Epidemiological Highlightsorigin.searo.who.int/entity/bangladesh/ewarsw302018.pdf · previous week...
Transcript of Epidemiological Highlightsorigin.searo.who.int/entity/bangladesh/ewarsw302018.pdf · previous week...
W30 2018 | Highlights
Epidemiological Highlights Week 30
Highlights:
• Diphtheria case-patients still reporting from the camps and confirmed
case-patients from host community.
• Overall, AWD trend showing decreasing trend.
• Number of Acute Respiratory Infection (ARI) & Acute Juandice
Syndrome (AJS) case-patients reporting decreases than previous
weeks but unexplained fever showing slightly increasing trend.
• No significant change in vector brone disease trend.
• Other diseases and clinical syndromes remain within the previous
level.
W30 2018 | Highlights
EWARS Reporting Updates:
• To date, 151 health facilities are registered as active Early Warning Alert
and Response System (EWARS) reporting sites.
• For week 30, 106/151 weekly reports (70%) were received by Tuesday
24 July 2018, resulting in a cumulative completeness of 77% in 2018.
• A total of 16 alerts were triggered in week 30, in which 1 is currently
being monitored by the WHO Epidemiology.
W30 2018 | Highlights
Diphtheria Updates
• 8 067 diphtheria case-patients reported through EWARS, including 264
case-patients tested positive and 931 tested negative on PCR.
• Last laboratory confirmed case-patients reported on 26 July 2018 from host
community.
• 36 new case-patients reported which is lower than previous week
-35 case-patients in week 29
-51 case-patients in week 28
-58 case-patients in week 27
• No death reported this week. Total number of deaths = 44(case-fatality
proportion <1.0%).
• Host community: 2 new diphtheria case-patients (1 probable and 1 lab-
negative) reported this week.
• Total case-patients (2018)= 171 (including 102 lab-negative case-patients)
-25 lab-confirmed
-29 probable
-15 suspected
W30 2018 | Highlights
W30 2018 | Highlights
Measles
• 10 new suspected case-patients reported via weekly reporting this week
which is slightly lower than previous weeks (15 case-patients in week 29
& 9 case-patients in week 28)
• Total number of cases (2018) = 1 457.
• Routine measles surveillance is ongoing in the FDMN population.
Acute Jaundice Syndrome (AJS)
• 25 new case-patients reported this week which is lower than previous
weeks (45 case-patients in week 29, 19 case-patients in week 28 & 36
case-patients in week 27)
• Total case-patients in EWARS (2018) = 2 548
W30 2018 | Highlights
Acute Watery Diarrhoea (AWD)
• 3 336 case-patients were reported from weekly report forms and an
additional 9 cases were reported from Diarrhoea Treatment Center (DTCs).
• A total 140 118 case-patients were reported from health facilities in 2018
and an additional 81 case-patients were reported from Diarrhoea treatment
Center (DTCs) from 1 June 2018.
Acute Respiratory Infection (ARI)
• 9 116 case-patients reported in EWARS via weekly report form lower than
previous week (12 173 in week 29 & 10 389 case-patients in week 28).
• Total reported case-patients = 299 289
• Proportional morbidity (2018) = 12.3%
BangladeshRohingya Emergency Response
Ministry of Health and FamilyWelfare Bangladesh Printed: 11:33 Tuesday, 31 July 2018 UTC
Early Warning, Alert and Response System (EWARS)Epidemiological Bulletin W30 2018
Highlights
Slide 1 Table 1 Coverage
Table 2 Early warning performance
Table 3 Alert performance
Early Warning
Slide 2 Map 1a Ukhia completeness by site/zone
Map 1b Teknaf completeness by site/zone
Slide 3 Table 4 Ukhia (Northern group) performance by site/zone
Map 2 Ukhia (Northern group) completeness by site/zone
Slide 4 Table 5 Ukhia (Southern group) performance by site/zone
Map 3 Ukhia (Southern group) completeness by site/zone
Slide 5 Table 6 Teknaf performance by site/zone
Map 4 Teknaf completeness by site/zone
Slide 6 Table 7 Performance by partner
Alert
Slide 7 Table 8 Ukhia (Northern group) alerts by site/zone
Map 5 Ukhia (Northern group) alerts site/zone
Slide 8 Table 9 Ukhia (Southern group) alerts by site/zone
Map 6 Ukhia (Southern group) alerts site/zone
Slide 9 Table 10 Teknaf alerts by site/zone
Map 7 Teknaf alerts site/zone
Slide 10 Table 11 Performance by type of alert
Table 12 Risk Assessment
Sources of data
1. Weekly EWARS Reporting Form 2. Mortality Case Report Form 3. Event-based Surveillance Form
Contents
W30 2018
Table 1 | Coverage
# %
918,936 - Estimated total Rohingya population
904,056 98% Total population under surveillance
270 - Total number of health facilities
151 56% Number of EWARS reporting sites
Table 2 | Early warning performance indicators
W30 Cumulative (2018)
106 3351 Number of weekly reports received
68% 77% Completeness
68% 76% Timeliness
Table 3 Alert performance indicators
W30 Cumulative (2018)
16 1,745 Total alerts raised
100% 100% % verified
0% 0% % auto-discarded
0% 0% % undergoing risk assessment
0% 2% % completed risk assessment
Source: IOM. Bangladesh: Needs and Population Monitoring - NPM R11 Report. 14 June 2018.
