Forecasting & Replenishment. Forecasting Forecasting & Replenishment Historical Usage Forecasting.

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Forecasting & Replenishment

Transcript of Forecasting & Replenishment. Forecasting Forecasting & Replenishment Historical Usage Forecasting.

Page 1: Forecasting & Replenishment. Forecasting Forecasting & Replenishment Historical Usage Forecasting.

Forecasting & Replenishment

Page 2: Forecasting & Replenishment. Forecasting Forecasting & Replenishment Historical Usage Forecasting.

Forecasting & Replenishment

Forecasting

Page 3: Forecasting & Replenishment. Forecasting Forecasting & Replenishment Historical Usage Forecasting.

Forecasting & Replenishment

Historical Usage

Forecasting

Page 4: Forecasting & Replenishment. Forecasting Forecasting & Replenishment Historical Usage Forecasting.

Forecasting & Replenishment

Historical Usage

ADJ

Forecasting

Page 5: Forecasting & Replenishment. Forecasting Forecasting & Replenishment Historical Usage Forecasting.

Forecasting & Replenishment

Historical UsageFORECAST

Formulas

ADJTOTAL

FORECAST

Forecasting

Page 6: Forecasting & Replenishment. Forecasting Forecasting & Replenishment Historical Usage Forecasting.

Forecasting & Replenishment

Historical UsageFORECAST

Formulas

ADJTOTAL

FORECAST

Forecasting

Adjustment atSKU level

Page 7: Forecasting & Replenishment. Forecasting Forecasting & Replenishment Historical Usage Forecasting.

Forecasting & Replenishment

Historical UsageFORECAST

Formulas

ADJTOTAL

FORECAST

Forecasting

Forecast Summary

Adjustment atSKU level

Page 8: Forecasting & Replenishment. Forecasting Forecasting & Replenishment Historical Usage Forecasting.

Forecasting & Replenishment

Historical UsageFORECAST

Formulas

CollaborativeForecast

ADJTOTAL

FORECAST

Forecasting

Forecast Summary

Adjustment atSKU level

Page 9: Forecasting & Replenishment. Forecasting Forecasting & Replenishment Historical Usage Forecasting.

Forecasting & Replenishment

Historical UsageFORECAST

Formulas

CollaborativeForecast

ADJTOTAL

FORECAST

Forecasting

Sales Promotions

Forecast Summary

Adjustment atSKU level

Page 10: Forecasting & Replenishment. Forecasting Forecasting & Replenishment Historical Usage Forecasting.

Collaborative Forecasting

HistoricalUsage

Statistical ForecastAdjustmentsPromotions

TOTAL

FORECAST

Page 11: Forecasting & Replenishment. Forecasting Forecasting & Replenishment Historical Usage Forecasting.

Collaborative Forecasting

HistoricalUsage

Customer 123

Statistical ForecastAdjustmentsPromotions

TOTAL

FORECAST

Page 12: Forecasting & Replenishment. Forecasting Forecasting & Replenishment Historical Usage Forecasting.

Collaborative Forecasting

FORECAST

Formulas

HistoricalUsage

Customer 123

Statistical ForecastAdjustmentsPromotions

TOTAL

FORECAST

Page 13: Forecasting & Replenishment. Forecasting Forecasting & Replenishment Historical Usage Forecasting.

Collaborative Forecasting

FORECAST

Formulas

HistoricalUsage

Customer 123Collaborative

Forecast

Statistical ForecastAdjustmentsPromotions

TOTAL

FORECAST

Page 14: Forecasting & Replenishment. Forecasting Forecasting & Replenishment Historical Usage Forecasting.

Collaborative Forecasting

FORECAST

Formulas

HistoricalUsage

Customer 123Collaborative

Forecast

Excel

Customer 123Sales

Representative

Statistical ForecastAdjustmentsPromotions

TOTAL

FORECAST

Page 15: Forecasting & Replenishment. Forecasting Forecasting & Replenishment Historical Usage Forecasting.

Collaborative Forecasting

FORECAST

Formulas

HistoricalUsage

Customer 123CustomerForecast

CollaborativeForecast

Excel

Customer 123Sales

Representative

Statistical ForecastAdjustmentsPromotions

TOTAL

FORECAST

Page 16: Forecasting & Replenishment. Forecasting Forecasting & Replenishment Historical Usage Forecasting.

Forecasting & Replenishment

Historical UsageFORECAST

Formulas

CollaborativeForecast

ADJTOTAL

FORECAST

Forecasting

Sales Promotions

Forecast Summary

Adjustment atSKU level

Page 17: Forecasting & Replenishment. Forecasting Forecasting & Replenishment Historical Usage Forecasting.

Forecasting & Replenishment

Historical UsageFORECAST

Formulas

CollaborativeForecast

ADJTOTAL

FORECAST

Production&

Kits

Forecasting52 Period Forecast

Sales Promotions

Forecast Summary

Adjustment atSKU level

Page 18: Forecasting & Replenishment. Forecasting Forecasting & Replenishment Historical Usage Forecasting.

Forecasting & Replenishment

Historical UsageFORECAST

Formulas

CollaborativeForecast

ADJTOTAL

FORECAST

Production&

Kits

Forecasting52 Period Forecast

52 Period Forecast

Replenishment

Sales Promotions

Forecast Summary

Adjustment atSKU level

Page 19: Forecasting & Replenishment. Forecasting Forecasting & Replenishment Historical Usage Forecasting.

