Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09. Background Summary of review findings Partial response ...

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Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09

Transcript of Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09. Background Summary of review findings Partial response ...

Page 1: Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09.  Background  Summary of review findings  Partial response  Coordination with CERN  New initiatives  Lumi.

Eric Prebys

LARP Program Director

1/8/09

Page 2: Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09.  Background  Summary of review findings  Partial response  Coordination with CERN  New initiatives  Lumi.

Background Summary of review findings Partial response

Coordination with CERN New initiatives Lumi situation

FY09 Budget Budgeting process Budget status

Planning for the future FY10 and beyond Base lining LARP crabs cavities? PS2? Relationship with APUL (or eq.)

1/8/09E. Prebys, LARP DOE Meeting 2

Page 3: Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09.  Background  Summary of review findings  Partial response  Coordination with CERN  New initiatives  Lumi.

This meeting will be both and update and an official response to the review of LARP which took place at LBNL in June 2008.

Although the report was only recently released, the contents are largely consistent with the closeout comments from the review, so there are no big surprises.

For the most part, we are in agreement with the recommendations, and feel we have taken significant steps to address them.

We have our annual LARP/CERN meeting at CERN on Jan. 14, and are interested in useful feedback for this meeting.

1/8/09E. Prebys, DOE/LARP Meeting 3

Page 4: Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09.  Background  Summary of review findings  Partial response  Coordination with CERN  New initiatives  Lumi.

Generally impressed with LARP progress on technical fronts. Particularly success of Schottky and tune tracker

As usual, reminded us that the Nb3Sn magnet program is a world class effort which must be sufficiently supported. Some concern over convergence of the shell and collar efforts. Some specific comments on conductor choice.

Concern over communication with CERN Particularly regarding the JIRS work

Concern about managerial oversight Primarily regarding the lumi project, which was news at the time.

Although there was some frustration during the review about how LAUC (now “APUL”) was “thrown at them”, they generally felt it was a good idea and should be separately and sufficiently funded. The exact relationship between LARP and APUL will be one of the topics

for discussion at this meeting.

1/8/09 4E. Prebys, DOE/LARP Meeting

Page 5: Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09.  Background  Summary of review findings  Partial response  Coordination with CERN  New initiatives  Lumi.

The bulk of the criticism in the report focused on the perceived “disconnect” between LARP and CERN regarding prioritization of LARP activities.

I believe this disconnect largely referred to activities related to the abortive attempt to get Nb3Sn magnets into the Phase I proposal (specifically, the JIRS group).  It's now realized this is not (and likely never was) realistic. 

We have suspended activities of the JIRS group, with the idea of restructuring it with an emphasis on the relationship between our magnet program and the phase II upgrade.

1/8/09 5E. Prebys, DOE/LARP Meeting

Page 6: Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09.  Background  Summary of review findings  Partial response  Coordination with CERN  New initiatives  Lumi.

General LARP Liaison: Oliver Bruening

Serves as primary “sounding board” for LARP proposals De-facto veto power over LARP projects (No CERN

interest= non-starter) US/CERN meeting

Once a year (Coming up Jan 14) Discuss general priorities and strategy Should we do this more often?

LTV/Toohig fellows Establish a significant body of “man on the street”

impressions of CERN interest

1/8/09 6E. Prebys, DOE/LARP Meeting

Page 7: Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09.  Background  Summary of review findings  Partial response  Coordination with CERN  New initiatives  Lumi.

Specific Alex Ratti has been working closely with Enrico Bravin

(responsible for LHC luminosity measurement) on the completion and handoff of the lumi monitor

Rama Calaga is working closely with CERN people to coordinate crab cavity effort

Tom Markiewicz is working closely with Ralph Assmann (head of LHC collimation) on the potential use of the rotatable collimators

Uli Wienands has been working with Oliver Bruening and CERN in general to identify the best ways for LARP to contribute to the PS2 effort.

1/8/09 7E. Prebys, DOE/LARP Meeting

Page 8: Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09.  Background  Summary of review findings  Partial response  Coordination with CERN  New initiatives  Lumi.

