Growing Opportunity -...
Transcript of Growing Opportunity -...
Forward-Looking Information
Certain statements in today's discussion will be forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in the statements.
Please see the full disclosure of risk factors and discussion at the end of this presentation.
Agenda•Bell Helicopter
– Mike RedenbaughChief Executive Officer, Bell Helicopter
•Textron Systems
– Dick MillmanPresident, Textron Systems
•Luncheon
•Booth Visit – At Your Leisure Booths 3213 & 3224, Hall C
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Mike RedenbaughChief Executive Officer
Bell Helicopter
Analyst BriefingOctober 10, 2006
Growing Opportunity
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Bell Helicopter… Clear Strategy to Become Premier
• Overview:
– Balanced Business/Becoming Premier
– Investing in Talent
– Growth Industry
• Commercial Products
• Military Products
• Customer Support Business
• Managing for Long-Term Growth
Strategic Focus…Key Levers of Value Creation
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Bell HelicopterInvesting for Growth, Expanding Capacity
• Strong Commercial Aircraft Business
• High Growth in Military Programs
• Becoming the Premier Vertical-Lift Aircraft Manufacturer through Enterprise Management Initiatives
• Superior Product Line: Addressing Voice of the Customer in Quality, Value, Performance, Productivity, Reliability and Safety
• Expanding Customer Support Business
Mission: To Become the World’s Premier Vertical-Lift Aircraft Company
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Spares
Overhaul & Repair
Technical Data
Support Equipment
Field Services
Training Systems
Depot Maintenance
Bell Helicopter’06 Forecast Revenues: $2.3B
Aircraft~ $925 Million
V-22 - Osprey
AH-1Z – Super Cobra
UH-1Y - Yankee
OH-58D - Kiowa
TH-67 – Trainer
ARH – Armed Recon
Eagle Eye - UAV
206
210
407
412
427
430
Support~ $375 Million
Spares
Huey II
Accessories/Completions
Repair & Overhaul
Rotor Blade Repair
Training Academy
Technical Support
U.S. MilitaryU.S. Military
Installed Base: 2,400 Installed Base: 10,200
Aircraft~ $490 Million
Support~ $510 Million
CommercialCommercial
56%44%
56%44%
Balanced Business...Complementing Each Other
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Driving Execution –Leadership and Talent
EVP & CFOTony Viotto
EVP Integrated OperationsJohn Bean
EVP ProgramsMike Blake
Leadership / Organizational Design Essential Part of Strategy to Achieve Mission
CEOMike Redenbaugh
Talent Additions Last Three Years• Over 100 Industry Leaders• Over 1100 Engineering & Manufacturing Professionals
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Search & Rescue7%
Surveillance12%
Transport48%
Training6%
Medevac3%
Attack24%
Industry Segmentation
Corporate18%
Law Enforcement18%
Offshore7%
EMS7%
Utility50%
Installed Base by Mission
(*) Average annual revenue for next 4 years (2006-2009)Compiled from: FY05 President’s Budget, Honeywell Rotorcraft Forecast (2005), Forecast International – World Rotorcraft Market, Morgan Stanley and JP Morgan Analyst Reports
CommercialAnnual Aircraft Value
$2.4B(*)
MilitaryAnnual Aircraft Value
$14.5B(*)
$17B Per Year Industry Segment
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Rotorcraft Industry -Strong Growth Outlook
Global War On Terrorism • DOD Rotorcraft Spend Increasing From 4.8% To 6.4% Of Procurement
Budget: FY05 To FY11
• Flight Hours Have Increased 2-4x Previous Levels
• Rotorcraft Survivability Essential To DOD
Homeland SecurityIncreasing Border Protection: Domestic And International
Offshore/Utility Segments80% Of Fleet: 20 Years Or Older
Regulatory/Insurance/Safety Issues Driving Fleet Replacement
High Oil Prices Driving Offshore Exploration
EMS & National Disaster EffortsAsia Tsunami Disaster; Pakistan Earthquake Relief
Hurricane Katrina / Rita / Wilma
Growing International DemandAsia-Pacific Significant Opportunity
Industry Growth Continues Across the Board
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Bell Helicopter… Clear Strategy to Become Premier
• Overview:
