FOGL AGM 2015 Presentation

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AGM Presentation 10 June 2015

description

Falkland oil and Gas AGM 2015

Transcript of FOGL AGM 2015 Presentation

  • AGM Presentation 10 June 2015

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    Disclaimer

    FALKLAND OIL AND GAS LIMITED

    DISCLAIMER

    This presentation is not and is not intended to be a prospectus and does not or is not intended to constitute or form part of any offer for sale or solicitation of any offer to buy or subscribe for any securities in Falkland Oil and Gas Limited (the "Company") in any jurisdiction. It shall not form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, or act as invitation or inducement to enter into, any contract or commitment whatsoever. No offer of securities is being or will be made in circumstances which would require a prospectus or similar document to be approved.

    While the information contained in this presentation, which does not purport to be comprehensive, is believed to be accurate, neither the Company nor any other person has conducted any investigation into or verified such information. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is or will be given by the Company or its directors, officers, employees or advisers or any other person as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of this presentation and, so far as permitted by law and except in the case of fraud, no responsibility or liability whatsoever is accepted for the accuracy or sufficiency of any of the information contained in this presentation or for any errors, opinions, omissions or misstatements, negligent or otherwise relating to this presentation. Each recipient must conduct its own independent investigation and analysis of the Company and of the information contained in this presentation and bear all the costs of doing so.

    This presentation may include certain "forward looking" statements which are based on expectations, projections and forecasts relating to the future performance of the Company. Such statements, projections and forecasts, which are intended as a guide only, represent the Company's own assessment and interpretation of information available to it at the date of this presentation and reflect significant assumptions and subjective judgements by the Company. A number of factors could cause actual results to differ materially from the potential results discussed in such forward looking statements, estimates and forecasts, including (but not limited to) changes in general economic and market conditions and all other risk factors (whether political, regulatory or otherwise) associated with offshore exploration, development and production. In all cases, recipients should conduct their own investigation and analysis of the information contained in this presentation. No representation or warranty is made or assurance given that the statements, projections and forecasts contained in this presentation will be borne out in practice or that the Company will perform as projected and the Company does not assume responsibility for verifying any of such statements, projections or forecasts. Neither the Company nor any persons shall be liable for any direct, indirect or consequential loss or damage suffered by any person as a result of relying on any statement in or omission from this presentation.

    This presentation has been made available to recipients for information only. The Company gives no undertaking to provide the recipient with access to any additional information or to update this presentation or any additional information or to correct any inaccuracies in it which may become apparent.

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    Persons falling within one of the categories of persons described above must comply with the terms of this disclaimer and they will conduct their own analyses or other verification of the data set out in this presentation and bear the responsibility for all or any costs incurred in doing so. Persons who do not fall within one of the categories of persons described above should not rely on this presentation nor take any action upon it.

    Neither this presentation nor any copy of it may be taken or transmitted into the United States of America or its territories or possessions (the "United States"), or distributed, directly or indirectly, in the United States, or to any U.S. Person as defined in Regulation S under the Securities Act, including U.S. resident corporations, or other entities organized under the laws of the United States or any state thereof or non-U.S. branches or agencies of such corporations or entities or into Canada, Australia, Japan, New Zealand, the Republic of Ireland, or the Republic of South Africa, except in compliance with applicable securities laws. Any failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of United States or other national securities laws.

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    Pure Play Falklands Explorer

    Largest Falkland Islands license holder (> 40,000km2)

    Material interest in all licenses (> 40%)

    Exploring in the North, South and East basins

    Active 2015 drilling programme

    Four key wells: Zebedee, Isobel Deep, Humpback & Jayne East

    Eirik Raude commenced drilling on 6 March 2015

    Two wells completed to date

    Two oil discoveries to date: Zebedee and Isobel Deep

    Strong Business Track Record & Experienced Management Team

    Successful acquisition of Desire Petroleum in 2013

    Farm-outs completed with BHP, Noble Energy, Edison, Premier Oil and Rockhopper Exploration

    The Leading Falklands Explorer

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    2015 Drilling Programme

    Prospect

    Name

    FOGL WI

    (%)

    FOGL

    Paying

    interest (%)

    Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

    North Falkland Basin

    Zebedee 40.0% 40.0%

    Isobel Deep 40.0% 0.0%

    Jayne East 40.0% 0.0%

    South and East Falkland Basin

    Humpback 52.5% 27.5%

    2015

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    Interests in six licences

    PL004b (FOGL 40% ) contains Sea Lion southern extension

    Material exploration prospects in PL004a,b,c and PL005:

    Zebedee

    Jayne East

    Isobel/Elaine fan complex

    Susan

    Helen

    FOGLs North Falkland Basin Licences

    Jayne East

    Elaine

    Isobel

    Zebedee

    Susan

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    The Sea Lion field straddles PL032 & PL004b

    FOGL estimate that >40% of the Sea Lion Complex resources lie within PL004b

    Premier are proposing a two phased development concept, targeting the northern area first

    Unitisation discussions took place in 2014 between PL032 & PL004b licencees, FIG and its advisers (BGS & DECC). Currently these are on hold during 2015 drilling programme

    *FOGL estimate that the 14/15-4a and 14/15b-5 (Zebedee) wells have demonstrated over 250mmbbls of

    oil resources lying within PL004b

    Sea Lion Complex

    *Preliminary FOGL management estimate of gross mid case contingent resources

    PL032

    PL004b

    Phase 1a

    development area

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    14/15b-5: Zebedee Oil Discovery

    Total hydrocarbon net pay of 45 metres

    Hector: 17.5 metres of net gas pay,

    Possible significant upside in Hector oil rim

    FOGL estimate c.18~32 mmbbls oil within Hector oil rim

    Zebedee : 25.0 metres of net oil pay, excellent reservoir

    FOGL estimate c.75 mmbbls oil within Zebedee sand

    Beverley: 2.5 metres of net oil pay

    FOGL estimate c.20 mmbbls oil within Beverley oil rim

    Pressure measurements in the Zebedee reservoir plot on the same gradient as the Sea Lion field.

    Very likely that the Zebedee reservoir is in pressure communication with, and has the same oil-water contact as Sea Lion.

    Good oil shows in a number of the deeper F3 targets, but at this location the sands were not well developed.

    Significant increase in Sea Lion Complex Resources within PL004b

    Preliminary FOGL management estimate of gross mid case contingent resources

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    Zebedee/Casper South

    One sand or two?

    In pressure communication

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    9

    ?

    ?

    ?

    ?

    ?

    Hector Reservoir

    Spectral Decomposition Amplitude extraction

    Top Hector

    GOC OWC?

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    10

    Beverley results demonstrate presence of oil rim

    GOC OWC

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    PL032 310 55%

    PL004b 256 45%

    Sea Lion Complex: Material Resources within PL004b

    Preliminary FOGL management estimate of mid case contingent & prospective resources

    85 117

    Contingent

    Resources split

    32

    *

    * GCA estimate 2012

    FOGL share

    102

    18%

    PL004b Mid Case Gross Contingent

    & Prospective Resources

    38

    45

    60

    75

    20

    18

    256

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    SLMC Casper Casper South Zebedee Beverley Oil Hector Oil Jayne East Sea LionComplex

    Resources inPL004b

    mm

    bb

    ls

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    Isobel/Elaine fan complex

    Courtesy Rockhopper Exploration

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    14/20-1: Isobel Deep Oil Discovery

    De-risking another Sea Lion scale fan-complex

    Well drilled to 2527metres, did not reach planned TD

    Penetrated c. 24m into Isobel Deep (F3) sand

    Oil recovered to surface (with drilling fluid)

    Over-pressured reservoir

    Well suspended

    Opens up new play

    Significantly de-risks entire Isobel/Elaine fan complex

    Lowers risk on FOGL 100% prospects Susan & Helen in PL005

    Next steps: Re-enter/side-track or re-drill well

    Under the terms of the farm-out agreement FOGL is fully carried for any re-drill or side-track of the Isobel Deep well

    Isobel Deep upper sand

    Isobel Deep lower sand

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    14

    Isobel Deep fan system

    Spectral Decomposition

    Amplitude extraction

    Isobel Complex

    Isobel

    Complex

    A

    B

    A

    B

    A

    B

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    Isobel

    Deep

    Isobel/Elaine fan complex

    Isobel

    Shallow

    Elaine

    South

    Elaine

    North

    Isobel Deep

    Well location

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    Well will test five potential reservoir levels across the F2 and F3 sequences

