Food & Beverage · r 5 Public Food & Beverage Company Valuations Next twelve months (NTM) figures...
Transcript of Food & Beverage · r 5 Public Food & Beverage Company Valuations Next twelve months (NTM) figures...
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Investment Banking & Advisory - Selected Recent Food & Beverage Transactions
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The return of an inflationary environment has continued to put
upward pressure on the FAO Food Price Index in early 2018. Near
record highs in Consumer Confidence, low unemployment and
payroll growth are contributing to increased prices and increased
acceptance of higher priced natural, organic, and fresh products.
To cater to changing preferences, increased investment will likely be
seen in faster-growing perishable categories that are typically found
in the perimeter of grocery stores, as opposed to slower-growing
processed/packaged food categories typically found in the center of
stores.
Private label brands will continue to be important for strategic buyers
seeking differentiation and an additional profit driver so long as
customer sentiment and brand recognition remain positive.
Transaction valuations are expected to remain robust in 2018 as
Strategic buyers seek to continue to stay on top of changing
preferences and leverage potential synergies in packaging and
distribution. Record highs in Private Equity committed capital and
“overhang” are also contributing to strong transaction valuations.
High transaction valuations likely will cause 2018 transaction volume
to be consistent with 2017 levels.
Food & Beverage Economic and M&A Landscape: Winter 2018
CommentaryMacroeconomic Consumer Indicators
Commodity Costs & Pricing Levels
Source: Capital IQ, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Moss
Adams Capital research, USDA, US Agricultural Trade Data, CFRA research
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EV/EBITDA valuations for Food companies have risen through
YTD 2018, with the exceptions of the Confectionary index,
which has decreased slightly. Valuations for Beverage
companies have continued to rise in line with the S&P 500.
Valuations
Selected Public Market Valuations: EV / EBITDANTM Estimated Revenue Growth
Note: The indices in the chart above are composed using the public companies included on the following three pages.
Source: Capital IQ
NTM Revenue and EBITDA for publicly-traded Food &
Beverage companies are expected to grow 2.8% and 6.7%,
respectively. By comparison, the S&P500’s revenue and
EBITDA are expected to grow 6.0% and 11.6%, respectively.
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Public Food & Beverage Company Valuations
Next twelve months (NTM) figures are based on the median of Wall St. analysts.
Source: Capital IQ and company filings.
($U.S. in millions, except per share data) 2/23/18 TTM Data EV Multiple
Company Name
Share
Price
52 Week
High - Low
Market
Cap
Enterprise
Value Sales EBITDA
EBITDA
Margin Sales EBITDA
TTM
Sales
TTM
EBITDA
NTM
Sales
NTM
EBITDA
Packaged Foods
Nestlé S.A. $81.02 $92.40 - $78.93 $247,728 $268,384 $92,474 $18,193 19.7% 5.8% 5.8% 2.9x 14.8x 2.7x 13.9x
The Kraft Heinz Company 68.71 93.88 - 67.05 82,440 112,560 26,232 8,315 31.7% 1.3% (2.2%) 4.3x 13.5x 4.2x 13.8x
Mondelez International, Inc. 43.76 47.23 - 39.19 64,714 82,175 25,896 4,607 17.8% 4.3% 18.9% 3.2x 17.8x 3.0x 15.0x
