INDONESIA DEMOCRACY AND DEMOCRATIC GOVERNANCE ISSUES NATIONAL SURVEY – 2008
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Transcript of INDONESIA DEMOCRACY AND DEMOCRATIC GOVERNANCE ISSUES NATIONAL SURVEY – 2008
INDONESIA DEMOCRACY AND DEMOCRATIC GOVERNANCE ISSUES
NATIONAL SURVEY – 2008
The authors’ views expressed in this document do not necessarily reflect the views of the United States Agency for International Development or the United States Government
Alan WallDemocracy International
March 2009
INDONESIA PUBLIC OPINION SURVEYS
Methodology
• Last in series of 3 annual surveys • 2000 person random sample • Nationally representative • Margin of Error for national data +/- 2.2%• Additional 500 oversample for provincial data
analysis only • Face to face interviews• Field work implemented 30 May to 12 June 2008
INDONESIA PUBLIC OPINION SURVEYS
Focus
• In the 2006 - 2008 period survey focus has narrowed a little • Many common questions in all three years• For 2008, the following subject areas were covered
Support for democracy Justice system
Parliament Rule of law
Institutions of governance Law enforcement agencies
Pluralism/religious tolerance Gender equity
Local government/decentralization Overseas workers
Corruption
• Breadth rather than depth: not ask why or how come to opinions
• A huge amount of data from the three annual surveys
INDONESIA PUBLIC OPINION SURVEYS
A Few Key Issues - 1
• Some regression from 2007, but in general more positive than 2006
• Continued but less broad commitment to democracy – more motivated by tangible benefits. Indifference becoming more widespread
• No significant changes in attitudes on pluralism. Cultural tolerance, but religion a more divisive issue
• In all three years more awareness of/ more satisfaction with executives than legislatures. Improvements in satisfaction with most institutions since 2006, but decline from 2007
• Positive views on local government services and accountability. Main local government issue is transparency, as in ‘06 and ‘07
INDONESIA PUBLIC OPINION SURVEYS
A Few Key Issues - 2
• Increase in % who believe police subject to influence: little change for courts, prosecutors (majority for police and local courts) .
• Continuing widespread trust in media - and police, despite belief that they are subject to influence.
• Increasing incidence of payment for free government services
• Widespread concern about impact of corruption – more so on national than local issues. Unusually strongly expressed feelings on its impact.
• Papua - not as positive as ‘07, but better than ‘06• Aceh – some continued consolidation of ‘06 gains • North Sumatra - relatively negative.
INDONESIA PUBLIC OPINION SURVEYS
Support for Democracy • No significant change ’07-’08
• Since ‘06 increase in those indifferent
• Relationship of education and SES level to indifference
• Similar decrease in those preferring democracy
• Decrease greatest amongst urban, secondary educated, low SES
• Aceh : 28% prefer democracy (majority in ‘06 & ‘07)
• Papua: 32% prefer democracy
59%
5%
22%
14%
5%
30%
14%
7%
51%48%
31%
13%
Democracy ispreferable
Non-democratic
govt preferablein certainsituations
Form of govt.does not
matter to me
DK/NR
2006 2007 2008
INDONESIA PUBLIC OPINION SURVEYS
Meanings Attached to Democracy • Tangible benefits more
likely to be chosen
• Low choice of some key principles
• Decrease in choice of some principles
• Human rights, equal gender rights exceptions to this
• Democracy supporters more likely to choose principles, indifferent choose tangibles
• Importance of economic success in building support for democracy
0% 5% 10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
60%
65%
Freedom of media
Equal rights for men and women
Freedom to vote
Respect for human rights
Government listens to citizens
Good education is affordable for all
Freedom of speech
Freedom of choice
No official corruption
Everyone has work
Freedom of religion
People feel secure2006
2007
2008
INDONESIA PUBLIC OPINION SURVEYS
INSERT GRAPHIC TO ADD MAP
MAP IS 6.17” TALL
Pluralism in Indonesia • No significant
changes in 2006-2008 period
• Strong support for cultural pluralism
• Lesser support for religious pluralism – though still majority on public religious issues
• Support for
political diversity tempered by respect for majority view.