In response to comments from the review committee and LARP members, Tom Markiewicz developed a more formal and transparent process for choosing among new initiatives. Proposals were weighted by a number of factors, including

CERN interest (necessary), potential luminosity improvement, technical risk, and cost.

LARP collaboration was emailed a prioritized list of approved activities along with an explanation of the procedure.

Improvements for the future All proposals should include a multi-year profile

Largely moot point this year Already badly overcommitted No possibility of new initiatives for FY10

1/8/09 8E. Prebys, DOE/LARP Meeting

Page 9: Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09.  Background  Summary of review findings  Partial response  Coordination with CERN  New initiatives  Lumi.

In spite of some missteps, LARP activities are closely coordinated with CERN.

CERN interest is a necessary condition for any LARP project.

As you will see, LARP is resource limited: In the absence of an unexpected funding windfall, there

are more activities of interest to both LARP and CERN than we can possibly undertake.

CERN will probably be of limited use in further prioritizing LARP activities. We will need to make decisions based on our own risk

analysis.

1/8/09E. Prebys, DOE/LARP Meeting 9

Page 10: Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09.  Background  Summary of review findings  Partial response  Coordination with CERN  New initiatives  Lumi.

Began bi-weekly meetings with Alex Ratti, LARP and LBL management, and Enrico Bravin (CERN) to stay up to closely monitor progress.

Working with the CERN controls group and LAFS on the software end. Draft requirements specification created.

Enrico and Alex working on document to formally specify the handoff to CERN.

Working with CMS luminosity group, who will contribute some manpower to do the deconvolution microcoding necessary for high intensity operation.

For more details on Lumi status, see Markiewicz talk

1/8/09 10E. Prebys, LARP DOE Meeting

Page 11: Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09.  Background  Summary of review findings  Partial response  Coordination with CERN  New initiatives  Lumi.

Original plan $2.5M Finished in FY07

Currently Spent $3.6M Need to spend ~$800k more Finished in FY09??

Bottom line These sorts of overruns are not unusual in real projects! LARP contingencies are far from sufficient to cover

overruns in significant deliverables. More about this shortly…

1/8/09 11E. Prebys, LARP DOE Meeting

Page 12: Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09.  Background  Summary of review findings  Partial response  Coordination with CERN  New initiatives  Lumi.

Guidance from DOE $13M with a 6 month continuing resolution at 84%

.5*.84*13+.5*13 = $11.96M Separate money ($1-2M) found for APL planning!

General breakdown (informed by Steve’s exit advice) Accelerator Systems: $2.9M Magnet Systems: $5.0M Program Management: $2.1M

Includes LTV and Toohig Fellows (of which we have 4) Contingency: $2M

In then end, had to give up some continency to increase Program Management

04/21/23 12E. Prebys - LARP Meeting

Page 13: Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09.  Background  Summary of review findings  Partial response  Coordination with CERN  New initiatives  Lumi.

Luminosity monitor was expected to be complete by end of FY08 Instead had significant overruns, and needs significant

funds on FY09 (original request $1M -> $800k) Still consider it absolutely vital for lumi to work!

Rotating collimators still a big budget item Still consider it important to complete a prototype this year

in time to at least be considered a solution by CERN. Strong feeling that LARP should take a leading role

in crab cavity development Led by Rama Calaga Support by CERN General feeling that “the train is leaving the station”.

Magnet program still has to funded at a level that will insure a working magnet for the LHC Phase II upgrade

04/21/23 13E. Prebys - LARP Meeting

Page 14: Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09.  Background  Summary of review findings  Partial response  Coordination with CERN  New initiatives  Lumi.

Accelerator Systems Iterative process, primarily involving Wolfram, Tom, Alex,

and myself, to converge on the bottom line. Key component: relying on labs to contribute labor in

accordance with their core competencies (i.e. not charged directly to LARP)*

Key casualty: No real money for PS2, for which there was a great deal of excitement within LARP and at CERN Will continue with contributed labor while we decide

what to do for next year. Magnet Systems

Much more monolithic than AS L1 and L2 managers worked to stay within the budget

04/21/23 14E. Prebys - LARP Meeting

Page 15: Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09.  Background  Summary of review findings  Partial response  Coordination with CERN  New initiatives  Lumi.