Forecasting & Replenishment

Historical UsageFORECAST

Formulas

CollaborativeForecast

ADJTOTAL

FORECAST

Production&

Kits

Forecasting52 Period Forecast

52 Period Forecast

Replenishment

Sales Promotions

Forecast Summary

Adjustment atSKU level

Page 20: Forecasting & Replenishment. Forecasting Forecasting & Replenishment Historical Usage Forecasting.

Forecasting & Replenishment

Historical UsageFORECAST

Formulas

CollaborativeForecast

ADJ

SuggestedOrder

Expected Inventory

TOTAL

FORECAST

Production&

Kits

Forecasting52 Period Forecast

52 Period Forecast

Replenishment

Sales Promotions

Forecast Summary

Adjustment atSKU level

Page 21: Forecasting & Replenishment. Forecasting Forecasting & Replenishment Historical Usage Forecasting.

Forecasting & Replenishment

Historical UsageFORECAST

Formulas

CollaborativeForecast

ADJ

SuggestedOrder

Expected Inventory

Lead Time

VendorTargets

TOTAL

FORECAST

Production&

Kits

Forecasting52 Period Forecast

52 Period Forecast

Replenishment

Sales Promotions

Forecast Summary

Adjustment atSKU level

Page 22: Forecasting & Replenishment. Forecasting Forecasting & Replenishment Historical Usage Forecasting.

Forecasting & Replenishment

Historical UsageFORECAST

Formulas

CollaborativeForecast

ADJ

SuggestedOrder

Expected Inventory

Lead Time

VendorTargets

TOTAL

FORECAST

Production&

Kits

Forecasting52 Period Forecast

52 Period Forecast

Replenishment

Sales Promotions

Forecast Summary

Adjustment atSKU level

Surplus Inventory

Page 23: Forecasting & Replenishment. Forecasting Forecasting & Replenishment Historical Usage Forecasting.

Forecasting & Replenishment

Historical UsageFORECAST

Formulas

CollaborativeForecast

ADJ

SuggestedOrder

TransferOrder

Expected Inventory

Lead Time

VendorTargets

TOTAL

FORECAST

Production&

Kits

Forecasting52 Period Forecast

52 Period Forecast

Replenishment

Sales Promotions

Forecast Summary

Adjustment atSKU level

Surplus Inventory

Page 24: Forecasting & Replenishment. Forecasting Forecasting & Replenishment Historical Usage Forecasting.

Forecasting & Replenishment

Historical UsageFORECAST

Formulas

CollaborativeForecast

ADJ

SuggestedOrder

PurchaseOrder

TransferOrder

Expected Inventory

Lead Time

VendorTargets

TOTAL

FORECAST

Production&

Kits

Forecasting52 Period Forecast

52 Period Forecast

Replenishment

Sales Promotions

Forecast Summary

Adjustment atSKU level

Surplus Inventory

Page 25: Forecasting & Replenishment. Forecasting Forecasting & Replenishment Historical Usage Forecasting.

Lead Time Horizon Calculation– Lead Time - Days– Review Cycle - Days– Safety Stock – Days or Dynamic Safety Stock

Vendor Replenishment

Lead

Tim

e Day

s

Review

Cyc

le Day

s

Safet

y Sto

ck

Today

60 Days 7 Days 14 Days

Buying For 81 Days

Page 26: Forecasting & Replenishment. Forecasting Forecasting & Replenishment Historical Usage Forecasting.

Distribution Requirements Planning (DRP)

DRP Looks at the Entire Company and Optimizes Inventory Across All Warehouses– Rolls Historical Usage Up Based on Replenishment Path– Forecast At Each Warehouse/Item– Compares Time Phased Inventory to Rolled Up Forecast

• Manages – Vendor Replenishment– Hub and Spoke

» Branch Replenishment– Inventory Balancing

Page 27: Forecasting & Replenishment. Forecasting Forecasting & Replenishment Historical Usage Forecasting.

Replenishment Path – Hub and Spoke

WH 2

WH 4 WH 6

WH 9

WH 7 WH 8

WH 1 WH 3

WH 5

Vendor 1 Vendor 2

Vendor Replenishment – Based on Lead Time Horizon

Warehouse Replenishment – Based on Days Supply

Example:WH 1, WH2 = Lead Time Horizon 90 DaysWH 3 = Lead Time Horizon 30 DaysWH 4, WH 5, WH6 = Min Days 14 Max Days 21WH 9 – Min Days 10 Max Days 14WH 7, WH 8 – Min Days 10 Max Days 14

Page 28: Forecasting & Replenishment. Forecasting Forecasting & Replenishment Historical Usage Forecasting.

Inventory Balancing – Hub and Spoke

WH 2

WH 4 WH 6

WH 9

WH 8

WH 1 WH 3

WH 5

Vendor 1 Vendor 2

Example:WH 1 has Need of 250WH 2 has Surplus of 100WH 3 has Surplus of 100WH 7 has Surplus of 75

WH 7

Transfer 100 Transfer 100

Transfer 50

Page 29: Forecasting & Replenishment. Forecasting Forecasting & Replenishment Historical Usage Forecasting.

Software Demonstration