General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations Data Requirements for National...

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Data Requirements for National Policy Needs in Turkish Economy Ertan APAYDIN MINISTRY of DEVELOPMENT General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations

Transcript of General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations Data Requirements for National...

Page 1: General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations Data Requirements for National Policy Needs in Turkish Economy Ertan APAYDIN MINISTRY.

General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural EvaluationsGeneral Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations

Data Requirements for National Policy Needs in Turkish

Economy

Data Requirements for National Policy Needs in Turkish

Economy

Ertan APAYDINMINISTRY of DEVELOPMENT

General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations

Ertan APAYDINMINISTRY of DEVELOPMENT

General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations

Page 2: General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations Data Requirements for National Policy Needs in Turkish Economy Ertan APAYDIN MINISTRY.

General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural EvaluationsGeneral Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations

• Main Administrative Bodies in the Economy,

• Main Policy Documents,

• Statistics used in Policy Documents by theme,

• Data Requirements for National Policy Needs in Turkish Economy.

• Main Administrative Bodies in the Economy,

• Main Policy Documents,

• Statistics used in Policy Documents by theme,

• Data Requirements for National Policy Needs in Turkish Economy.

Contents

Page 3: General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations Data Requirements for National Policy Needs in Turkish Economy Ertan APAYDIN MINISTRY.

General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural EvaluationsGeneral Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations

Main Administrative Bodies in the Economy and Policy

Documents

Main Administrative Bodies in the Economy and Policy

Documents

General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural EvaluationsGeneral Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations

Page 4: General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations Data Requirements for National Policy Needs in Turkish Economy Ertan APAYDIN MINISTRY.

General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural EvaluationsGeneral Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations

Main Administrative Bodies

Main Bodies for Economic Policy Making and Coordination

High Planning Council

Money, Credit and Coordination Council

Economic and Social Council

Chairman: Prime Minister

-Deputy Prime Minister

-Minister of Finance-Minister of Science, Industry and Trade -Minister of Energy and National Resources, -Minister of Development,

-Minister of Economy,

Chairman: Deputy Prime Minister

-Minister of Finance-Minister of Economy-Governor of CBRT-Undersecretaries of MoD, MoF, MoE

Representatives of

-Public Institutions-Employers-Workers-Chambers of Occupation

-And other Civilian Society Organizations

Economic Coordination Council

Chairman: Deputy Prime Minister

-Minister of Finance,-Minister of Science, Industry and Trade -Minister of Energy and National Resources, -Minister of Development,

-Minister of Economy,

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General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural EvaluationsGeneral Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations

Main Policy Documents

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Development Plan/Long Term Strategy

Medium Term Program

SSectoral-ThematicSStrategies

IInstitutional SStrategic Plans

NNational Program

PPre-Accession Economic Pr.

Annual Program

Investment Program

Medium Term Fiscal Plan

BUDGET

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General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural EvaluationsGeneral Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations

Tenth Development Plan(2014-2018)

- Five-year documents (non rolling),- Five-year macroeconomic policies and targets,- Guides all macroeconomic, sectoral and regional

policies and implementations, - Sets the general framework of economic, social

and regional indicative targets,- Based on findings of the committees formed by

representatives of universities, public institutions, private sector and NGO’s,

- Prepared by MoD; approved by the Parliament.

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General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural EvaluationsGeneral Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations

Page 9: General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations Data Requirements for National Policy Needs in Turkish Economy Ertan APAYDIN MINISTRY.

