EMSI LEADERSHIP CONFERENCEOctober 2014

NEW SKILLS AT WORK

ABOUT JFF

• Our Mission:JFF works to ensure that all lower-income young people and workers have the skills and credentials needed to succeed in our economy.

• Our Vision: The promise of education and economic mobility in America is achieved for everyone.

• Our Approach: JFF designs and drives the adoption of innovative, scalable approaches and models—solutions that catalyze change in our education and workforce delivery systems.

NEW SKILLS AT WORK OVERVIEW

• JPMC’s landmark five year, $250M global effort to address the mismatch between skills employers need and skills workers possess.

• Supported by five national partners (Aspen Institute, Jobs for the Future, National Academies Foundation, National Fund for Workforce Solutions, Year Up and Youth Build).

• The initiative will:

– Utilize new and existing data sources to identify identify skills most in need for select regions.

– Collaborate with local businesses, elected officials, academics and community leaders to create an economic opportunity pipeline.

– Develop and target training programs to fill identified regional skills gaps.

• Focus on nine JPMC markets: Chicago, Columbus, Dallas, Detroit, Houston, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, and the San Francisco Bay Area.

NEW SKILLS AT WORK OVERVIEW: STRATEGIES AND SOLUTIONS

Phase 1: Networking and Orientation

Phase II: Cutting Edge LMI Analysis and Skills Gap Reports

Phase III: Strategic Assessment and Action Planning

Phase IV: Pathway Design and Implementation

NEW SKILLS AT WORK OVERVIEW: ABOUT THE SKILLS GAP REPORTS

• Provide information about how the skills gap impact certain discrete sectors of the economy (e.g. IT, health care) in each market.

• Adopts the definition of the skills gap as a mismatch between skills jobseekers possess and the skills an employer needs.

• Targets the growing skills gap for middle skill occupations – those that require more than a high school degree but less than a four-year degree.

• Serve as regional blueprints to mobilize action and leverage synergies among the following actors to close the skills gap:

– Employers

– Community Based Organizations

– Economic developers

– Education system (high school educators, leaders, and community college leaders)

– Funders

– Political and community leaders

– Workforce system (WIB, training providers)

6

METHODOLOGY TO IDENTIFY MIDDLE SKILL JOBS

EMSI criteria for “middle skill” occupations:

1. Percentage of its workforce that possesses a high school diploma and less than a four year degree.

2. 25% or more of the workforce must surpass the living wage for families with two adults and one child.

3. Must surpass a minimum growth rate over the past three years.

4. Occupations with limited annual openings are filtered out.

CURRENT EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT

Educational attainment for workers 25 years and older by detailed occupation, 2010-11

2012 National Employment Matrix title and code

Less than high

school diploma

High school diploma or equivalent

Some college,

no degree

Associate's degree

Bachelor's degree

Master's degree

Doctoral or professional

degree

29-1141 Registered nurses 0% 1% 5% 38% 46% 8% 2%

29-1151 Nurse anesthetists 0% 1% 5% 4% 15% 64% 12%

29-1161 Nurse midwives 0% 0% 1% 2% 6% 78% 13%

29-1171 Nurse practitioners 0% 0% 1% 2% 6% 78% 13%

29-1181 Audiologists 0% 2% 0% 0% 8% 35% 55%

29-1199 Health diagnosing and treating practitioners, all other 1% 3% 7% 3% 13% 46% 29%

29-2011 Medical and clinical laboratory technologists 1% 11% 19% 17% 44% 6% 3%

29-2012 Medical and clinical laboratory technicians 1% 11% 19% 17% 44% 6% 3%

29-2021 Dental hygienists 0% 3% 6% 55% 32% 2% 2%

29-2031 Cardiovascular technologists and technicians 1% 9% 22% 46% 20% 2% 1%

29-2032 Diagnostic medical sonographers 1% 9% 22% 46% 20% 2% 1%

29-2033 Nuclear medicine technologists 1% 9% 22% 46% 20% 2% 1%

29-2034 Radiologic technologists 1% 9% 22% 46% 20% 2% 1%

0%1%

5%

38%

46%

8%

2%

Less than high school diploma High school diploma or equivalent Some college, no degreeAssociate's degree Bachelor's degree Master's degreeDoctoral or professional degree

EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT:REGISTERED NURSES

FUTURE EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT

Title HSL (%) PSC (%) SC(%) A(%) BA+(%) Total

Dental assistants 35.5% 55.9% 3.0% 5.6% 0.0% 100%

Dental hygienists 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 77.0% 23.0% 100%

Dental laboratory technicians 65.4% 17.6% 3.1% 14.0% 0.0% 100%

Dentists, all other specialists 0.0% 0.0% 4.5% 0.0% 95.5% 100%

Dentists, general 7.6% 0.0% 0.0% 7.2% 85.2% 100%

Derrick operators, oil and gas 91.5% 4.9% 0.0% 3.6% 0.0% 100%

Designers, all other 0.0% 9.5% 2.1% 13.8% 74.7% 100%

Desktop publishers 51.7% 16.8% 26.7% 0.0% 4.8% 100%

Detectives and criminal investigators 45.5% 10.7% 15.9% 21.3% 6.6% 100%

Diagnostic medical sonographers 0.0% 23.4% 1.2% 42.2% 33.2% 100%

Dietetic technicians 69.6% 4.4% 0.0% 10.1% 15.9% 100%

EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT:DENTAL ASSISTANTS

36%

56%

3%6%

High School Diploma or Less Post Secondary Certificate Some CollegeAssociate's Degree Bachelor's Degree or more

LIVING WAGE (HOURLY)

Chicago Columbus Dallas Detroit Houston Los Angeles Miami New York San Francisco $-

$5.00

$10.00

$15.00

$20.00

$25.00

MINIMUM GROWTH RATE

Chicago Columbus Dallas Detroit Houston Los Angeles Miami New York San Francisco0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

7.0%

8.0%

ANNUAL OPENINGS

< 10 JOBS

DID WE MISS ANY JOBS?

Did we miss any jobs in the Computer and Information

Technology fields?

CASE STUDY: NEW YORK CITY



• As of 2013, there were 4.27 million people working in New York City.

• Of the 4.27 million, 3.39 million people were employed by the private sector.

• 566,000 were employed by the government.

• 316,000 were self-employed.

NYC ECONOMY OVERVIEW

Source: NYC Tech Ecosystem

NYC ECONOMY OVERVIEW

While hard hit by the 2008 recession, New York City’s jobs are now growing.

NYC ECONOMY OVERVIEW

Despite economic growth, some New Yorkers continue to face high unemployment.

Brooklyn Bronx Manhattan Queens Staten Island0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0%

9.4%

11.8%

7.2%7.8% 7.8%

Labor Force & Unemployment Rate by Borough, 2013

In th

ousa

nds

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Source: Fiscal Policy Institute

Whites non-Hispanic

Blacks Non Hispanic

Hispanics Asians and Others

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0%

16.0%

5.5%

13.5%

10.8%

5.0%

Unemployment Rate by Race & Ethnicity, 2013

NYC ECONOMY OVERVIEW

A significant number of New Yorkers are at a disadvantage.

20

HIGH DEMAND INDUSTRIES

Research identifies six target industry sectors that are primary economic drivers for NYC.

Source: EMSI QCEW, Non-QCEW & Self Employed, 2014.2

Category 2013 Jobs 2013-2018 % Change% Middle-Skill Target

Occupations

Healthcare 423,321 14% 37%

Financial and Insurance Services 321,670 1% 33%

Education 273,019 8% 22%

Multimedia Entertainment 109,197 8% 51%

Computer and Information Services 65,993 15% 52%

Corporate Headquarters 64,385 8% 42%

HIGH DEMAND OCCUPATIONS IN HEALTHCARE

Healthcare sector has a wide range of middle skill occupations

Registered Nurses

Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses

Medical Assistants

Dental Assistants

Pharmacy Technicians

Emergency Medical Technicians and Paramedics

Radiologic Technologists

Medical and Clinical Laboratory Technologists

Dental Hygienists

Medical Records and Health Information Technicians

0 40,000 80,000 120,000 160,000 200,000

162,766

37,597

29,232

18,416

17,042

15,170

11,671

10,754

9,688

7,608

Top Ten Middle Skill Healthcare Occupations, NYC2013

HIGH DEMAND OCCUPATIONS IN HEALTHCARE

Many middle skill occupations in health care are in high demand and pay family sustaining wages

