Georgia Association of School Personnel Administrators November 30, 2011

Georgia Association of School Personnel Administrators

November 30, 2011

1 Examine the Data for Education in Georgia

2 Economic Impact of Georgia Non-Graduates

3 Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline

4 What Can We Do?

Examine the Data for Education in Georgia

Academic Achievement Milestones

School Readiness

Literacy by 3rd Grade

Numeracy by 8th Grade

High School Graduation

Workforce and/or College Ready

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

New

Jer

sey

Con

nect

icut

Mas

sach

uset

tsLo

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ana

New

Yor

kPu

erto

Ric

oH

awai

iIlli

nois

Geo

rgia

Mar

ylan

dN

ewSo

uth

Car

olin

aAr

kans

asM

issi

ssip

piC

alifo

rnia

Mic

higa

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ebra

ska

Penn

sylv

ania

Virg

inia

Wis

cons

inC

olor

ado

Del

awar

eFl

orid

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wa

Kans

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hode

Isla

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nite

d St

ates

Nor

th C

arol

ina

Kent

ucky

Min

neso

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Verm

ont

Alab

ama

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h D

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see

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ew M

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tah

Was

hing

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ota

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a

Percent of Children Age 3-5 Enrolled in Early Education, 2009

Source: The Annie E. Casey Foundation, KIDS COUNT Data Center.

20th State61%

UnitedStates60%

Georgia64%

NAEP 2011 4th Grade Reading At or Above Basic

Source: National Center for Education Statistics

0

20

40

60

80

100

Mas

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ky Ohio

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Flor

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Minn

esot

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aine

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waSo

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Dako

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rk Utah

North

Car

olina

India

naW

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sinAl

abam

aW

ashin

gton

Miss

ouri

Geo

rgia

Mich

igan

Illino

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Okla

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Tenn

esse

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icoDC

Georgia & US Average

66%20th State

70%

NAEP 2011 8th Grade Math At or Above Basic

Source: National Center for Education Statistics

0

20

40

60

80

100

Mas

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Dak

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irgin

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Illin

ois

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Ken

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ork

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th C

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est V

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United States72%

Georgia68%

20th State77%

Source: NCES (2010). Public School Graduates and Dropouts: School Year 2007-08.

0

20

40

60

80

100

Wis

cons

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nia

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20th State79% Georgia

65.4%

High School Graduation Rates: State-by-State Rankings

UnitedStates74.9%

Georgia High School Graduation Rates

Source: The Governor’s Office of Student Achievement, State Report Cards.

YearHigh School

Graduation RateNumber of High

School Non-Grads

2007 72% 28,883

2008 75% 27,248

2009 79% 23,567

2010 81% 21,803

2011 81% 21,844

Total 123,345

Economic Impact ofGeorgia Non-Graduates

Education Pays

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Earnings & unemployment for full-time workers age 25 & older, not seasonally adjusted.

EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT & EMPLOYMENT

Unemployment Rate Sept 2011 Median Wkly Earnings (& approx. annual)

15% 10% 5% 0% 0 200 600 1000

4.2 Bachelor’s Degree & Higher

$1,152 ($58,500)

8.3 Some college/ Associate Degree

$731 ($38,012)

9.1 HS Graduates, No College

$636 ($33,072)

13.0 Less than a High School Diploma

$459 ($23,868)

Unemployment Rates by Education Level

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, February 2010.

Unemployment Rates by County: Aug. 2011

Source: Georgia Department of Labor; State average = 10.4%

State Service Delivery Regions

Economic Impact of High School Non-Completion

How much could YOUR region benefit from this additional income currently being foregone?

Source: Isley, P. & Hill, J. “Updated Economic Impact of High School Non-Completion in Georgia: 2005 Estimate,” Georgia Southern University. April 2007. *According to GSU study, totals may not add due to rounding.

Region 1 $2.2 billion












TOTAL $18 billion*

Compounded Impacts of High School Non-Completion

Source: Levin, H., et al., (2007). The Costs and Benefits of an Excellent Education for All of America’s Children.

INDIVIDUALS THE COMMUNITY

Lower Lifetime Earnings Reduced buying power & tax revenues; less economic growth

Decreased health status; Higher mortality rates; More criminal activity

Higher health care & criminal justice costs

Higher teen pregnancy rates; Single motherhood

Higher public services costs

Less voting; Less volunteeringLow rate of community involvement

Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline


KEY ISSUE

#1Early Life Experiences

KEY ISSUE

#2Academic Achievement K-12

KEY ISSUE

#3Transitions to Work or College

Family Income Affects School Readiness

Source: National Center for Education Statistics. (2004). Early Longitudinal Study, Kindergarten Class of 1998-99.

Achievement Gap as Children Enter Kindergarten

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36

Age of child in months

Voc

abu

lary

Siz

eDisparities in Early Vocabulary Growth

Source: Hart, B. and Risley, T. R. (2003). “The Early Catastrophe: The 30 Million Word Gap by Age 3.”

