Governor’s Workforce Development Council

Quarterly MeetingNovember 13, 2014

Cameron MachtRegional Analysis & Outreach Manager

Minnesota Dept. of Employment & Economic DevelopmentLabor Market Information Office

http://mn.gov/deed/data/

Labor Market Information Office• DEED’s LMI Office supports state workforce and economic

development systems by producing and disseminating data, key indicators, analysis, and trends on the economy, workforce, job market, and business community

• LMI Office’s high quality information advises policy makers on current and future economic trends, helps employers make informed business decisions, and assists individuals in making strong career choices– DEED’s Regional Analysts are the state's experts on the latest labor

market intelligence, economic conditions, and workforce trends• Never underestimate our ability:

– To make what you thought was going to be an easy question into a difficult answer…

– To provide data that will help you make decisions!

Labor Market Information Officehttp://mn.gov/deed/data/

• Industry Employment Statistics & Trends• Regional Wage & Salary Information• Unemployment Rates• Unemployment Insurance Claims• Hiring Difficulties in Minnesota• Skills Gap Surveys• Quarterly Workforce Indicators (QWI)• DEED’s Regional Data Tool• Job Skills Transfer Assessment Tool (JobSTAT)• Economic Trends & Employment Review

• Occupations in Demand (OID)• Employment Outlook Projections• Graduate Employment Outcomes• Career Exploration Information• Job Vacancy Survey data• Affirmative Action Statistics• Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) data• U.S. Census data

• Minnesota is a big, beautiful state– Approximately 5.4 million people– Almost 80,000 square miles– 87 counties

• Ranging from 3,460 to 1.2 million people– Over 800 cities and 1,000 townships

• How many EDRs?– 13

• How many WSAs?– 16

• How many Perkins Consortia?– 26

• How many MnSCU campuses?– 30 colleges– 7 universities– 54 campuses– 47 communities

Understanding Regions• How many EDRs and WSAs share the same

boundaries?– 2 = EDR 1 & WSA 1; EDR 9 & WSA 7

• How many WSAs are in EDR 11?– 6 = WSA 9, 10, 12, 14, 15, 16

• What is the smallest WSA?– WSA 10 = 54 sq. mi.– WSA 18 = 51,232 people

Understanding Regions• 16 Workforce Service Areas• 13 Economic Development Regions– Only 2 WSAs & EDRs share the same boundaries!

• WSA 1 = EDR 1 (7 counties)• WSA 7 = EDR 9 (9 counties)

– 2 WSAs have three EDRs• WSA 2 = EDR 2 (5), EDR 4 (9), EDR 5 (5) (19 counties)• WSA 5 = EDR 6E (4), EDR 7E (5), part of 7W (2) (11 counties)

– EDR 3 = WSA 3, WSA 4 (7 counties)– WSA 17 = part of EDR 7W (2 counties)– WSA 6 = EDR 6W (5), EDR 8 (9) (14 counties)– EDR 10 = WSA 8 (10), WSA 18 (1) (11 counties)– EDR 11 = WSA 9, 10, 12, 14, 15, 16 (7 counties)

Understanding Regions• What is the largest Economic Development Region?

– By square miles, it’s EDR 3 - Arrowhead = 18,263 sq. miles• By that measure, EDR 11 is the smallest region!

– By population, it’s EDR 11 - Twin Cities = 2,952,932 people• 54.5% of state’s population• 62% of the state’s population

gain from 2000 to 2013– EDR 10 has 500,137 people

• Gained 40,035 people– EDR 7W has 409,934 people

• Added 88,139 people (+27.4%)– Combined, those 3 EDRs

have 71.3% of state’s pop.and 87.7% of pop. gain• In contrast, EDR 1, 6W, and 8

had 4.6% of total pop. andlost -4.8% from 2000 to 2013

EDR # of Cos.