94% 94%
81%85% 85%
56%
28%
13%
93%
81%84%
81%
55%
29%
16%
95%
85% 87%
15%
72%
94%96%
87%
56%
32%
All
peop
le s
houl
dha
ve e
qual
rig
hts
Pan
casi
la is
the
best
bas
is fo
rso
ciet
y
Hap
py li
ving
nea
ret
hnic
ally
/cul
tura
llydi
ffere
nt n
eigh
bors
All
have
rig
ht to
free
ly e
xpre
ssth
eir
polit
ical
opin
ions
Sho
uld
resp
ect
cultu
ral p
ract
ices
of a
ll di
ffere
ntet
hnic
ities
Opp
ose
plac
e of
wor
ship
for
diffe
rent
rel
igio
nbe
ing
built
nea
r m
e
Peo
ple
shou
ld a
ctac
cord
ing
tow
ishe
s of
maj
ority
Sup
port
fam
ilym
embe
r m
arry
ing
som
eone
of
anot
her
relig
ion
Hap
py li
ving
inre
ligio
usly
div
erse
neig
hbor
hood
% Expressing Pluralistic Opinions 2006% Expressing Pluralistic Opinions 2007% Expressing Pluralistic Opinions 2008
INDONESIA PUBLIC OPINION SURVEYS
Awareness of Institutions (in %) • Except for Const. Court, a majority is aware
• Few decreases since ‘06
• Lesser awareness of national legal/ anti- corruption institutions – but has increased on ‘07
• Most widespread awareness of local admin., executive & DPR
0102030405060708090
100
Vill
age
offic
e
Sub
-dis
trict
offic
e
Reg
ent/M
ayor
Gov
erno
r
DP
R
Loca
l Cou
rts
Reg
ency
/City
DP
RD
Pro
vinc
ial
DP
RD KP
U
KP
K
Atto
rney
Gen
eral
DP
D
Sup
rem
eC
ourt BP
K
Con
stitu
tiona
lC
ourt
2006 2007 2008
INDONESIA PUBLIC OPINION SURVEYS
Net Satisfaction Ratings of Select Institutions% Of Those Aware Of Institution • Generally down
on ‘07, up on ‘06
• More positive for local level institutions – KPU best of national institutions
• More positive attitudes to ‘integrity’ bodies
• DPR negative – worse than 2006
• North Sumatra all rated negative
• Jakarta also relatively negative
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Villa
ge o
ffice
*
Sub
dis
tric
tof
fice*
Reg
ent/M
ayor
Gov
erno
r
Loca
l Cou
rts
KP
U
KP
K
Reg
ency
/City
DP
RD
Sup
rem
eC
ourt
Atto
rney
Gen
eral
Pro
vinc
ial
DP
RD
Con
stitu
tiona
lC
ourt
DP
D
BP
K
DP
R
Net satisfaction 2006 Net satisfaction 2007 Net satisfaction 2008
INDONESIA PUBLIC OPINION SURVEYS
Who Knows Their Elected Representatives?• Increase in those who
know regent/ mayor
• Few know name of a legislative representative
• Regional differences: • Governor: South
Sumatra (99%), Jakarta (87%), Papua (80%), WIJ (78%), NTT(0%).
• Regent/mayor: South, North Sumatra, WIJ, over 90%, Papua 88%
• DPRD-2 representative: Papua (37%), WIJ (20%), Aceh (17%)
1% 2%
48% 47%
2% 2% 3%10%
45%
1% 2%5%
49%
63%
97%
3%
52%
97%
6%
97%
DPD Provincial DPRD DPR Regency/CityDPRD
Governor Regent/Mayor President
Aware, 2006 Aware, 2007 Aware 2008
INDONESIA PUBLIC OPINION SURVEYS
Trust in Local Leaders and Officials • For all, more have high
than low trust
• % which ‘trust’ higher than in ‘06, mixed compared to ’07
• More likely to trust traditional leaders than local government officials – in all provinces (very large gap in Aceh)
• In most cases rural more likely to trust than urban
• Many are not aware of local NGO/community group leaders, or local judicial officials
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Local religiousleaders - ow n
religion
Localtraditionalleaders
Localgovernment
off icials
Local policeoff icers
NGO/Localcommunity
leaders
Local religiousleaders - other
religion
Judicialoff icials
High trust Neither high nor low Low trust Not aware
INDONESIA PUBLIC OPINION SURVEYS
Who Is Most Trusted to Solve Local Disputes
• Change in preferences since ’06
• From police to local government officials, and increasingly, to traditional leaders
• Differences between urban/rural in ‘06 &’07 in using police, local government officials not present in ’08.