Highlights W30 2018
1 W30 2018
1
1
Map 1a | Ukhia completeness by camp
Completeness 0 25% 50% 75% 100%
Map 1b | Teknaf completeness by camp
Completeness 0 25% 50% 75% 100%
Early Warning | Ukhia and Teknaf
2 W30 2018
12
3 4
567
89 10 11 12
1314 15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22 2324
25
26
1 Camp 1W2 Camp 1E3 Camp 8W4 Camp 8E5 Camp 76 Camp 67 Camp 58 Camp 4 Ext9 Camp 410 Camp 311 Camp 2W12 Camp 2E13 Camp 914 Camp 20 Ext15 Camp 2016 Camp 1917 Camp 1818 Camp 1719 Camp 1620 Camp 1521 Camp 1422 Camp 1323 Camp 1224 Camp 1125 Camp 1026 Kutupalong RC
1
2
3
4
5
6
78
1 Camp 22 Unchiprang2 Nayapara RC3 Camp 23 Shamlapur4 Camp 21 Chakmarkul5 Camp 27 Jadimura6 Camp 26 Nayapara7 Camp 25 Ali Khali8 Camp 24 Leda
Northerngroup Reporting Performance
# healthfacilities
# reportsreceived Completeness Timeliness
Table 4 | Performance by camp (W30 2018) Map 2 | Completeness by camp
Completeness 0 25% 50% 75% 100%
Early Warning | Ukhia (Northern Group)
3 W30 2018
Camp 1E 1 1 100% 100%
Camp 1W 3 2 67% 67%
Camp 2E 1 0 0% 0%
Camp 2W 4 4 75% 75%
Camp 3 6 5 83% 83%
Camp 4 5 3 60% 60%
Camp 4 Ext 1 1 100% 100%
Camp 5 2 0 0% 0%
Camp 6 1 1 100% 100%
Camp 7 5 4 80% 80%
Camp 8E 3 3 100% 100%
Camp 8W 4 4 100% 100%
KutupalongRC
2 2 100% 100%
12
3 4
567
89 10 11 12
13
1 Camp 1W2 Camp 1E3 Camp 8W4 Camp 8E5 Camp 76 Camp 67 Camp 58 Camp 4 Ext9 Camp 410 Camp 311 Camp 2W12 Camp 2E13 Kutupalong RC
Southerngroup Reporting Performance
# healthfacilities
# reportsreceived Completeness Timeliness
Table 5 | Performance by camp (W30 2018) Map 3 | Completeness by camp
Completeness 0 25% 50% 75% 100%
Early Warning | Ukhia (Southern Group)
4 W30 2018
Camp 10 4 4 100% 100%
Camp 11 8 8 100% 100%
Camp 12 7 5 83% 83%
Camp 13 11 7 64% 64%
Camp 14 4 2 50% 50%
Camp 15 6 3 50% 50%
Camp 16 6 4 67% 67%
Camp 17 4 3 75% 75%
Camp 18 5 4 80% 80%
Camp 19 1 1 100% 100%
Camp 20 2 2 100% 100%
Camp 20 Ext 0 0 0% 100%
Camp 9 10 7 70% 70%
12 3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10 1112
13
1 Camp 92 Camp 20 Ext3 Camp 204 Camp 195 Camp 186 Camp 177 Camp 168 Camp 159 Camp 1410 Camp 1311 Camp 1212 Camp 1113 Camp 10
Teknaf Reporting Performance
# healthfacilities
# reportsreceived Completeness Timeliness
Table 6 | Performance by camp (W30 2018) Map 4 | Completeness by camp
Completeness 0 25% 50% 75% 100%
Early Warning | Teknaf
5 W30 2018
Camp 21Chakmarkul
4 3 75% 75%
Camp 22Unchiprang
6 3 50% 50%
Camp 23Shamlapur
3 2 67% 67%
Camp 24 Leda 1 1 100% 100%
Camp 25 AliKhali
2 2 100% 100%
Camp 26Nayapara
2 2 100% 100%
Camp 27Jadimura
1 1 100% 100%
Nayapara RC 2 1 50% 50%
1
2
3
4
5
6
78
1 Camp 22 Unchiprang2 Nayapara RC3 Camp 23 Shamlapur4 Camp 21 Chakmarkul5 Camp 27 Jadimura6 Camp 26 Nayapara7 Camp 25 Ali Khali8 Camp 24 Leda
Partner Performance Reporting
# sites # reportsreceived Completeness Timeliness
BDRCS 10 4 40% 40%
BRAC 11 11 100% 100%
CARE 4 4 100% 100%
FHM 1 0 0% 0%
FRNDS 5 5 100% 100%
GK 11 11 100% 100%
HMBDF 1 1 100% 100%
IHA 1 0 0% 0%
IOM 20 19 95% 95%
IRC 7 7 100% 100%
MOAS 2 2 100% 100%
MSF 19 7 37% 37%
MoH 13 1 8% 8%
Table 7 | Performance by partner (W30 2018)
Partner Performance Reporting
# sites # reportsreceived Completeness Timeliness
MTI 1 0 0% 0%
OBAT 1 0 0% 0%
PHD 8 8 100% 100%
Prottyashi 3 1 33% 33%
PWJ 1 0 0% 0%
RHU 2 2 100% 100%
RI 5 5 100% 100%
RTMI 3 2 67% 67%
SCI 10 10 100% 100%
TdH 1 0 0% 0%
Early Warning | Partner performance
6 W30 2018
Northerngroup W30 Cumulative (2018)