2000 Pop.

2013 Pop.

Percent of State

2000-2013 Change

EDR 1 7 88,472 85,823 1.6% -2,649 -3.0%EDR 2 5 76,161 84,627 1.6% +8,466 +11.1%EDR 3 7 322,073 326,489 6.0% +4,416 +1.4%EDR 4 9 210,059 224,676 4.1% +14,617 +7.0%EDR 5 5 152,100 162,821 3.0% +10,721 +7.0%EDR 6E 4 115,899 116,613 2.2% +714 +0.6%EDR 6W 5 50,011 43,931 0.8% -6,080 -12.2%EDR 7E 5 136,244 162,898 3.0% +26,654 +19.6%EDR 7W 4 321,795 409,934 7.6% +88,139 +27.4%EDR 8 9 121,717 117,877 2.2% -3,840 -3.2%EDR 9 9 222,790 231,622 4.3% +8,832 +4.0%EDR 10 11 460,102 500,137 9.2% +40,035 +8.7%EDR 11 7 2,642,056 2,952,932 54.5% +310,876 +11.8%Minnesota 87 4,919,479 5,420,380 100.0% +500,901 +10.2%

Understanding Regions• What is the largest Workforce Service Area?

– By square miles, it’s WSA 2 = 19,989 sq. miles• By that measure, WSA 10 is the smallest WSA (54 sq. miles)!

– 2 huge regions = WSA 2 & 3– 5 large WSAs

• WSA 1 = 8,439 sq. mi.• WSA 5 = 7,330 sq. mi.• WSA 6 = 9,186 sq. mi.• WSA 7 = 5,127 sq. mi.• WSA 8 = 6,129 sq. mi.

– 9 smaller WSAs• WSA 17 = 1,751 sq. mi.• WSA 9 = 854 sq. mi.

• By population, it’s…– WSA 9 = 894,270 people

WSA # of Cos.

2000 Pop.

2013 Pop.

Percent of State

2000-2013 Change

WSA 1 7 88,472 85,823 1.6% -2,649 -3.0%WSA 2 19 438,320 472,124 8.7% +33,804 +7.7%WSA 3 7 235,155 240,361 4.4% +5,206 +2.2%WSA 4 86,918 86,128 1.6% -790 -0.9%WSA 5 11 406,546 498,139 9.2% +91,593 +22.5%WSA 6 14 171,728 161,808 3.0% -9,920 -5.8%WSA 7 9 222,790 231,622 4.3% +8,832 +4.0%WSA 8 10 410,117 448,905 8.3% +38,788 +9.5%WSA 9 2 803,787 894,270 16.5% +90,483 +11.3%WSA 10 382,618 400,070 7.4% +17,452 +4.6%WSA 12 1 298,084 339,534 6.3% +41,450 +13.9%WSA 14 2 445,402 545,741 10.1% +100,339 +22.5%WSA 15 1 511,035 526,714 9.7% +15,679 +3.1%WSA 16 1 201,130 246,603 4.5% +45,473 +22.6%WSA 17 2 167,392 191,306 3.5% +23,914 +14.3%WSA 18 1 49,985 51,232 0.9% +1,247 +2.5%Minnesota 87 4,919,479 5,420,380 100.0% +500,901 +10.2%

Understanding Regions• WSA population is more evenly dispersed

Understanding Regions• EDR square miles are more evenly dispersed

Understanding Regions• For the most part, commuting patterns are similar

in the Economic Development Regions– Most regions have between 70% and 85% of workers

both employed and living in the EDRs– The largest percentage of commuters were in EDR 7E

• But lots of commuting in EDR 7W, 6W, 6E, 4, 2, and 5– The largest employment centers are the Twin Cities,

other metropolitan areas

Region 1 – Northwest • Net outflow of -4,827 workers

– Primarily toGrand Forksand Fargo

– Penningtonis a netimporter

– Roseau is anet importer

Understanding Regions• Minnesota has 2,989,818 workers in Sept. 2014• Which region has the most available workers?

– EDR 11 – Twin Cities = 1,640,788 workers (54.9%)– EDR 10 – Southeast = 274,392 workers (9.2%)– EDR 7W =

228,271Local Unemployment Statistics for September 2014

EDR Name Labor Force Percent of Workers

Unemployed Workers

Percent of Unemp.