• Rural still more likely to use traditional leaders
• Majority in Aceh, West Sumatra, WIJ most trust traditional leaders
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%
Local religious leader -other religion
Local judicial officials
Local communitygroup/NGO leader
Local religious leader -own religion
Local police officers
Local traditional leader
Local governmentofficials
2008 2007 2006
INDONESIA PUBLIC OPINION SURVEYS
Trust in Other Institutions • High trust in media – esp.
TV (59%)
• 44% trust in police – return to similar level to ’06 (52% in ‘07)
• Split attitudes to political parties – no improvement since 2006
• Many still not aware of NGOs – lack of depth in civil society?
• Almost 50% not aware of internet news
0%5%
10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%55%60%65%
High trust Neither high nor low Low trust Not aware
INDONESIA PUBLIC OPINION SURVEYS
Tax Value: % of Those Paying Taxes
• Decline in taxpayer base since 2006
• 49% pay land tax (62% 2006)
• Only 2% say pay income tax (6% in 2006)
• 41% say pay no tax (30% 2006)
• OF THOSE PAYING TAXES: 65% in 2008 say services received at least equal to taxes paid. Decrease from 73% in 2006, but up from 37% in IFES 2003 survey
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2003 2005 2006 2007 2008
Services valued more than taxes paid
Services and taxes paid equivalent
Services valued less than taxes paid
INDONESIA PUBLIC OPINION SURVEYS
Net Ratings on Local Government Issues (in %)
• Improving net ratings on accountability, service provision and accountability
• Large improvement on services
• Some improvement on responsiveness (to neutral)
• Negative and declining net ratings on transparency (+ high DKs - >20%)
36
2229
18
-7-11
47
35 32
11
-8-13
4841
3126
0
-18 -16
Loca
l gov
tex
ecut
ives
are
acco
unta
ble
Loca
l gov
tse
rvic
esha
ve g
ood
qual
ity
Mor
eco
nfid
ence
in lo
cal g
ovt
than
nat
iona
lgo
vt
Can
cha
nnel
aspi
ratio
nsto
loca
l gov
t
Loca
l gov
tre
spon
sive
to m
y ne
eds
Info
rmed
abou
t loc
algo
vtac
tivitie
s
Loca
l gov
tin
form
s ho
wit
spen
dsm
oney
*
2006 2007 2008
INDONESIA PUBLIC OPINION SURVEYS
Net Ratings on Local Government Capabilities (in %)
• Less positive than ‘07, more positive than ‘06 – except for finance
• High DKs for finance (>30%)
• Finance negativity reflects opinion on financial transparency.
• Much more negative in North Sumatra
-6 -10
3
-4
27
5
35
1320
-14
30
6 5
Mak
ing
and
impl
emen
ting
law
s
Bud
getin
g/Fi
nanc
ial
Man
agem
ent
Pro
vidi
ngco
mm
unity
serv
ices
Act
ing
fairl
y an
dho
nest
ly
Pla
nnin
g/im
plem
entin
gin
frast
ruct
ure*
Net Rating, 2006 Net Rating, 2007 Net Rating, 2008
INDONESIA PUBLIC OPINION SURVEYS
Religion’s Role in Political Affairs• Back to 2004 support for
religion playing no role
• In ‘08, majority believe that religion should play no/ minor role
• 38% think it should play main or important role (down from 50% in 2007)
• Split attitudes of Muslim respondents in ‘08: 42% say at least an important role; 39% say no role
• Regional differences: majorities pro important role in East Java, South Sulawesi; majorities pro no/little role in North & South Sumatra, West & Central Java, Aceh
14% 13% 10%
23%26%26%23%
15%24%19%24%
10%
8%13%8%
42%29%28%
42%
3%
2004 (n=1250) 2006 (n=2000) 2007 (n=2000) 2008 (n=2000)
Most important role Important part, but not most important
Some part, but politics should dominate Should not play any part
DK/NR
INDONESIA PUBLIC OPINION SURVEYS
Government Regulation of Public Behaviour• Majorities support
regulation of women’s mobility, oppose regulation of religions people may practise
• Fairly even split on women’s clothing
• Near 50% oppose regulation of criticism of public figures
• No significant differences in opinions of men and women, or urban/rural
• Secondary+ educated less likely to agree with regulation
50%
42%
57%
49%
39%
4% 5% 5%
57%
39%
46%
9%
Regulate clothingwomen can wear
Regulate religion thatpeople can practice
Regulate criticism ofpublic figures
Regulate women'smobility at night
Agree/Strongly Agree Disagree/Strongly Disagree DK/NR
INDONESIA PUBLIC OPINION SURVEYS
Equal or better Opportunity for Women in Various Areas of Life (Trend) (in %)
• Improvement since ’06 in opinions on opportunities for women in most areas – especially credit, family finance, policy influence.