# alerts % verif. # alerts % verif.
Northerngroup W30 Cumulative (2018)
# alerts % verif. # alerts % verif.
Table 8 | Performance by camp Map 5 | Number of alerts by camp
# of alerts 0 2 5 10
Alert | Ukhia (Northern Group)
7 W30 2018
Camp 1E 0 0% 5 100%
Camp 1W 0 0% 14 100%
Camp 2E 0 0% 57 100%
Camp 2W 1 100% 36 100%
Camp 3 0 0% 92 100%
Camp 4 0 0% 41 100%
Camp 4 Ext 0 0% 0 0%
Camp 5 0 0% 61 100%
Camp 6 0 0% 6 100%
Camp 7 1 100% 73 100%
Camp 8E 0 0% 64 100%
Camp 8W 0 0% 47 100%
KutupalongRC
0 0% 22 100%
12
3 4
567
89 10 11 12
13
1 Camp 1W2 Camp 1E3 Camp 8W4 Camp 8E5 Camp 76 Camp 67 Camp 58 Camp 4 Ext9 Camp 410 Camp 311 Camp 2W12 Camp 2E13 Kutupalong RC
Southerngroup W30 Cumulative (2018)
# alerts % verif. # alerts % verif.
Table 9 | Performance by camp Map 6 | Number of alerts by camp
# of alerts 0 2 5 10
Alert | Ukhia (Southern Group)
8 W30 2018
Camp 10 0 0% 30 100%
Camp 11 2 100% 59 100%
Camp 12 2 100% 81 100%
Camp 13 1 100% 99 100%
Camp 14 0 0% 66 100%
Camp 15 0 0% 97 100%
Camp 16 1 100% 76 100%
Camp 17 0 0% 52 100%
Camp 18 0 0% 46 100%
Camp 19 1 100% 5 100%
Camp 20 0 0% 18 100%
Camp 20 Ext 0 0% 0 0%
Camp 9 4 100% 163 100%
12 3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10 1112
13
1 Camp 92 Camp 20 Ext3 Camp 204 Camp 195 Camp 186 Camp 177 Camp 168 Camp 159 Camp 1410 Camp 1311 Camp 1212 Camp 1113 Camp 10
Teknaf W30 Cumulative (2018)
# alerts % verif. # alerts % verif.
Table 10 | Performance by camp Map 7 | Number of alerts by camp
# of alerts 0 2 5 10
Alert | Teknaf
9 W30 2018
Camp 21Chakmarkul
0 0% 22 100%
Camp 22Unchiprang
0 0% 85 100%
Camp 23Shamlapur
0 0% 18 100%
Camp 24 Leda 0 0% 38 100%
Camp 25 AliKhali
1 100% 21 100%
Camp 26Nayapara
2 100% 53 100%
Camp 27Jadimura
0 0% 12 100%
Nayapara RC 0 0% 11 100%
1
2
3
4
5
6
78
1 Camp 22 Unchiprang2 Nayapara RC3 Camp 23 Shamlapur4 Camp 21 Chakmarkul5 Camp 27 Jadimura6 Camp 26 Nayapara7 Camp 25 Ali Khali8 Camp 24 Leda
Event W30 Cumulative (2018)
# alerts % verif. # alerts % verif.
Indicator-based surveillance
Malaria 1 100% 1 100%
Measles/Rubella 5 100% 532 100%
Bloody Diarr. 0 0% 0 0%
AFP 0 0% 18 100%
Meningitis 0 0% 12 100%
Haem. fever(susp.)
