Anatoliy Swishchuk Math & Comp Lab Dept of Math & Stat, U of C ‘Lunch at the Lab’ Talk
Girsanov’s Theorem: From Game Theory to Finance Anatoliy Swishchuk Math & Comp Finance Lab Dept of...
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Transcript of Girsanov’s Theorem: From Game Theory to Finance Anatoliy Swishchuk Math & Comp Finance Lab Dept of...
Girsanov’s Theorem:From Game Theory to Finance
Anatoliy Swishchuk
Math & Comp Finance Lab
Dept of Math & Stat, U of C
“Lunch at the Lab” Talk
December 6, 2005
Outline
• Simplest Case: Girsanov’s Theorem in Game Theory
• GT for Brownian Motion• Applications GT in Finance• Discrete-Time (B,S)-Security Markets• Continuous-Time (B,S)-Security Markets• Other Models in Finance: Merton (Poisson),
Jump-Diffusion, Diffusion with SV• General Girsanov’s Theorem• Conclusion
Original Girsanov’s Paper
• Girsanov, I. V. (1960) On transforming a certain class of stochastic processes by absolutely continuous substitution of measures. Theory Probability and Its Applications, 5, 285-301.
• Extension of Cameron-Martin Theorem (1944) for multi-dimensional shifted Brownian motion
Cameron-Martin Theorem
Girsanov’s Theorem
Game Theory. I.
Game Theory. II.
Girsanov’s Theorem in Game Theory
Take
p=1/2-probability of success or to win-
to make game fair, or (the same)
to make total gain X_n martingale in nth game
p=1/2 is a martingale measure (simpliest)
Discrete-Time (B,S)-Security Market. I.
Discrete-Time (B,S)-Security Market. II.
Discrete-Time (B,S)-Security Market. III.
GT for Discrete-Time (B,S)-SM
Change measure from
p
to
p^*=(r-a) / (b-a).
Here: p^* is a martingale measure (discounted capital is a martingale)
GT for Discrete-Time (B,S)-SM: Density Process
Continuous-Time (B,S)-Security Market. I.
Continuous-Time (B,S)-Security Market. II.
GT for Continuous-Time (B,S)-SM. I.
GT for Continuous-Time (B,S)-SM. II.
GT for Other Models. I: Merton (Poisson) Model
GT for Other Models. II: Diffusion Model with Jumps
GT for Other Models. II: Diffusion Model with Jumps (contd)
GT for Other Models. III. Continuous-Time (B,S)-SM with Stochastic Volatility
GT for Other Models. III. Continuous-Time (B,S)-SM with Stochastic Volatility
(contd)
General Girsanov’s Theorem (Transformation of Drift)
The End
Thank You for Your Attention and Time!
Merry Christmas!