• Leadership opportunities an exception
• Large majorities all 3 years in social (health, education) and some economic areas believe women have at least equal opportunity
• Both genders have similar views
75 74
5951 52
35
83 838886
81
6961 58
36
87 89
76
89 92
31
88 8981
93
48
6258
Con
trollin
gfa
mily
fina
nces
Obt
aini
ngem
ploy
men
t
Obt
aini
ngC
redi
t
Appo
inte
dm
anag
er o
fbu
sine
ss/g
ovt.
agen
cy
Influ
enci
nggo
vt. p
olic
y
Beco
me
elec
tion
cand
idat
e*
Beco
me
com
mun
ityle
ader
Fini
shin
g hi
ghsc
hool
educ
atio
n
Atte
ndin
gun
iver
sity
Acce
ss to
heal
th c
are
2006 2007 2008
INDONESIA PUBLIC OPINION SURVEYS
Effectiveness of Government Anti-Corruption Efforts
• Return to 2006 opinions after negative move in ‘07
• As in ‘07, relationship with awareness of/satisfaction with BPK, KPK
• Majority negative views in Jakarta, East Java
• In Aceh, 15% agree are effective; in Papua 22%, both with very high unaware/DK
2%
10%7%
42%
34%
42%42% 41%38%
11%
16%18%
2006 2007 2008
Not aware govt. has anti-corruption efforts Very/ Somewhat effective
Not very/Not at all effective DK/NR
INDONESIA PUBLIC OPINION SURVEYS
• Few significant changes in opinions since 2006 – slight decrease for higher courts
• Government officials (75%), most likely to be mentioned, then politicians (62%). 34% say NGOs
• All groups more widely mentioned in Jakarta. High in South Sulawesi, East Java for government officials and politicians.
• Government officials seen as most likely to successfully use influence
Institutions & Groups Inappropriately Attempting to Influence Court Decisions
0%5%
10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%55%60%65%70%75%80%85%
Gov
ernm
ent
offic
ials
Pol
itici
ans
Hig
her
cour
ts
Bus
ines
speo
ple
Org
aniz
edcr
ime
NG
O
Ord
inar
y pe
ople
2006 2007 2008
INDONESIA PUBLIC OPINION SURVEYS
• Police most likely to be seen as influenced (71% - increase on ‘07 and ‘06)
• Most at similar levels to ‘06 • Local courts increase on ‘07 • Police seen as most likely
to be subject to influence: 39% say always/usually, (36% in ‘06), Const. Court least likely (12% vs 15% in ’06 - but 59% DK)
• Urban residents more likely to believe institutions are influenced, rural not to have an opinion
Outside Influences on Justice System
0%5%
10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%55%60%65%70%75%
Pol
ice
Loca
l cou
rts
Pro
secu
tors
Atto
rney
Gen
eral
Sup
rem
eco
urt
Con
stitu
tiona
lco
urt
At least sometimes influenced Rarely or never influenced DK/NR
INDONESIA PUBLIC OPINION SURVEYS
• These are services that should be free
• Steady increase since 2006 in those paying for KTP, registering birth, irregular payments to police
• % of applicants paying for KTP ranges from 90% in WIJ (compared to 65% in Papua), 82% in East Java to a low of 24% in Aceh
• Rural more likely to say have paid for KTP; rural/urban similar for others
Percent Reporting Making Irregular Payments
56%
28%20%
8%1% 1%
32%24%
5% 1% 3%10%
2% 3%
61%
28%36%
66%
Payment toobtain a KTP
(2006 n=1238 2007 n=1539 2008 n=1207)
Payment toregister a birth(2006 n=908
2007 n=1152 2008 n=734)
Payment totraffic police
without ticketbeing issued(2006 n=8432007 n=10152008 n=678)
