Flawed company economic model - Franklin Furniture · PDF file · 2016-08-23Case...
Transcript of Flawed company economic model - Franklin Furniture · PDF file · 2016-08-23Case...
The Bleeding has Stopped
Manufacturing Jobs/Year 2000-2003
Annual Average
2015 % Change
New Offshoring
~240,000
~60,000 -75%
New Reshoring & FDI
12,000 67,000 + 400%
Net Jobs Gained
~-220,000 ~0 N/A
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Losses on Out-of-Stocks & Overstocks
U.S. Retailers Losing $250 Billion/year from Out-of-Stocks & Overstocks
Reshoring improves product availability through shorter lead times via shorter supply chains.
Typical Markdowns by Retailer Category
Source: Retail's $1.1 Trillion Inventory Distortion Problem,
Source: Sourcing Journal, Zara Gap: Change the Culture, Change the Game, Apr 2016/
Apparel Industry: Better Margins and Response
Smaller runs of garments that sell at full-price are better than volume runs of garments that have to be sold at discount.
Source: FASHION RESUOURCE NETWORK: Aug 11, 2014
Definitions
Reshoring/Backshoring/Onshoring/Insourcing: Bringing back manufacture of products that will be sold or assembled here: Same or different company Same or replacement product OEM or contract manufacturer
Transplants/FDI: Similar logic Producing near the consumer Localization!
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Flawed Company Economic Model
60% of manufacturers: Apply “rudimentary” total cost models
Wage Arbitrage PPV (Purchase Price Variance) Landed Cost
Ignore 20% or more of the total cost of offshored products
Source: Archstone Consulting survey, American Machinist Mag., 7/16/09
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The Industry-Led Reshoring Initiative Provides
Online Library of 3,500+ reshoring articles Statistics from TCO and Library databases Case Study template for posting cases. Motivation for skilled manufacturing
careers Free Total Cost of Ownership (TCO)
software for: Companies for sourcing Suppliers of parts and equipment for selling
* NIST’s MEPs also offer a TCO system. 9
2012 TCO cases, China vs. U.S.
Comparison Basis
% of cases where U.S. has the advantage
Price 5% TCO 53% Difference 48%*
*Conservatively 25% might return if companies shifted to TCO
Source: TCO user database 11
Water Heaters
Bringing Production back from China: Water-heaters, fridges, and washing machines Unionized facility in Louisville, KY 1300 jobs, renovated facility, $800 million invested Reasons:
Tax incentives High-tech new model Ease of design collaboration with workers: retail
price -20% 2 tier contract Chinese cost: -30% becomes +6% considering
inventory and delivery problems “Jobs at U.S. suppliers”: 20,000
Walmart’s U.S. Manufacturing program
Walmart’s increase in U.S. manufactured purchases: $250 Billion over 10 years In the 10th year:
Approx. 300,000 manufacturing jobs* Approx. 1 million total jobs**
• http://engage.walmart-jump.com/ *Reshoring Initiative **Boston Consulting Group
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Resources for Retail Suppliers
Purpose: Help suppliers supply more Made in USA products Developed for Walmart. Will invite all retailers Page on Walmart USA Mfg. site, w/links to Nine Resources on Initiative site:
Timing Product Selection Revaluation Competitiveness (including USCTI) Suppliers Retailers Compliance Transition Financing
Personal contacts at 35 associations/companies/Commerce
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Circuit Boards
Woodridge, IL Supplies heavy equipment companies Had quality issue with a Chinese
component Found local IL source Result: Quality problem fixed Inventory cut by 94%
$25M order
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Upholstery
From overseas to New Albany, MS 150 jobs $2 million investment First domestic factory Reasons:
“For us to continue to grow, we felt we had to have domestic production as part of our program. We think it will help us to become a more complete supplier.”
Assistance from the MDA, TVA, the City of New Albany and Union County
Source: http://www.furnituretoday.com/article/520055-emerald-home-furnishings-open-first-us-plant
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Auto Parts and Assembly Work
● Mexico to Pelahatchie, MS ● Won Chrysler contracts over bidders and parts makers from Mexico, Europe and Korea ● $250,000 investment to accommodate an increase in production ● 30 jobs ● Reasons:
● Quality: “Zero defects record” ● Trust ● Price
Source: Jeff Amy, “Miss. Aims to lure factories from other countries.” Business Week. August 21, 2012. Ted Carter, “ Mississippi getting the nod in reshoring decisions.” Mississippi Business. August 26, 2012. Wally Northway, “Is onshoring the new trend? Local manufacturers finding a more level playing field.” Mississippi Business Journal. November 29, 2013. https://www.mississippi.org/news-room/multicraft-3-26-2013/
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Commercial Refrigeration Compressors
● France and Brazil to Verona, MS ● 150 jobs ● Reasons:
● To help expand sales in North American market ● Mississippi Development Authority provided financial assistance with building modifications and equipment
● To meet growing demand
Source: http://www.annarbor.com/business-review/tecumseh-products-company-announces-multi-million-dollar-investment-in-mississippi-manufacturing-pla/
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Steel Parts for Sporting Equipment
● China to Amory, MS ● 100 new jobs over 4 years ●Reason:
●United Steelworkers Union aided plant workers in ratifying a contract which stipulated the closing of a plant in China
Source: http://djournal.com/bizbuzz/2015/12/21/icymi-true-temper-moving-work-from-china-to-amory/
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Recliners (Kept from Offshoring)
● Potontoc, MS instead of China ● Since 2007 has grown its local workforce from 500 to 1,300 ● Reasons for not offshoring:
● Image/brand ● Skilled workforce
Source: Wally Northway, “Is onshoring the new trend? Local manufacturers finding a more level playing field.” Mississippi Business Journal. November 29, 2013.
