Hypoxia & living resources: Perspectives from Chesapeake ...Hypoxia & living resources: Perspectives...

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Hypoxia & living resources: Perspectives from Chesapeake Bay and cross-system comparisons Denise Breitburg Smithsonian Environmental Research Center

Transcript of Hypoxia & living resources: Perspectives from Chesapeake ...Hypoxia & living resources: Perspectives...

Hypoxia & living resources:

Perspectives from Chesapeake Bay and

cross-system comparisons

Denise Breitburg

Smithsonian Environmental Research Center

Productive Fisheries

Contrasting effects of

nutrient enrichment

Atlantic menhaden in Narragansett Bay

Fish kills

Declining water quality

Declining fisheries landings

& health of fish populations

Long history of concern

Time

Mid 20th century

& health of fish populations

Understanding the water quality – fish – fisheries link is

critically important

Can’t transition to ecosystem-based management and can’t implement

management actions to restore declining populations without unfairly

penalizing the wrong sectors unless we understand the contributions of:

Water &

habitat

quality

Fisheries

mortality Climate

cycles &

directional quality directional

change

Chesapeake & beyond - outline

•What we know from experiments & field sampling about

effects on mobile consumers

•Why it’s hard to scale up to population-level effects

•Cross system comparisons

•Diel cycling hypoxia – mostly oysters

•Scaling up•Scaling up

•The other acidification problem

In Chesapeake Bay:

• Favors gelatinous zooplankton

• Reduces growth rates

Effects of hypoxia

at the local scale:

Mortality

Altered Trophic

Reduced Growth/Avoidance

• Reduces growth rates

• Forces fish (sturgeon, striped bass) into

• surface waters with high temperatures

• Compromises immune response of oysters

• High mortality of bay anchovy and

• maybe weakfish eggs

• Fish kills, mortality of newly settled oyster spat

• Important temperature * hypoxia interactions

…lost habitat, lost production, mortality

Altered Trophic

Interactions

Reduced

Reproduction

Reduced Immune

Response

Sea Ctenophores planktivorous

nettles fish

+ +- -o

Effect of low dissolved oxygen on trophic interactions

Hypoxic areas can increase predation

by and energy flow to tolerant

predators such as gelatinous

zooplankton

fish eggs fish larvae zooplankton-

Julie KeisterBreitburg et al., 1997, 1999, 2003

Adamack et al., 2012

Some species are

particularly sensitive

because they show joint

sensitivity to fishing and

hypoxia

100000

200000

300000

400000

Virginia Harvest (kg)

No data

1974 VA closure

1998 ASMFC

closure

Atlantic SturgeonAtlantic sturgeon

1880-89

1890-99

1900-09

1910-19

1920-29

1930-39

1940-49

1950-59

1960-69

1970-79

1980-89

1990-99

2000-02

Decade

0

No data

Figures from Dave SecorSee also: Niklitschek, E.J. and Secor, D.H. 200

& Niklitschek 2001

-0.02

-0.01

0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

0.08

5 10 15 20 25 30

Temperature (oC)