General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural EvaluationsGeneral Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations

  2012 2013 2018 2014-2018Main Economic Indicators

GDP Growth (%) 2,2 4,0 5,9 5,5GDP (Billions of Dollar) 786,3 850,5 1.285,5 8,6GDP Per Capita (Dollar) 10.504 11.183 15.996 7,4CPI (12 Monthly Changes) 6,2 5,3 4,5 4,8

Production Factors (%)Capital Stock 5,6 5,2 6,3 5,7Employment 2,9 4,2 3,0 2,9Total Factor Productivity -1,1 -0,5 1,2 1,1

Labor MarketLabor Force Participation Rate

50,0 51,1 53,8 52,6

Employment (Millions of Persons)

24,8 25,9 29,9 2,9

Employment Rate (%) 45,4 46,4 49,9 48,2Unemployment Rate (%) 9,2 9,2 7,2 8,2

Tenth Development Plan

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MEDIUM TERM PROGRAM (MTP)(Law No. 5018 / Art.16)

- Sets priorities, macroeconomic policies, targets and projections,

- 3-year documents (yearly rolling),- Program based approach,- Covers all public sector institutions,- Consistent with the Development Plan,- Prepared by MoD with the collaboration of MoF,

Treasury and CBRT in the light of views of public institutions and NGO’s,

- Approved by the Council of Ministers.

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General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural EvaluationsGeneral Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations

MEDIUM TERM FISCAL PLAN (MTFP)(Law No. 5018 / Art.16)

- Institutional budget appropriation proposal ceilings ,

- 3-year documents (yearly rolling),- Based on Medium Term Program,- Prepared by MoF with the collaboration of

MoD and Treasury,- Approved by the High Planning Council.

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General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural EvaluationsGeneral Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations

ANNUAL PROGRAM

- Sets measures to implement the policies,- Institutional responsibilities and timetable,- Prepared by MoD,- Approved by the Council of Ministers.

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BUDGET

- Rules regarding the implementation,- Appropriations,- Revenue estimations,- Approved by the Parliament.

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PUBLIC INVESTMENT PROGRAM

- Project based distribution of investment appropriations,

- Institutional distribution of investment appropriations,

- Covers whole public sector,- Indicates the total cost of all projects, as well as

individual projects,- Indicates the total amount appropriated up to

present of all projects.

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Utilised and Required Statistics in National level

Utilised and Required Statistics in National level

General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural EvaluationsGeneral Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations

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National Accounts Foreign Trade and Factors Affecting the Foreign Trade Balance of Payment Public Balances Inflation, Price Statistics includes Agricultural Crop Prices Employment, Unemployment and Wages Population, Demography, Poverty Statistics Banking Sector Statistics (by BRSA) and Selected Monetary

Aggregates and Items in Central Bank Balance Sheet ICT Indicators

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Development Plan MTP Annual Program PEP

Statistics Used in Policy Documents by Theme(1)

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General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural EvaluationsGeneral Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations

World Economic Indicators, Competitiveness Ranking, Business Climate Indicators, Patent Statistics

Purchasing Power Parity Public Investment Debt Stock Sectoral Detailed Statistics Education and Health Statistics Turkey’s Official Development Assistance Judicial Statistics Regional Statistics Social Assistance Expenditures

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Development Plan MTP Annual Program PEP

Statistics Used in Policy Documents by Theme(2)

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General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural EvaluationsGeneral Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations

WHAT WE NEED?(1)

1. The Supply-Use and Input-Output Tables Of The Turkish Economy (1973, 1979, 1985,1990,1998,2002) No data since 2002

2. Gross Domestic Product by Income Approach, No data since 20063. GNDI,Public and private sector disposable income, MoD statistics 4. Public and private sector saving rates, MoD statistics 5. A decomposition of private saving by households and by firms, 6. Sectoral breakdown of private sector investments. MoD statistics-10

sectors 7. Greenfield FDI statistics,8. Sectoral breakdown of private sector capital stock.

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WHAT WE NEED?(2)

9. More detailed statistics, especially in national account and labor force statistics,

10. More Back- Casted series.11. More Seasonal and Calendar Adjusted Statistics12. Harmonizing statistics between different data

producer institutions.13. Because of data privacy policy, policy makers can

not reach some statistics.

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General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural EvaluationsGeneral Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations

THANKYOU

THANKYOU

General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural EvaluationsGeneral Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations