GLOBAL WIND ENERGY POTENTIAL
Transcript of GLOBAL WIND ENERGY POTENTIAL
GLOBAL WIND ENERGY
POTENTIAL
GLOBAL WIND ENERGY
POTENTIAL
Colin Palmer
THE MARKETTHE MARKET
Global Wind Energy CapacityGlobal Wind Energy Capacity
0
20
40
60
80
100
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
GW
2006 Capacity by Country2006 Capacity by Country
USA
Germany
India
Spain
China
France
Canada
ROW
Total Capacity by CountryTotal Capacity by Country
Germany
Spain
USA
India
ROW
SUMMARYSUMMARY
w20GW/yr by 2008
w>100GW total by 2008
w Increasing diversity
w Less reliance on Europe
And in the UK?And in the UK?
w2 GW total
w< 3% global capacity
wOffshore to the rescue?
w10GW pipeline–304MW built
THE INDUSTRYTHE INDUSTRY
VESTASVESTAS
w£3.0 bn/yr sales
w12,000 employees
w30% market share
w20GW to date
OTHERSOTHERS
w Enercon
wGamesa
wRePower
w Suzlon
Consolidation
TURBINE DESIGNTURBINE DESIGN
w3 blade upwind
w1.5MW to 5MW
wOnshore and offshore
wReliable and proven
w Incremental advance
ISSUESISSUES
w Supply shortages
wConnection
w Permitting
w (Intermittency)
It’s the policies, stupid
0
5
10
15
20
25
0 100 200 300 400 500 600
LAND AREA
DENSITYDENSITY
60 kW per sq km= 14 GW in UK
Germany
SpainDenmark
UK
France
DEALS BEING DONEDEALS BEING DONE
wGamesa/Iberdrola–£1.5 bn supply over two years
wTexas loop–4,200 MW connection–$1.5 bn
SUPERGRIDSUPERGRID