Payment fortuition for child
at public school (2006 n=1099 2007 n=11392008 n=850)
Payment toschool/teacher
for passinggrade for child (2006 n=812 2007 n=9902008 n=632)
Payment to haveapplication for
govt. jobaccepted (2006
n=744 2007n=876 2008
n=561)200620072008
INDONESIA PUBLIC OPINION SURVEYS
• Different perceptions of specific local vs national corruption issues
• On all issues but education, housing, a plurality say there is corruption
• Urban more likely to think there is corruption than rural
• Most widespread in North Sumatra for price of sembako (85%) and for critical services (69%), for education in WIJ (53%)
• <35s, high SES more likely to say affects jobs.
Corruption in Provision of Local Services
50%44% 43%
39%
29%
40%
30%
47% 50%
37%34% 36%
25%29% 31%
20%24%
32%
20%19%21%
Maintenanceof clinics,
roads,hospitals
Price ofsembako
Quality ofgovernment
services
Ability ofbusinessesto compete
for govt.contracts
Availability ofjobs
Cost ofeducation
Availability ofaffordablehousing
Yes No DK/NR
INDONESIA PUBLIC OPINION SURVEYS
• Marked by high proportion of ‘very bad’ rating
• Over 80% of those who believe there is corruption on any issue rate the effect as bad or very bad
• As %’s of national population, those who say bad/very bad effect are :42% for clinics etc41% for sembako36% for government services
Impact of Corruption on Provision of Local Services :% of Those Who Believe There Is Corruption
58% 62%
5%10%3%6%7%7%7%
11%8%8%11%11%4%7%
56%53%
61%51%55%
20%24%35%
23%30% 36%20%
Maintenanceof clinics,
roads,hospitals(n=996)
Price ofsembako(n=942)
Quality ofgovernment
services(n=880)
Ability ofbusinesses tocompete for
govt.contracts(n=861)
Availability ofjobs (n=778)
Cost ofeducation(n=600)
Availability ofaffordablehousing(n=582)
Very Good/Good Neither Good nor Bad Bad Very Bad
INDONESIA PUBLIC OPINION SURVEYS
• More widespread belief that there is corruption in national level issues than at local level
• The vast majority in all demographic groups believe there is corruption in the national economy.
• Urban more likely than rural to believe corruption affects parliaments (74% to 56%) : 90% in Jakarta.
• Jakarta higher for all• On all issues,
younger, higher educated more likely to believe there is corruption
Corruption in National Economy/ Governance
86%
58%64%
59%
14% 15% 14%4%
22%27%27%
10%
Overall economy ofIndonesia
Ability of Indonesianbusinesses tocompete with
businesses from othercountries
Foreign opinion ofIndonesia
Performance ofparliaments in
Indonesia
Yes No DK/NR
INDONESIA PUBLIC OPINION SURVEYS
• Very high ‘very bad’ effect ratings
• As % Indonesian population: 79% believe that corruption has bad/very bad effect on the economy55% on parliaments51% on business competition51% on foreigners opinions of Indonesia
Impact of Corruption in National Economy/Governance:% of those Who Believe There is Corruption
54%
6%4%6%5%7%6%6%3%
61%59%48%
32%44%
27% 27%
Overall economy ofIndonesia (n=1724)
Ability of Indonesianbusinesses to competewith businesses from
other countries (n=1180)
Foreign opinion ofIndonesia (n=1155)
Performance ofparliaments in Indonesia
(n=1271)
Very Good/Good Neither Good nor Bad Bad Very Bad