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Transcript of Experimental Design
1
CHEM7111
EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN
Aug 2011
Diako Ebrahimi
1
Definition
Experimental design is a process to organise
the experiments properly to ensure that the right
type of data, and enough of it will be available to
answer the questions of interest as clearly and
efficiently as possible.
Set up the
questions
(purposes)
Design the
experiments
Interpret the
result
2
2
Purposes
1. Optimisation:
maximizing or minimizing the output of a process by
systematically changing input variables.
examples:
Maximizing the yield of a chemical synthesis by changing
temperature, pH, solvent, etc.
Maximizing the sensitivity of a GC/MS instrument by changing
the setup, i.e. temperature program of GC, voltage of analyser,
angle of the grids, etc.; or by twiddling the knobs
Minimizing the sum of squares of residuals in regression by
changing the function parameters
“Simplex, Mixture design and Central Composite design”
3
Purposes
2. Screening:
Examine the importance of factors for the process and
then decide which one to be eliminated and which one to
be studied in detail
example: Studying the effect of time, temperature, pH, solvent, … (many
factors) on a chemical synthesis
“Factorial, Taguchi and Plackett-Burman designs”
3. Quantitative modeling:To build a mathematical model of the system, such as
simple linear calibration
“Central Composite and calibration designs”
4
3
5
Model of factor effects
Temperature (x1)%
Yie
ld
40 60Temperature (x1)
%Y
ield
40 60
b0
Temperature (x1)
%Y
ield
40 60
b0
Y = b0^
Y = b1x1
^Y = b0 + b1x1
^
When there are more than
two factors, interactions are
also need to be considered.
pH (x2)%
Yie
ld3 8
Y = b0 + b2x2
b2<1
^
6
%Y
ield
Model of factor effects: Interaction
22110ˆ xbxbby
Response
Constant Factor 1 Factor 2
Effect of factor 1 Effect of factor 2
%Y
ield
211222110ˆ xxbxbxbby
Effect of interaction between factors 1 and 2
Interaction between factors 1 and 2
4
Temp (x1) pH (x2) %Yield (y)
40 3 55
40 8 61
60 3 82
60 8 75
Temperature (x1)
pH
(x 2
)3-
8-
40 60
Model and Design Matrices
x1: Temperature x2: pH y: Yield
Interaction term
2112 xxb22110ˆ xbxbby
Response
Constant
Linear terms Quadratic terms
2
222
2
111 xbxb
7
Response Surface & Contour Plot
Response surface is a graph of the response versus the
factors and contour plot is the image of the response factor
on a lower dimension space.
pHTemp
Response
Global
maximum
Local
maximum
8
5
Why not optimize by
“changing one factor at a time”
Because it does not always give the correct optimum if
there are local optimums or if the factors interact.
Factor 1 (Temp.)
Fa
cto
r 2
(pH
)
F2 is kept constant, F1 is optimized
F1 is kept constant at its optimum,
F2 is optimized
One at a time means:
5
30°C
Global
maximum
Local
maximum
9
Coding the data
Temp (x1) pH (x2) %Yield (y)
40 3 55
40 8 61
60 3 82
60 8 75
Temp (x1) pH (x2) %Yield (y)
-1 -1 55
-1 +1 61
+1 -1 82
+1 +1 75
34055 210 bbb
22110ˆ xbxbby
Temperature (x1)
pH
(x 2
)
3-
8-
40 60
- -
- +
+ -
+ +
)1()1(55 210
Coefficient in the model of coded data:
Magnitude: The larger the coefficient, the
greater its significance.
Sign: A positive coefficient means that the
response becomes larger as the factor
goes from -1 to +1.
High Level: +1
Low Level: -1
10
6
Full Factorial Design
N=LK
N: number of experiments
L: number of levels (usually 2)
K: number of factors
Examples: 2 levels, 2 factors 4 experiments
2 levels, 3 factors 8 experiments
3 levels, 4 factors 81 experiments
For Screening L=2 then N=2K
11
Full Factorial Design Contrast Coefficient Tables
12
7
Full Factorial Design
Example: HPLC analysis of Phenols
Determine the effect of acetic acid, methanol and citric acid by
measuring the chromatographic response factor (CRF)
2 level design is chosen first
Value at
low level (-)
Value at
high level (+)
Acetic acid 4 mM 10 mM
Methanol 70 % 80 %
Citric acid 2 g/L 6 g/L
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Full Factorial Design Example
Run Intercept A M C A×M A×C M×C A×M×C CRF
1 + - - - + + + - 10.0
2 + + - - - - + + 9.5
3 + - + - - + - + 11.0
4 + + + - + - - - 10.7
5 + - - + + - - + 9.3
6 + + - + - + - - 8.8
7 + - + + - - + - 11.9
8 + + + + + + + + 11.7
Value at - Value at +
Acetic acid 4 mM 10 mM
Methanol 70 % 80 %
Citric acid 2 g/L 6 g/L
A= 10 Mm
M= 80%
C= 2 g/L
Contrast Coefficient Table:
Main factors Interaction between factors
AMCbMCbACbAMbCbMbAbbCRF AMCMCACAMCMA 0
Number of experiments=
LK=23=8
L levels K factors
14
8
Calculation of effects in a full factorial design
For each TERM (main effects, interactions,
quadratic, etc.) the effect is calculated by summing
the responses multiplied by their contrast
coefficients, then dividing by the number of runs/2.
