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Fuel Your Startup -- Cindy Chen Insight Project
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Transcript of Fuel Your Startup -- Cindy Chen Insight Project
“Nothing kills startups like distractions…Paradoxically, fundraising is this type of distraction, so try to minimize that.”
- Paul Graham, Y Combinator
Fuel Your Startup Cindy Chen
Algorithm: Binary Link Prediction Data Source: CrunchBase
Network Pairs
100,000+
Companies
3000+
Funding Rounds
8000+
Investors
1000+
Algorithm: Binary Link Prediction Data Source: CrunchBase
Network Pairs
100,000+
Companies
3000+
Funding Rounds
8000+
Investors
1000+
Each Company
Each Funding Round
Invested InvestorsPositive Sample
Negative Sample: Down Sample 10 X #of Positive Sample
Cut Time Extract features before the time of the funding round
X XRandom Forest
Classifier
Network of Companies, Investors, and People
The Startup
Founder
Advisor
Employee
Competitor
Investor
Network of Companies, Investors, and People
The Startup
Founder
Advisor
Employee
Competitor
Investor
Company X Company Y
Investor A
Investor B
Investor C
Co-work
Co-invest
Co-invest
Invested your competitor
Location, Categories, and Funding Round
The Startup
Founder
Advisor
Employee
Competitor
Investor
Company X Company Y
Investor A
Investor B
Investor C
Co-work
Co-invest
Co-invest
Invested your competitor
Location Funding RoundCategories/Market
Leave-One-Company-Out Cross Validation
How many total investors I need to meet until all investors who will actually invest are met?
Cindy Chen
Popular investors invested in the location and categories
Baseline
Focus on Recall
Med
ian
Rec
all
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
Number of Top Investors Chosen0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180
Baseline Random Forest
Leave-One-Company-Out Cross Validation
How many total investors I need to meet until all investors who will actually invest are met?
Cindy Chen
Popular investors invested in the location and categories
Baseline
Focus on Recall
Med
ian
Rec
all
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
Number of Top Investors Chosen0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180
Baseline Random Forest
Cindy Chen
Additional Slides
Algorithm Cindy Chen
Features are not correlated
1. Within 1st degree: Invested previous round
2. # of paths within 2nd and 3rd degree (co-invest and co-work)
3. Within 1st degree: other4. Invested competitors5. Funding round match6. Categories similarity with investors’
portfolio companies7. Location similarity with investors’
portfolio companies