Unemp. Rate

EDR 1 - Northwest 50,898 1.7% 1,626 1.5% 3.2%EDR 2 - Headwaters 40,688 1.4% 1,971 1.8% 4.8%EDR 3 - Arrowhead 167,237 5.6% 7,507 6.9% 4.5%EDR 4 - West Central 128,140 4.3% 3,742 3.5% 2.9%EDR 5 - North Central 83,339 2.8% 3,571 3.3% 4.3%EDR 6E- Southwest Central 67,056 2.2% 2,268 2.1% 3.4%EDR 6W- Upper MN Valley 24,334 0.8% 762 0.7% 3.1%EDR 7E- East Central 82,999 2.8% 3,626 3.3% 4.4%EDR 7W- Central 228,271 7.6% 8,024 7.4% 3.5%EDR 8 - Southwest 69,101 2.3% 2,029 1.9% 2.9%EDR 9 - South Central 132,575 4.4% 4,441 4.1% 3.3%EDR 10 - Southeast 274,392 9.2% 9,045 8.4% 3.3%EDR 11 - Twin Cities 1,640,788 54.9% 59,652 55.1% 3.6%Minnesota 2,989,818 100.0% 108,265 100.0% 3.6%

Source: DEED Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS)

Understanding Regions• Minnesota has 2,989,818 workers in Sept. 2014• Which WSA has the most available workers?

– Hennepin/Carver = 504,953

• Smallest isWinona Co.– 29,123

Local Unemployment Statistics for September 2014

WSA Name Labor Force Percent of Workers

Unemployed Workers

Percent of Unemp.

Unemp. Rate

WSA 1 - Northwest 50,898. 1.7% 1,626 1.5% 3.2%WSA 2 - Rural MN CEP 252,167. 8.4% 9,284 8.6% 3.7%WSA 3 - Northeast 121,584. 4.1% 5,553 5.1% 4.6%WSA 4 - City of Duluth 45,653. 1.5% 1,954 1.8% 4.3%WSA 5 - Central 269,074. 9.0% 10,088 9.3% 3.7%WSA 6 - Southwest 93,435. 3.1% 2,791 2.6% 3.0%WSA 7 - South Central 132,575. 4.4% 4,441 4.1% 3.3%WSA 8 - Southeast 245,269. 8.2% 8,073 7.5% 3.3%WSA 9 - Hennepin/Carver 504,953. 16.9% 17,822 16.5% 3.5%WSA 10 - City of Minneapolis 219,765. 7.4% 8,533 7.9% 3.9%WSA 12 - Anoka County 191,639. 6.4% 7,051 6.5% 3.7%WSA 14 - Dakota/Scott 310,922. 10.4% 10,685 9.9% 3.4%WSA 15 - Ramsey County 277,970. 9.3% 10,852 10.0% 3.9%WSA 16 - Washington Co. 135,539. 4.5% 4,709 4.3% 3.5%WSA 17 - Stearns/Benton 109,252. 3.7% 3,830 3.5% 3.5%WSA 18 - Winona County 29,123. 1.0% 972 0.9% 3.3%Minnesota 2,989,818. 100.0% 108,265 100.0% 3.6%

Source: DEED Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS)

Understanding Regions• What was the fastest growing EDR labor force?

– EDR 7W grew 10.7% from 2003-2013– EDR 4 grew 7.8%– But EDR 11 – Twin Cities accounted

for 35,011 of the 81,850 new workers• What was the fastest growing WSA?

– WSA 16 – Washington Co. = 8.6%– WSA 5 – Central Minnesota = 7.8%– WSA 14 – Dakota/Scott = 6.6%– WSA 17 – Stearns/Benton = 5.8%

• In contrast, 2 WSAs lost workers:– WSA 10 – Minneapolis = -1.1%– WSA 15 – Ramsey Co. = -2.1%

Understanding Regions• Minnesota has 164,460 firms providing 2,691,838 jobs• Which region has the most jobs?

– EDR 11 – Twin Cities = 1,618,931 jobs (61.3%)– EDR 10 – Southeast = 234,937 jobs (8.9%)– EDR 7W =