General Mills, Inc. 53.00 61.38 - 49.65 31,269 41,186 15,568 3,233 20.8% 1.6% 6.1% 2.6x 12.7x 2.6x 12.0x
Kellogg Company 68.06 75.31 - 58.76 23,601 31,951 12,923 2,912 22.5% 1.3% (7.9%) 2.5x 11.0x 2.4x 11.9x
Campbell Soup Company 44.09 59.94 - 42.82 13,215 16,925 7,858 1,958 24.9% 2.8% (9.4%) 2.2x 8.6x 2.1x 9.5x
Conagra Brands, Inc. 36.13 41.68 - 32.16 14,400 17,932 7,821 1,440 18.4% 1.7% 5.2% 2.3x 12.5x 2.3x 11.8x
The J. M. Smucker Company 123.77 143.45 - 99.57 13,954 18,711 7,360 1,632 22.2% 2.0% 5.4% 2.5x 11.5x 2.5x 10.9x
McCormick & Company, Incorporated 106.35 109.67 - 90.25 13,778 18,632 4,834 898 18.6% 13.4% 24.4% 3.9x 20.7x 3.4x 16.7x
Post Holdings, Inc. 77.58 89.04 - 71.06 5,034 10,841 5,409 974 18.0% 17.9% 32.9% 2.0x 11.1x 1.7x 8.4x
The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. 34.43 45.61 - 31.01 3,503 4,131 2,915 277 9.5% 4.6% 27.6% 1.4x 14.9x 1.4x 11.7x
TreeHouse Foods, Inc. 39.49 90.42 - 36.35 2,225 4,612 6,307 599 9.5% (3.8%) (10.0%) 0.7x 7.7x 0.8x 8.6x
B&G Foods, Inc. 31.58 45.00 - 29.50 2,061 3,892 1,608 326 20.3% 9.1% 16.6% 2.4x 11.9x 2.2x 10.2x
SunOpta Inc. 6.95 10.68 - 6.36 603 1,163 1,285 65 5.1% 1.5% 40.8% 0.9x 17.8x 0.9x 12.6x
Farmer Bros. Co. 31.75 37.55 - 28.75 521 601 571 43 7.5% 14.4% 41.0% 1.1x 14.1x 0.9x 10.0x
Median $17,932 $7,360 $1,440 18.6% 2.8% 6.1% 2.4x 12.7x 2.3x 11.8x
Average $42,246 $14,604 $3,031 17.8% 5.2% 13.0% 2.3x 13.4x 2.2x 11.8x
Confectionery
The Hershey Company $97.47 $116.49 - $95.21 $20,452 $22,993 $7,515 $1,803 24.0% 5.7% 5.9% 3.1x 12.8x 2.9x 12.0x
Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. 34.40 39.68 - 33.25 2,185 2,069 518 111 21.4% NA NA 4.0x 18.7x NA NA
Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory, Inc. 12.25 13.23 - 10.87 72 71 38 6 17.1% NA NA 1.9x 11.0x NA NA
Median $2,069 $518 $111 21.4% 5.7% 5.9% 3.1x 12.8x 2.9x 12.0x
Average $8,378 $2,691 $640 20.8% 5.7% 5.9% 3.0x 14.1x 2.9x 12.0x
NTM Est. Growth
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Public Food & Beverage Company Valuations
Next twelve months (NTM) figures are based on the median of Wall St. analysts.
Source: Capital IQ and company filings.
($U.S. in millions, except per share data) 2/23/18 TTM Data EV Multiple
Company Name
Share
Price
52 Week
High - Low
Market
Cap
Enterprise
Value Sales EBITDA
EBITDA
Margin Sales EBITDA
TTM
Sales
TTM
EBITDA
NTM
Sales
NTM
EBITDA
Baked & Snack Foods
J&J Snack Foods Corp. 134.84 157.33 - 121.20 2,515 2,385 1,124 164 14.6% 2.7% 6.7% 2.1x 14.5x 2.1x 13.6x
Lancaster Colony Corporation $119.80 $135.86 - $113.34 $3,286 $3,107 $1,202 $202 16.8% 2.1% 6.4% 2.6x 15.4x 2.5x 14.5x
John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. 58.18 74.69 - 54.32 657 725 849 66 7.8% 4.1% NA 0.9x 10.9x 0.8x NA
Snyder's-Lance, Inc. 49.91 50.67 - 31.03 4,902 6,020 2,231 282 12.6% (0.7%) 17.3% 2.7x 21.4x 2.7x 18.2x
Flowers Foods, Inc. 21.15 21.46 - 16.80 4,383 5,210 3,921 408 10.4% 1.0% 13.5% 1.3x 12.8x 1.3x 11.3x
Median $3,107 $1,202 $202 12.6% 2.1% 10.1% 2.1x 14.5x 2.1x 14.0x
Average $3,489 $1,865 $224 12.4% 1.9% 11.0% 1.9x 15.0x 1.9x 14.4x
Protein
Tyson Foods, Inc. $74.85 $84.65 - $57.20 $27,450 $36,860 $39,307 $3,932 10.0% 4.7% 11.5% 0.9x 9.4x 0.9x 8.4x
Hormel Foods Corporation 32.83 38.00 - 29.75 17,479 17,973 9,219 1,321 14.3% 7.7% 8.0% 1.9x 13.6x 1.8x 12.6x
Pilgrim's Pride Corporation 24.94 38.39 - 20.26 6,201 8,369 10,768 1,368 12.7% 2.5% 4.3% 0.8x 6.1x 0.8x 5.9x
