Green ICT “Taking Stock” · 2014-09-29 · people 35-r c Three Grids – ... Jeremy Rifkin 2020...

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Telecommunication Union Committed to connecting the world 4 th ITU Green Standards Week 4 th ITU Green Standards Week John Frieslaar [email protected] Green ICT “Taking Stock”

Transcript of Green ICT “Taking Stock” · 2014-09-29 · people 35-r c Three Grids – ... Jeremy Rifkin 2020...

Page 1: Green ICT “Taking Stock” · 2014-09-29 · people 35-r c Three Grids – ... Jeremy Rifkin 2020 2025 - 2045 2060 80% reduction in Climate Change Gases A Broad Overview ~circa

Internat ional Telecommunicat ion Union

Committed to connecting the world

4th ITU Green Standards Week

4th ITU Green Standards Week

John Frieslaar [email protected]

Green ICT – “Taking Stock”

Page 2: Green ICT “Taking Stock” · 2014-09-29 · people 35-r c Three Grids – ... Jeremy Rifkin 2020 2025 - 2045 2060 80% reduction in Climate Change Gases A Broad Overview ~circa

Internat ional Telecommunicat ion Union

Committed to connecting the world

4th ITU Green Standards Week

Sust

ain

ab

ility

Gro

wth

Lim

its

Population Growth

Developing new

Infrastructure and systems,

potential to leapfrog using

new Sustainable Solutions

Modernising legacy or aging

Infrastructure and Systems

Developing a more Resilient,

Robust, Sustainable Economy

Transitioning from Fossil fuel

economy towards a resilient

Sustainable Economy

Developed Economies Developing Countries Emerging Economies Now

2060

2050

2040

2030

2020

Cycle

3

5-

45

year

Eco

no

mic

Three Grids – Energy Transport and Communications Jeremy Rifkin

2020 2025 - 2045 2060

80% reduction in Climate Change Gases

A Broad Overview

~circa 2.5 bln extra

people by

2050

Cri

tical in

vest

ment

Peri

od

Page 3: Green ICT “Taking Stock” · 2014-09-29 · people 35-r c Three Grids – ... Jeremy Rifkin 2020 2025 - 2045 2060 80% reduction in Climate Change Gases A Broad Overview ~circa

Internat ional Telecommunicat ion Union

Committed to connecting the world

4th ITU Green Standards Week

The Limits to Growth

D Meadows et.al. The Club of Rome - 1972

… is infinite growth possible in a finite world …

Increasing “Systemic” Pressure

Page 4: Green ICT “Taking Stock” · 2014-09-29 · people 35-r c Three Grids – ... Jeremy Rifkin 2020 2025 - 2045 2060 80% reduction in Climate Change Gases A Broad Overview ~circa

Internat ional Telecommunicat ion Union

Committed to connecting the world

4th ITU Green Standards Week

The Limits to Growth – An updated comparison

Graham Turner Aug 2014

… ongoing growth may be possible if we focus on value extraction …

Page 5: Green ICT “Taking Stock” · 2014-09-29 · people 35-r c Three Grids – ... Jeremy Rifkin 2020 2025 - 2045 2060 80% reduction in Climate Change Gases A Broad Overview ~circa

Internat ional Telecommunicat ion Union

Committed to connecting the world

4th ITU Green Standards Week

CO2 400ppm CO2 450ppm CO2 550ppm

million t

onnes o

f CO

2 e

mis

sio

ns

CO2

+3ppm

Per year

2080

2100

1-2

Mete

r r

ise

Sea Level +3.2mm

Per year

2-11 degrees

Hotter in places

Temperature

Lightning

Wind Precipitation Humidity

CO2 effects lasts for years circa … 1Bln at risk of rising tides

Increased risks … , , and on

The amount of Global wealth exposed to natural disasters has tripled in the past 40 years themp.org

ICT in information gathering, decision making, evaluation:

Temperature, Humidity, Seismic, Ambient Light, Power Monitoring, Motion, Infra Red,

Real Time Location Sensing, O2 & CO2, UVA/UVB/UVC, Ultrasound, Radiation,

Rainfall, Wind, Particulate matter etc.

