Industrial perspectives in Solar · 2012-12-20 · Microsoft PowerPoint - 20121127 - Industrial...

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Industrial perspectives in Solar 27 th of November 2012 Christian Stadler

Transcript of Industrial perspectives in Solar · 2012-12-20 · Microsoft PowerPoint - 20121127 - Industrial...

Page 1: Industrial perspectives in Solar · 2012-12-20 · Microsoft PowerPoint - 20121127 - Industrial perspectives in Solar - CHS.pptx Author: CHS.SKD Created Date: 11/29/2012 2:19:06 PM

Industrial perspectives in Solar

27th of November 2012Christian Stadler

Page 2: Industrial perspectives in Solar · 2012-12-20 · Microsoft PowerPoint - 20121127 - Industrial perspectives in Solar - CHS.pptx Author: CHS.SKD Created Date: 11/29/2012 2:19:06 PM

Agenda

Heat demand vs. Electricity demand in EU

ITW analysis clears up differentiation of Solar Thermal vs. PV

Current available solar thermal solutions

Development of solar thermal markets in EU

Drivers of solar thermal market

EcoDesign & EcoLabelling

Conclusion.

Page 3: Industrial perspectives in Solar · 2012-12-20 · Microsoft PowerPoint - 20121127 - Industrial perspectives in Solar - CHS.pptx Author: CHS.SKD Created Date: 11/29/2012 2:19:06 PM

The heating sector is underestimated

Source: RHC platform common vision published in 2010

“Other“ is - Electricity (~20%)

and - Transport (~31%)

Page 4: Industrial perspectives in Solar · 2012-12-20 · Microsoft PowerPoint - 20121127 - Industrial perspectives in Solar - CHS.pptx Author: CHS.SKD Created Date: 11/29/2012 2:19:06 PM

Forschungs- und Testzentrum für Solaranlagen

Institut für Thermodynamik und WärmetechnikForschungs- und Testzentrum für Solaranlagen (TZS)

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4BSW, Berlin, 21. November 2012Harald Drück, Karola Sommer

in Kooperation mit

Dr. Harald Drück, Karola Sommer

Institut für Thermodynamik und Wärmetechnik (ITW)Forschungs- und Testzentrum für Solaranlagen (TZS)

Universität StuttgartPfaffenwaldring 6, 70550 Stuttgart

Email: [email protected]: www.itw.uni-stuttgart.de

Comparison of photovoltaic and solar thermal

heat productionfor use in single family houses

2012\PV_Waerme03HD1.pptx

Page 5: Industrial perspectives in Solar · 2012-12-20 · Microsoft PowerPoint - 20121127 - Industrial perspectives in Solar - CHS.pptx Author: CHS.SKD Created Date: 11/29/2012 2:19:06 PM

Forschungs- und Testzentrum für Solaranlagen

Institut für Thermodynamik und WärmetechnikForschungs- und Testzentrum für Solaranlagen (TZS)

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5BSW, Berlin, 21. November 2012Harald Drück, Karola Sommer

in Kooperation mit

Result solar domestic hot water systems

Highest primary energetic efficiency: ST with gas heater

Shortest financial amortisation time: ST with gas heater

Shortest energetic amortisation time: ST with gas heater

… valid both with or without PV feed-in tariff

Solar thermal advantage is the higher efficiency per m² of collectors

Disadvantage of heat-pump: Low seasonal COP for hot water preparation and low fraction of direct PV-electricity for heat-pump

Disadvantage of direct electric hot water preparation by PV: results in higher fuel costs and lower PV income because there is less PV-electricity left to feed-in.

Page 6: Industrial perspectives in Solar · 2012-12-20 · Microsoft PowerPoint - 20121127 - Industrial perspectives in Solar - CHS.pptx Author: CHS.SKD Created Date: 11/29/2012 2:19:06 PM

Forschungs- und Testzentrum für Solaranlagen

Institut für Thermodynamik und WärmetechnikForschungs- und Testzentrum für Solaranlagen (TZS)

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6BSW, Berlin, 21. November 2012Harald Drück, Karola Sommer

in Kooperation mit

Result solar combi systems (heating & hot water) Highest PE – efficiency - w/o feed-in-tariff: ST + HP

- with feed-in-tariff : PV + HP

Lowest financial amortisation (w/o and w. FIT): ST & gas-condensing

Lowest energetic amort. - w/o feed-in-tariff : ST & HP

- with feed-in-tariff: ST & HP and PV & HP

… valid both for new built and retrofit installations

‘ST & HP‘ is energetic efficient, but expensive

‘PV & HP‘ has a low primary energy consumption because of the feed-in of the surplus PV yield (direct solar feed into heat-pump is low)

‘PV & E-heater‘ is PE-inefficient and gives no financial or energetic amortisation.