Instantaneous daily growth rate

DO=40%

DO=70%

DO=100%

Compensatory mechanisms

•Behavior, growth and fishing practices

result in spatial and temporal

averaging by fish and fisheries

Evidence of negative population-

level effects elusive

averaging by fish and fisheries

Hypoxia direct effects

dominant

Direct and indirect effects of hypoxia and

increased production

Increased production and

Indirect effects of hypoxia

Increased production effects only

landland

•turbidity as a substitute refuge for

submerged macrophytes

Compensatory mechanisms

•Behavior, growth and fishing practices

result in spatial and temporal averaging by

fish and fisheries

Abundant Solomons Island

SAV during May 1938

submerged macrophytes

compared to Summer 1999

Strong effect of turbidity on piscivore

Lack of turbidity effect on 2

planktivores at high and low light

Figure from: http://www.bio.uib.no/modelling/files/fishvision_515x222.bmp

De Robertis et al. 2003

http://www.statesymbolsusa.org/IMAGES/New_Hampshire/striped_bass_art_380.jpg

Compensatory mechanisms

•Behavior, growth and fishing practices

result in spatial and temporal averaging by

fish and fisheries

•overfishing keeps populations below

•turbidity as a substitute refuge for

submerged macrophytes

•overfishing keeps populations below

habitat-determined carrying capacity –

therefore little effect of

decreased habitat

effects strongest when pops high and

affected habitat is critical and limited

Anadromous species Larvae over shelf

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

7.00

8.00

1960

1970

1980

1990

2000

10.00

12.00

14.00

16.00

18.00

spot

Atlantic

menhaden

0.00

2.00

4.00

6.00

8.00

10.00

12.00

14.00

16.00

18.00

20.00

25.00

30.00

35.00

40.00

45.00

50.00

Striped

bass

White

perch

Young- of-Year

Geometric means

Importance of

Climate

Cycles

0.00

2.00

4.00

6.00

8.00

1960

1970

1980

1990

2000

0.00

0.05

0.10

0.15

0.20

0.25

0.30

0.35

0.40

0.45

0.50

1960

1970

1980

1990

2000

bluefish

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

1960

1970

1980

1990

2000

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

1960

1970

1980

1990

2000

herrings

of MD shore

seine surveys

Based on

Wood, et al 2009

& unpubl

Commercial Landings

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

1960

1970

1980

1991

2001

million pounds

striped

bass1.0

3.0

5.0

7.0

9.0

11.0

13.0

1960

1970

1980

1990

2000

million pounds

Atlantic

menhaden

600

800

1000

1200

thousand pounds

bluefish

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

1960

1970

1980

1990

2000

thousand pounds

white perch

0

200

400

1960

1970

1980

1990

2000

thousand pounds

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

1960

1970

1980

1990

2000

million pounds

blue crab

POPULATION

Nutrient/habitat

management

Fisheries

management

Adaptive/flexible

fisheries

regulations

Minimize

Risk of

Collapse

Improving water quality is important –

but is not sufficient to restore fisheries species

Landings fish and mobile invertebrates (log10 kg km-2 year -1)

2.6

2.8

3.0

3.2

3.4

3.6

3.8

4.0

4.2

4.4

4.4

Basin + atmos NBasin + Atmos N

<2 % hypoxia

Scaling up-

cross-system comparisons

Chesapeake BayLandings fish and mobile invertebrates (log10 kg km

N loadings (log10 kg km-2 surface area year -1)

2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0

2.6

2.8

3.0

3.2

3.4

3.6

3.8

4.0

4.2 Total N <2 % hypoxia

4-19% hypoxia

22-31% hypoxia

40-77% hypoxia

Breitburg et al., 2009. Ann

Rev Mar Sci

Is the problem relying on fisheries data to ask

questions about populations & food webs?

f

Mobile consumers

Food web

characteristics

NITROGEN

LOICZ

other system-specific models

Global NEWS model

Global atmospheric deposition

models

OCEANIC INPUTS

models results SYSTEM CHARACTERISTICS

ECOPATH FOOD WEB MODELS

biomasses

fisheries removals

food web composition

food web & ecosystem

metrics

HYPOXIA

persistence

extent

HYPOFIN working group

Bob Christian, John Harrison, Roman Zajac, Dave Chagaris,

Howard Townsend, Lori Davias, Behzad Mahmoudi, Sheila

Heymans, Olle Hjerne, Dennis Swaney, Denise Breitburg,

Karin Limburg, Lyne Morissette, Marta Coll, Kenny Rose, Mike

Frisk, Bob Diaz, Carrie Byron

characteristicsmodels results

system openness

upwelling

SYSTEM CHARACTERISTICS

area, depth

temperature

tidal range

chl a

primary productivity

additional recreational &

commercial landings data

Over 80 systems in database

Over 70 with full data from Ecopath models

log10 basin+atmospheric TN (kg km-2)

2 3 4 5 6 7

percent bottom area <3 m

g/L

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

diel-cycling hypoxia

log10 basin+atmospheric TN (kg km-2)

2 3 4 5 6 7

percent bottom area <3 mg/L

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

seasonalhypoxia

log10 basin+atmospheric TN (kg km-2)

2 3 4 5 6 7

percent bottom area <3 m

g/L

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

persistent deep basins

major upwelling systems Model R2= 0.72 p<0.003

Source of variation p upwelling_category 0.0392 log10 (openness) 0.0237 log10 basin+atmosTN 0.0472 warmest month mean oC 0.078

Systems with seasonal hypoxia

log10 m

obile consumer biomass (t km2)