– Balanced Business/Becoming Premier
– Investing in Talent
– Growth Industry
• Commercial Products
• Military Products
• Customer Support Business
• Managing for Long-Term Growth
Strategic Focus…Key Levers of Value Creation
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Aircraft
609
412407206B3/L4
429
417
427
430
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Support
SparesRepair &OverhaulAircraft CompletionsRefurbishmentTraining SystemsField ServicesTechnical DataSupport Equipment
Commercial Business Products & Support Services
Commercial Business Growing
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Rotorcraft MissionsCorporate EMS
Law Enforcement
Disaster Relief
Offshore
Utility
Helicopters Perform a Wide Variety of Missions Every Day
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New Introduction from Bell
• Making Our Best-Selling Long-Light Single Even Better • Improved Engine
– 15% Increase In SHP, 5% Lower SFC, 50% Higher TBO
• Integrated Avionics– Modern Avionics Suite Reduces Workload, Improves Safety
• First Delivery – 2009
Bell 417 Light Single
Over 100 Orders
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New Introduction from Bell
• “First-ever” Technologies from Bell’s Modular Affordable Product Line (MAPL)
– Unprecedented Cabin and Cockpit Features
– New High Performance Rotor Technology
• First Delivery – 2008/2009
Bell 429 Global Ranger Light Twin
Over 175 Orders
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Bell’s Next Generation of HelicoptersModular Affordable Product Line (MAPL)
• Customer Focused Development– Noise Reduction– Open Cabin For 429– Higher Productivity– New Medium Twin (NMT) Next In Sequence
• Commonality Benefits For The Customer– Overall Affordability– Reduced Training– Reduced Inventory– Improved Safety
• Commonality Benefits For Bell– Volume Leveraging– Lower Non-recurring Investment– Common Tooling
$10BOpportunity
NMT in Customer Requirements Definition Phase
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Leveraging Tiltrotor into Commercial Markets
• First Flight March ‘03, Airplane Mode Flight July ‘05• Reached 304 kts Airspeed & 25,000’ April ‘06• Exploring Potential Military Applications
25,000’ Flight Ops April 2006
BA609
A/C #2 Ground Test
Progressing Toward FAA Certification
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Commercial Aircraft Orders
0
100
200
300
400
500
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 YTD
Uni
ts
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006YTD
($M
)
Continued Strong Growth in Orders(*) 2005-06 orders include firm 417 and 429 orders, which are not in backlog
258 Orders YTD Sep ‘05
325 Orders
~$775M in Orders YTD Sep ‘05 $840M
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Bell Helicopter… Clear Strategy to Become Premier
• Overview:
– Balanced Business/Becoming Premier
– Investing in Talent
– Growth Industry
• Commercial Products
• Military Products
• Customer Support Business
• Managing for Long-Term Growth
Strategic Focus…Key Levers of Value Creation
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Aircraft Support
SparesOverhaul & RepairTechnical DataSupport EquipmentField ServicesTraining SystemsDepot Maintenance
Installed Base: 2,400
V-22Osprey
AH-1Z/ UH-1YSuperCobra/Huey
OH-58DKiowa Warrior
TH-67Creek II
USCGEagle Eye
VH-71Marine One
Government BusinessProducts & Support Services
ARH-70ABell 407/417
USAFCSAR-X Potential
Balanced Business...Complementing Each Other
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V-22 Program
360 AircraftCombat AssaultAssault SupportExternal Load
Operations
Marine Corps
50 AircraftSpecial Operations
Insertion/ExtractionWMD Warfare
Air Force
48 AircraftCombat SAR
Fleet LogisticsSpecial WarfareAerial Tanker
Navy
$19BProgram
Twice the Speed . . . Five Times the Range
VV--22 22 ISIS Transformational CapabilityTransformational Capability
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0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
'06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11
New Aircraft