Seaboard Corporation 4,050.00 4,690.00 - 3,247.00 4,735 3,751 5,809 350 6.0% NA NA 0.6x 10.7x NA NA
Cal-Maine Foods, Inc. 43.40 50.40 - 33.40 2,072 1,873 1,205 28 2.3% 17.3% 524.6% 1.6x NM 1.3x 10.7x
Sanderson Farms, Inc. 119.75 176.43 - 90.67 2,757 2,368 3,426 511 14.9% 1.5% (13.4%) 0.7x 4.6x 0.7x 5.4x
Median $6,060 $7,514 $916 11.4% 4.7% 8.0% 0.9x 9.4x 0.9x 8.4x
Average $11,866 $11,622 $1,252 10.1% 6.8% 107.0% 1.1x 8.9x 1.1x 8.6x
Dairy
Danone $80.92 $88.68 - $75.17 $50,882 $73,419 $29,631 $5,161 17.4% 4.1% 12.5% 2.5x 14.2x 2.4x 12.6x
Glanbia plc 17.72 24.09 - 16.27 5,228 5,680 2,866 397 13.9% (1.9%) 1.0% 2.0x 14.3x 2.0x 14.1x
Dean Foods Company 10.03 20.10 - 9.01 906 1,828 7,878 344 4.4% (3.2%) 3.2% 0.2x 5.3x 0.2x 5.2x
Lifeway Foods, Inc. 7.12 11.51 - 6.61 113 112 123 7 5.6% 0.2% NA 0.9x 16.2x 0.9x NA
Median $3,754 $5,372 $371 9.7% (0.9%) 3.2% 1.4x 14.3x 1.5x 12.6x
Average $20,260 $10,125 $1,477 10.3% (0.2%) 5.6% 1.4x 12.5x 1.4x 10.7x
NTM Est. Growth
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Public Food & Beverage Company Valuations
Next twelve months (NTM) figures are based on the median of Wall St. analysts.
Source: Capital IQ and company filings.
($U.S. in millions, except per share data) 2/23/18 TTM Data EV Multiple
Company Name
Share
Price
52 Week
High - Low
Market
Cap
Enterprise
Value Sales EBITDA
EBITDA
Margin Sales EBITDA
TTM
Sales
TTM
EBITDA
NTM
Sales
NTM
EBITDA
Fruit & Vegetable
Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc. $47.97 $61.98 - $43.02 $2,400 $2,756 $4,086 $238 5.8% NA NA 0.7x 11.6x NA NA
Calavo Growers, Inc. 86.58 90.85 - 48.75 1,509 1,524 1,076 70 6.5% 17.9% 25.8% 1.4x 21.7x 1.2x 17.3x
Seneca Foods Corporation 30.15 39.45 - 27.75 297 743 1,315 42 3.2% NA NA 0.6x 17.7x NA NA
Median $1,524 $1,315 $70 5.8% 17.9% 25.8% 0.7x 17.7x 1.2x 17.3x
Average $1,674 $2,159 $117 5.2% 17.9% 25.8% 0.9x 17.0x 1.2x 17.3x
Beverage
The Coca-Cola Company $43.83 $48.62 - $41.59 $185,424 $214,339 $35,410 $10,728 30.3% (11.3%) 6.2% 6.1x 20.0x 6.8x 18.8x
PepsiCo, Inc. 109.31 122.51 - 106.19 155,139 174,846 63,525 12,723 20.0% 3.1% 7.6% 2.8x 13.7x 2.7x 12.8x
Monster Beverage Corporation 65.39 70.22 - 41.02 36,618 35,522 3,312 1,318 39.8% 11.1% 9.5% NM 27.0x 9.7x 24.6x
Dr Pepper Snapple Group, Inc. 115.26 126.65 - 83.23 20,636 25,062 6,690 1,579 23.6% 3.3% 1.2% 3.7x 15.9x 3.6x 15.7x
National Beverage Corp. 101.22 129.82 - 58.04 4,578 4,444 911 203 22.3% 15.7% 19.1% 4.9x 21.9x 4.2x 18.4x
Cott Corporation 14.83 17.96 - 11.00 2,080 3,520 3,832 421 11.0% (38.9%) (26.1%) 0.9x 8.4x 1.5x 11.3x
Median $30,292 $5,261 $1,448 23.0% 3.2% 6.9% 3.7x 17.9x 3.9x 17.0x
Average $76,289 $18,947 $4,495 24.5% (2.8%) 2.9% 3.7x 17.8x 4.7x 16.9x
All Selected Food & Beverage Companies Median $5,445 $4,460 $466 15.8% 2.8% 6.7% 2.0x 13.6x 2.1x 12.0x
Average $30,744 $11,115 $2,125 15.6% 3.4% 24.0% 2.1x 13.9x 2.3x 12.6x
NTM Est. Growth
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Selected Recent Food & Beverage M&A Activity$ in millions
Close Transaction EV/ EV/
Date Acquirer/Investor Target Target Description Value Revenue EBITDA
Feb-18 EnWave USA Corporation nutraDRIED LLP nutraDRIED LLP produces cheese snacks. $1.8 0.6x -
Feb-18 Cott Corporation Crystal Rock Holdings, Inc.Crystal Rock Holdings, Inc. produces, markets, and distributes bottled water to
homes and offices in New England, New York, and New Jersey.$35.4 0.6x 6.7x
Feb-18 Total Produce plc Dole Food Company, Inc.
