Human Resource Planning 641

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    HUMAN RESOURCE PLANNING

    Right number of people with right skillsat right place at right time to implement

    organizational strategies in order toachieve organizational objectives

    In light of the organizations objectives,

    corporate and business level strategies,HRP is the process of analyzing anorganizations human resource needsand developing plans, policies, and

    systems to satisfy those needs

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    HUMAN RESOURCE PLANNING

    Setting human resource objectivesand deciding how to meet them

    Ensuring HR resource supply

    meets human resource demands

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    HRP Process Interfacing with strategic planning and

    scanning the environment

    Taking an inventory of the companys

    current human resources

    Forecasting demand for humanresources

    Forecasting the supply of HR from withinthe organization and in the externallabor market

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    HRP Process Cont.

    Comparing forecasts of demandand supply

    Planning the actions needed todeal with anticipated shortage or

    overages Feeding back such information into

    the strategic planning process.

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    Example of the Basic Human

    Resources Planning Model

    Organizational

    Objectives

    Human Resource

    Requirements

    Human Resource

    Programs

    Feasibility

    Analysis

    1 2 3

    4

    5

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    HRP Model

    Strategic Human Resource Planning

    Links 1 & 5: HR objectives are linked to

    organizational objectives and planning Designed to insure consistency

    between organization's strategic

    planning process and HRP. So objectives of strategic plan are feasible

    and

    HR programs are designed around what

    organizational objectives and strategies

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    Example of the Basic Human

    Resources Planning Model

    Organizational

    Objectives

    Human Resource

    Requirements

    Human Resource

    Programs

    Feasibility

    Analysis

    1 2 3

    4

    5

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    HRP Model Cont.

    Operational Human Resource Planning

    Steps 2,3, & 4

    Ensure HRP programs are coordinatedand allows the organization to meet its

    human resource requirements.

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    Link 1: Determine Demand

    (labor requirements) How many people need to be working and in

    what jobs to implement organizational

    strategies and attain organizationalobjectives.

    Involves forecasting HR needs based onorganizational objectives

    Involves consideration of alternative waysof organizing jobs (job design,organizational design or staffing jobs)

    Example - Peak production could be handled by temporaryworkers or assigning overtime. Machine breakdowns assignedto maintenance department or handled by machine operators

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    Link 2: Determine HR Supply(availability)

    Choose HRM programs (supply)

    Involves forecasting or predicting effect ofvarious HR programs on employee flowinginto, through and out various jobclassifications.

    First determine how well existing programs are

    doing then forecast what additional programsor combination of programs will do

    Need to know capabilities of variousprograms and program combinations

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    Determine Feasibility

    Links 3 & 4 Capable of being done

    Requires knowledge of programs, how

    programs fit together and externalenvironmental constraints (e.g., laborforce, labor unions, technology created skillshortages) and internal environmental

    constraints (skill shortages within theorganization, financial resources,managerial attitudes, culture)

    Do the benefits outweigh the costs

    Difficulty in quantifying costs and benefits

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    Revise OrganizationalObjectives and Strategies Link

    5If no feasible HR program can be devised,

    the organization must revise strategic

    plans.

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    Shortcomings of the model - HRP

    in Practice Oversimplification of planning process -

    Planning does not normally proceeds till

    find first acceptable plan More than one set of HR goals to satisfy

    link 1 and more that one acceptable planto satisfy link 2 so:

    Typically choose the best HR goal forthe strategic plan and the best programto satisfy that HR goal

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    Shortcomings of the model -

    HRP in Practice Oversimplification of the benefit of

    planning is the specific plans that result

    Planning process has value in and of itself HRP in practice is usually less rational

    and may omit one or more of the steps May lack knowledge required for

    forecasting

    Incorrect assumptions about effectivenessof HR programs

    Does not engage in strategic planning

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    HRP should be:

    Done to guide and coordinate all HRactivities so they work together to

    support the overall strategy

    Responsive to internal and externalenvironment

    Planning - done in advance

    Strategic - linked with higher level

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    Human Resource Forecasting

    Process of projecting the organizationsfuture HR needs (demand) and how itwill meet those needs (supply) under agiven set of assumptionsabout theorganizations policies and theenvironmental conditions in which itoperates.

    Without forecasting cannot assess thedisparity between supply and demand

    nor how effective an HR program is inreducin the dis arit .

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    Forecasting as a Part of Human Resource Planning

    DEMAND

    FORECASTING

    SUPPLY

    FORECASTING

    Determine

    organizational

    objectives

    Demand

    forecast for

    each objective

    Aggregate

    demandforecast Does aggregatesupply meet

    aggregate

    demand?

    Go to feasibility analysis steps

    Choose human

    resource programs

    External programs

    Recruiting

    External selection

    Executive

    exchange

    Internal programs

    Promotion

    Transfer

    Career planning

    Training

    Turnover control

    Internal supply forecast External supply forecast

    Aggregate supply

    forecastNo

    Yes

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    Internal Supply Forecasting

    Information Organizational features (e.g.,

    staffing capabilities)

    Productivity - rates of productivity,productivity changes

    Rates of promotion, demotion,transfer and turnover

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    External Supply Forecasting

    Information External labor market factors

    (retirements, mobility, education,

    unemployment)

    Controllable company factors onexternal factors (entry-levelopenings, recruiting, compensation)

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    Demand Forecasting

    Information Organizational and unit

    strategic plans

    Size of organization

    Staff and Managerial Support

    Organizational design

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    Considerations in Establishing

    a Forecasting System How sophisticated

    Appropriate time frame

    Subjective versus objectiveforecasting methods

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    System Sophistication

    Organizational size large organizations require more complex

    forecasting systems and likely to have therequired skilled staff

    Organizational complexity complex career paths and diverse skill

    requirements lead to more complex forecastingsystems

    Organizational objectives the greater the gap between current HR situationand desired HR situation the more sophisticatedthe system

    Organizational plans and strategies

    the complex the plans are the more complex theforecasting system

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    Forecasting Time Frame

    Depends on degree of environmentaluncertainty

    Factors creating uncertainty (shortening

    time frame) many new competitors, changes in technology,changes in social, political and economic climate,unstable product demand

    Factors promoting stability (longer time

    frame) strong competitive position, slowly developingtechnology, stable product demand.

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    Subjective VS. ObjectiveForecasting

    Objective is inappropriate when:

    Lack expertise to use objective

    methods

    Lack the historical data or HR database is inadequate

    Forecasting horizon is too long for theavailable objective method

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    Demand Forecasting Methods

    Delphi Method

    Staffing Table Approach Regression Analysis Time Series Analysis

    Linear Programming

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    Supply Forecasting Methods

    Skills Inventory

    Replacement Charts Succession Planning Flow Modeling/Markov Analysis Computer Simulations