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

Chesapeake

Bay ~ 23 T/km2

percent bottom < 3 mg L-1

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

log10 m

obile consumer biomass (t km

-0.2

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

sqrt (mobile consumer biomass / basin + atm

os TN)

2

3

4

linear R2= 0.32

4-parameter sigmoidal R2=0.50

percent bottom <3 mg L-1

0 20 40 60sqrt (mobile consumer biomass / basin + atm

os TN)

0

1

seasonalhypoxia

Mean trophic level of catch

3.5

4.0

4.5

R2=0.27

HYPOFINMean trophic level of catch ~

Basin+atmospheric TN (p<0.001)

Upwelling category (p=.06)

Annual average temperature (p=0.02)

ln basin + atmospheric TN (kg km-3)

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14

Mean trophic level of catch

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

mobile consumer catch (T km2)

6

8

10

12

14

16

mobile consumer biomass (T km2)

40

60

80

100

120

140

none-or-minima

l

diel-cycling

upwelling

seasonal

persiste

nt

mobile consumer catch (T km

0

2

4

6

Type of hypoxia

none-or-minimaldiel-cycling upwelling seasonal persistent

mobile consumer biomass (T km

0

20

Diel cycling hypoxia

dissolved oxygen (mg/L)

10

12

Natural phenomenon

Exacerbated by

• anthropogenic nutrient enrichment

• local hydrodynamics

• weather

dissolved oxygen (mg/L)

0

2

4

6

8

10

Diel-cycling hypoxia

Harness Creek, MD

Harness Creek Honga River

St. Mary’s River

Harness Creek Honga River St. Mary’s R

Creates temporal & spatial variability at

a variety of scales

Affects productive refuge from deep-

water hypoxia

Affects habitat that is important predator

refuge for small & juvenile fish

Is oyster susceptibility to

disease increased by the

hypoxic conditions

encountered

in shallow water habitats?

Low oxygen reduces

hermocyte function in

oysters- Boyd &

Burnett

2009

Infection prevalence (mean + SE)

0.3

0.4

0.5

2010

0.6

0.8

1 yr old 1 yr old

Diel-cycling hypoxia increases

acquisition of P. marinus infections

in experimental oysters

Jun 25

Oct 13

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8Infection prevalence (mean + SE)

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.5 mg L-1

1.5 mg L-1

high oxygen control

0.0

0.2

0.4

Jun 25

Oct 13

0

2

4

6

8

8 12 4 8 12 4

Dis

solv

ed

oxy

ge

n (

mg

/L)

AM PM

1.21.0Exposure = decreased feeding

Recovery phase: partial

compensation but only by older oysters

control 1.5 mg/L 0.5 mg/L

clearance rate (L h-1ind-1)

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1.0

1.1

1.2

control 1.5 mg/L 0.5 mg/L

clearance rate (L h-1ind-1)

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

Virginia Clark- in prep

Field experiment (2008-09)

} 2008

2009

Pa

tuxe

nt

10.0Jun Jul Aug OctSep

Darryl Hodorp

(USGS) , in prep

julian day

160 180 200 220 240 260 280 300

Daily m

inimum [DO] (m

g l-1)

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

HCR

HPL

LMN

MUL

SERC

Jun Jul Aug OctSep

3 mg/l

2 mg/l

1 mg/l

Prevalence Intensity

1 yr olds: P= 0.009 P= 0.02

R2 = 0.53 R2 = 0.44

2-3 yr olds: ns P= 0.014

R2 = 0.51

Increased disease

Prevalence & intensity

Decreased growthPercent increase in shell height

35

40

45

50

Frequency of days with minimum [DO] <= 2.0 mg/L

0 10 20 30 40

Percent increase in shell height

15

20

25

30

Sites < 2 m

depth

Diel-cycling hypoxia has the potential to contribute to

landscape-level spatial variation in epizootics,

ecosystem services provided by oyster restoration,

and the success of restoration

CHRP: Shallow water hypoxia

Tipping the balance for

individuals, populations and

ecosystems

Denise Breitburg, SERC

Timothy Targett, UDEL

Kenneth Rose, LSU

Howard Townsend, NOAA CBO

Bruce Michaels, MD DNR

Eutrophication Increased CO2

nutrients

Respiration

-O2 +CO2algae -O2 +CO2

microbes Low oxygen

And Low pH

algae

dissolved oxygen (mg/L)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

8.0

8.5

Oxygen and pH daily cycles

UNEP/GRID-Arendal. Global Ocean Acidification. UNEP/GRID-

Arendal Maps and Graphics Library. 2009. Available at:

http://maps.grida.no/go/graphic/global-ocean-acidification.

