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  • O Oslo, January 2013

    Facing the Resource Curse:

    Norways Oil for Development Program

    Final Report

  • Scanteam Box 593 Sentrum, NO-0106 Oslo, Norway - Tel: +47 2335 7030

    Web: www.scanteam.no E-mail: [email protected]

    Project: Evaluation of Norways Oil for Development Program

    Client: Norad Evaluation Department

    Period: June 2011 November 2012

    Task Team:

    Mr. Arne Disch, Scanteam, co-team leader

    Mr. Flemming Ole Rasmussen, Danish Energy Agency, co-team leader

    Mr. Vegard Bye, Scanteam

    Mr. Jarle Haarstad, Scanteam

    Ms. Torun Reite, Scanteam

    Resource Team:

    Mr. Lars Bakka, Independent Consultant/Lawyer

    Mr. Sigurd Enge, Bellona

    Ms. Eva Tamber, AFF, Norwegian School of Economics and Business Administration (NHH)

    Mr. Ragnar Torvik, Professor, Norwegian University for Science and Technology (NTNU)

    Quality Assurors:

    Mr. Anton Hellesy, Independent Adviser

    Mr. Ulrich Meier, Scanteam

  • Evaluation of Norways Oil for Development Program

    Scanteam Final Report i

    Contents

    Acronyms and Abbreviations ............................................................................... vii

    Executive Summary ................................................................................................ ix

    1 Introduction and Background ...................................................................... 1

    1.1 Objectives of the Evaluation ..................................................................... 1

    1.2 Addressing the Key Questions ................................................................. 3

    2 Oil for Development: The Program over Time ............................................ 5

    2.1 Oil for Development: A Norwegian Model? ............................................ 6

    2.2 Oil for Development Partner Countries .................................................... 8

    2.3 Oil for Development Funding and Disbursements ................................... 9

    2.4 Country and Partner Level Disbursements ............................................. 12

    2.5 The 2006 Evaluation .............................................................................. 12

    2.6 Findings and Conclusions ...................................................................... 14

    3 Approach and Methodology ....................................................................... 15

    3.1 Capacity Development ........................................................................... 16

    3.2 Pillar Achievements ................................................................................ 17

    3.3 Cross-cutting Issues ............................................................................... 18

    3.4 Assessing Management, Partners and Instruments Used ...................... 18

    3.5 Countries and Cases for Study ............................................................... 19

    3.6 Sources of Information ........................................................................... 23

    3.7 Findings and Conclusions ...................................................................... 23

    4 The Petroleum Resource Pillar ................................................................... 24

    4.1 Country Program Situations ................................................................... 24

    4.1.1 Mozambique ............................................................................................. 24

    4.1.2 Ghana ....................................................................................................... 25

    4.1.3 Uganda ..................................................................................................... 27

    4.1.4 Timor-Leste .............................................................................................. 28

    4.2 Achievements and Challenges ............................................................... 28

    4.2.1 Mozambique ............................................................................................. 28

    4.2.2 Ghana ....................................................................................................... 29

    4.2.3 Uganda ..................................................................................................... 30

    4.2.4 Timor-Leste .............................................................................................. 31

    4.2.5 Bolivia ....................................................................................................... 31

    4.2.6 Ecuador .................................................................................................... 32

    4.2.7 Nicaragua ................................................................................................. 33

    4.2.8 Summing Up ............................................................................................. 33

    4.3 Findings and Conclusions ...................................................................... 34

  • Evaluation of Norways Oil for Development Program

    Scanteam Final Report ii

    5 The Revenue/Finance Pillar ........................................................................ 36

    5.1 Country Program Situations ................................................................... 36

    5.2 Achievements in Timor-Leste ................................................................. 38

    5.3 Achievements in other Countries ............................................................ 43

    5.3.1 Uganda ..................................................................................................... 43

    5.3.2 Bolivia ....................................................................................................... 44

    5.3.3 Ghana ....................................................................................................... 44

    5.3.4 Mozambique ............................................................................................. 44

    5.3.5 Relevance, Efficiency and Effectiveness.................................................. 45

    5.4 Findings and Conclusions ...................................................................... 46

    6 The Environmental Pillar............................................................................. 48

    6.1 Country Program Situations ................................................................... 48

    6.1.1 Mozambique ............................................................................................. 48

    6.1.2 Ghana ....................................................................................................... 50

    6.1.3 Uganda ..................................................................................................... 50

    6.1.4 Timor-Leste .............................................................................................. 51

    6.1.5 Bolivia ....................................................................................................... 52

    6.2 Achievements and Challenges ............................................................... 52

    6.2.1 Mozambique ............................................................................................. 52

    6.2.2 Ghana ....................................................................................................... 53

    6.2.3 Uganda ..................................................................................................... 53

    6.2.4 Timor-Leste .............................................................................................. 54

    6.2.5 Bolivia ....................................................................................................... 55

    6.3 HSE and National Oil Spills Response Systems ..................................... 55

    6.4 Risk Sharing and Recourse .................................................................... 55

    6.5 Non-Government Capacity Development ............................................... 56

    6.6 Findings and Conclusions ...................................................................... 57

    7 Cross-cutting Dimensions of Oil for Development ................................... 59

    7.1 Good Governance .................................................................................. 59

    7.2 Gender ................................................................................................... 65

    7.3 Civil Society and Media .......................................................................... 68

    7.4 Findings and Conclusions ...................................................................... 71

    8 Implementation: Partners and Instruments............................................... 72

    8.1 Norwegian Public Bodies ....................................................................... 72

    8.1.1 Ministries .................................................................................................. 72

    8.1.2 Norwegian Petroleum Directorate NPD................................................. 73

    8.1.3 Petrad ....................................................................................................... 74

    8.1.4 Other Public Bodies .................................................................................. 75

    8.2 Other Implementing Partners ................................................................. 76

    8.2.1 National Authorities .................................................................................. 76

    8.2.