Page 7: Industrial perspectives in Solar · 2012-12-20 · Microsoft PowerPoint - 20121127 - Industrial perspectives in Solar - CHS.pptx Author: CHS.SKD Created Date: 11/29/2012 2:19:06 PM

Analysis shows again a focus on solar thermal for heat production and PV for electricity

Hot water: Solar thermal is clear favourite when compared with PVHeating: Solar thermal in front except there is a PV feed-in-tariff

Result:

Use solar thermal (or other RE) for renewable heat generation andUse PV (or wind…) for renewable electricity generation.

Page 8: Industrial perspectives in Solar · 2012-12-20 · Microsoft PowerPoint - 20121127 - Industrial perspectives in Solar - CHS.pptx Author: CHS.SKD Created Date: 11/29/2012 2:19:06 PM

THE CURRENT AVAILABLE ST-SOLUTIONS COVER ALL THINKABLE APPLICATIONS

Page 9: Industrial perspectives in Solar · 2012-12-20 · Microsoft PowerPoint - 20121127 - Industrial perspectives in Solar - CHS.pptx Author: CHS.SKD Created Date: 11/29/2012 2:19:06 PM

Pictures speak louder than wordsSingle family homes

Page 10: Industrial perspectives in Solar · 2012-12-20 · Microsoft PowerPoint - 20121127 - Industrial perspectives in Solar - CHS.pptx Author: CHS.SKD Created Date: 11/29/2012 2:19:06 PM

Offices

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Multi family housing

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Hotels

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Industrial buildings

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Commercial buildings

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District heating: 12.6 MWth

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Solar thermal can be part of every heat generation

In the past 3 decades industry has developed solutions for all segmentsBut solar thermal doesn‘t get a momentum from single family houses to other applications (hotels, process heat, …) except of Denmark (district-heating)Solar heating is just common in the German-speaking countriesSome world markets even having two-digit growth (China, India, Brazil, …).

Page 17: Industrial perspectives in Solar · 2012-12-20 · Microsoft PowerPoint - 20121127 - Industrial perspectives in Solar - CHS.pptx Author: CHS.SKD Created Date: 11/29/2012 2:19:06 PM

DEVELOPMENT OF SOLAR THERMAL MARKETS IN EU

Page 18: Industrial perspectives in Solar · 2012-12-20 · Microsoft PowerPoint - 20121127 - Industrial perspectives in Solar - CHS.pptx Author: CHS.SKD Created Date: 11/29/2012 2:19:06 PM

The ST sales is struggling in many EU markets

Page 19: Industrial perspectives in Solar · 2012-12-20 · Microsoft PowerPoint - 20121127 - Industrial perspectives in Solar - CHS.pptx Author: CHS.SKD Created Date: 11/29/2012 2:19:06 PM

Most bigger EU-markets (>140MWth) are decreasing and emerging markets (>50MWth) slowing down

Most markets experiencing decreasing sales, except Poland where subsidies are on a noticeable levelSouthern European countries hit strongly by crisis and political situation (cuts on subsidies and insecurity)Italy and Spain particularly worrying, uncertainties regarding support mechanismsEmerging markets slowing down, apart from Denmark (still strong on district heating with big projects)Portugal and Czech Republic are examples of negative effects of ‘stop and go’ incentives policyUK further delays the implementation of Renewable Heat incentives for residential installations.

Page 20: Industrial perspectives in Solar · 2012-12-20 · Microsoft PowerPoint - 20121127 - Industrial perspectives in Solar - CHS.pptx Author: CHS.SKD Created Date: 11/29/2012 2:19:06 PM

DRIVERS OF SOLAR THERMAL MARKETS

Page 21: Industrial perspectives in Solar · 2012-12-20 · Microsoft PowerPoint - 20121127 - Industrial perspectives in Solar - CHS.pptx Author: CHS.SKD Created Date: 11/29/2012 2:19:06 PM

What drives the solar thermal markets?