0 0% 32 100%
NNT 0 0% 2 100%
Unexp. fever 2 100% 148 100%
AWD 1 100% 183 100%
ARI 2 100% 189 100%
AJS 5 100% 247 100%
Event-based surveillance
EBS total 0 0% 23 100%
Table 11 | Performance by type of alert Table 12 | Risk assessment
W30 Cumulative (2018)
0 13 Low risk
0 2 Moderate risk
0 17 High risk
0 1 Very high risk
Alert | Event risk assessment
10 W30 2018
For more help and support, please contact:
Dr. Md. Alamgir Medical Officer Civil Surgeon Office Ministry of Health and Family Welfare Cox's Bazar, Bangladesh
Telephone: +88 018 1961 4952
Dr. Md Khadimul Anam Mazhar Surveillance and Outbreak Response Officer World Health Organization Cox's Bazar, Bangladesh
Telephone: +88 017 0120 8845
Email: [email protected]
NotesWHO and the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare gratefully acknowledge all partners who havereported the data used in this bulletin. The data been collected with support from the EWARS project. This is an initiative to strengthen earlywarning, alert and response in emergencies. It includes an online, desktop and mobile application thatcan be rapidly configured and deployed in the field. It is designed with frontline users in mind, and builtto work in difficult and remote operating environments. This bulletin has been automatically publishedfrom the EWARS application. More information can be found at http://ewars-project.org Sign-up for an account with EWARS Bangladesh at http://bd.ewars.ws
Ministry ofHealth andFamilyWelfare Bangladesh
BangladeshRohingya Emergency Response
Ministry of Health and FamilyWelfare Bangladesh Printed: 11:33 Tuesday, 31 July 2018 UTC
Early Warning, Alert and Response System (EWARS)Annex W30 2018
Figure 1 | Proportional morbidity (W30 2018)
Acute Respiratory Infection (ARI) Acute Watery Diarrhoea Bloody diarrhoea Other diarrhoea Unexplained fever
Acute Jaundice Syndrome (AJS) Measles/Rubella Other Vector-borne disease Combines malaria and dengue cases (suspected and confirmed)
Disease W30 2018
# cases % morbidity # cases % morbidity
AWD 3,336 5.4% 140,118 5.7%
Bloody diarr. 182 0.3% 35,078 1.4%
Other diarr. 1,861 3.0% 69,923 2.9%
ARI 9,116 14.6% 299,289 12.3%
Measles/Rub. 10 0.0% 1,457 0.1%
AFP 0 0.0% 24 0.0%
Susp. menin. 0 0.0% 54 0.0%
AJS 25 0.0% 2,548 0.1%
Susp. HF 0 0.0% 87 0.0%
Neo. tetanus 0 0.0% 3 0.0%
Adult tetanus 0 0.0% 15 0.0%
Malaria (conf.) 1 0.0% 57 0.0%
Malaria (susp.) 1,541 2.5% 25,810 1.1%
Dengue (conf.) 0 0.0% 0 0.0%
Dengue (susp.) 0 0.0% 3 0.0%
Unexpl. fever 7,981 12.8% 283,279 11.6%
Sev. Malnut. 77 0.1% 4,542 0.2%
Inj./Wounds 1,149 1.8% 43,645 1.8%
Other 37,001 59.4% 1,534,808 62.9%
Total 62,280 100% 2,440,740 100%
Proportional morbidity
1 W30 2018
*
*
Figure 2 | Trend in proportional morbidity for key diseases (W30)
Other consultations Acute Respiratory Infection (ARI) Unexplained fever Acute Jaundice Syndrome (AJS)
Acute Watery Diarrhoea (AWD) Other diarrhoea Vector-borne disease Combines malaria and dengue cases (suspected and confirmed)
Trend in consultations and key diseases
2 W30 2018
% m
orbi
dity
W26
201
7
W31
201
7
W35
201
7
W39
201
7
W44
201
7
W48
201
7
W01
201
8
W05
201
8
W09
201
8
W13
201
8
W18
201
8
W22
201
8
W26
201
8
W31
201
8
0.0%
20.0%
40.0%
60.0%
80.0%
100.0%
*
*
Acute Respiratory Infection | Trend
3 W30 2018
Total ARI cases - Cox's Bazar
W26
201
7
W31
201
7
W35
201
7
W39
201
7
W44
201
7
W48
201
7
W01
201
8
W05
201
8
W09
201
8
W13
201
8
W18
201
8
W22
201
8
W26
201
8
W31
201
8
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
11,000
12,000
13,000
Figure 3 | Trend in number of cases over time (W38 2017 - W30 2018)
a. Ukhia | Number of cases b. Ukhia | Number of alerts c. Teknaf | Number of cases d. Teknaf | Number of alerts
Acute Respiratory Infection | Maps and Alert Management
Map 1 | Map of cases by camp (W30 2018)
4 W30 2018
Map legendNumber of cases 0 1 100 200 500
Number of alerts 0 1 10
Alert thresholdTwice the average number of casesover the past 3 weeks. Source: IEDCR
1Alerts
100%Verified
0Low Risk
0Moderate
Risk
0High Risk
0Very High
Risk
Alert management (W30 2018) Figure | % sex Figure | % age
Male Female >=5 < 5
Measles | Trend
5 W30 2018
Total suspected measles/rubella cases - Cox's Bazar
W26
201
7
W31
201
7
W35
201
7
W39
201
7
W44
201
7
W48
201
7
W01
201
8
W05
201
8
W09
201
8
W13
201
8
W18
201
8
W22
201
8
W26
201
8
W31
201
8
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
Figure 4 | Trend in number of suspected cases over time (W38 2017 - W30 2018)
a. Ukhia | Number of cases b. Ukhia | Number of alerts c. Teknaf | Number of cases d. Teknaf | Number of alerts
Measles | Maps and Alert Management
Map 2 | Map of cases by camp (W30 2018)
6 W30 2018
