India's Wind Energy Market Potential
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Transcript of India's Wind Energy Market Potential
A POTENTIAL ASSESSMENT
India’s Power SectorDespite Government of India’s (GOI) endeavour to augment powergeneration capacity of different sources, demand and supply gap isincreasing;
Energy shortage in 2007‐ 08 was estimated at 10% ( touching 17% duringpeak seasons);
By 2012, India’s energy requirement to touch 975,222 MU ( and peakdemand 1,571,070 MU); an increase of 31.9% and 44.3% respectivelyfrom the current demand; *
GOI aims to increase the per capita consumption of electricity to 1000units by year 2012, envisaged a capacity addition of 100,000 MW to meetits mission of ‘Power for All by 2012’;
* Central Electricity Authority (CEA) estimates
India’s Power Sector
Currently 24.7 % of installed energy generation capacity is from hydropower, 64.6% from thermal generation including gas;
Nuclear energy constitutes about 2.9% and non‐conventional energysources, of which wind energy is predominant, constitute about 7.7%;
Thermal, 93475.34
MW
Hydro, 36877.76
MWNuclear, 4102
MW
Renewable Energy Sources, 13242.41
MW
Source: Ministry of Power, Government of India (as on Feb 28, 2009)
India’s Power Sector
State Sector, 76115.77
Central Sector,
48970.99
Private Sector,
22628.75
Total Installed Capacity (in MW)
Source: Ministry of Power, Government of India (as on Feb 28, 2009)
Wind Energy SectorWind, hydro, biomass and solar are the main renewable energy sources;
Wind energy has posted the highest growth rates;
26.95 billion units of electricity were generated from wind during 2005‐06 to 2007‐08;
In 2008, India added 1,800 MW taking the total wind energy installedcapacity to 9,645 MW;
This placed it in the 5th position in the world, after USA (25,170 MW),Germany (23,900 MW), Spain (16,754 MW) and China (12,210 MW);
Source: Ministry of New and Renewable Energy, Government of India
Wind Energy Sector
450
1000
1500
1716 17421663
2005-06 2006-07 2007-08
Wind Power Generation: Target Vs Achievement ( In MW)
Target Achievement
Source: Ministry of New and Renewable Energy, Government of India
Wind Energy: GOI PolicyUnder the 11th Five Year Plan (2007 to 2012), GOI has envisaged plans toincrease the installed capacity of renewable energy to 10 per cent of totalpower generation;
Out of 70,000 MW installed capacity addition during the 11th Planperiod, 14,500 MW (about 20%) capacity additions is proposed fromrenewable.;
A bulk of the proposed renewable power capacity addition is expectedthrough private investment, for which a suitable policy environmentwould need to continue;
Source: Planning Commission, Government of India
Wind Energy: GOI PolicyA target of 10,500 MW has been fixed for Eleventh Five Year Plan for windpower capacity addition through commercial projects with private sectorinvestments;
Source: Planning Commission, Government of India
Grid‐interactive wind power projects
Physical Targets of 11th Plan 10500 MW
Proposed Outlay Rs 75 Crore (for demo)
Distributed/decentralized wind power
Physical Targets of 11th Plan 950 MW
Proposed Outlay Rs 1900 Crore
Wind Energy: GOI PolicyGOI has taken various steps to promote Wind Energy in the country;
In the 11th Five Year Plan the Government has announced CentralFinancial Assistance schemes (CFA) for the Grid‐interactive renewablepower projects;
The government provides subsidies for the distributed/ decentralizedpower projects that are and also dispersed generation of electricity;
A provision of Rs.75 crore is being kept for demonstration wind powerproject in States where there is sizable potential but no commercialactivity has commenced;
GOI has announced Generation based incentives (GBI) for Grid InteractiveWind Power Projects” during 2008‐09 to 2011‐12.
Source: Ministry of New & Renewable Energy, Government of India
Wind Energy: PotentialTamil Nadu, Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, Rajasthan, Maharashtra, Gujaratand Madhya Pradesh account for over 99% of wind power installations inIndia;
The state wise achievement in the last three years
Source: Ministry of New & Renewable Energy, Government of India
State 2005‐06 2006‐07 2007‐08
Andhra Pradesh 0.5 0.8 0.0
Gujarat 84.5 284 617
Karnataka 144 266 190
Kerala 0.0 0.0 8.5
Madhya Pradesh 11 16 130
Rajasthan 73 112 69
Tamil Nadu 858 578 381
Wind Energy: PotentialThe capacity addition depends on various factors such as quality of windpotential, land availability for wind power generation and gridpenetration etc;
Source: Center for Wind Energy Technology
Wind Energy: PotentialAccording to an assessment of AWS Truewind, India has an wind potentialof 65,000 MW;
There are land areas with excellent wind project potential where windspeeds exceed 9.0 m/s at 80 meter hub height in some of the higherelevations;
Lower elevation areas also show promise with speeds at 100 m heightranging from 6.5 m/s ‐ 8.0 m/s;
The significant resource coupled with continued government supportmakes India a very attractive location for wind development;