Dole Food Company, Inc. engages in growing, sourcing, processing, marketing,
and distributing fresh fruits and vegetables to wholesale, retail, and institutional
customers; and other food product companies worldwide.
$300.0 0.4x 9.6x
Feb-18 Hostess Brands, Inc.Certain U.S. Breakfast Assets of Aryzta
LLC
Producer of baked goods. The company's bakery products include danish and
cinnamon rolls, honey buns, cake, donuts and cakes.$25.0 - -
Dec-17 Conagra Brands, Inc.Sandwich Bros. of Wisconsin Business of
Kangaroo Brands, Inc.
Producer of frozen breakfast and entree flatbread sandwiches intended to offer
fast food items made from antibiotic-free chicken and Angus beef. The
company's frozen breakfast and entree flatbread sandwiches include turkey
sausage and cheese, egg white and turkey sausage, cheese burgers, chicken
melts and meatballs, enabling on-the-go consumers to have hygienic and tasty
snacks.
$87.0 - -
Dec-17 GreenSpace Brands Inc. Galaxy Nutritional Foods, Inc. Galaxy Nutritional Foods, Inc. produces plant-based cheese-free products. $16.9 1.0x -
Dec-17 Gladstone Land Corporation Organic Almond Orchard in CaliforniaOrganic Almond Orchard in California comprises an almond orchard and is
located in the United States.$5.9 - -
Nov-17 John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. Squirrel Brand LP., Certain Assets
Producer of roasted nuts and snack mixes. The company's products include
almond snacks, salted pistachios, truffle cashews, caramel pecans and other
related food items, enabling customers to enjoy a fine taste of the product.
$31.5 - -
Nov-17 Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Field Roast Grain Meat Co., Inc. Field Roast Grain Meat Co., Inc. produces and markets vegan meat products. $120.0 3.2x -
Nov-17 Ajinomoto North America, Inc. Cambrooke Therapeutics, Inc.
Cambrooke Therapeutics, Inc. produces and sells medical formulas and food
for the management various medical conditions for people with serious unmet
medical nutrition needs.
$64.0 - -
Nov-17 Tyson Foods, Inc. Original Philly Holdings, Inc.Original Philly Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, produces raw and fully-
cooked Philly-style sandwich steak and cheesesteak appetizer products.$236.0 1.7x -
Nov-17 Freiberger USA Inc. Richelieu Foods Inc.Richelieu Foods Inc. is engaged in the production of private label food products
for retail, corporate brands, and contract packing customers.$435.0 1.3x -
Nov-17 Unilever United States, Inc. Tazo Tea Company Tazo Tea Company offers tea and herbal beverages. $384.0 3.4x -
Nov-17 Saputo Inc. Betin, Inc Betin, Inc, doing business as Montchevre, produces and sells goat cheese. $263.9 2.3x -
Oct-17 Undisclosed Kettle Business of Tyson Foods, Inc.Kettle Business of Tyson Foods, Inc. comprises business that produces
cooking sauces, appetizer dips, and side dishes.$125.0 - -
Oct-17 Hormel Foods Corporation Columbus Manufacturing, Inc. Columbus Manufacturing, Inc. produces salamis and deli meats. $850.0 2.8x -
Discussed on page 10
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Selected Recent Food & Beverage M&A Activity$ in millions
Close Transaction EV/ EV/
Date Acquirer/Investor Target Target Description Value Revenue EBITDA
Oct-17 Cooke Inc. Omega Protein Corporation
Omega Protein Corporation develops, produces, and delivers products to
enhance the nutritional integrity of foods, dietary supplements, and animal feeds
worldwide.
