How measurements of illegal drugs, alcohol and...
Transcript of How measurements of illegal drugs, alcohol and...
How measurements of illegal drugs, alcohol and
nicotine in wastewater can improve and supplement
substance use epidemiology
NADRA Stockholm 27-29 August 2014
Ellen J. Amundsen, Norwegian Institute for Alcohol and Drug Research
Kevin Thomas, Norwegian Institute for Water Research
Malcolm Reid, Norwegian Institute for Water Research
www.sirus.no
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Content
• Measurements in substance use epidemiology, brief overview
• Wastewater measurements
1. Examples
2. Measurement procedure
3. Strengths and weaknesses
4. Derived epidemiological measures
5. Researchers in the Nordic countries involved in wastewater
measurements
6. Activities/ networks/ research
7. References
Traditional sources and measurements
• Individual measurements
– Population surveys
– Surveys in user groups (persons in treatment, in relief
measures, among users)
– Biologic materials: Measurements in hair/ saliva/ blood/
urine
– Register data
• Aggregated measurements
– Customs and police seizures
– Sales figures for alcohol and tobacco
– Surveys or registered information reported by personnel in
the municipalities
• Statistical techniques
– Assemble/combine several data sources
– Statistical modelling
Measurements in wastewater
• What is consumed is excreted – some of it in the
toilet
• Substances that can be measured:
– Cocaine
– Amphetamine
– Methamphetamine
– Cannabis
– Ecstasy
– Opioids: Heroin/6MAM, Morphine, Codeine,
Methadone/EDDP
– Synthetic cannabinoids (In progress)
– Alcohol
– Nicotine
– Other pharmaceutical drugs that are misused
Daily measurements of methamphetamine and
cocaine in Oslo from 4-30. September 2009. Milligram per hour
Source: Figure 2 in Malcolm Reid et al.: Quantitative assessment of time dependent drug-
use trends by the analysis of drugs and related metabolites in raw sewage. Drug and
Alcohol Dependence 119 (2011)
Amphetamine consumption in 19 cities in Europe.
2011
Thomas, K. et al. Comparing illicit drug use in 19 European cities through sewage
analysis. Science of The Total Environment 2012
Consumption loads of cocaine, heroin, cannabis (THC)
and methamphetamine in Milan 2005-2009
Source: Zuccato et al. Changes in illicit drug consumption patterns in 2009 detected by
wastewater analysis. DAD 118 (2011)
Source: NIVA
Source: NIVA
From application by NIVA to NRC
Source. Malcolm Read, NIVA
Sources of bias and uncertainty
• What proportion of consumption is excreted from the
body to the toilet?
• Any leaks in the sewer pipes? Overflow during heavy
rain?
• Any influential chemical processes in the sewer?
• Proper wastewater plant description?
• Proper measurement place?
• Proper sampling plan?
• Proper measurement instrument and analysis?
• Proper back calculation estimation procedure?
Requirements for quality measurements
• (Get access to wastewater plant)
• Establish knowledge about wastewater plants
• Standardize procedures for sampling wastewater
• Standardize procedures for chemical analyses
• Measure water flow in wastewater plants
• Estimate population associated with wastewater
plants
Strengths and weaknesses
Strengths
1. Measure consumption in cities with low costs
2. Realistic estimates of uncertainty (with good sampling and
back-calculation procedures)
3. Results on a daily/weekly/monthly/yearly basis
4. Effective to find presence of new drugs (with known
‘chemistry’)
Weaknesses
1. Difficult and costly to measure in areas with many small
wastewater plants and thus for a whole country
2. Aggregated measure, no personal information
3. Variation in measurements vs. variation in consumption to
be explored further
4. No good way of measuring heroin so far
5. Identify the population associated with the plant.
Commuters?
Possible estimates derived from back-calculated
wastewater measurements
1. Grams of pure substance consumed per day (or other period)
2. With knowledge of purity: market size in grams
3. With knowledge of the number of persons associated with the
wastewater plant: grams per 1000 persons per day
4. With knowledge of the average dose consumed of the
substance: the number of doses consumed per day (per 1000
associated person)
5. With knowledge of average consumption per person per day
(24 hour): the number of persons consuming per day (per 1000
associated person)
Methodology: Can use surveys to calculate quantity/frequency
measures of consumption and compare with wastewater results REID, M., LANGFORD, K. H., GRUNG, M. et al. (2012) Estimation of cocaine consumption in the
community: a critical comparison of the results from three complimentary techniques. British
Medical Journal Open, 2:e001637.