Not much leeway Management costs determined by historical usage Need to honor commitments to LTV’s and Toohig fellows Only discretionary is Programmatic travel, which I have

reduced by trying to include travel with the appropriate project.

04/21/23 15E. Prebys - LARP Meeting

Page 16: Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09.  Background  Summary of review findings  Partial response  Coordination with CERN  New initiatives  Lumi.

Crab cavities Original request: $700k

Cavity design Cryomodule design LLRF

Budget: $300k Rely on “off books” help in cavity design from LBNL and

Jlab Defer cryomodule and LLRF work

PS2 Uli Wienands developed a number of plans under various

funding scenarios In the end, budgeted $100K, primarily for travel and M&S,

assuming that most scientific time would be contributed.

04/21/23 16E. Prebys - LARP Meeting

Page 17: Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09.  Background  Summary of review findings  Partial response  Coordination with CERN  New initiatives  Lumi.

LARP FY09 budget version v0.1September 12, 2008 Total

WBS [$k] BNL FNAL LBNL SLAC UnassignedUS LHC Accelerator Research Program 11,960 2,242 2,979 3,629 1,467 1,6431 Accelerator Systems Markiewicz 2,901 380 311 1,005 1,2051.1 Instrumentation Ratti 925 50 35 800 401.3 Collimation Markiewicz 1,121 35 101 0 9851.4 Accelerator Physics Fischer 855 295 175 205 1802 Magnet Systems Wanderer 5,059 1,071 1,769 2,2192.2 Model Quadrupoles Sabbi 2,000 538.4 332 1129.82.3 Long Quadrupoles Ambrosio 2,128 374 1,116 6382.4 Materials Ghosh 931 159 321 4523 Programmatic Activities Prebys 2,357 791 899 405 2623.1 Administration Prebys 2,107 741 749 405 2123.2 Commissioning TBD 250 50 150 0 50Assigned Total 10,317 2,242 2,979 3,629 1,4674 Contingency E. Prebys 1,643 1,642.7

Labor+MTSC

04/21/23 17E. Prebys - LARP Meeting

Page 18: Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09.  Background  Summary of review findings  Partial response  Coordination with CERN  New initiatives  Lumi.

1/8/09E. Prebys, LARP DOE Meeting 18

Page 19: Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09.  Background  Summary of review findings  Partial response  Coordination with CERN  New initiatives  Lumi.

1/8/09E. Prebys, LARP DOE Meeting 19

Page 20: Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09.  Background  Summary of review findings  Partial response  Coordination with CERN  New initiatives  Lumi.

1/8/09E. Prebys, LARP DOE Meeting 20

Had to make two more practice coils than planned. Fin plan in progress.

Page 21: Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09.  Background  Summary of review findings  Partial response  Coordination with CERN  New initiatives  Lumi.

1/8/09E. Prebys, LARP DOE Meeting 21

Page 22: Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09.  Background  Summary of review findings  Partial response  Coordination with CERN  New initiatives  Lumi.

Lumi and rotatable collimator should ramp down considerably, allowing concentration on other significant commitments

Candidates: Crab cavity effort

Crab cavities deflect the beam to compensate for crossing angle.

Potential to dramatically increase luminosity under most likely Phase II upgrade scenario

PS2 Activities CERN has requested LARP help in the design (white

paper study) of the PS2, which will replace the PS for the phase II upgrade.

1/8/09 22E. Prebys, LARP DOE Meeting

Page 23: Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09.  Background  Summary of review findings  Partial response  Coordination with CERN  New initiatives  Lumi.

Pros Potentially a big impact on luminosity Lots of intellectual interest in US community Can be divided into well-defined tasks that are

straightforward to monitor. Cons

Barring a budget windfall, LARP will not have the resources to take a significant role in construction, so must coordinate with multiple labs/countries/funding agencies.

Current plan relies on SBIR grants If badly managed, potentially a black hole of resources

that never accomplishes anything.

1/8/09 23E. Prebys, LARP DOE Meeting

Page 24: Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09.  Background  Summary of review findings  Partial response  Coordination with CERN  New initiatives  Lumi.