Modifications
V-22 Current Ramp-up Schedule
Un
it P
rod
uct
ion
133 total units ’06 –’11: +1 Net V-22Note: Reflects Proposed DOD FY07 and Long-Range Budgets – Subject to Change
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‘05-06 V-22 Milestones
• OPEVAL – Resounding Success• Full Rate Production Decision September 2005• Submitted Proposal for Multi-Year Procurement
Sep 2006• Star of Farnborough Airshow
V-22 Production 2 Units Ahead of Schedule
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Tiltrotor Future Opportunities
• Air Force Special Operations Command (AFSOC)– 27 Additional V-22 Aircraft
• Future V-22 Variants:– USN - Airborne Early Warning: 75 Aircraft– UK, Japan, Israel Tiltrotor Variants
• Army Tiltrotor Variants– 25-75 Potential Tiltrotor Aircraft– SOF Task Force 160th, CH-47 and
UH-60 Replacement Opportunities
• Joint Heavy Lift Quad Tiltrotor: 250-300 Aircraft Potential
Tiltrotor Future is Growing
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UH-1Y100 Units
AH-1Z180 Units
H-1 Upgrade ProgramLow Cost/High Performance
• 84% commonality between Y & Z
• Low Rate Initial Production Underway
• Operational Evaluation Underway
• Delivering 4 Aircraft in 2006
• Next DOD Review Late October
$5.6BProgram
Another Significant Growth Opportunity
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0
5
10
15
20
'06 '07 '08 '09 '10
H-1 Current Ramp-up Schedule
Unit P
roduct
ion
Program Ramping Up…Growing to High-Single Digit Margins in 2010
Note: Reflects Proposed DOD FY07 and Long-Range Budgets – Subject to Change
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$3.0BTotal Bell
Potential
• Militarized Commercial Derivative Of 407/417• 368 Units @ $5.5 M Per Aircraft• Delivery Over 6 Years, Beginning In 2007• Significant Future Foreign Military Potential
Bell Armed Reconnaissance Helicopter
First Flight July 20First Flight July 20thth 20062006
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0
10
20
30
40
50
60
'06 '07 '08 '09 '10
ARH-70A Current Ramp-up Schedule
Unit P
roduct
ion
System Design & Development
Growing to High Single Digit Margins in 2010Growing to High Single Digit Margins in 2010Note: Reflects Proposed DOD FY07 and Long-Range Budgets – Subject to Change
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U.S. Presidential HelicopterVH-71• Initial Contract - Systems Development &
Demonstration Phase
– Lockheed Lead; Bell; AgustaWestland
– Total Initial Contract: $1.7 Billion
– Bell: ~$160 Million
– 2005-2010
• Total Program Potential:
– 23 Units
– $6 Billion
$750MTotal BellPotential
Bell Proud Partner in President’s Helicopter
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Country Description Product Value Contract Timing
India Light Recon 407 ~$550M 2007
Saudi Arabia Min of Interior 412EP ~$300M 2007
Taiwan Attack AH-1Z ~$850M 2008Utility UH-1Y $1B+ 2008
BrazilColumbia Upgrades Huey II $100M+ 2006-2007EcuadorArgentina
UK/Japan Transport V-22 ~$1.2B+ 2011
Poland Utility 429 ~$150M 2007
Malaysia Attack/Utility AH-1Z/UH-1Y $400M+ TBD
International / Military Opportunities
Plus Significant Long-Term V-22 and ARH Opportunities
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Bell Helicopter… Clear Strategy to Become Premier
• Overview:
– Balanced Business/Becoming Premier
– Investing in Talent
– Growth Industry
• Commercial Products
• Military Products
• Customer Support Business
• Managing for Long-Term Growth
Strategic Focus…Key Levers of Value Creation
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Customer Support BusinessAttractive Returns, Good Growth
CompletionsCompletions PartsParts ServicesServices
Acquisitions:
• Edwards and Associates• Carbide Technology• Acadian Composites• U.S. Helicopter
Strategy:
• Expand Support & Service Business For Bell Fleet
• Extend Selectively Into Non-Bell Fleet
#1 in Product Support 12th Consecutive Year…Pro Pilot Magazine
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Edwards & Associates• New Aircraft Completions & Helicopter Refurbishments
– Affiliates: Aeronautical Accessories Inc. & Rotor Blades Inc.