Climate Change

Ocean

Acidification

Page 6: Green ICT “Taking Stock” · 2014-09-29 · people 35-r c Three Grids – ... Jeremy Rifkin 2020 2025 - 2045 2060 80% reduction in Climate Change Gases A Broad Overview ~circa

Internat ional Telecommunicat ion Union

Committed to connecting the world

4th ITU Green Standards Week

Population Pressures

Liveable cities Environmentally

aware

Social

Eco

no

mic

all

y

fea

sib

le

Sustainable

Resilient Ro

bu

st

Innovative

By 2050two thirds 60-70%

of People will reside in Cities

The greatest challenge our industry will face this century, is how we feed 9 billion or more people post 2050 in a world that is being pressured for arable land and portable water

80% of global economic output 70% of global energy use

Planned Cities

Structured

Page 7: Green ICT “Taking Stock” · 2014-09-29 · people 35-r c Three Grids – ... Jeremy Rifkin 2020 2025 - 2045 2060 80% reduction in Climate Change Gases A Broad Overview ~circa

Internat ional Telecommunicat ion Union

Committed to connecting the world

4th ITU Green Standards Week

Digital Economy

Mobile

Internet

Internet

of

things

Advanced

robotics

3-D

printing

Cloud

technology

Automation

of

knowledge

Advanced

materials Autonomous

vehicles

Next 10+ Years

Connected Possibilities Smart Cities, Governance, Healthcare, Water, Lighting, Buildings, Transport, Education, Grids and Economics

$7.1 Trillion in 2020 IDC

comprehensive technology + stabilized world scenario's

Potential for Innovation is Vast

structural transformation

+1bln

Investing in New Infrastructure

Huawei Data

Centre PUE 1.2

Huawei 5G RAN Mobile

Handsets

Huawei M2M

Chipsets

Huawei Business

Enablement System

Huawei Hybrid Sites

Range of Phones and Tablets

Page 8: Green ICT “Taking Stock” · 2014-09-29 · people 35-r c Three Grids – ... Jeremy Rifkin 2020 2025 - 2045 2060 80% reduction in Climate Change Gases A Broad Overview ~circa

Internat ional Telecommunicat ion Union

Committed to connecting the world

4th ITU Green Standards Week

Sustainability People

Machines

Things

CO2 per

unit of

Energy

Energy/

Service

Services

Sus = P x Ser x E x C

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

16000

18000

20000

Products &

Services 80%

more energy

efficient by 2050

IoE 100 bln or more

Environmental Management,

the greatest Social change of the 21st Century …

ICT holds great potential …

Improved Resource Efficiency

Po

wer

mo

dern

izati

on

(EEE)

Site modernization / Site-level high efficiency (SEE)

Netw

ork

en

erg

y efficie

ncy

man

ag

em

en

t (NEE)

Page 9: Green ICT “Taking Stock” · 2014-09-29 · people 35-r c Three Grids – ... Jeremy Rifkin 2020 2025 - 2045 2060 80% reduction in Climate Change Gases A Broad Overview ~circa

Internat ional Telecommunicat ion Union

Committed to connecting the world

4th ITU Green Standards Week

We CANNOT solve our Problems with the same THINKING We used when we CREATED them …

Albert Einstein

Technology capable of

improving efficiency

50-80 per cent

Stimulate Innovation

Page 10: Green ICT “Taking Stock” · 2014-09-29 · people 35-r c Three Grids – ... Jeremy Rifkin 2020 2025 - 2045 2060 80% reduction in Climate Change Gases A Broad Overview ~circa

Internat ional Telecommunicat ion Union

Committed to connecting the world

4th ITU Green Standards Week

Environment

Technology

Economy

Society ICT

Reduce - Inform

Recycle - Inspire

Reuse - Involve

Collaborative

Systemic

Planned

Conclusion

Page 11: Green ICT “Taking Stock” · 2014-09-29 · people 35-r c Three Grids – ... Jeremy Rifkin 2020 2025 - 2045 2060 80% reduction in Climate Change Gases A Broad Overview ~circa

Internat ional Telecommunicat ion Union

Committed to connecting the world

4th ITU Green Standards Week

4th ITU Green Standards Week

Thank you