$508.7 1.4x 8.1x
Oct-17 Warabeya USA,INC. Prime Deli Corporation Prime Deli Corporation packages and supplies sandwiches and salads. $7.4 0.4x -
Sep-17 Kellogg Company Chicago Bar Company LLCChicago Bar Company LLC, doing business as RXBAR, produces and sells
food protein bars in the United States.$600.0 - -
Sep-17 Conagra Brands, Inc. Angie's Artisan Treats, LLCAngie's Artisan Treats, LLC produces and sells popcorns and other snack
items.$250.0 - -
Sep-17 Mccall Farms, Inc. Sager Creek Vegetable Company, Inc.Sager Creek Vegetable Company, Inc. produces and distributes canned
vegetables.$55.0 - -
Sep-17 Oregon Potato Co.Rader Farms Inc. and Willamette Valley
Fruit Company, LLC
As of September 22, 2017, Rader Farms Inc. and Willamette Valley Fruit
Company, LLC were acquired by Oregon Potato Co. Inventure Foods, Inc.,
Frozen Division comprises frozen food operations.
$50.0 - -
Aug-17WealthColony Management
Group LLCSoupman, Inc.
Soupman, Inc. manufactures and sells various types of soup in the United
States.$6.8 - -
Aug-17 Utz Quality Foods, LLC Inventure Foods, Inc.Inventure Foods, Inc. manufactures and markets healthy/natural and indulgent
specialty snack food products in the United States and internationally.$142.7 0.5x 66.4x
Aug-17 The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. Fells Point Wholesale Meats, Inc.Fells Point Wholesale Meats, Inc. processes, cuts, and prepares meat for
delivery and produces a specialty protein.$45.0 - -
Aug-17Coca-Cola Southwest
Beverages, LLC
Great Plains Coca-Cola Bottling
Company, Inc.
Great Plains Coca-Cola Bottling Company, Inc. produces, distributes, and
merchandises Coca-Cola products in Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.$215.0 - -
Aug-17 MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. Joseph Epstein Food Enterprises, Inc.Joseph Epstein Food Enterprises, Inc. manufactures food products, which
includes turkey meatballs.$5.3 - -
Aug-17 B&G Foods, Inc. Back to Nature Foods Company, LLCBack to Nature Foods Company produces cookies, crackers, granolas, juices,
and nuts.$162.5 - -
Aug-17 Farmer Bros. Co. Boyd Coffee Company, Inc. Boyd Coffee Company, Inc., produces and sells roasted coffee. $58.6 0.6x -
Aug-17 Hormel Foods Corporation Capitol Wholesale Meats, Inc.
Capitol Wholesale Meats, Inc. engages in the production and sale of meat cuts
of beef, pork, and veal; and pizza supplies, cooked Italian sausages, fresh cut
chickens, and ground hamburgers.
$425.0 - -
Aug-17 Effem Holdings Ltd. Preferred Brands International Inc.Preferred Brands International Inc. produces ready-to-eat Indian entrees, Asian
noodles, and rice products.$172.8 - -
Aug-17 Corbion N.V.TerraVia Holdings Inc., Substantially All
Assets
Producer and seller of food, nutrition, and specialty ingredients intended to
harnesses the power of algae. $20.0 - -
Jul-17 Innophos Holdings, Inc. Novel Ingredient Services, LLC
Novel Ingredient Services, LLC engages in the manufacture and supply of
ingredients for nutraceutical, food and beverage, sports nutrition, and pet care
industries.
$125.1 1.3x -
Median $120.0 1.3x 8.9x
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North American Middle-Market Food
& Beverage M&A VolumesTotal Produce acquires 45% stake in Dole Food Company
February 1st, 2018
Total Produce announced an investment in Dole Food Company, a producerand marketer of fresh fruit and vegetables, for $300 million in cash (0.4x Rev; 9.6xEBITDA for the twelve months ended 10/7/17).
The transaction brings together two industry leaders to create a group with increasedscale and diversification both geographically and product-wise. Dole’s strongpresence in North America will complement Total Produce’s position in the Europeanmarket.
Total Produce and Dole have jointly agreed to a strategic plan to expand the businessin the years ahead. Specifically, Dole and Total Produce expect to deliver annualizedsynergies and cost savings at Dole of $15-20 million in the short term and $35 millionover the medium term.
Source: Company-issued press releases. Source: Capital IQ as of 2/23/2018
Unilever to Acquire TAZO from Starbucks
November 2nd, 2017
Unilever announced the acquisition of TAZO, a leading brand in the specialty teacategory, for $384 million in cash (3.4x Rev; 10.0x pro forma EBIT). The transactionincludes the TAZO brand and its related recipes, intellectual property, and inventory.
Unilever executives praised the acquisition as something that will cater to millennialneeds and enhance the company's existing tea offerings -- which include Lipton, PureLeaf, PG Tips and Pukka.
According to Nielsen, the specialty tea segment makes up 48% of the total U.S. $1.6billion (FY 2016) at-home tea category and trends suggest it will become moreprominent in the future.
Overview of Notable Transactions
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