Equity Market Outlook - ICAI Dubai...4,933 88 4 0167 4,511 _43 6,931 77,141.55 Source:...

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1 Equity Market Outlook “Mutual Fund investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents carefully. This presentation is only for internal reference and Distribution of this document is strictly restricted. This presentation is not intended as a recommendation or for the purpose of soliciting any action in relation to the investment funds or any investments.”

Transcript of Equity Market Outlook - ICAI Dubai...4,933 88 4 0167 4,511 _43 6,931 77,141.55 Source:...

Page 1: Equity Market Outlook - ICAI Dubai...4,933 88 4 0167 4,511 _43 6,931 77,141.55 Source: Moneycontrol.com Last Updated : Nov 30, 2018 09:44 AM IST Source: Moneycontrot.com Foreign moolah

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Equity Market Outlook

“Mutual Fund investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents carefully.This presentation is only for internal reference and Distribution of this document is strictly restricted.This presentation is not intended as a recommendation or for the purpose of soliciting any action inrelation to the investment funds or any investments.”

Page 2: Equity Market Outlook - ICAI Dubai...4,933 88 4 0167 4,511 _43 6,931 77,141.55 Source: Moneycontrol.com Last Updated : Nov 30, 2018 09:44 AM IST Source: Moneycontrot.com Foreign moolah

From Mughal-e-Azam…..

Page 3: Equity Market Outlook - ICAI Dubai...4,933 88 4 0167 4,511 _43 6,931 77,141.55 Source: Moneycontrol.com Last Updated : Nov 30, 2018 09:44 AM IST Source: Moneycontrot.com Foreign moolah

▪ Valuation▪ Oil▪ Global Factors▪ Credit Squeeze▪ Politics

▪ Flows▪ Monsoon▪ Fundamentals

Mughal-e-Azam Market

Markets

Page 4: Equity Market Outlook - ICAI Dubai...4,933 88 4 0167 4,511 _43 6,931 77,141.55 Source: Moneycontrol.com Last Updated : Nov 30, 2018 09:44 AM IST Source: Moneycontrot.com Foreign moolah

…… to Om Shanti Om

Page 5: Equity Market Outlook - ICAI Dubai...4,933 88 4 0167 4,511 _43 6,931 77,141.55 Source: Moneycontrol.com Last Updated : Nov 30, 2018 09:44 AM IST Source: Moneycontrot.com Foreign moolah

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Oil is falling

Page 6: Equity Market Outlook - ICAI Dubai...4,933 88 4 0167 4,511 _43 6,931 77,141.55 Source: Moneycontrol.com Last Updated : Nov 30, 2018 09:44 AM IST Source: Moneycontrot.com Foreign moolah

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G-Sec Yields

Page 7: Equity Market Outlook - ICAI Dubai...4,933 88 4 0167 4,511 _43 6,931 77,141.55 Source: Moneycontrol.com Last Updated : Nov 30, 2018 09:44 AM IST Source: Moneycontrot.com Foreign moolah

Banking liquidity betterment

Source: Bloomberg

-1,500

-1,000

-500

0

500

Page 8: Equity Market Outlook - ICAI Dubai...4,933 88 4 0167 4,511 _43 6,931 77,141.55 Source: Moneycontrol.com Last Updated : Nov 30, 2018 09:44 AM IST Source: Moneycontrot.com Foreign moolah

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RBI & Govt. on same page

Page 9: Equity Market Outlook - ICAI Dubai...4,933 88 4 0167 4,511 _43 6,931 77,141.55 Source: Moneycontrol.com Last Updated : Nov 30, 2018 09:44 AM IST Source: Moneycontrot.com Foreign moolah

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Rupee appreciating

Page 10: Equity Market Outlook - ICAI Dubai...4,933 88 4 0167 4,511 _43 6,931 77,141.55 Source: Moneycontrol.com Last Updated : Nov 30, 2018 09:44 AM IST Source: Moneycontrot.com Foreign moolah

