Fao - Nianjun Shen
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Transcript of Fao - Nianjun Shen
Global Supply and Markets of Fishery Products
Nianjun Shen
Products, Trade and Marketing Branch (FIPM)
Fisheries and Aquaculture Department
Humber Seafood Summit
18 September 2014
Grimsby, UK
Outline
Production
Aquaculture Capture fisheries
About Us
Trade and Markets Market Access Traceability & Certification Consumption International Trade & Markets Prices & Projections Conclusions
FAO Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations
Established to lead international efforts to defeat world hunger
Acts as a neutral forum to direct global policy
Gathers and disseminates information about food production and markets
Provides technical assistance in developing countries
FIPM
Fish Products, Trade and Marketing service – a branch of the FAO Fisheries Department
Deals with fish after they have been caught
Runs technical assistance projects in developing
countries, helps formulate best practice guidelines
Gathers and disseminates market information through reports, website (www.globefish.org), regular publications etc.
PRODUCTION
Global fish production 2012
Capture fisheries today
Marine Fisheries
29% ---Over fished
61%---Fully Fished
10%---Under Fished
Limited potential for increased production
In-Land Fisheries
Some stocks collapsed or collapsing
But many remain underutilized
Lack of data
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1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
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Capture Aquaculture
Aquaculture vs Capture
Source: FAO. 2014. The State of World Fisheries and Aquaculture 2014. Rome. 223 pp
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Aquaculture vs Capture in Projection 1950 - 2022 (FAO-OECD projections)
Aquaculture
Capture production
Source: Fishstat & Globefish Highlights (2014)
Source: FAO. 2014. The State of World Fisheries and Aquaculture 2014. Rome. 223 pp
TRADE AND MARKETS
Market Access
Import Tariffs
– Low on most imports by developed countries
– But remain high on developing country imports
– High tariffs are barriers to regional trade
Non -Tariff Measures
Globalization of supply chains (separation of producer and consumer) +
Concerns about food safety and quality assurance +
Consumer awareness of fisheries sustainability issues
= Growing need for traceability mechanisms and guidelines Are costs and benefits equally distributed along the supply chain? Balance between need for traceability and minimizing unnecessary barriers to trade?
Traceability in the Supply Chain
• Traceability best practice guidelines currently being developed through FAO consultancy
• First draft submitted at COFI-ST 2014
• Multiple FAO projects currently underway with traceability components
• Review of traceability systems for small pelagics in developing regions
Potential to be a new trade barrier?
Growing number of ecolabels may confuse
consumer
What’s the difference?
Which is the best?
More means less – value of each individual label
decreases
Need for harmonization of standards
FAO’s Guidelines
Guidelines for the Ecolabelling of fish and fishery
products from marine capture fisheries (2005)
Guidelines for the Ecolabelling of Fish and Fishery
Products from Inland Capture Fisheries (2010)
Guidelines on Aquaculture Certification (Aquaculture
Guidelines) (2011)
Consumption
Source: FAO. 2014. The State of World Fisheries and Aquaculture 2014. Rome. 223 pp
Total and per capita food fish consumption
by continent and economic grouping
2010
World per capita meat and fish food supply
Source: FAO. 2014. The State of World Fisheries and Aquaculture 2014. Rome. 223 pp
World per capita supply of fish by species group
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Crustaceans
Demersal Fish
Freshwater Fish
Marine Fish, Other
Molluscs, Other
Pelagic Fish
World per capita fish consumption map by major species group 2010
International Trade and Markets
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2011 2012 2013
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World fish trade - Major Importers
2011 to 2013
Other EU Japan USA Source: Globefish Highlights (2014) Note: 2013 estimated, EU includes intra-EU
Global Market Trends
Strong growth: now 4th biggest importer and biggest exporting country Steadily increasing per capita consumption: 31 kg/kaput long-term growth: # 1 market (EU 28) rising population and stable consumption at 23 kg/kaput increasing import dependence long-term growth, overtaking Japan as # 1 importing country rising population and stable consumption 24 kg/kaput long-term decline in fish consumption and imports of meat>fish. high consumption but falling: 57 kg/kaput
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2011 2012 2013
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World fish trade - Major Exporters
2011 to 2013
China REST OF ASIA SOUTH AMERICA EU AFRICA Source: Globefish Highlights (2014) Note: 2013 estimated, EU includes intra-EU
TRADE: Developed vs developing countries
Prices & Projections
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Fish Price Index 1990 to 2013
TOTAL AQUACULTURE CAPTURE
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Fish Price Index by Species Group 1990 - 2013
Other fish White fish Salmon Shrimp Pelagic Tuna
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FAO (terrestrial) Meat Price Index vs Fish 1990 - 2013
FISH MEAT 11 per. Mov. Avg. (FISH) 11 per. Mov. Avg. (MEAT)
Source: OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2013
Price Trends of Major Protein Sources, OECD-FAO projections
82%
83%
84%
85%
86%
87%
88%
89%
90%
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BASELINE 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
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Total fish consumption, OECD-FAO projections Source: OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2013
DEVELOPED DEVELOPING % for food (developed) % for food (developing)
Conclusions
SUPPLY INCREASES THANKS TO AQUACULTURE
oBUT FISHERIES MANAGEMENT STILL AN ISSUE
WORLD TRADE IS INCREASING
oBUT SHARE OF 3 BIG MARKETS DECLINING
oROLE OF CHINA
FISH’S NUTRITIONAL VALUE
PRICES TO RISE STRONGLY
IMPORTANCE OF TRACEABILITY AND LABELING
MARKET ACCESS REMAIN A CHALLENGE
http://www.fao.org/fishery
THANK YOU