160,622 jobsArea Name

Number of Firms

Number of Jobs

Percent of Jobs Total Wages

Avg. Annual Wage

EDR 1 - Northwest 2,718 37,317 1.4% $1,421,157,114 $38,064EDR 2 - Headwaters 2,336 30,114 1.1% $1,016,215,081 $33,696EDR 3 - Arrowhead 8,860 140,327 5.3% $5,546,455,874 $39,520EDR 4 - West Central 6,952 86,273 3.3% $3,016,642,482 $34,944EDR 5 - North Central 4,867 59,915 2.3% $1,932,691,683 $32,240EDR 6E- Southwest Central 3,527 51,752 2.0% $1,852,851,081 $35,776EDR 6W- Upper MN Valley 1,564 17,507 0.7% $579,190,603 $33,072EDR 7E- East Central 3,535 46,230 1.8% $1,530,478,992 $33,072EDR 7W- Central 10,107 160,622 6.1% $6,195,912,661 $38,532EDR 8 - Southwest 3,988 54,299 2.1% $1,868,030,238 $34,372EDR 9 - South Central 6,554 102,382 3.9% $3,794,019,173 $37,024EDR 10 - Southeast 12,184 234,937 8.9% $10,308,002,215 $43,836EDR 11 - Twin Cities 78,768 1,618,931 61.3% $91,566,938,792 $56,576Minnesota 164,460 2,691,838 $134,897,990,609 $50,128

Understanding Industries• The largest industry in Minnesota is:

– Health Care & Social Assistance, with 446,744 jobs at 14,063 firms

– Manufacturing, with 307,237 jobs– Retail Trade, with 286,850 jobs– Educational Services, with 218,558 jobs– Accom. & Food Services, with 216,895 jobs

• Over 50% of the state’s jobs are inthese five industries!

Minnesota Industry Employment Statistics, 2013

NAICS Industry TitleNumber

of Estabs.Number of Jobs

Percent of Jobs

Total Industry Payroll

Avg. Annual Wages

Total, All Industries 164,460 2,691,838 100.0% $134,897,990,609 $50,128Health Care & Social Assistance 14,063 446,744 16.6% $20,351,228,109 $45,500Manufacturing 8,048 307,237 11.4% $18,297,446,286 $59,540Retail Trade 19,028 286,850 10.7% $7,437,163,836 $25,896Educational Services 4,031 218,558 8.1% $9,760,366,391 $44,564Accommodation & Food Services 11,415 216,895 8.1% $3,476,753,428 $16,016Finance & Insurance 9,263 139,904 5.2% $12,448,381,891 $89,024Professional & Technical Services 19,440 136,622 5.1% $11,077,299,629 $81,016Admin. Support & Waste Mgmt. 7,920 134,691 5.0% $4,349,392,244 $32,240Wholesale Trade 13,438 130,458 4.8% $9,921,514,312 $76,076Public Administration 3,810 123,852 4.6% $6,187,593,860 $49,972Construction 16,123 107,369 4.0% $6,145,099,984 $57,096Transportation & Warehousing 5,481 93,361 3.5% $4,470,761,512 $47,892Other Services 15,251 85,345 3.2% $2,467,616,492 $28,860Management of Companies 1,325 76,948 2.9% $8,684,622,519 $112,892Information 3,414 57,017 2.1% $3,715,380,511 $65,156Arts, Entertainment, & Recreation 2,993 49,008 1.8% $1,447,792,453 $29,640Real Estate, Rental & Leasing 6,223 39,756 1.5% $2,126,186,840 $53,560Agriculture, Forestry 2,524 20,591 0.8% $661,405,870 $32,084Utilities 459 14,403 0.5% $1,347,469,536 $93,600Mining 213 6,223 0.2% $524,514,906 $84,344

Understanding Industries• Minnesota has high location quotients in:

NAICS Industry TitleNAICS Code

Number of Estabs.

Number of Jobs

Location Quotient

Total Industry Payroll

Avg. Annual Wages

Printing & Related Support Activities 323 723 23,600 2.2 $1,194,590,844 $50,596Animal Production & Aquaculture 112 845 10,388 1.8 $330,242,243 $31,772Computer & Electronic Product Mfg. 334 464 44,826 1.8 $4,029,435,352 $89,856Miscellaneous Manufacturing 339 960 22,394 1.6 $1,466,375,426 $65,468Management of Companies 55 1,325 76,948 1.5 $8,684,622,519 $112,892Nursing & Residential Care Facilities 623 2,797 109,268 1.4 $2,605,295,968 $23,816Electric Power Gen., Transm., & Dist. 2211 321 12,101 1.3 $1,179,946,862 $97,552Food Manufacturing 311 721 45,398 1.3 $1,977,503,115 $43,576ISPs, Web Search, & Data Processing Svcs. 518 375 8,111 1.3 $639,441,778 $78,832Insurance Carriers & Related Activities 524 4,310 64,495 1.3 $5,767,386,336 $89,440Wood Product Manufacturing 321 331 10,446 1.2 $485,912,088 $46,488Air Transportation 481 89 13,242 1.2 $900,147,507 $68,016Publishing Industries (except Internet) 511 915 21,303 1.2 $1,529,206,579 $71,812Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing 332 1,601 41,483 1.2 $2,240,874,389 $53,976Machinery Manufacturing 333 788 32,189 1.2 $2,005,435,761 $62,296Mining (except Oil and Gas) 212 177 5,992 1.2 $499,499,603 $83,408Paper Manufacturing 322 125 9,855 1.1 $644,071,735 $65,312Wholesale Electronic Markets & Agents 425 4,834 23,143 1.1 $2,274,347,133 $98,280