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Inflation falling

Page 11: Equity Market Outlook - ICAI Dubai...4,933 88 4 0167 4,511 _43 6,931 77,141.55 Source: Moneycontrol.com Last Updated : Nov 30, 2018 09:44 AM IST Source: Moneycontrot.com Foreign moolah

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FED rates below neutral

Page 12: Equity Market Outlook - ICAI Dubai...4,933 88 4 0167 4,511 _43 6,931 77,141.55 Source: Moneycontrol.com Last Updated : Nov 30, 2018 09:44 AM IST Source: Moneycontrot.com Foreign moolah

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Tariff War Truce

Page 13: Equity Market Outlook - ICAI Dubai...4,933 88 4 0167 4,511 _43 6,931 77,141.55 Source: Moneycontrol.com Last Updated : Nov 30, 2018 09:44 AM IST Source: Moneycontrot.com Foreign moolah

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FIIs back in buying action

Page 14: Equity Market Outlook - ICAI Dubai...4,933 88 4 0167 4,511 _43 6,931 77,141.55 Source: Moneycontrol.com Last Updated : Nov 30, 2018 09:44 AM IST Source: Moneycontrot.com Foreign moolah

Election

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General Election in 2019

State Election Timeline Current Gov

Chattisgarh Dec-18 BJP

Madhya Pradesh Dec-18 BJP

Mizoram Dec-18 BJP ally

Rajasthan Dec-18 BJP

Telangana Dec-18 TRS

Page 15: Equity Market Outlook - ICAI Dubai...4,933 88 4 0167 4,511 _43 6,931 77,141.55 Source: Moneycontrol.com Last Updated : Nov 30, 2018 09:44 AM IST Source: Moneycontrot.com Foreign moolah

Will it be Like 2004 ?

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Page 16: Equity Market Outlook - ICAI Dubai...4,933 88 4 0167 4,511 _43 6,931 77,141.55 Source: Moneycontrol.com Last Updated : Nov 30, 2018 09:44 AM IST Source: Moneycontrot.com Foreign moolah

Will it be Like 2009 ?

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Page 17: Equity Market Outlook - ICAI Dubai...4,933 88 4 0167 4,511 _43 6,931 77,141.55 Source: Moneycontrol.com Last Updated : Nov 30, 2018 09:44 AM IST Source: Moneycontrot.com Foreign moolah

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Will it be Like 2014 ?

Page 18: Equity Market Outlook - ICAI Dubai...4,933 88 4 0167 4,511 _43 6,931 77,141.55 Source: Moneycontrol.com Last Updated : Nov 30, 2018 09:44 AM IST Source: Moneycontrot.com Foreign moolah

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Will it be something else ?

Page 19: Equity Market Outlook - ICAI Dubai...4,933 88 4 0167 4,511 _43 6,931 77,141.55 Source: Moneycontrol.com Last Updated : Nov 30, 2018 09:44 AM IST Source: Moneycontrot.com Foreign moolah

Consult Your Astrologer

Page 20: Equity Market Outlook - ICAI Dubai...4,933 88 4 0167 4,511 _43 6,931 77,141.55 Source: Moneycontrol.com Last Updated : Nov 30, 2018 09:44 AM IST Source: Moneycontrot.com Foreign moolah

Contra can make Money

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Page 21: Equity Market Outlook - ICAI Dubai...4,933 88 4 0167 4,511 _43 6,931 77,141.55 Source: Moneycontrol.com Last Updated : Nov 30, 2018 09:44 AM IST Source: Moneycontrot.com Foreign moolah

Contra can make Money

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Page 22: Equity Market Outlook - ICAI Dubai...4,933 88 4 0167 4,511 _43 6,931 77,141.55 Source: Moneycontrol.com Last Updated : Nov 30, 2018 09:44 AM IST Source: Moneycontrot.com Foreign moolah

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In the Long Term,

Nothing Matters but Fundamentals