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Automobiles (FDI)
Japan to Canton, MS $2.9 billion investment Nissan Canton Vehicle Assembly Plant directly employs
6400 people, generates over $300 million a year in local and state taxes, and generates $2.6 billion a year in disposable income
Plant is responsible for 25,000 jobs statewide Benchmark: By 2015, 85% of all Nissan vehicles sold in
the US to be built in North America Reasons:
Government incentives Proximity to market To rationalize supply chain
Sources: Emily Wagster Pettus, AP. “Nissan building park for suppliers at Miss. plant.” Manufacturing.net. July 31, 2013. http://www.manufacturing.net/news/2013/07/nissan-building-park-for-suppliers-at-miss-plant#.UfkbBdCzbTw.twitter. http://www.clarionledger.com/story/news/politics/2016/06/23/nissan-canton-study/86278982/
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Leather Tanning (Foreign Direct Investment)
● Vietnam and China to Vicksburg, MS ● Leather supplier to footwear companies such as Timberland, Rockport, the US military and others ● 366 jobs ● $10.1 million investment ● Reasons:
● Lead time/time to market ● Quality ● Proximity to North and South American markets ● Government incentives
Sources: “TanTec Leather to Locate Tannery in Vicksburg.” Mississippi.org. May 12, 2014. “ISA TanTec to create 366 jobs at Miss. Tannery.” Bloomberg Business Week. May 12, 2014.
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Tissue Paper (FDI)
● Italy to Hattiesburg, MS ● 230 jobs ● $120 million investment ●Reasons:
● Quality real estate available for immediate occupancy
● Pro-business environment ● Skilled workforce ● Government incentives ● Proximity to customer base
Source: http://www.areadevelopment.com/newsitems/11-5-2015/sofidel-america-hattiesburg-mississippi892322.shtml
INDUSTRY # OF CASES
JOBS (FDI)
JOBS (RESHORING/KFO)
Transportation Equipment 11 10,120 30
Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components
3 950
Apparel & Textiles 3 385 150
Rubber Products (Tires) 2 4500
Non-Metallic Mineral Products
2 240
Furniture 1 1300 Call Center 1 462
Paper Products 1 230
Wood Products 1 141
Fabricated Metal Products 1 100
Misc. 1 100
TOTAL: 27 16,525 2183
Reshoring, KFO and FDI to MS
COUNTRY JOBS COUNTRY JOBS Japan 11,065 Denmark 240 Germany 3530 Italy 230 Netherlands 500 Brazil/France 150 France 490 China 100 Canada/China 462 Israel 100 Vietnam/China 366 England 54 Switzerland 300 Mexico 30
FDI into Mississippi
Reasons for Reshoring, KFO, and FDI in MS Skilled workforce Positive business environment Government incentives/ Assistance from MDA (or other agency) To meet growing North American demand Proximity to customer/ market Workforce training programs Lead time/ time to market Quality Trust Image/ “Made in America” brand appeal Innovation Quality of life Transportation/ infrastructure Walmart pledge Raw materials Total cost
Top Countries From Which Reshored to the U.S.
Source: Reshoring Initiative Library, December 2014.
Country Cases China 194 Mexico 27 Canada 10 Taiwan 9 Japan 8 India 7 Italy 6
Korea, Malaysia, Hungary
3 each
Global Region
Cases
Asia 241 North
America 37
Western Europe
12
Eastern Europe
5
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Objective of Reshoring
Balance the $500 billion trade deficit: 4 million manufacturing jobs Cut U.S. budget deficit by about 50% Strengthen the middle-class 30% increase in manufacturing If spread over 20 years: 25% extra annual capital
equipment investment Allow productivity and growth in mfg. employment
How You Can Use the Free Tools
Decide what to produce or buy in-market Sell against imports Identify prospects that are reshoring and
FDI Help customers decide to produce more
domestically
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How to Get Started
Ask about pain and opportunities: Delivery/air freight (W. Coast dock delays) Orders lost due to delivery or slow response Quality Excess inventory Travel Late night calls IP loss or risk Regulatory issues Purchase price rising Corruption Violence Natural disasters or political instability
CSR Estimator Will Provide
For companies: Standard tool to include externalities in sourcing
decisions. Identification of the products with the best
shareholder and sustainability returns. Help justifying the marginal opportunities Recognition for success,
For advocates: Tool to advance an economically and
environmentally sustainable economy. .
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How to Un-tilt the Playing Field
Skilled workforce Lower USD Lower corp. tax rates VAT Train on TCO Then negotiate trade agreements
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Help Reverse the Offshoring Flood Now!
Contact: Harry Moser Founder and President 847-726-2975 [email protected] www.reshorenow.org
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