
School leaving age
-0.486*** (0.059)
Fees apply
0.964*** (0.225)
Completed tertiary education (%)
0.030 (0.016)
1 reform on educational dead-ends
-0.714*** (0.164)
2 reforms
-1.514*** (0.259)
OD+ins2tu2ons
Institution Decomposition 95% conf. interval
(proportion of change in OD)
School leaving age 0.126*** 0.069 0.182 Fees in tertiary education 0.005 -0.002 0.012 Completed tertiary education (%) 0.002 -0.002 0.005 Removal of educational dead-ends 0.005 -0.022 0.033
Familyins$tu$ons?
• PöyliöandKallioextendedthetesttocontrasted.ins$tu$onswithfamilyins$tu$ons– theschoolleavingage– pre-primaryeduca5on– propor5oncompletedter5aryeduca5on– maternityleave– familyallowances
• birthcohorts1956-1980
Sumofresults
Parentalcompensa$ontakingplaceinEuropeSchoolleavingageanddead-endreformsexplaindirectlysomeoftheweakeningofOESchoolleavingagehasastrongdirectinfluenceontheonparentalcompensa$on(netOD)
InfluenceofSchoolleavingage
Olderage–lessdependentonparentsineduca$onaldecisions
(weakerOE)
BUT
Longer$meathome–moreinfluenceofparentsonoccupa$on(values,preferences,socialcapital)
Youngercohorts(Pöyliö&Kallio)
Alsothelengthofmaternityleavema5ered
ImprovedthechancesoflowSESfamilykidstoreachhigherstatus