Grossbritannien: die etwas andere Energiewende · Chief Executive . Nuclear Industry Association....
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Grossbritannien: die etwas andere Energiewende Tom Greatrex Chief Executive Nuclear Industry Association 14 February 2018
Transcript of Grossbritannien: die etwas andere Energiewende · Chief Executive . Nuclear Industry Association....
Grossbritannien: die etwasandere Energiewende
Tom Greatrex
Chief Executive
Nuclear Industry Association
14 February 2018
UK electricity mix
Source: 2017 Digest of UK Energy Statistics
UK current fleet
Torness2030
Hartlepool2024
Sizewell B2035
Dungeness B2028
Hunterston B2023
Heysham 12024
Heysham 22030
Hinkley Point B2023
"if current policy is unchanged there will be a dramatic gap on our targets to reduce CO2 emissions, we will become heavily dependent on foreign imports…
"These facts put the replacement of nuclear power stations, a big push on renewables and a step change on energy efficiency, engaging both business and consumers, back on the agenda with a vengeance.”
Tony Blair, CBI Annual Conference 2007
Credit: Prime Minister Tony Blair - Attribution-NoDerivs 2.0 Generic (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nd/2.0/)
UK new build plans
EDF EnergyTechnology Choice - AREVA EPR2 x 1600 MW EPRs for Hinkley2 x 1600 MW EPRs for Sizewell
NuGeneration Ltd(KEPCO – preferred bidder)Technology Choice - APR-1400Plans for up to 3.6GW at Moorside in Cumbria
Horizon Nuclear Power LtdTechnology Choice – Hitachi GE ABWRPlans for 3 GW at Wylfa on Anglesey & 3 GW at Oldbury in Gloucestershire
CGN / CNNCTechnology Choice – HPR 1000Plans for 2GW at Bradwell, Essex
Hinkley Point C
2,500 workers on site every day
59 major contracts worth £8.7 billion signed since FID
76 apprentices are already working on the project
4 million m³ of earth have been excavated: enough to fill Wembley Stadium four times
Four concrete batching plants are complete. Up to 2,000 tonnes of concrete a day can be produced on site
10,000 tonnes of rock has already been delivered for scour protection in front of the site’s new 13.5 metres high seawall
£15 million is being invested into education, employment and skills to help inspire the next generation and provide people with the necessary training
660.3640.3
583.8597.1
549.1568.0
552.4
510.8492.4
467.9
0.0
100.0
200.0
300.0
400.0
500.0
600.0
700.0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Tota
l gre
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use
gas e
miss
ion
(MtC
O2e
)
UK emissions 2007 - 2016
Source: Final UK greenhouse gas emissions national statistics: 1990-2016
UK renewables growth
9'256
12'381
15'649
19'961
24'920
30'893
35'700
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5'000
10'000
15'000
20'000
25'000
30'000
35'000
40'000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Inst
alle
d ca
paci
ty (M
W)
Source: 2017 Digest of UK Energy Statistics
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5'000
10'000
15'000
20'000
25'000
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35'000
40'000
2013 2014 2015 2016
Inst
alle
d ca
paci
ty b
y ge
nera
tion
(MW
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onshore wind offshore wind solar PV hydro biomass
Renewable capacity by technology
Source: 2017 Digest of UK Energy Statistics
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
onshore wind offshore wind solar PV nuclear
Low carbon load factors
Source: 2017 Digest of UK Energy Statistics
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5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Jan 17 Feb 17 Mär 17 Apr 17 Mai 17 Jun 17 Jul 17 Aug 17 Sep 17 Okt 17 Nov 17 Dez 17
Gen
erat
ion
(TW
h)
Nuclear Biomass Wind Solar Coal Gas Storage Large Hydro Imports
UK electricity generation 2017
Source: MyGridGB
UK grid last 28 days…
Source: MyGridGB
942922 927
945
904 902 906
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Tota
l gre
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use
gas e
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(MtC
O2e
)
German carbon emissions
Source: German Federal Environment Agency 2017
German electricity mix
Source: AG Energiebilanzen 2017
UK public support nuclear “as part of the energy mix”
Source: YouGov survey, 31 October to 6 November 2016
UK public support for nuclear
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10
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100
Wave 20 Wave 21 Wave 22 Wave 23 Wave 24
Oppose Support Don't knowSource: Department for Business Energy and Industrial Strategy, 2018
£0.00 £20.00 £40.00 £60.00 £80.00 £100.00 £120.00 £140.00
Onshore wind
Offshore wind
Solar PV
Hinkley Point C
Source: Department for Business Energy and Industrial Strategy
Average low carbon ‘strike price’
£92.50
£150
£57.50
£0.00
£20.00
£40.00
£60.00
£80.00
£100.00
£120.00
£140.00
£160.00
Nuclear (Hinkley Point C - October 2013) Offshore wind HIGH (Walney extension - April2014)
Offshore wind LOW (Hornsea Project Two -September 2017)
Nuclear v Offshore wind ‘strike prices’
Cost of nuclear… National Audit Office alternative financing options
Source: National Audit Office, Hinkley Point C 2017
“different models could have had significant cost implications and therefore could have achieved better value for money for consumers.”
Deal Type HIGH LOW
HPC structure £137.00 £91.00
Public-private partnership
£76.00 £69.50
Nuclear Sector Deal
“based upon the actions in the sector deal being delivered by government and industry together, by up to 30% up to 2030.”
“government should evaluate the range of different financing models… and how government involvement could reduce the cost of capital”
“Each reduction in the cost of capital by 1% on a typical new nuclear construction project would lead to a c10% reduction in the strike price of a Contract for Difference”
-r
100'000r
200'000r
300'000r
400'000r
500'000r
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2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
GWh
Production Imports
UK gas decline, net importer since 2011
Source: Department for Business Energy and Industrial Strategy, 2017
UK gas imports…
Source: Department for Business Energy and Industrial Strategy, 2017
Increasing demand for electricity
Exiting Euratom
Nuclear safeguards
Nuclear co-operation Agreements (NCAs)
Research & development
Access to skills
Maintaining investment