• Recent Major Programs Wins
» 7 TH67’s – FT Rucker
» 8 206B Colombian Trainers
» 4 412’s Miami Dade
» 3 430’s San Antonio Medical
• Strong Business Backlog (6 months), including over 100 completions
Strong Growth Platform for Customer Service and Support Business
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BellAero• Government Maintenance & Logistics Services
– Product Expertise: Huey, Huey II, TH-1H, UH-1N, Cobra, OH-58 – US Helicopter – Depot Support– BellAero Support Services – Field Support
• Recent Major Program Wins– USA OH-58 Reset (72 units per year)– DoS UH-1N SLEP Program, Huey II Remanufacture Program– USAF TH-1H Trainer Program– USMC H-1 Logistics Support
• Strong Business Backlog, increased over 300% in last year
Strong Growth Platform for Customer Service and Support Business
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Growing the Customer Support Business
Usage and Penetration Driving Growth
0
0.5
1
1.5
'03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11
CommercialMilitary
$B
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Bell Helicopter… Clear Strategy to Become Premier
• Overview:
– Balanced Business/Becoming Premier
– Investing in Talent
– Growth Industry
• Commercial Products
• Military Products
• Customer Support Business
• Managing for Long-Term Growth
Strategic Focus…Key Levers of Value Creation
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0
4,000
0 250 500 750 1,000
Revenue ($M)
Cumulative Capital Spend ($M)
SustainmentStrategy
GrowthStrategy
2000
2001 2002
2003
2004 2005
20062007
2008
2009
2010
• From 2000 through 2003 spent less than $200M in Capital
• From 2004 through 2007 expect to spend ~$500M on growth
Growth Plan InvestmentProgress to Date
Capital Investment Accelerates, Followed by Revenue Growth
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Path to The Premier Vertical-Lift Aircraft Manufacturer
Investing ~$40M Annually to Improve Systems
• Systems Modernization Investments:
– Program Management Execution (EVMS)
– Procurement, MRP, Financials, Billing (SAP)
– Manufacturing Execution System (Visiprise)
– Product Data Management (Enovia)
– Computer-Aided Design (CATIA V5)
– Warehouse Automation (EPIC)
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Operations Transformation Program
Production Throughput and Productivity
Operations Strategy
Organizational Capabilities
Overhead Reduction
Supplier and Material Optimization
Engineering Effectiveness
Materials Management
– Align Leadership and Build Accountable Performance Culture
Capital Productivity
– Re-Evaluate Core/Context and Outsource Major Non-Core Items
– Enhance SIOP to Synchronize Supply with Customer Demand
– Value Stream Map Entire Product Flow and Launch Accelerators
– Align Capital Spending Program with Streamlined Product Strategy
– Reduce Manufacturing Overhead to Industry-leading Level
– Prioritize Engineering to Support Procurement and Production
– Reduce Through Design-to-Cost/Supplier Negotiation and Consolidate/ Globalize Supply Base
– Streamline Model Customization Offerings Impacting ProductionProduct Optimization
Path to The Premier Vertical Lift Manufacturer
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FO
RT W
OR
TH
Advance Composite Center: Drive Systems Center: Rotor Systems & Assembly Center:
AM
AR
ILLO
MIR
AB
EL
Bell Capital Projects (2006-2010)
TE
NN
ES
SE
E
ALA
BA
MA
•Property Plant & Equipment (30%) - Process Line / 5 – Axis Mills CNC / Tape Lay and Fiber Placement Machines /Tooling / Bonding Press “L”
•Facility Expansion (15%) - Training Building / Test Stands / Office Refurb
•IT (15%) – Enterprise Resource Program, Product Data Manager and Business Process Updates
•Amarillo (10%) - Building Expansion / Flight Hangar / 3rd Floor Expansion
•Mirabel (10%) – Building Expansion / Warehouse Extension
•Tennessee (Edwards- 10%) - New Facility for Customizing
•Alabama (Bell Aero/U.S Helicopter - 10%) – Building/ Hangar Expansion
Investing for Growth & Expanding Capacity