    In success case can be tied back to Sea Lion

    Key geological risk is the updip seal

    FOGL interest (paying interest zero)

    40%

    Gross Prospective

    Resources 85mmbbl(1)

    Net Prospective

    Resources 34mmbbl

    Spud Date Q3 2015

    Operator Premier Oil (36%)

    Partners Rockhopper (24%)

    (1) Mid case unrisked gross prospective resources based on FOGL management estimates

    PL004c: Jayne East

    High Impact, near field well

    Jayne East Location

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    Diomedea Fan Complex

    FISA 3D survey

    Cretaceous Fault Blocks

    FIST 3D survey

    Hersilia Fan Complex

    FINA 3D survey

    FOGLs South & East Basin Licences

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    Prospect selection for Noble operated wells

    First Well

    Humpback prospect (in the Diomedea Fan Complex)

    Second well

    Well postponed pending Humpback results and completion of technical evaluation

    Humpback results will guide choice of follow-up drilling.

    Current options being evaluated:

    Diomedea Fan Complex

    Side-track on Humpback (success case)

    Fault Block Area

    Scharnhorst North

    Hersilia Fan Complex

    Starfish

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    The Darwin exploration well discovered gas and a rich condensate in good quality Cretaceous sands

    Seismic amplitude responses indicate the possibility of different hydrocarbon phases, including oil

    Potential drilling candidate:

    Scharnhorst North: 355 mmbbls*

    Seismic interpretation is on-going

    Cretaceous Fault Blocks (FOGL 52.5%)

    Fault Block play shown on an amplitude map generated from the new 3D seismic data

    * Mid case gross prospective resources

    (un-risked) based on FOGL management estimates

    Scharnhorst North

    Seismic amplitude map over

    Scharnhorst North

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    Multiple material prospects identified on 3D seismic

    Mid Cretaceous Fan Play:

    Starfish: 402 mmbbls*

    Bullfish:

    Shearwater:

    Fulmar:

    Toothfish:

    Hoki:

    Jurassic Fault Block Play

    Endurance:

    Endeavour:

    Cooper:

    Seismic interpretation is on-going

    Hersilia Fan Complex (FOGL 40%)

    * Mid case gross prospective resources (un-risked) based on FOGL management estimates

    > 2 billion boe*

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    Diomedea area comprises a large system of deepwater channels & fans

    Multiple material prospects identified on 3D seismic

    Main hydrocarbons in place expected to be oil

    Six potential drilling targets identified (> 1.7bn bbl gross prospective resources (1))

    Significant follow-on potential in the event of success at Humpback

    Current prospect inventory :

    Humpback: 510 mmbbls*

    Stingray: 266 mmbbls*

    Finback: 232 mmbbls*

    Caperea: 225 mmbbls*

    Minke: 240 mmbbls*

    Bowhead: 275mmbbls*

    Diomedea Fan Complex (FOGL 52.5%)

    Prospects and Leads map

    * Mid case gross prospective resources (un-risked) based on FOGL management estimates

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    Diomedea Fan Complex: Humpback

    WI (%) / PI (%) 52.5% / 27.5%

    Gross Prospective

    Resources 510mmbbl(1)

    Net Prospective

    Resources 268mmbbl

    Spud Date June 2015

    Operator Noble Energy (35%)

    Partners Edison (12.5%)

    (1) Mid case unrisked gross prospective resources based on FOGL management estimates

    Potential high impact play opener, with multiple follow-on prospectivity

    Humpback comprises a system of stacked slope-channel reservoirs

    Located up-slope from mature oil source kitchen

    Up-dip seal mapped on 3D

    Potential world-class prospect with stacked reservoir objectives

    The first well targets the Humpback channel and

    Stingray is a possible follow-up

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    The 2015 drilling campaign commenced on 6 March 2015

    Four well drilling programme targeting over 1.1 billion barrels of gross prospective resources

    Two oil discoveries in NFB so far..

    Zebedee: Significant increase to Sea Lion Complex resources within PL004b (FOGL 40%)

    Isobel Deep: Exciting play opening well in Isobel/Elaine fan complex

    Humpback in SFB next up

    Jayne East to follow in Q3

    Summary