Page 22: Industrial perspectives in Solar · 2012-12-20 · Microsoft PowerPoint - 20121127 - Industrial perspectives in Solar - CHS.pptx Author: CHS.SKD Created Date: 11/29/2012 2:19:06 PM

GET YOUR ENERGY FOR FREEOnce installed, the energy you get from a solar solution is for free. With a Solar electricity solution you can even earn money.

BE CO2-NEUTRALContribute to a sustainable future. The sun is our only source of renewable energy. A Solar heating system for a family with an average water consumption will save app. 1 ton CO2 every year. With solar energy you help reduce global warming and air pollution.

GAIN ENERGY INDEPENDENCEThe prices on fossil fuels will increase. We just don’t know how much. All is dependent on the OPEC countries. With a solar solution you both will save money and become energy independent.

THE BEST GREEN

ENERGY IS YELLOW LIKE

THE SUN

Page 23: Industrial perspectives in Solar · 2012-12-20 · Microsoft PowerPoint - 20121127 - Industrial perspectives in Solar - CHS.pptx Author: CHS.SKD Created Date: 11/29/2012 2:19:06 PM

20-20-20 EU policy and beyond...?

Greenhousegas levels

Energyconsumption

Renewables inEnergy mix

Page 24: Industrial perspectives in Solar · 2012-12-20 · Microsoft PowerPoint - 20121127 - Industrial perspectives in Solar - CHS.pptx Author: CHS.SKD Created Date: 11/29/2012 2:19:06 PM

ENERGY LABELLING: INCENTIVE OR CHALLENGE FOR PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT?

Page 25: Industrial perspectives in Solar · 2012-12-20 · Microsoft PowerPoint - 20121127 - Industrial perspectives in Solar - CHS.pptx Author: CHS.SKD Created Date: 11/29/2012 2:19:06 PM

End consumers are used to get guidance… …except in heating business

Page 26: Industrial perspectives in Solar · 2012-12-20 · Microsoft PowerPoint - 20121127 - Industrial perspectives in Solar - CHS.pptx Author: CHS.SKD Created Date: 11/29/2012 2:19:06 PM

That well known labelling will be enlarged to a number of new product groups

Page 27: Industrial perspectives in Solar · 2012-12-20 · Microsoft PowerPoint - 20121127 - Industrial perspectives in Solar - CHS.pptx Author: CHS.SKD Created Date: 11/29/2012 2:19:06 PM

Some special labels for heating business are created: e.g. the one for combi systems

Combination label of e.g. gas boiler with solar (and some other possible devices) Two (different) classes for space heating and hot water preparation.

Page 28: Industrial perspectives in Solar · 2012-12-20 · Microsoft PowerPoint - 20121127 - Industrial perspectives in Solar - CHS.pptx Author: CHS.SKD Created Date: 11/29/2012 2:19:06 PM

EcoDesign & Eco Labelling has to compare apples and oranges

A boiler or heat-pump has a measurable efficiency how it is using primary energy

A solar system is just “collecting” free energy

A solar thermal system has COP‘s of 50..100!

So systems are not directly comparable

It first time enables installers and end consumers to see the solar input with an easy rating.

Page 29: Industrial perspectives in Solar · 2012-12-20 · Microsoft PowerPoint - 20121127 - Industrial perspectives in Solar - CHS.pptx Author: CHS.SKD Created Date: 11/29/2012 2:19:06 PM

CONCLUSION

Page 30: Industrial perspectives in Solar · 2012-12-20 · Microsoft PowerPoint - 20121127 - Industrial perspectives in Solar - CHS.pptx Author: CHS.SKD Created Date: 11/29/2012 2:19:06 PM

Great opportunities but also some learning's…

Current systems are highly developed and fitting to all applications

Don‘t mix technologies (ST for heat, PV for electricity)

Markets will not get green on their own

Consumers need clear governmental adviceCommercial investors are judging on short-term payback.

Page 31: Industrial perspectives in Solar · 2012-12-20 · Microsoft PowerPoint - 20121127 - Industrial perspectives in Solar - CHS.pptx Author: CHS.SKD Created Date: 11/29/2012 2:19:06 PM

Thank you for your attention!

Turn the blue tap for cold water

Turn the red tap for great savings

Page 32: Industrial perspectives in Solar · 2012-12-20 · Microsoft PowerPoint - 20121127 - Industrial perspectives in Solar - CHS.pptx Author: CHS.SKD Created Date: 11/29/2012 2:19:06 PM

Thank you for your attention.