Map legendNumber of cases 0 1 10 20 50
Number of alerts 0 1 10
Alert threshold1 case. Source: IEDCR
5Alerts
100%Verified
0Low Risk
0Moderate
Risk
0High Risk
0Very High
Risk
Alert management (W30 2018) Figure | % sex Figure | % age
Male Female >= 5 < 5
Acute Jaundice Syndrome | Trend
7 W30 2018
Total suspected AJS cases - Bangladesh
W26
201
7
W31
201
7
W35
201
7
W39
201
7
W44
201
7
W48
201
7
W01
201
8
W05
201
8
W09
201
8
W13
201
8
W18
201
8
W22
201
8
W26
201
8
W31
201
8
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Figure 5 | Trend in number of cases over time (W38 2017 - W30 2018)
a. Ukhia | Number of cases b. Ukhia | Number of alerts c. Teknaf | Number of cases d. Teknaf | Number of alerts
Acute Jaundice Syndrome | Maps and Alert Management
Map 3 | Map of cases by camp (W37 2017 - W30 2018)
8 W30 2018
Map legendNumber of cases 0 1 10 20 50
Number of alerts 0 1 10
Alert thresholdA cluster of 3 or more cases seen in ahealth facility. Source: IEDCR
5Alerts
100%Verified
0Low Risk
0Moderate
Risk
0High Risk
0Very High
Risk
Alert management (W30 2018) Figure | % sex Figure | % age
Female Male >= 5 < 5
Acute Watery Diarrhoea | Trends
9 W30 2018
Total AWD cases - Bangladesh
W26
201
7
W31
201
7
W35
201
7
W39
201
7
W44
201
7
W48
201
7
W01
201
8
W05
201
8
W09
201
8
W13
201
8
W18
201
8
W22
201
8
W26
201
8
W31
201
8
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
Figure 6 | Trend in number of cases over time (W38 2017 - W30 2018)
a. Ukhia | Number of cases b. Ukhia | Number of alerts c. Teknaf | Number of cases d. Teknaf | Number of alerts
Acute Watery Diarrhoea | Maps and Alert Management
Map 4 | Map of cases by camp (W37 2017 - W30 2018)
10 W30 2018
Map legendNumber of cases 0 1 100 200 500
Number of alerts 0 1 10
Alert thresholdTwice the average number of casesover the past 3 weeks. Source: IEDCR
1Alerts
100%Verified
0Low Risk
0Moderate
Risk
0High Risk
0Very High
Risk
Alert management (W30 2018) Figure | % sex Figure | % age
Male Female < 5 >= 5
Dengue | Trends
11 W30 2018
Total Dengue cases - suspected - BangladeshTotal Dengue cases - confirmed - Bangladesh
W26
201
7
W31
201
7
W35
201
7
W39
201
7
W44
201
7
W48
201
7
W01
201
8
W05
201
8
W09
201
8
W13
201
8
W18
201
8
W22
201
8
W26
201
8
W31
201
8
0
1
2
3
4
Figure 7 | Trend in number of cases over time (W38 2017 - W30 2018)
a. Ukhia | Number of cases b. Ukhia | Number of alerts c. Teknaf | Number of cases d. Teknaf | Number of alerts
Dengue | Maps and Alert Management
Map 4 | Map of cases by camp (W37 2017 - W30 2018)
12 W30 2018
Map legendNumber of cases 0 1 100 200 500
Number of alerts 0 1 10
Alert thresholdTwice the average number of casesover the past 3 weeks. Source: IEDCR
0Alerts
0%Verified
0Low Risk
0Moderate
Risk
0High Risk
0Very High
Risk
Alert management (W30 2018) Figure | % sex Figure | % age
Male Female >= 5 < 5
For more help and support, please contact:
Dr. Md. Alamgir Medical Officer Civil Surgeon Office Ministry of Health and Family Welfare Cox's Bazar, Bangladesh
Telephone: +88 018 1961 4952
Dr. Md Khadimul Anam Mazhar Surveillance and Outbreak Response Officer World Health Organization Cox's Bazar, Bangladesh
Telephone: +88 017 0120 8845
Email: [email protected]
NotesWHO and the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare gratefully acknowledge all partners who havereported the data used in this bulletin. The data been collected with support from the EWARS project. This is an initiative to strengthen earlywarning, alert and response in emergencies. It includes an online, desktop and mobile application thatcan be rapidly configured and deployed in the field. It is designed with frontline users in mind, and builtto work in difficult and remote operating environments. This bulletin has been automatically publishedfrom the EWARS application. More information can be found at http://ewars-project.org Sign-up for an account with EWARS Bangladesh at http://bd.ewars.ws
Ministry ofHealth andFamilyWelfare Bangladesh
BangladeshRohingya Emergency Response
Ministry of Health and FamilyWelfare Bangladesh Printed: 11:33 Tuesday, 31 July 2018 UTC
Diphtheria OutbreakUpdate W30 2018 (Jul 23-Jul 29)
The information in this bulletin is gathered from partners in the fieldeach day. Whilst it attempts to reflect updated real time numbers,there maybe some delays in reporting and missing values.
The data is also subject to change as case information is updatedand validated, and therefore the figures may be subject to revisionsas new data is received.
WHO and Ministry of Health and Family Welfare gratefullyacknowledge the support of all partners involved in the DiphtheriaOutbreak Response for their support in contributing the data to thisbulletin.
