IIPM RM 3 Impact of Organized on Unorganized 13

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    IMPACT OF ORGANIZED &UNORGANIZED RETAIL

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    GENERAL

    Real GDP will grow at 8% in next five years

    620 million household with incomes aboveRs. 90,000 by 2011-12

    Retail in India will grow at 13 per cent to Rs.

    26 lakh crores by 2011-12.

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    GENERAL

    10.69 million firms retail trade (5.23 in rural

    and 5.46 in urban areas)

    Total employment in these firms was 18.54

    million (7.88 million in rural and 10.65 million

    in urban sector)

    This is 7.3 per cent of the country workforce

    Wholesale trade contributed an employment

    of 5.48 million (1.71 million in rural and 3.77

    million in urban sector)

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    Will grow at 10% per cent

    Sales from Rs. 14 Lakh crore in 2007 to Rs.

    22.3 lakh crore by 2012. Weak financial state

    Physical space constraint on expansion

    Alone will not be able to meet growing retaildemand

    UNORGANIZED PROFILE

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    Will grow at 45-50% per annum

    Share will touch 16% 2012

    Unorganized and organized retail can coexist

    and grow in size

    Unorganized retailers intend to continue and

    compete rather than exit

    ORGANIZED SECTOR PROFILE

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    Unorganized retailers close to organized

    initially experience decline in business

    This weakens over time

    No evidence of decline in overall

    employment

    Annual closure rate of unorganized is 4.2% Much lower than international closure rate

    small businesses

    IMPACT ON UNORGANIZED

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    Improved business practices and technology

    Extending more credit to attract customers

    Only 12% have access to institutional credit

    37% felt need for better access to bank credit

    Only 10% preferred to become franchisees oforganized retailers

    IMPACT ON UNORGANIZED

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    Overall consumer spending has increased

    Lower income consumers saved morethrough organized retail purchases

    Proximity major comparative advantage of

    unorganized outlets

    IMPACT ON CONSUMERS

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    Significant competitive strengths of

    unorganized retailers

    Consumer goodwill

    Credit sales

    Bargaining

    Sale of loose items

    Convenient timings

    Home delivery.

    IMPACT ON CONSUMERS

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    Some adverse impact on intermediaries

    dealing fruit, vegetables, and apparel. > 70% plan to expand their businesses in

    response to retail expansion

    22% do not want the next generation toenter the same business

    IMPACT ON INTERMEDIARIES

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    Large ones feel competitive impact through

    price and payment pressure

    They respond through

    Building and reinforcing brand strength

    Increasing own retail presence

    Adopting small retailers

    Setting up dedicated teams to deal with

    modern retailers

    IMPACT ON MANUFACTURERS

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    Organized retail is transforming the logistics

    industry

    This create significant positive externalities

    across the economy.

    Small manufacturers do not report any

    significant impact of organized retail

    IMPACT ON MANUFACTURERS