Radiation Therapists

Nuclear Medicine Technologists

Magnetic Resonance Imaging Technologists

Dental Hygienists

Registered Nurses

Respiratory Therapists

Diagnostic Medical Sonographers

Occupational Therapy Assistants

Radiologic Technologists

Medical and Clinical Laboratory Technologists

$0.00 $10.00 $20.00 $30.00 $40.00 $50.00 $60.00

$52.10

$42.22

$39.96

$39.90

$38.59

$35.14

$33.44

$33.42

$32.86

$32.41

Top Ten Middle Skill Health Care Jobs by Median Hourly Earnings, 2013

HIGH DEMAND OCCUPATIONS IN THE “TECH” SECTOR

The Tech industry is projected to grow and pay family sustaining wages.

Description 2013 Jobs Median Hourly Earnings

2013-'18 Average Annual

OpeningsComputer Systems Analysts 35,708 $43.45 1,307Information Security Analysts 5,294 $56.84 241Computer Programmers 25,400 $40.43 905Software Developers, Systems Software 19,964 $50.55 725Web Developers 10,378 $34.93 398Database Administrators 8,465 $43.54 273Network and Computer Systems Administrators 23,630 $41.84 633

Computer Network Architects 8,689 $53.17 256Computer User Support Specialists 38,502 $26.31 1,284Computer Network Support Specialists 10,357 $34.37 253

HIGH DEMAND OCCUPATINS IN THE “TECH” SECTOR

Jobseekers can find Tech Occupation opportunities across multiple industry sectors.

Computer Systems Analysts

Information Security Analysts

Computer Programmers

Software Developers, Systems Software

Web Developers

Database Administrators

Network and Computer Systems Administrators

Computer Network Architects

Computer User Support Specialists

Computer Network Support Specialists

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Healthcare

Financial and In-surance Services

Education

Multimedia Enter-tainment

Computer and In-formation Services

Corporate Headquarters

25

EDUCATIONAL GAPS FOR SELECT HEALTHCARE & IT OCCUPATIONS

Registered Nurses

Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses

Computer User Support Specialists

Computer Systems Analysts

Medical Assistants

Medical and Health Services Managers

Pharmacy Technicians

Emergency Medical Technicians and Paramedics

Computer Programmers

Dental Assistants

0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500

225

226

260

274

298

388

421

458

738

1,337

Gap Supply Demand

KEY FINDINGS

1. Both Healthcare and technology offer significant middle skill opportunities

2. These sectors have explicit career ladders to middle skill jobs that pay a family-sustaining wage

3. Jobseekers can find technology occupation opportunities across multiple industry sectors

4. Skill requirements for various healthcare occupation groupings are changing

5. Conflicting research findings about required credentials for middle skill tech occupation

BUILDING A CAREER PATHWAY APPROACH TO EDUCATION AND TRAINING PROGRAMS

SAMPLE HEALTH DESK PATHWAY

Technology and healthcare offer clear career pathways to middle skill jobs.

SAMPLE HEALTH INFORMATION PATHWAY

Technology and healthcare offer clear career pathways to middle skill jobs.

RECOMMENDATIONS

• Expand a sector-focused workforce development system.

• Create additional career pathways aligned with labor demand in healthcare and technology.

• Develop funding strategies that can sustain and scale a system of career pathways and expand the sector-focused approach to workforce development.

• Implement policies that incentivize a systemic approach to sector-focused career pathway development.

• Ensure New Yorkers are aware of the middle-skill job opportunities in healthcare and technology.

TEL 617.728.4446 FAX 617.728.4857 info@jff.org

88 Broad Street, 8th Floor, Boston, MA 02110

122 C Street, NW, Suite 650, Washington, DC 20001

WWW.JFF.ORG

MYRIAM SULLIVAN, SENIOR PROJECT MANAGER

MSULLIVAN@JFF.ORG

TEL 208-883-3500 FAX 208-882-3317

409 South Jackson Street

Moscow, ID 83843

http://www.economicmodeling.com/