1/8/09 24E. Prebys, LARP DOE Meeting

Page 25: Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09.  Background  Summary of review findings  Partial response  Coordination with CERN  New initiatives  Lumi.

1/8/09 25E. Prebys, LARP DOE Meeting

Page 26: Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09.  Background  Summary of review findings  Partial response  Coordination with CERN  New initiatives  Lumi.

Pros Lots of opportunities to make contributions Well aligned with US interests and expertise, particularly

Project X Involvement “scalable”

Cons Activity and goals not as well defined Danger of funding a lot of people to “think about stuff”

Potential areas of focus Injection issues Electron cloud Laser stripping?

1/8/09 26E. Prebys, LARP DOE Meeting

Page 27: Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09.  Background  Summary of review findings  Partial response  Coordination with CERN  New initiatives  Lumi.

Assume flat-flat budget over next year or so Will work on this, but don’t expect miracles ~$12-$13M/yr

Lumi and Rotating collimators will ramp down Would be naïve to assume they go to zero

Several things positioning to take their place Existing efforts (Ecloud, beam beam, jirs) New things (PS2, crab cavities)

Either PS2 or crab cavities could easily use out AS budget And it would be well spent.

Have to make tough choices Can’t do everything we want Strong pressure to shrink MS budget

10/28/2008E. Prebys, LARP PS2 Session DRAFT 27

Page 28: Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09.  Background  Summary of review findings  Partial response  Coordination with CERN  New initiatives  Lumi.

1/8/09E. Prebys, LARP DOE Meeting 28

LARP FY09 budget version v0.1September 12, 2008 Total

[$k] BNL FNAL LBNL SLAC UnassignedUS LHC Accelerator Research Program11,960 2,242 2,979 3,629 1,467 1,643 BNL FNAL LBNL SLAC change

Accelerator Systems 2,901 380 311 1,005 1,205 3,476 380 311 1,005 1,205Instrumentation 925 50 35 800 40 240 50 35 800 40

Phase IChromaticity feedback 0 -15 15 0 -15 15Luminometer 800 800 200 800 -600Schottky monitor 20 20 0 20 -20AC dipole 65 65 0 65 -65LLRF 40 40 40 40

Collimation 1,121 35 101 0 985 571 35 101 0 985Phase II

Rotatable Collimators 950 950 200 950 -750Crystal collimation 0

T980 96 10 76 10 296 10 76 10 200CRYSTAL 75 25 25 25 75 25 25 25

Accelerator Physics 855 295 175 205 180 2,665 295 175 205 180Studies

Electron cloud 300 300Simulations 50 50 50 50 Ecloud FB at SPS 80 40 40 80 40 40Grooved Chambers 25 25 25 25

Beam beam 300 300Simulation 110 110 110 110Wire compensation 50 50 0 50 -50Electron lens 40 20 20 0 20 20 -40

Crab cavities 300 200 20 40 40 800 200 20 40 40 500PS2 Studies 100 50 50 700 50 50 600discretionary 100 25 25 25 25 300 25 25 25 25 200

Labor+MTSC Preliminary FY10

Page 29: Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09.  Background  Summary of review findings  Partial response  Coordination with CERN  New initiatives  Lumi.

1/8/09E. Prebys, LARP DOE Meeting 29

LARP had a period of rapid growth in the earlier yeas, which led to some over- optimism

Page 30: Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09.  Background  Summary of review findings  Partial response  Coordination with CERN  New initiatives  Lumi.

Official LARP change control policies essentially ignored.

No consistent rules for dealing with burdens at different labs

Budget and schedule not integrated Earned value reporting must be done by hand, if it’s done

at all No systematic way of dealing with different types

of contingency “deliverables” should have significant assigned contingency R&D projects should have “scope contingency”, possibly

adjusted by an uncommitted unassigned contingency pool. No formal accounting for “off books” contributions

from member labs. Developing future budget profile a nightmare.

1/8/09 30E. Prebys, LARP DOE Meeting

Page 31: Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09.  Background  Summary of review findings  Partial response  Coordination with CERN  New initiatives  Lumi.