time of daypH

6.5

7.0

7.5

8.0

y = 0.1557x + 6.7573

R² = 0.7186

7.2

7.4

7.6

7.8

8M

ea

n d

ail

y m

inim

um

pH

hypoxia and pH in shallow water

June – August 2004-2009

6.8

7

7.2

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Me

an

da

ily

min

imu

m p

H

Mean daily minimum dissolved oxygen (mg/L)

Data from MD-DNR shallow water monitoring

program continuous monitoring sites with mean

summer salinity >7.0

eyes on the bay

Experimental set-up for testing effects individual and interactive effects of diel-cycling

hypoxia and pH on oyster disease dynamics, growth and filtration

Master

(1 rep/trt)

Slave

(5 reps/trt)

Dissolved

Oxygen

(mg/L)pH

Treatments

control control

7.0 7.0 –– 8.08.0control

LabView program

NIT

RO

GE

NN

ITR

O

GE

NN

ITR

O

GE

NN

ITR

O

GE

NN

ITR

O

GE

NN

ITR

O

GE

NC

O2

OX

YG

EN

NIT

RO

GE

N

Mass flow

controllers

(Dakota)

Air compressorsCO2

analyzer

Raw

Estuarine

water

Raw

Estuarine

water

Adult infected oysters

7.0 7.0 –– 8.08.01.5 - 10

control0.5 - 10

7.0 7.0 –– 8.08.00.5 - 10

Barometric pressure

Perkinsus

Raw

Estuarine

water

RawRaw

Estuarine

water

Extra algae

Dissolved oxygen (Oxyguard)

pH (Durafet)

Temperature

Salinity

Is oyster susceptibility to disease increased by the

hypoxic, acidic conditions encountered

in shallow water habitats?

Why focus on shallow water is important?

•Memory of oysters in knee deep water

•Shallow water restoration may have largest effect on •Shallow water restoration may have largest effect on

water quality

•Shallow water restoration may have largest effect on

shoreline protection

•Shallow water restoration has greatest potential for

co-restoration of bivalves & SAV

•Shallow water is a refuge from deep water persistent low

oxygen

Major need to consider

co-occurring stressors –

fisheries, pH, etc. - and

develop tools to integrate

across time, space and

species

Large persistent dead zones are dramatic, but short-

lived hypoxia and constantly changing oxygen may

have important effects relevant to management &

restoration

If we want to improve fisheries and the

living resource populations on which

fisheries depend:

We may need to manage our fisheries more

aggressively to compensate for water quality problems

Joint management of nutrients and fisheries critical

•Political feasibility of implementing changes

•Different stressors may be important at high and low points in population •Different stressors may be important at high and low points in population

cycles

Fisheries management – responsiveness to climate-driven population variability

and change

Eutrophication – wholesale destruction of Chesapeake Bay

•No excuse – natural system that inspired poetry & literature has been

transformed into a poorly managed protein production facility

•Don’t know consequences

•Dangerous to rest too much case for clean-up on benefit to fisheries

species

Relating community composition, abundance, growth, and condition of

aquatic macrofauna to watershed land use and shoreline alteration in

Chesapeake Bay.

Denise Breitburg

Matthew S. Kornis

Rochelle D. Seitz

Donna M. Bilkovic

Richard Balouskus

Timothy E. Targett

Ryan S. King

Steve Giordano

Shoreline alteration

Steve Giordano

Jim Uphoff

John M. Jacobs

Lori A. Davias

Keira Heggie

Heather Soulen

Part of Jordan et al. mid-Atlantic

stressors grant

Land use

43 Subestuaries

694 samples

730,000 individuals enumerated

**Preliminary**Multiple Regression Analysis

Response Land Use? Shoreline

Habitat?

Fish Richness X X

Blue Crab X

Mummichog X X

Atlantic

Silverside

X X

White Perch X

Striped Bass X

Grass Shrimp X X

Centrachidae X X

Menhaden