Professional Families 1,116 words

Working Class Families 749 words

Welfare Families 525 words

Economic Benefits of Early Education:Perry Preschool Study

41%

36%

29%

20%

13%

7%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Never onwelfare as adult

Own home

Earn $2,000+monthly

Program group No-Program group

Source: Schweinhart, L.J., et al. (2005). Lifetime effects: The High/Scope Perry Preschool study through age 40.

66%

15%

45%

34%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Graduated HSon Time

ReceivedSpecial

Education

Program group No-program group

Economic Benefits of Early Education:Perry Preschool Study

Source: Schweinhart, L.J., et al. (2005). Lifetime effects: The High/Scope Perry Preschool study through age 40.


KEY ISSUE


KEY ISSUE


KEY ISSUE


6th Grade Outcomes Can Predict Failure to Graduate High School

Source: Balfanz, R. (2007). Preventing Student Disengagement and Keeping Students on the Graduation Path in Urban Middle-Grades Schools: Early Identification and Effective Intervetions.

Flag in Sixth Grade

Percent with this flag who…

Attended ≤ 80%

Failed Math

Course

Failed English Course

Suspended Out of School

Un-satisfactory

Behavior

Graduated on time 13 13 12 16 24

Did not graduate 83 81 82 80 71

Cost of Student Retention in Georgia (2010)

59,999 X $8,760 = More than $525 million

Georgia students retained in 09-10

Average annual cost of education

per student

Total cost of student retention in 2009 for

Georgia

Source: Georgia Department of Education; Partnership Calculation

Example for Troup County School System:

376 X $8,874 = $3,336,624

Essential Building Blocks of High Performing States

Higher Standards

Rigorous Curriculum

Clear Accountability System

Statewide Student Information System

Leadership Training

3rd Grade Reading Achievement in Georgia:Closing the Gaps

70%

80%

90%

100%

2007 2008 2009 2010

All Students Black Hispanic White

Source: Georgia Department of Education.

% of Students Meeting or Exceeding Standards

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2007 2008 2009 2010


8th Grade Math Achievement in Georgia:Closing the Gaps


% of Students Meeting or Exceeding Standards

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011


High School Graduation Rates in Georgia:Closing the Gaps



KEY ISSUE


KEY ISSUE


KEY ISSUE


Demand for postsecondary education has increased, and will continue to increase during and after the recovery.

Source: Anthony Carnevale’s analysis of March CPS data, various years; Center on Education and the Workforce forecast of educational demand to 2018, presented in The Recession: Accelerating the New Economy, September 2011.

Job Losers Job Gainers

Structural Changes Through 2018 and Beyond

Source: : Anthony Carneval’s presentation: The Recession: Accelerating the New Economy, September 2011.

Are They College Ready?

Source: ACT. “The Condition of College & Career Readiness: Class of 2010.”

Percent of Georgia High School Graduates Prepared for College Courses

Remediation Among College Freshmen

Source: University System of Georgia

Percent of 1st-time Freshmen in Georgia’s Public Colleges & Universities Requiring Learning Support

15.217.2 17.9 18.7 19.6 19.5

0

5

10

15

20

25

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

What Can We Do?

Look at the Data for Your Community

Benchmark against similar communities

(demographically alike; geographic proximity)

Consider multiple sources

(KIDS COUNT, Department of Education, Georgia School Council Institute, etc.)

Improving the Pipeline:Low Birth Weight in 2009

GOAL: Reduce the number of low birth weight babies by 10 percent in Troup County.

Troup County Georgia

Total # of births 909 141,332

# of low weight births 90 13,412

low birth weight rate 9.9% 9.5%

RESULT: 9 healthier babies!Source: Kids Count. Georgia Partnership Calculation.

81

8.9%

Improving the Pipeline:High School Graduation in 2010

GOAL: Improve the number of graduates by 10 percent in Troup County.

Troup County Georgia

Total # of Graduates 852 91,561

Graduation Rate 80.0% 80.8%

RESULT: 85 more high school graduates!

Source: Georgia Department of Education. Georgia Partnership Calculation.

937

87.9%

Aligning Educational Strategies

Aligned Acts of Improvement

Random Acts of Improvement

GOALS

GOALS

How Will You Insulate the Birth to Work Pipeline?

LEARNING & SOCIAL SUPPORTS

Childcare Providers

Afterschool Programs

Academic Supports

Job Training

Civic Opportunities

Early Childhood

K – 12 SystemPost Secondary

Work & Career

ESSENTIAL COMMUNITY SERVICES

Transportation Health Housing Financial

Source: The Forum for Youth Investment

Help Insulate the Pipeline

Post Secondary

Read to children everyday

Monitor the Quality Rating of your early learning centers

Read and mentor students

Volunteer with Junior Achievement

Participate in Friday Night /College Lights and/ or Apply to College Month

Support joint enrollment programs

Provide internships

Offer financial planning

Early Childhood

K – 12 System

Georgia Association of School Personnel Administrators November 30, 2011

Documents

Transcript of Georgia Association of School Personnel Administrators November 30, 2011