Gustav R. Grob, F.EI President, International Clean Energy ... · Gustav R. Grob, F.EI President,...

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Gustav R. Grob, F.EI Gustav R. Grob, F.EI President President , International Clean , International Clean Energy Energy Consortium Consortium ICEC ICEC Chairman, ISO Chairman, ISO Committee Committee on on Technical Technical Energy Energy Systems Systems Analyses Analyses Executive Executive Secretary Secretary , International , International Sustainable Sustainable Energy Energy Organization Organization

Transcript of Gustav R. Grob, F.EI President, International Clean Energy ... · Gustav R. Grob, F.EI President,...

Gustav R. Grob, F.EIGustav R. Grob, F.EIPresidentPresident, International Clean , International Clean EnergyEnergy ConsortiumConsortium ICECICEC

Chairman, ISO Chairman, ISO CommitteeCommittee on on TechnicalTechnical EnergyEnergy Systems Systems AnalysesAnalysesExecutiveExecutive SecretarySecretary, International , International SustainableSustainable EnergyEnergy OrganizationOrganization

WhereWhere itit startedstarted –– 1st Generation1st Generation

2nd Generation Wind Mills2nd Generation Wind Mills

3rd Generation Wind Power3rd Generation Wind PowerGearedGeared horizontal and horizontal and verticalvertical wind wind turbinesturbinesTransitionTransition fromfrom stalledstalled wind blades to wind blades to pitchpitch controlcontrol

3rd Generation 3rd Generation advancedadvancedgearlessgearless butbut auxiliaryauxiliary excitementexcitement

and still and still tootoo high high logisticslogistics & & cranecrane costcost

Trend to Trend to biggerbigger generatorsgenerators

GrowingGrowing Wind Power MarketWind Power Market

4th Generation STARWIND4th Generation STARWINDGearlessGearless, permanent , permanent magnetsmagnets, , pitchpitch controlledcontrolledAdvancedAdvanced concreteconcrete towertower, , highesthighest efficiencyefficiencyLowerLower maintenancemaintenance costcost and and veryvery longlong lifelife

Gearless with permanent magnets

Example

4th Generation Wind Power4th Generation Wind PowerWind Power Cost

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Power (kW)

Ener

gy C

ost (

EUR

/kW

h) 2nd Generation

3rd Generation

4th Generation STARWIND

Offshore

1,6 - 2,6 MWp0,1 - 6 MWp0,1 - 50 kWp1 - 20 hpPower Range

and crane savings huge(self-erecting)

STARWIND transportNo High-rise CraneHigh-rise CraneManualManualErection

long-life concrete tower(self-mounting)Concrete(handycraft)(carpentry)

patented STARWINDExtruded ConcreteSteel orWoodWoodTowers

wind blade designfail safe pitch controlor stalled

the most advancedor Bio-Plasticspitch controlstalledhand-adjusted

STARWIND is usingPlastics (Epoxy)Plastics (PE)Wood / MetalWood & ClothWind Blades

than any competitor(no slip rings)Auxiliary Exitation

about 5 % betterPermanent MagnetsGenerators

generator performsGearless GeneratorsGeared & Gearless

The STARWINDElectricElectricElectricMechanicalTypes

the grid in blackoutsMillsGrain Mills

STARWIND supportsPower GenerationPower GenerationPower GenerationWater PumpingUses

21st Century20th Century19th Century4000 BC-1800Time Period

Remarks4th Generation3rd Generation2nd Generation1st Generation

The Evolution of Wind Power to the 4th Generation

-1000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000

SOLAR PV & THERMAL ENERGY DIRECT WIND POWERHYDRO POWER / TIDAL / WAVE POWEROCEAN & GEOTHERMAL ENERGYBIOMASS / BIOGAS ENERGYAMBIENT ENERGYMUSCLE POWERNOVEL ENERGY SYSTEMS

SUSTAINABLE ENERGY SUPPLY

INEVITABLE CLIMAX OFMINERAL ENERGY

HAZARDOUS ANDDEPLETING ENERGY

CONSUMPTION(FOSSIL & FISSILE)

[YEARS]

200

100

ENERGY[PWh]

ENERGY HISTORY & FORECAST

t

E

RENEWABLE ENERGY CONSUMPTION

TOTAL USABLEENERGY ON EARTH

DEPLETION OF FINITE ENERGY RESOURCES

OPTION A

OPTION B

MAXIMUM

OPTION 0 (ZERO-SUBSTITUTION)

SOURCE : ISEO

PRESENT SITUATION

TOTAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION

Renewable Energy Option Immediately Feasible Theor. Potential- Bio energy 50 PWh/year 78- Hydropower 8 14- Geothermal Electricity Conventional 2- Geothermal Electricity / Hot Dry Rock 20 388- Geothermal Heat 4- Wind Power 53 160- Solar PV Power 6- Solar Thermal Power 40 435- Solar Active Heat 20- Solar Passive Heat (Buildings) 10- Ocean Energy (Waves and Tides) 15 202- Heat Pumps 10 50- Muscle Energy (Food Chain) 1 10- Novel Energy Technologies (R&D) 100 200

Total RE potential 339 PWh/year 1537

TRUE ENERGY COST

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60Nuc

lear

Gas

Fire

d

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Fire

d

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Bio

mas

s

Hyd

ro P

ower

Oce

an W

ave

Win

d Pow

er

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ar T

herm

al

Geo

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mal

OTE

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PV

ENERGY SYSTEM

EURO

CEN

TS /

kWh

Extra RiskExternal CostCarbon CreditMax Net CostMin. Net Cost

W O R L D E N E R G Y S C E N A R I O 2000 - 2050

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3 0 0 . 0

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040

So u r c e f o r F i n i t e E n e r g y D a t a : A SP O a t w w w . p e a k o i l . n e t & K y o t o P r o t o c o l

WO R L D E N E R G Y D E M A N D

2 % A N N U A L G R O W T H RE NE WABLE E NE RGY DE M AND GROWT H AV . 5. 2 %

FI NI T E E NE RGY DE CLI NE

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