1. Diphtheria Case Report Form
2. Diphtheria Contact Tracing Report Form
3. Diphtheria Daily Operational Report Form
Disclaimer
Acknowledgements
Sources of data
Disclaimer
1 W30 2018 (Jul 23-Jul 29)
Indicator Cumulative Last 7 days Last 24hours
Epidemiology
1. Total number of cases 7,079 36 11
Confirmed 3.7% (n= 264 ) 8.3% (n= 3 ) 0.0% (n= 0 )
Probable 51.5% (n= 3,649 ) 83.3% (n= 30 ) 90.9% (n= 10 )
Suspected 44.7% (n= 3,166 ) 8.3% (n= 3 ) 9.1% (n= 1 )
Indeterminate 0.0% (n= 0 ) 0.0% (n= 0 ) 0.0% (n= 0 )
2. Laboratory testing
Positive 22.1% (n= 264 ) 42.9% (n= 3 ) 0.0% (n= 0 )
Indeterminate 0.0% (n= 0 ) 0.0% (n= 0 ) 0.0% (n= 0 )
Negative (excluded) 77.9% (n= 931 ) 57.1% (n= 4 ) 0.0% (n= 0 )
3. Total number of deaths 44 0 0
4. Attack rate / 10,000 population 145.49 0.44
Clinical presentation
5. % with pseudomembrane 35.4% (n= 2,875 ) 30.0% (n= 12 ) 18.2% (n= 2 )
6. % with complications 1.0% (n= 83 ) 0.0% (n= 0 ) 0.0% (n= 0 )
Case management
7. % patients given antibiotics 64.5% (n= 5,231 ) 100.0% (n= 40 ) 100.0% (n= 11 )
8. % patients treated with DAT 18.0% (n= 1,464 ) 17.5% (n= 7 ) 9.1% (n= 1 )
Table 1 | Summary of key indicators
8 November 2017 - present based on date of presentation
Case definition:
Confirmed: case-patients reported as positive for toxigenicC. diphtheriae by PCR
Probable: case-patients with an upper respiratory tractillness with laryngitis or nasopharyngitis or tonsillitis AND atleast one of the following signs: adherentmembrane/pseudomembrane OR gross cervicallymphadenopathy.
Suspected: any case with a clinical suspicion of diphtheria.Includes case-patients that are unclassified due to missingvalues.
Excluded: case-patients reported as negative for toxigenicC. diphtheriae by PCR
Source of population data: IOM. Bangladesh: Needs andPopulation Monitoring - NPM R7 Report. 15 December 2017
Defined as one or more of the following: respiratory distress,shock, irregular heart rate, peripheral neuritis / neuropathy,kidney failure or cutaneous necrotic lesions.
Diphtheria anti-toxin. Data for number treated with DAT inlast 24 hours comes from the Daily Operational MonitoringReport Form.
Notes
Diphtheria | Summary of key indicators
2 W30 2018 (Jul 23-Jul 29)
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5
Figure 1a Epidemic curve of diphtheria cases in Cox's Bazar, by date of admission (W44 2017 - W30 2018)
Suspected Probable
Confirmed Indeterminate
Diphtheria | Epidemic curve
3 W30 2018 (Jul 23-Jul 29)
Num
ber
W26
201
8
W48
201
7
W01
201
8
W05
201
8
W09
201
8
W13
201
8
W18
201
8
W22
201
8
W31
201
8
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
1100
Figure 1b Epidemic curve of diphtheria cases in Cox's Bazar, by age group, by date of admission (W44 2017 - W30 2018)
< 5 5 - 14
15 - 44 > 45
Diphtheria | Epidemic curve
3 W30 2018 (Jul 23-Jul 29)
Num
ber
W26
201
8
W48
201
7
W01
201
8
W05
201
8
W09
201
8
W13
201
8
W18
201
8
W22
201
8
W31
201
8
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
1100
Figure Percentage of Lab-confirmed positive Diphtheria Cases by Age and Type Bangladesh, Cox’s Bazar (W1 2018 - W30 2018)
< 15 Suspected cases ≥ 15 Suspected cases
< 15 Probable cases ≥ 15 Probable cases
Diphtheria | Epidemic curve
3 W30 2018 (Jul 23-Jul 29)
%
Dec
'17
Jan
'18
Feb
'18
Mar
'18
Apr '
18
May
'18
Jun
'18
Jul '
18
Aug
'18
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Figure 1c Epidemic curve of diphtheria cases in Cox's Bazar, for Host Community, by date of admission (W44 2017 - W30 2018)
Suspected Probable
Confirmed Indeterminate
Diphtheria | Epidemic curve
3 W30 2018 (Jul 23-Jul 29)
Num
ber
W46
201
7
W48
201
7
W50
201
7
W52
201
7
W02
201
8
W04
201
8
W06
201
8
W08
201
8
W10
201
8
W12
201
8
W14
201
8
W16
201
8
W18
201
8
W20
201
8
W22
201
8
W24
201
8
W26
201
8
W28
201
8
W30
201
8
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
Figure 2a | IOM1D4
Figure 2d | MSFBKL
Figure 2g | SPP1TT
Figure 2b | IOM2AA
Figure 2e | MSFJAM
Figure 2c | IOM3LD
Figure 2f | MSFRUB
Case definition
Suspected Probable Confirmed Indeterminate
Diphtheria | Epidemic curves for diphtheria outbreak in Cox's Bazar, by DTC
4 W30 2018 (Jul 23-Jul 29)
Num
ber
0
200
400
600
800
Num
ber
0
200
400
600
800
Num
ber
0
200
400
600
800
Num
ber
0
200
400
600
800
Num
ber
0
200
400
600
800
Num
ber
0
200
400
600
800
Num
ber
0
200
400
600
800
DTC Cumulative Last 7 days Last 24 hours
Cases Deaths CFR DAT Cases Deaths DAT Cases Deaths DAT
DTC Cumulative Last 7 days Last 24 hours
Cases Deaths CFR DAT Cases Deaths DAT Cases Deaths DAT
Table 2 | Summary of cases, deaths and DAT use by DTC
Total 7,079 44 0.5% 1,464 36 0 7 11 0 1
Case fatality rate Number of cases treated with diphtheria anti-toxin (DAT). Data for number treated with DAT in last 24 hours comes from the Daily Operational Monitoring Report Form.
Diphtheria | Summary by DTC
5 W30 2018 (Jul 23-Jul 29)
1 2 2 2
BRC1HK 0 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BRC2II 0 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
IOM1D4 190 0 0.0% 37 0 0 0 0 0 0
IOM2AA 147 0 0.0% 23 0 0 0 0 0 0
IOM3LD 218 0 0.0% 11 0 0 0 0 0 0
IRC1YY 0 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
JRC1TT 0 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
MSFBKL 2,485 29 1.1% 105 0 0 0 0 0 0
MSFJAM 872 3 0.3% 161 0 0 0 0 0 0
MSFRUB 2,200 9 0.3% 638 36 0 7 11 0 0
OBT1UU 0 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
SPP1TT 967 3 0.3% 489 0 0 0 0 0 0
Unknown 0 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1
2
Table 3a | Symptoms # %
Fever 6,995 86.2%
Sore throat 7,595 93.6%
Difficulty swallowing 3,164 39.0%
Difficulty breathing 149 1.8%
Nasal regurgitation 440 5.4%
Bloody nasal discharge 104 1.3%
Ear discharge 5 0.1%
Drooling of saliva 0 0.0%
Change in voice 63 0.8%
Swollen neck 516 6.4%
Skin ulcers 33 0.4%
Other 512 6.3%
Table 3b | Signs # %
Pseudomembrane 2,875 35.4%
Gross cervical lymphadenopathy 2,543 31.4%
Chest indrawing 10 0.1%
Fast breathing rate 16 0.2%
Stridor 33 0.4%
Central cyanosis 4 0.0%
Fast heart rate 33 0.4%
Decreased capillary refill 2 0.0%
Weakness 38 0.5%
Lethargy 103 1.3%
Restlessness 11 0.1%
Other 393 4.8%
< 5 ( 12.6% ; n = 1,022 ) 5-14 ( 54.8% ; n = 4,441 ) 15-44 ( 29.3% ; n = 2,380 ) > 45 ( 2.0% ; n = 160 )
Figure 3a | Sex
Male ( 42.5% ; n = 3,444 ) Female ( 56.3% ; n = 4,565 )
Figure 3b | Age
Figure 3c | Nationality
FDMN ( 86.4% ; n = 7,007 ) National ( 0.9% ; n = 70 )
Figure 3d | Vaccination status
Vaccinated ( 26.5% ; n = 2,148 ) Not vaccinated ( 25.2% ; n = 2,042 ) Unknown vaccination status ( 45.6% ; n = 3,695 )
Forcibly-Displaced Myanmar National
Diphtheria | Demographic breakdown, vaccination status and signs and symptoms
6 W30 2018 (Jul 23-Jul 29)
1
1
Diphtheria | Trend in DAT use
7 W30 2018
Total patients treated with DAT - Cox's Bazar
W02
201
8
W04
201
8
W06
201
8
W08
201
8
W10
201
8
W12
201
8
W14
201
8
W16
201
8
W18
201
8
W20
201
8
W22
201
8
W24
201
8
W26
201
8
W28
201
8
W30
201
8
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Figure 3 | Trend in DAT use over time (2018-01-05 - W30 2018 (Jul 23-Jul 29))
Indicator Cumulative Previous cycle Current cycle
Number of case-patients notified 536 12 13
Number of case-patients whose households were successfully traced 326 0 0
% of case-patients who were traced 6.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Total # of close contacts 5,024 0 0
Average # close contacts per case household traced 15.4 0.0 0.0
Notes
Reporting cycle denotes a retrospective 7-day reporting period, from present back to 1 January 2018. The current cycle start -2 days from current date to provide timeto locate the case-household
1 January 2018 - present
Current date -16 days to current date -9 days
Current date -8 days to current date -2 days
Number of case-patients notified denotes diphtheria case-patients who were admitted at a diphtheria treatment centre (DTC) and their details were entered in theEWARS reporting platform
Traced denotes that a case-patient's household is identified in community, and all contacts are enumerated and placed on chemoprophylaxis and referred forvaccination
Table 4 | Contact tracing reporting cycles (2018-01-01 to W30 2018 (Jul 23-Jul 29))
Diphtheria | Contact tracing indicators
8 W30 2018 (Jul 23-Jul 29)
1
2 3 4
5
6
1
2
3
4
5
6
Indicator Cumulative Previous cycle Current cycle
# cases-patientsnotified
# case-patientssuccessfullytraced
% case-patients traced
# cases-patientsnotified
# case-patientssuccessfullytraced
% case-patients traced
# cases-patientsnotified
# case-patientssuccessfullytraced
% case-patients traced
Table 5 | Ukhia Northern Zones
Total 22 15 0.0% 0 0 0.0% 0 0 0.0%
Diphtheria | Contact tracing by camp
9 W30 2018 (Jul 23-Jul 29)
Camp 1E 0 0 0% 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Camp 1W 0 0 0% 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Camp 2E 0 0 0% 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Camp 2W 0 0 0% 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Camp 3 0 0 0% 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Camp 4 0 0 0% 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Camp 4 Ext 0 0 0% 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Camp 5 0 0 0% 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Camp 6 0 0 0% 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Camp 7 0 0 0% 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Camp 8E 0 0 0% 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Camp 8W 0 0 0% 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
KutupalongRC
22 15 68% 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Indicator Cumulative Previous cycle Current cycle
# cases-patientsnotified
# case-patientstraced
% case-patients traced
# cases-patientsnotified
# case-patientstraced
% case-patients traced
# cases-patientsnotified
# case-patientstraced
% case-patients traced
Table 6 | Ukhia Southern Zones
Total 6 0 0.0% 0 0 0.0% 0 0 0.0%
Diphtheria | Contact tracing by camp
10 W30 2018 (Jul 23-Jul 29)
Camp 10 0 0 0% 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Camp 11 4 0 0% 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Camp 12 0 0 0% 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Camp 13 0 0 0% 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Camp 14 2 0 0% 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Camp 15 0 0 0% 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Camp 16 0 0 0% 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Camp 17 0 0 0% 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Camp 18 0 0 0% 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Camp 19 0 0 0% 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Camp 20 0 0 0% 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Camp 20 Ext 0 0 0% 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Camp 9 0 0 0% 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Map 1a | Ukhia (Cumulative)
% case-patients who were traced 0 25% 50% 75% 100%
Map 1b | Ukhia (Current cycle)
% case-patients who were traced 0 25% 50% 75% 100%
Map 1c | Ukhia (Previous cycle)
% case-patients who were traced 0 25% 50% 75% 100%
Diphtheria | Contact tracing percentage of case-patients who were traced
11 W30 2018 (Jul 23-Jul 29)
Indicator Cumulative Previous cycle Current cycle
# cases-patientsnotified
# case-patientstraced
% case-patients traced
# cases-patientsnotified
# case-patientstraced
% case-patients traced
# cases-patientsnotified
# case-patientstraced
% case-patients traced
Table 7 | Teknaf
Total 41 29 0.0% 0 0 0.0% 0 0 0.0%
Diphtheria | Contact tracing by camp
12 W30 2018 (Jul 23-Jul 29)
Camp 21Chakmarkul
0 0 0% 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Camp 22Unchiprang
2 0 0% 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Camp 23Shamlapur
0 0 0% 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Camp 24 Leda 0 0 0% 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Camp 25 AliKhali
0 0 0% 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Camp 26Nayapara
0 0 0% 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Camp 27Jadimura
1 0 0% 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Nayapara RC 38 29 76% 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Map 2a | Teknaf (Cumulative)
% case-patients who were traced 0 25% 50% 75% 100%
Map 2b | Teknaf (Current cycle)
% case-patients who were traced 0 25% 50% 75% 100%
Map 2c | Teknaf (Previous cycle)
% case-patients who were traced 0 25% 50% 75% 100%
Diphtheria | Contact tracing percentage of case-patients who were traced
13 W30 2018 (Jul 23-Jul 29)
For more help and support, please contact:
Dr. Md. Alamgir Medical Officer Civil Surgeon Office Ministry of Health and Family Welfare Cox's Bazar, Bangladesh
Telephone: +88 018 1961 4952
Dr. Md Khadimul Anam Mazhar Surveillance and Outbreak Officer World Health Organization Cox's Bazar, Bangladesh
Telephone: +88 017 0120 8845
Email: [email protected]
NotesWHO and the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare gratefully acknowledge all partners who havereported the data used in this bulletin. The data been collected with support from the EWARS project. This is an initiative to strengthen earlywarning, alert and response in emergencies. It includes an online, desktop and mobile application thatcan be rapidly configured and deployed in the field. It is designed with frontline users in mind, and builtto work in difficult and remote operating environments. This bulletin has been automatically publishedfrom the EWARS application. More information can be found at http://ewars-project.org Sign-up for an account with EWARS Bangladesh at http://bd.ewars.ws
Ministry ofHealth andFamilyWelfare Bangladesh