375.04
7.119.118.83.97.100.115.90.10
A
925.14
7.119.118.83.97.100.115.90.10
M
125.04
7.119.118.83.97.100.115.90.10
C
125.04
7.119.118.83.97.100.115.90.10
MA
025.0
825.0
025.0
CMA
CM
CA
It means that:
On average CRF is
lower by -0.375 when
the concentration of
acetic acid increases
from 4 to 10mM
15
Significance of effects
Rankit Plot
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
-1 0 1 2 3
Effect
Pro
ba
bilit
ies MC
M
16
9
Experimental Designs
1. Factorial Designs
1.1. Full Factorial design
1.2. Fractional Factorial Design
1.3. Plackett-Burman and Taguchi Designs
1.4. Calibration Design (Partial Factorial at several Levels)
2. Central Composite or Response Surface Designs
3. Mixture Designs
4. Simplex Optimisation
17
Fractional Factorial Design
To study K factors 2k experiments are needed in a two
level full factorial design.
It is reasonable to ignore the third and higher order
interactions to be able to reduce the number of experiments
for screening purposes
18
10
Fractional Factorial Design
Two level fractional factorial designs with 2k-p experiments are
used to reduce the number of experiments by 1/2, 1/4, 1/8, …, 1/2p.
K: number of factors
2p: size of fraction No. of factors (K) Fraction (P)No. of experiments
Fractional Factorial (N=2K-P)
No. of experiments
Full Factorial (N=2K)
2 1 22-1=2 4
3 1 23-1=4 8
4 1
2
24-1=8
24-2=416
5 1
2
25-1=16
25-2=832
6 1
2
3
26-1=32
26-2=16
26-3=8
64
7 1
2
3
4
27-1=64
27-2=32
27-3=16
27-4=8
128
19
How to reduce the number of experiments
Full factorial design
Fractional factorial design
(x1X x2)(x1X x3)(x2X x3)
The interaction between
factor 1 and 2 is
confounded with factor 3
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11
What does confounding mean?
For more details about the rules of confounding refer to:
T. Lundstedt et al.; Chem. Int. Lab. Syst, 42 (1998) 3-40
Using fractional factorial designs many factors can be
studied (screened) with few experiments, but less
information is gained compared to the full factorial designs.
The price to be paid is that the main effects are
confounded. It means that the main effects are
“contaminated” with interaction effects.
21
Plackett-Burman and Taguchi Designs
When the number of factors are large, the rule of N=2k-P can be
restrictive, i.e. for 19 factors, 32 experiments are needed.
Plackett and Burman overcame this problem by introducing a design
for N-1 factors in which N (number of experiments) is a multiple of four,
for example: 4, 8, 12, 16, …
N=k+1
Design matrices are
built using generators
Factors
Exp
erim
ents
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
1 - - - - - - - - - - -
2 + - + - - - + + + - +
3 + + - + - - - + + + -
4 - + + - + - - - + + +
5 + - + + - + - - - + +
6 + + - + + - + - - - +
7 + + + - + + - + - - -
8 - + + + - + + - + - -
9 - - + + + - + + - + -
10 - - - + + + - + + - +
11 + - - - + + + - + + -
12 - + - - - + + + - + +
22
12
Central Composite or Response Surface Designs
It is used to study the system in more detail
for optimisation
for quantitative modeling
321123322331132112
2
333
2
222
2
1113322110ˆ xxxbxxbxxbxxbxbxbxbxbxbxbby
23
Experimental design process
1. Select the factors you are interested in to study
2. Choose a proper design
3. Decide number of replicates
4. Randomise the design
5. Perform the experiments
6. Use statistics to interpret the effect of factors
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13
Simplex Optimisation
Simplex optimization is a model free approach
It is a step-wise method in which the result from the previous
simplex is used to build a new simplex and it continues this way.
Simplex is a geometric figure with k+1 corners where k is the
number of factors.
When k=2 then simplex is a triangleTe
mp.
pH
25
Simplex Optimisation
Procedure: two factors
Three experiments are performed at coordinates of 3 corners of
an initial simplex (triangle) and the three responses are
measured.
The corner with the lowest response is mirrored through the
geometrical midpoint of the other two corners.
An experiment at the new coordinate is performed and the same
procedure is repeated for the new simplex.
If the new coordinate is the worst amongst three, then the
second lowest corner of the last simplex is mirrored.
The process is continued until simplex encircles, i.e. it has
reached the optimum.
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14
Simplex Optimisation
Te
mp.
pH
27
References:
1- “Chemometrics, Data Analysis for the Laboratory and Chemical
Plant”, chapter two; Richard G. Brereton; John Wiley & Sons Ltd,
2003
2- T. Lundstedt et al.; Chemom. Intell. Lab. Syst., 42 (1998) 3-40
3- Statistics for experimenters, Box; Hunter; Hunter; John Wiley &
Sons Ltd, 2005
4- Chemometrics: Experimental Design, Ed Morgan; ACOL, Wiley,
1991
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