Nordic monitoring activity
• Norway: Norwegian Institute for Water Research: Kevin Thomas and
Malcolm Reid/ SIRUS Ellen J. Amundsen / SERAF (Sewprof) Jørgen
Bramness
• Finland: Åbo Academic University: Axel Meierjohann/ National Institute
for Health and Welfare (THL): Aino Kankaanpää, Kari Ariniemi, Kimmi
Kuoppasalmi and Teemu Gunnar / Helsinki Regions Environmental
Services HSY: Mari Heinonen
• Sweden: Umeå University: Marcus Østman
• Denmark: Technical University of Denmark: Benedek Plosz
• Iceland: University of Iceland: Kristin Olafsdottir, Arndis Löve
Activities, networks, research
• Conference on Wastewater-based Epidemiology: Testing the
Waters 2015, 11-15 October, Monte Verità, Ascona,
Switzerland. www.testingthewaters2015.ch
• SCORE COST Action ES1307: Sewage biomarker analysis for
community health assessment. http://www.SCORE-cost.eu/ and
http://www.cost.eu/domains_actions/essem/Actions/ES1307
• SEWPROF: SEWPROF aims to develop inter-disciplinary and
cross-sectorial research capability for the next generation of
scientists working in the newly-emerging field of sewage
epidemiology . http://sewprof-itn.eu/
References
1.(2008) Assessing Illicit Drugs in Wastewater: Potential and Limitations of
a New Monitoring Approach (Luxembourg, European Monitoring Centre for
Drugs and Drugs Addiction: Office for Official Publications of the European
Communities).
2. VAN NUIJS, A. L. N., CASTIGLIONI, S., TARCOMNICU, I. et al. (2011) Illicit
drug consumption estimations derived from wastewater analysis: A critical
review, Science of the Total Environment, 409, 3564-3577.
3.REID, M., HARMAN, C., GRUNG, M. & THOMAS, K. V. (2011) The current
status of community drug testing via the analysis of drugs and drug
metabolites in sewage, Norwegian Journal of Epidemiology, 21, 15-24.
4.REID, M. J., LANGFORD, K. H., MORLAND, J. & THOMAS, K. V. (2011)
Quantitative assessment of time dependent drug-use trends by the analysis
of drugs and related metabolites in raw sewage, Drug and Alcohol
Dependence, 119, 179-186.
5.REID, M. J., LANGFORD, K. H., MORLAND, J. & THOMAS, K. V. (2011)
Analysis and Interpretation of Specific Ethanol Metabolites, Ethyl Sulfate,
and Ethyl Glucuronide in Sewage Effluent for the Quantitative Measurement
of Regional Alcohol Consumption, Alcoholism-Clinical and Experimental
Research, 35, 1593-1599.
6.ZUCCATO, E., CASTIGLIONI, S., TETTAMANTI, M. et al. (2011) Changes in illicit drug
consumption patterns in 2009 detected by wastewater analysis, Drug and Alcohol
Dependence, 118, 464-469.
7.REID, M. J., BAZ-LOMBA, J. A., RYU, Y. & THOMAS, K. V. (2014) Using biomarkers
in wastewater to monitor community drug use: A conceptual approach for dealing
with new psychoactive substances, Science of the Total Environment, 487, 651-658.
8.THOMAS, K. V., BIJLSMA, L., CASTIGLIONI, S. et al. (2012) Comparing illicit drug use
in 19 European cities through sewage analysis, Science of the Total Environment,
432, 432-439.
9.ORT, C., VAN NUIJS, A. L. N., BERSET, J.-D. et al. (2014) Spatial differences and
spatial changes in illicit drug use in Europe quantified by wastewater analysis,
Addiction, 109, 1338-1352.
10.REID, M., LANGFORD, K. H., GRUNG, M. et al. (2012) Estimation of cocaine
consumption in the community: a critical comparison of the results from three
complimentary techniques. British Medical Journal Open, 2:e001637.
11.AMUNDSEN, E. J. & REID, M. J. (2014) Self-reports of consumption of
amphetamines, cocaine and heroin in a survey among marginalized drug users,
Science of the Total Environment, 487, 740-745.