From LARP “Management Plan”:

Problem LARP doesn’t even have an informal base line Large changes can sneak in at the annual budget without

being noticed Example: in order to see the budget and schedule

problems with the lumi monitor, it’s necessary to forensically examine old task sheets.

1/8/09 31E. Prebys, LARP DOE Meeting

Page 32: Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09.  Background  Summary of review findings  Partial response  Coordination with CERN  New initiatives  Lumi.

Reminder: the entire AS + MS budget is $3M+$5M, which is ~10+20 FTE’s or so.

We get a significant amount of additional scientific effort contributed in two ways: Explicit LHC work supported through the unassigned

“core” program ~6 FTE’s at SLAC ~6 FTE’s at FNAL Some CBP time from LBNL

Time which benefits LARP through common interest ~2 FTE’s at BNL working on RHIC projects which benefit

the LHC as well This is primarily for the AS, for which it is a large

part.

1/8/09E. Prebys, LARP DOE Meeting 32

Page 33: Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09.  Background  Summary of review findings  Partial response  Coordination with CERN  New initiatives  Lumi.

What is the model for “off books” contributions to LARP? None?

In the absence increased funding, LARP would have to dramatically reduce its activities

Ongoing? Could all scientific time be supported out of core

budgets? “Venture capital”

Could some amount of commitment out of the core program be expected to develop proposals to the point where LARP could fund them.

1/8/09E. Prebys, LARP DOE Meeting 33

Page 34: Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09.  Background  Summary of review findings  Partial response  Coordination with CERN  New initiatives  Lumi.

Put LARP budget and schedule into a single MS Project file

Define burdens and labor rates correctly for the four member labs Eg, “BNL engineer”, “SLAC scientist”, etc…

For every labor category, have an equivalent “off books” category with an appropriately PC name (“common effort”?), which is not included in the normal roll-up, but can be rolled up separately.

Progress is updated monthly by designated L2 and L3 managers.

Implement formal change control and change logging.

Project used to formulate long term plan and budget profile.

1/8/09 34E. Prebys, LARP DOE Meeting

Page 35: Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09.  Background  Summary of review findings  Partial response  Coordination with CERN  New initiatives  Lumi.

Ken Domann has agreed to translate the currrent WBS chart, as well as other information, into a fully loaded MS Project file.

Budget expenses will be charged against rolled project line items Need to identify FNAL person to do this once a month

For each subtask, a responsible person will be identified. Ken will email him an Excel spreadsheet each month on

which he will report progress on his tasks and milestones Ken will generate standard earned value reports on

a monthly basis. For schedule or budget changes beyond those

specified on 3.4, we will generate proper CR’s which must be approved by the Executive Committee(?)

1/8/09 35E. Prebys, LARP DOE Meeting

Page 36: Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09.  Background  Summary of review findings  Partial response  Coordination with CERN  New initiatives  Lumi.

Currently translating budget into this format. Have the tools fully in place by our April

collaboration meeting. Use as a tool for real time budget discussion.

1/8/09 36E. Prebys, LARP DOE Meeting

Page 37: Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09.  Background  Summary of review findings  Partial response  Coordination with CERN  New initiatives  Lumi.

Get lumi monitor working prior to 2009 start up LARP reputation depends on it

Protect core magnet program Insure that LARP produces a prototype Nb3Sn magnet on a

time scale that makes it a viable choice for the Phase II upgrade.

Complete rotating collimator prototype This has been a significant LARP activity, and it’s important

that we produce a prototype on a time scale that will allow it to be part of the collimation solution.

Continue to support Toohig Fellows and Long Term Visitors Very important link to CERN LARP supported visitors making significant and well received

contributions. Choose from remaining AS activities based on a risk

reward analysis1/8/09 37E. Prebys, LARP DOE Meeting

Page 38: Eric Prebys LARP Program Director 1/8/09.  Background  Summary of review findings  Partial response  Coordination with CERN  New initiatives  Lumi.

LARP has done and continues to do good work eg, 3 invited talks and 36 contributions to PAC09

The scope has grown beyond where it can be effectively managed in the informal way in which it began.

We are taking steps to formalize the baseline and develop a credible long term plan.

1/8/09E. Prebys, LARP DOE Meeting 38