Source: DEED Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages (QCEW) program

Understanding Industries• Printing is most strongly concentrated in:

– EDR 11 – Twin Cities = 14,465 jobs– EDR 9 – South Central = 3,759 jobs– EDR 7W – Central = 1,674 jobs– EDR 10 – Southeast = 1,419 jobs

• Animal Production is most strongly concentrated in:– EDR 9 – South Central = 2,321 jobs– EDR 10 – Southeast = 2,073 jobs– EDR 6E – Southwest Central = 1,593 jobs– EDR 4 – West Central = 1,139 jobs– EDR 8 – Southwest = 1,066 jobs

• Computer & Electronic Product Mfg. is concentrated in:– EDR 11 – Twin Cities = 34,697 jobs– EDR 10 – Southeast = 5,288 jobs– EDR 9 – South Central = 1,354 jobs– EDR 6E – Southwest Central = 1,164 jobs

Region 1 - NorthwestNAICS Industry Title

NAICS Code

Number of Firms

Number of Jobs

Loc. Quo.

Total Industry Payroll

Avg. Annual Wages

Total, All Industries 0 2,718 37,317 1.0 $1,421,157,114 $38,064Transportation Equipment Manufacturing 336 14 3,295 21.5 $191,011,228 $58,240Crop Production 111 182 757 7.8 $26,404,963 $33,904Merchant Wholesalers, Durable Goods 423 53 3,352 3.8 $169,462,058 $50,544Gasoline Stations 447 56 708 2.2 $11,546,810 $16,276Junior Colleges 6112 2 281 2.1 $14,706,919 $52,416Food Manufacturing 311 20 1,080 1.7 $50,477,055 $46,956Amusement, Gambling, & Recreation Industries 713 44 843 1.7 $16,284,093 $19,344Merchant Wholesalers, Nondurable Goods 424 96 963 1.6 $42,469,552 $44,148Religious, Grantmaking, Civic, & Professional Orgs. 813 71 659 1.4 $8,464,361 $12,844Truck Transportation 484 87 484 1.4 $18,492,169 $38,116Food & Beverage Stores 445 58 993 1.4 $16,156,638 $16,224Heavy & Civil Engineering Construction 237 38 406 1.4 $23,740,099 $57,044Nursing & Residential Care Facilities 623 54 2,010 1.3 $42,668,936 $21,216Public Administration 92 177 2,178 1.3 $88,337,860 $40,560Machinery Manufacturing 333 21 547 1.2 $25,093,808 $45,812Telecommunications 517 15 218 1.2 $12,989,534 $59,644Hospitals 622 7 1,889 1.1 $74,678,487 $39,520Educational Services 61 74 3,347 1.1 $128,590,675 $38,532Motor Vehicle & Parts Dealers 441 58 473 1.1 $18,607,727 $39,416

Source: DEED Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages (QCEW) program

Labor Market Information Officehttp://mn.gov/deed/data/

• Industry Employment Statistics & Trends• Regional Wage & Salary Information• Unemployment Rates• Unemployment Insurance Claims• Hiring Difficulties in Minnesota• Skills Gap Surveys• Quarterly Workforce Indicators (QWI)• DEED’s Regional Data Tool• Job Skills Transfer Assessment Tool (JobSTAT)• Economic Trends & Employment Review

• Occupations in Demand (OID)• Employment Outlook Projections• Graduate Employment Outcomes• Career Exploration Information• Job Vacancy Survey data• Affirmative Action Statistics• Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) data• U.S. Census data