GROWTH ON A MATURE MARKET · District Cooling in Sweden 12 2015-04-28 EH&P congress 2015. Title: En...
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/ / / / GROWTH ON A MATURE MARKET Euroheat and Power congress 2015 - Ulrika Jardfelt, SDHA 2015-04-28 EH&P congress 2015 1 / /
Transcript of GROWTH ON A MATURE MARKET · District Cooling in Sweden 12 2015-04-28 EH&P congress 2015. Title: En...
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GROWTH ON A MATURE MARKET
Euroheat and Power congress 2015 - Ulrika Jardfelt, SDHA
2015-04-28 EH&P congress 20151 / /
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District heating dominate the Swedish heat market
2015-04-28 EH&P congress 20152
District Heating
Heat pumps
Electricity
Biofuel
Oil&Gas
100 TWh
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The price is set on a market based on building owners choice
~300 000Commercial customers57 TWh
~2 millionConsumer customer43 TWh
DHC supplier
DHC supplier
Ind. boiler, dir electricity or heat pump
Ind. boiler, dir electricity or heat pump
2015-04-28 EH&P congress 20153
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District heating share is increasing but for how long?
2015-04-28 EH&P congress 20154
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
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Fuel mix changed and carbon emission decreased
2015-04-28 EH&P congress 20155
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
TWh CO2 g/kWh
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The main explanation to our decoupling
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Four scenarios for the development of the heat market
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Slow
development
Energy efficientbuildings
More
individual solutions
Combined solutions
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Four scenarios for the development of the heat market
2015-04-28 EH&P congress 20158
38,247,5 48,8 49,7 51,4
25,6
19,5 18,1 16,3 12,9
11,313,0 12,6 12,1
11,1
27,2
2,8 2,3 1,91,0
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
1995 2012 2020 2030 2050
TWh/år
Olja+gas
Biobränsle
El
Fjärrvärme
38,247,5
41,834,6 33,1
25,6
19,5
15,8
11,88,4
11,313,0
11,1
8,8
7,2
27,2
2,8
2,0
1,3
0,6
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
1995 2012 2020 2030 2050
TWh/år
Olja+gas
Biobränsle
El
Fjärrvärme
38,247,5
39,433,6
27,1
25,6
19,5
16,9
14,8
11,2
11,313,0
12,2
11,6
11,2
27,2
2,8
2,0
1,5
0,7
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
1995 2012 2020 2030 2050
TWh/år
Övrigt
Olja+gas
Biobränsle
El
Fjärrvärme
38,247,5 43,2 40,3 37,2
25,6
19,5
17,014,6
10,6
11,313,0
12,5
12,1
11,8
27,2
2,8
2,1
1,7
0,8
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
1995 2012 2020 2030 2050
TWh/år
Övrigt
Olja+gas
Biobränsle
El
Fjärrvärme
Långsam utveckling Energisnålare hus
Mer individuellt Kombinerade lösningar
Slow development Energy efficient buildings
Combined solutions More individual solutions
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The future 1 – focus on existing customers
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The future 2 - heating with only recycled energy
2015-04-2810 EH&P congress 2015
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District Cooling in Sweden
2015-04-2812 EH&P congress 2015