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Bell Product Lifecycle Profitability412 Example
~20X Multiplier on Initial Investment Over 25 Years
-25
0
25
50
75
100
125
1-5 6-10 11-15 16-20 20-25 25-30
Years Since Program Inception
Avera
ge A
nn
ual G
ross
P
rofi
t ($
M)
System Design & Development
Product Prime
Ramp-Up
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Strong Revenue Growth
$1.6$2.1 $2.3
$3.8
-
5.0
'04
Actu
al
'05
Actu
al'0
6 Fo
reca
st
'10
Fore
cast
$Bill
ion 13% CAGR ’06 to ’10
More Than Double Revenues from 2004 to 2010
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Bell HelicopterInvesting for Growth, Expanding Capacity
Double 2004 Revenues & NOP by 2010…ROIC in High Teens
• Strong Commercial Aircraft Business
• High Growth in Military Programs
• Becoming the Premier Vertical-Lift Aircraft Manufacturer through Enterprise Management Initiatives
• Superior Product Line: Addressing Voice of the Customer in Quality, Value, Performance, Productivity, Reliability and Safety
• Expanding Customer Support Business
Certain statements in this report and other oral and written statements made by Textron from time to time are forward-looking statements, including those that discuss strategies, goals, outlook or other non-historical matters; or project revenues, income, returns or other financial measures. These forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on which they are made, and we undertake no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in the statements, including the following: [a] changes in worldwide economic and political conditions that impact interest and foreign exchange rates; [b] the interruption of production at Textron facilities or Textron’s customers or suppliers; [c] Textron's ability to perform as anticipated and to control costs under contracts with the U.S. Government; [d] the U.S. Government's ability to unilaterally modify or terminate its contracts with Textron for the Government's convenience or for Textron's failure to perform, to change applicable procurement and accounting policies, and, under certain circumstances, to suspend or debar Textron as a contractor eligible to receive future contract awards; [e] changes in national or international funding priorities and government policies on the export and import of military and commercial products; [f] the adequacy of cost estimates for various customer care programs including servicing warranties; [g] the ability to control costs and successful implementation of various cost reduction programs; [h] the timing of certifications of new aircraft products; [i] the occurrence of slowdowns or downturns in customer markets in which Textron products are sold or supplied or where Textron Financial offers financing; [j] changes in aircraft delivery schedules or cancellation of orders; [k] the impact of changes in tax legislation; [l] the extent to which Textron is able to pass raw material price increases through to customers or offset such price increases by reducing other costs; [m] Textron’s ability to offset, through cost reductions, pricing pressure brought by original equipment manufacturer customers; [n] Textron's ability to realize full value of receivables and investments in securities; [o] the availability and cost of insurance; [p] increases in pension expenses related to lower than expected asset performance or changes in discount rates; [q] Textron Financial’s ability to maintain portfolio credit quality; [r] Textron Financial’s access to debt financing at competitive rates; [s] uncertainty in estimating contingent liabilities and establishing reserves to address such contingencies; [t] performance of acquisitions; [u] the efficacy of research and development investments to develop new products; [v] bankruptcy or other financial problems at major suppliers or customers that could cause disruptions in Textron’s supply chain or difficulty in collecting amounts owed by such customers; and [w] Textron’s ability to execute planned dispositions.
Forward-looking Information